1. Introduction
Clouds play a dominant role within the Earth’s radiation budget [
1,
2,
3,
4]. The warming effect induced by the increase of greenhouse gases might be modified by changes in the Earth’s albedo on a regional or global scale. Especially changes in the variability, but also extremes of the cloud albedo could lead to a substantial change of the planetary albedo. Without clouds the Earth’s albedo would be halved. The reflected solar energy would drop from ∼100 to ∼50 W/m
and the absorbed solar energy would increase from ∼240 to ∼290 W/m
[
2,
4]. In a non-cloud Earth this effect could only partly be compensated by an increase of the emitted thermal radiation. On average, clouds have a net cooling effect, as illustrated in
Figure 1.
Figure 1.
Net cooling induced by the global cloud field as given by the NCEP reanalysis data. The net cooling is especially pronounced in the equatorial belt. In the polar regions the planetary albedo is not increased by clouds as a consequence of the large surface albedo. Here, the “warming" effect of clouds in the thermal spectra dominates.
Figure 1.
Net cooling induced by the global cloud field as given by the NCEP reanalysis data. The net cooling is especially pronounced in the equatorial belt. In the polar regions the planetary albedo is not increased by clouds as a consequence of the large surface albedo. Here, the “warming" effect of clouds in the thermal spectra dominates.
The net cooling effect of clouds is approximately 10 times higher than the decadal anthropogenic radiative forcing induced by increase of greenhouse gases. Trends and changes in extremes of the cloud albedo would change the cooling effect of clouds and would therefore significantly affect the climate on a global and regional scale. Hence, the effective cloud albedo plays a dominant role in the Earth’s radiation and energy budget. Furthermore, this quantity can be observed from satellites without the need of any model or otherwise external data source.
The established satellite based data sets of the International Satellite Cloud Climatology Project (ISCCP) [
5] and the Global Energy and Water Cycle Experiment (GEWEX) [
6] does not offer the effective cloud albedo. It is also not offered by the ESA Climate Change Initiative. Instead, large efforts went into the monitoring and analysis of specific cloud properties (e.g., [
3,
7,
8] and references therein), where the cloud fraction, cloud optical depth (cloud liquid water path) and cloud top height have been essential variables of interest. However, data sets of cloud fraction, cloud optical depth and cloud top height which are derived from different satellites and with different retrieval methods reveal a wide dispersion of the respective variables (
http://climserv.ipsl.polytechnique.fr/gewexca/) [
9] This indicates that the generation of consistent data sets is still a challenge in science that can not easily be met. The observed radiances are affected by the cloud fraction, the cloud optical depth and the cloud particle size, hence no direct function of these variables with the observed radiances is given. We believe that the effective cloud albedo and the derived solar surface irradiance provides a potential to overcome these limitations. This will be discussed in the following sections. Within this scope this publication also aims to increase the awareness of the effective cloud albedo within the climate community.
The planetary albedo, also expressed as Earth’s albedo, has been subject of intensive research (e.g, [
2,
10]). For the Earth’s albedo clouds play a quite important role, and the cloud albedo is frequently discussed within the scope of the planetary albedo and the cloud radiative forcing (e.g., [
3]), as a consequence. However, the cloud albedo is a somehow theoretical quantity. Identical clouds have per definition identical cloud albedos. However, the effect of the same cloud (identical cloud) on the planetary albedo depends on the underlying surface albedo. The cloud albedo is therefore not a space observable but has to be derived from other quantities, e.g., the mirco-physical cloud properties or the effective cloud albedo as discussed in [
3]. Indeed, it is not the cloud albedo but the effective cloud albedo (defined in
Section 2.1) that can be directly observed from space (satellite). It provides a first estimate of the effect of clouds on the planetary albedo relative to the clear sky situation. It is therefore a measure for the cloud effect on the Earth’s radiation budget, e.g., a water cloud with medium cloud optical depth over fresh snow would lead at most to a small increase of the planetary albedo while the same cloud would lead to a large increase of the planetary albedo over the ocean.
Satellite observations enable the retrieval of the effective cloud albedo with high spatial and temporal resolution and a large areal coverage (up to global). Through radiometric measurements satellite sensors provide information on the reflection of solar irradiance caused by clouds, the Earth’s clear sky atmosphere and the surface. This information is the basis for the retrieval of the effective cloud albedo.
The effective cloud albedo is defined in straightforward manner by the observed reflections and exhibit the potential to generate multi-satellite data sets with high consistency and homogeneity, covering several decades. This in turn is a basis for the generation of solar surface irradiance covering the complete geostationary ring; an important task for climate monitoring and solar energy planning. Large spectral differences in the used visible channels, however, affect the consistency and homogeneity of the effective cloud albedo significantly, as discussed in detail in [
11] and should be avoided for the derivation of the effective cloud albedo, therefore.
In order to discuss the role of the cloud albedo for climate monitoring and analysis a 23-year long (1983–2005) continuous and validated data set of effective cloud albedo (CAL) based on the broadband visible channel (0.45–1 μm) of the MVIRI instruments on-board of the Meteosat First Generation (MFG) satellites is used.
The CAL data set is generated with the climate version of the Heliosat algorithm [
12,
13], which includes a self-calibration method and an improved algorithm for the determination of the clear-sky reflectivity. In
Section 2.3 the self-calibration method is described and validation results are presented. In order to provide an operational satellite service Eumetsat’s first generation geostationary satellites had to be regularly replaced. The purpose of the self-calibration method is to automatically account for the degradation of the individual satellite instruments during their lifetime and the discontinuities induced by the launch of MVIRI instruments with identical design but different brightness sensitivity. The self-calibration enables the generation of a temporal homogeneous time series of the effective cloud albedo and the subsequently derived solar surface irradiance.
3. Results and Discussion
In order to discuss and analyse the role of the effective cloud albedo within the scope of climate monitoring and climate analysis two regions have been extracted from the CM-SAF climate data record for example trend analysis. The long term mean of the effective cloud albedo of Central Europe is shown in
Figure 7. Trend analysis of the cloud albedo and the derived SIS has been performed based on R [
22] using a linear model to estimate the trends illustrated in
Figure 8 and
Figure 9.
Figure 7.
The 23-year mean of the effective cloud albedo for central Europe.
Figure 7.
The 23-year mean of the effective cloud albedo for central Europe.
Here, it is remarkable that the trend in CAL and SIS are quite different over ocean and land. Over ocean large negative trends in CAL are apparent while over land the trends are pre-dominantly positive. This leads to positive trends over ocean and negative trends over land for the solar surface irradiance. This is also visible in other regions of the world, e.g., as illustrated in
Figure 9.
Again the findings over ocean and land concerning the trend in CAL and SSI are different. CAL shows pre-dominantly a positive trend over land and an negative trend over ocean. Trends in this region are also important for the monitoring of affects induced by changes in the Hadley circulation, the driver of the Intertropical Convergence Zone (ITCZ), characterised by high cloudiness.
It has to be considered that the majority of the incoming solar irradiance is absorbed by the ocean, because of the large spatial coverage and the low surface albedo. The ocean is therefore the pre-dominant solar energy absorber and energy reservoir of the Earth. Global and regional trends in the effective cloud albedo and the derived solar surface irradiance over ocean would affect the Earth’s energy system significantly on different scales. Further on, the large regional differences in the trends demonstrate the risk of using ground stations with specific spatial distribution for the monitoring and analysis of climate change. Especially, as long term records of well maintained ground based measurements are not only scarce over the ocean but also in many regions of the world, e.g., in large parts of Asia and Africa. Of course, this induces a high statistical uncertainty in trends of solar surface irradiance and its extremes derived from (grided) ground measurements. Trends in solar irradiance which are not accurately monitored due to missing ground measurements, could easily lead to misleading interpretations of temperature trends on a regional and global scale. These arguments apply also for the global dimming and brightening analysis and monitoring.
Figure 8.
The result of the trend analysis for Central Europe. The trend in the effective cloud albedo (Top) and the trend in solar surface irradiance (SSI, (Bottom)). The regions with negative trend in CAL transfers to positive trend in SSI and visa versa. Also local differences are apparent. The Rhine valley in the South-West of Germany shows a relative large positive trend in solar irradiance. This is of importance for the wine agriculture in this region.
Figure 8.
The result of the trend analysis for Central Europe. The trend in the effective cloud albedo (Top) and the trend in solar surface irradiance (SSI, (Bottom)). The regions with negative trend in CAL transfers to positive trend in SSI and visa versa. Also local differences are apparent. The Rhine valley in the South-West of Germany shows a relative large positive trend in solar irradiance. This is of importance for the wine agriculture in this region.
Figure 9.
Trend of the effective cloud albedo and the solar surface irradiance within the ITCZ. The slightly different trends apparent in the CAL and SSI (Top, Bottom) are a result of trends in water vapour affecting SSI but not CAL.
Figure 9.
Trend of the effective cloud albedo and the solar surface irradiance within the ITCZ. The slightly different trends apparent in the CAL and SSI (Top, Bottom) are a result of trends in water vapour affecting SSI but not CAL.
Within climate analysis global brightening and dimming has been a very important discussion, e.g., global dimming has the potential to mask the effect of global warming to some extent and brightening might lead to misleading interpretations about the magnitude of global warming induced by an increase of greenhouse gases. Wild [
23] found that the various studies analyzing long-term records of solar surface irradiance suggest a widespread decrease in solar radiation between the 1950s and 1980s (global dimming), with a partial recovery after the dimming period at many locations (brightening). Changes in the aerosol load have been proposed as the main driver for the dimming and brightening. However, the majority of research directed to the analysis of dimming and brightening has been based on ground measurements [
23], which are pre-dominantly located on land. The trends in the satellite-derived effective cloud albedo and solar surface irradiance given in
Figure 8 and
Figure 9 show opposite trends over ocean and land, which demonstrates the need to include the ocean within dimming and brightening studies in order to avoid misleading interpretations. This can be done by the use of accurate satellite derived data sets. Recently, satellite data (partly in combination with ground based stations) have been used to overcome this problem induced by using pre-dominantly only ground based measurements [
24,
25]. Within these studies GEWEX and ISCCP satellite-based data have been used. Pinker
et al. [
25] found that the global-scale findings of dimming/brightening differ in sign and magnitude from previously reported ground observations. Also over the land surface, Wild [
23] and Pinker
et al. [
25] disagree. However, as illustrated in
Figure 6 artificial trends in the ISCCP and GEWEX satellite-based solar surface irradiance induces a significant uncertainty and make final conclusions difficult. The Heliosat method, in particular the self-calibration method, discussed in this manuscript has been proven to be able to provide a homogenous and stable solar surface irradiance data record derived from the effective cloud albedo. Hence, the respective climate data records are expected to be quite useful in order to get a more complete and more reliable picture about trends in solar surface irradiance and the effective cloud albedo.
Another aspect, the effective cloud albedo enables the analysis of causes of trends in the solar surface irradiance and a clear separation between direct aerosol effect and cloud effect. Within this scope the effective cloud albedo can be used to investigate the indirect aerosol effect.
4. Summary and Conclusions
GCOS defines cloud properties and the Earth’s radiation budget as essential climate variables. The cloud albedo is a measure for the portion of radiation reflected back to space by clouds. It has been shown that this information is essential for the analysis and interpretation of the Earth’s radiation budget and the solar surface irradiance. A method for the generation of the effective cloud albedo and the solar surface irradiance based on the visible channel (0.45–1 μm) of the MVIRI instruments on-board the first generation of Meteosat satellites has been presented and discussed. This method includes a newly developed self-calibration approach and has been used to generate a 23 year long (1983–2005) continuous and validated climate data record of the effective cloud albedo and solar surface irradiance. The ability of the method to provide these essential climate variables in high accuracy and homogeneity has been demonstrated by comparison with BSRN measurements. We found opposite trends in the observed effective cloud albedo over land and ocean resulting in positive trends in the solar surface irradiance and partly negative trends over land. Over ocean ground measurements of solar irradiance and cloud properties are almost not available. It has been shown that satellite-derived effective cloud albedo and solar surface irradiance constitutes a powerful observational data source in order to complement ground-based measurements. Within this scope it has to be considered that the ocean is the main energy reservoir of the Earth which emphasis the role of satellite-observed effective cloud albedo an derived solar surface irradiance. Further on, the large regional differences in the trends demonstrate the risk of using ground stations with specific spatial distribution for the monitoring and analysis of climate change. Especially, as long term records of well maintained ground based measurements are not only scarce over the ocean but also in many regions of the world, e.g. in large parts of Asia and Africa. Of course, this induces a high statistical uncertainty in trends of solar surface irradiance and its extremes derived from (gridded) ground measurements. Trends in solar irradiance which are not accurately monitored due to missing ground measurements, could easily lead to misleading interpretations of temperature trends on a regional and global scale. These arguments apply also for global dimming and brightening analysis and monitoring. It has been shown that homogenous time series of satellite-derived effective cloud albedo and solar surface irradiance provide essential information for better analysis of global brightening and dimming, which is in turn important for the analysis and interpretation of climate change. Therefore, we see the need to include the analysis of the effective cloud albedo within brightening and dimming studies and interpretations of regional temperature trends.
There is a need for accurate solar surface irradiance for regional climate monitoring as well as for solar energy applications. We have shown that solar surface irradiance derived from satellite-observed effective cloud albedo is a reliable source characterised by high accuracy and homogeneity. The satellite-observed effective cloud albedo and the derived solar surface irradiance are essential to complete the global climate observation system. Hence, we see a urgent need to consider these quantities more explicitly within the GCOS mission and frame.