Reduced Risk of Hepatocellular Carcinoma in Patients with Chronic Hepatitis B Receiving Long-Term Besifovir Therapy
Abstract
:Simple Summary
Abstract
1. Introduction
2. Materials and Methods
2.1. Patients
2.2. Primary and Secondary Endpoints
2.3. Clinical Assessment and Definitions
2.4. Models for the Prediction of HCCs
2.5. Statistical Analysis
3. Results
3.1. Baseline Characteristics of the Patients
3.2. Antiviral Responses and Changes in Fibrosis Indexes
3.3. Incidence of HCC and Characteristics of the Patients who Developed HCCs
3.4. Identification of Risk Factors on the HCC Development
3.5. The Influence of BSV Treatment on the Prediction of HCCs
3.6. Risk Scores on HCC Development and Performance of Prediction Models
4. Discussion
5. Conclusions
Supplementary Materials
Author Contributions
Funding
Institutional Review Board Statement
Informed Consent Statement
Data Availability Statement
Conflicts of Interest
References
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Variable § | All Patients (n = 188) | Non-Cirrhotic Patients (n = 139) | Liver Cirrhosis (n = 49) | p-Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Male sex, n (%) | 120 (63.83) | 87 (62.59) | 33 (67.35) | 0.551 | |
Age (years) | 45.2 ± 10.96 | 43.5 ±10.80 | 50.2 ± 9.94 | <0.001 | |
Positive HBeAg, n (%) | 112 (59.57) | 87 (62.59) | 25 (51.02) | 0.156 | |
HBV DNA (log IU/mL) | 6.40 ± 1.63 | 6.51 ± 1.63 | 6.08 ± 1.60 | 0.075 | |
ALT (U/L) | 115.65 ± 120.46 | 117.63 ± 126.80 | 110.04 ± 101.30 | 0.767 | |
AST (U/L) | 77.91 ± 68.90 | 73.15 ± 64.66 | 91.43 ± 78.89 | 0.386 | |
DM, n (%) | 35 (18.5) | 18 (13.0) | 17 (34.7) | 0.001 | |
Platelet (103/μL) | 189.77 ± 67.07 | 202.39 ± 52.39 | 153.98 ± 88.69 | <0.001 | |
Bilirubin (mg/dL) | 0.67 ± 0.33 | 0.66 ± 0.35 | 0.69 ± 0.29 | 0.375 | |
Albumin (g/dL) | 4.25 ± 0.31 | 4.28 ± 0.30 | 4.17 ± 0.32 | 0.045 | |
AFP (ng/mL) | 16.80 ± 59.04 | 9.96 ± 18.83 | 36.19 ± 109.73 | <0.001 | |
APRI | 1.30 ± 1.47 | 1.05 ± 0.94 | 2.04 ± 2.00 | 0.003 | |
Fib-4 | 2.06 ± 1.79 | 1.57 ± 0.76 | 3.47 ± 2.83 | <0.001 | |
Prognostic scores | GAG-HCC | 84.25 ± 20.99 | 74.07 ± 12.41 | 113.15 ± 11.03 | <0.001 |
REACH-B | 10.88 ± 2.16 | 10.65 ± 2.19 | 11.55 ± 1.94 | 0.012 | |
PAGE-B | 11.63 ± 4.98 | 10.68 ± 4.99 | 14.39 ± 3.88 | <0.001 | |
mPAGE-B | 8.97 ± 3.11 | 8.33 ± 3.08 | 10.78 ± 2.41 | <0.001 | |
CAMD | 7.78 ± 5.08 | 5.50 ± 3.68 | 14.24 ± 1.91 | <0.001 | |
HCC-RESCUE | 60.79 ± 17.86 | 52.86 ± 12.47 | 83.29 ± 9.81 | <0.001 | |
REAL-B | 3.90 ± 2.07 | 3.01 ± 1.45 | 6.43 ± 1.35 | <0.001 | |
AASL | 8.88 ± 5.89 | 5.69 ± 2.52 | 17.92 ± 2.00 | <0.001 |
Univariable Analysis | Multivariable Analysis | |||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HR | Lower | Upper | p-Value | HR | Lower | Upper | p-Value | |
Cirrhosis | 13.629 | 1.523 | 121.957 | 0.020 | 11.125 | 1.232 | 100.447 | 0.032 |
Age (≥50 years) | 7.368 | 0.824 | 65.913 | 0.074 | 5.579 | 0.618 | 50.366 | 0.126 |
Male | 2.085 | 0.233 | 18.655 | 0.511 | ||||
DM | 0.997 | 0.111 | 8.923 | 0.998 | ||||
HBeAg positive | 5.956 | 0.666 | 53.295 | 0.111 | ||||
HBV DNA | 0.658 | 0.395 | 1.098 | 0.109 | ||||
Platelet | 1.000 | 0.986 | 1.014 | 0.984 | ||||
Albumin | 1.627 | 0.090 | 29.476 | 0.742 | ||||
AFP | 0.996 | 0.965 | 1.029 | 0.822 | ||||
AST | 0.999 | 0.984 | 1.013 | 0.856 | ||||
ALT | 0.990 | 0.968 | 1.011 | 0.339 |
Year | Observation (Cumulative No. of Cases) | Prediction | SIR (Observation/ Prediction) | 95% CI Lower Limit | 95% CI Upper Limit | p-Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | 0 | 0.73 | 0 | 0 | - | 1.000 |
2 | 1 | 1.72 | 0.583 | 0.082 | 4.135 | 0.589 |
3 | 1 | 2.10 | 0.475 | 0.067 | 3.375 | 0.457 |
4 | 1 | 3.26 | 0.306 | 0.043 | 2.175 | 0.237 |
5 | 1 | 5.01 | 0.199 | 0.028 | 1.416 | 0.107 |
6 | 1 | 6.55 | 0.153 | 0.022 | 1.084 | 0.060 |
7 | 1 | 7.84 | 0.128 | 0.018 | 0.905 | 0.039 |
7.5 | 1 | 8.51 | 0.118 | 0.017 | 0.834 | 0.032 |
8 | 1 | 9.18 | 0.109 | 0.015 | 0.773 | 0.027 |
Year | Observation (Cumulative no. of Cases) | Prediction | SIR (Observation/ Prediction) | 95% CI Lower Limit | 95% CI Upper Limit | p-Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | 0 | 3.14 | 0 | 0 | . | 1 |
2 | 1 | 4.31 | 0.232 | 0.033 | 1.646 | 0.144 |
3 | 2 | 5.49 | 0.364 | 0.091 | 1.457 | 0.153 |
4 | 3 | 6.66 | 0.450 | 0.145 | 1.396 | 0.167 |
5 | 4 | 7.84 | 0.510 | 0.192 | 1.359 | 0.178 |
6 | 4 | 9.02 | 0.444 | 0.167 | 1.182 | 0.104 |
7 | 4 | 10.19 | 0.392 | 0.147 | 1.046 | 0.061 |
7.5 | 4 | 10.78 | 0.371 | 0.139 | 0.989 | 0.047 |
8 | 4 | 11.37 | 0.352 | 0.132 | 0.938 | 0.037 |
Cox’s Proportional Hazard Regression Model | AUROC | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HR | Lower | Upper | p-Value | Value | Lower | Upper | |
PAGE-B | 1.195 | 0.957 | 1.491 | 0.116 | 0.698 | 0.385 | 1.000 |
mPAGE-B | 1.480 | 1.006 | 2.177 | 0.047 | 0.771 | 0.508 | 1.000 |
REAL-B | 1.872 | 1.154 | 3.037 | 0.011 | 0.866 | 0.806 | 0.925 |
HCC-RESCUE | 1.127 | 1.041 | 1.221 | 0.003 | 0.924 | 0.851 | 0.998 |
CAMD | 1.573 | 1.132 | 2.188 | 0.007 | 0.912 | 0.832 | 0.991 |
AASL | 1.345 | 1.068 | 1.693 | 0.012 | 0.909 | 0.821 | 0.998 |
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Yim, H.J.; Kang, S.H.; Jung, Y.K.; Ahn, S.H.; Kim, W.; Yang, J.M.; Jang, J.Y.; Kweon, Y.O.; Cho, Y.K.; Kim, Y.J.; et al. Reduced Risk of Hepatocellular Carcinoma in Patients with Chronic Hepatitis B Receiving Long-Term Besifovir Therapy. Cancers 2024, 16, 887. https://doi.org/10.3390/cancers16050887
Yim HJ, Kang SH, Jung YK, Ahn SH, Kim W, Yang JM, Jang JY, Kweon YO, Cho YK, Kim YJ, et al. Reduced Risk of Hepatocellular Carcinoma in Patients with Chronic Hepatitis B Receiving Long-Term Besifovir Therapy. Cancers. 2024; 16(5):887. https://doi.org/10.3390/cancers16050887
Chicago/Turabian StyleYim, Hyung Joon, Seong Hee Kang, Young Kul Jung, Sang Hoon Ahn, Won Kim, Jin Mo Yang, Jae Young Jang, Yong Oh Kweon, Yong Kyun Cho, Yoon Jun Kim, and et al. 2024. "Reduced Risk of Hepatocellular Carcinoma in Patients with Chronic Hepatitis B Receiving Long-Term Besifovir Therapy" Cancers 16, no. 5: 887. https://doi.org/10.3390/cancers16050887
APA StyleYim, H. J., Kang, S. H., Jung, Y. K., Ahn, S. H., Kim, W., Yang, J. M., Jang, J. Y., Kweon, Y. O., Cho, Y. K., Kim, Y. J., Hong, G. Y., Kim, D. J., Sohn, J. H., Lee, J. W., Park, S. J., Yim, S. Y., Park, J. K., & Um, S. H. (2024). Reduced Risk of Hepatocellular Carcinoma in Patients with Chronic Hepatitis B Receiving Long-Term Besifovir Therapy. Cancers, 16(5), 887. https://doi.org/10.3390/cancers16050887