3.4.1. Global Evaluation
ASR well clogging can be caused by any of the following, potential clogging processes (or their concerted action): (i) suspended solids in the infiltration water such as clay, algae, diatoms and Fe(OH)3 flocs, (ii) biofouling due to high concentrations of biodegradable organic matter (TOC, assimilable DOC (AOC), BDOC) and nutrients (PO4, NO3), (iii) air entrainment (gas bubbles formed during cascading in the well), (iv) chemical clogging by precipitates of e.g., Fe(OH)3, MnO2 or CaCO3, (v) clay swelling and clay mobilization due to replacing brackish ambient groundwater with high SAR (sodium adsorption ratio) by fresher, lower SAR injectant, and (vi) permeability reduction by aquifer jamming or aquifer corrosion.
The last four processes are considered of minor importance. Well clogging by gas bubbles is unlikely because of a proper well design [
4] and a non-corresponding clogging pattern [
10]. The precipitation of minerals by mixing with ambient groundwater during injection phase can be ruled out, because the Fe concentrations in the ambient groundwater are low (0.16 mg/L) and the flow velocity near the well is sufficiently high and reactions are so slow, that reaction products such as iron hydroxide flocks will move relatively far away from the well before being deposited, while the mixing of (sub)oxic water with anoxic ambient groundwater will mainly take place far away from the well. Experiences with and calculations on intentional subterranean iron removal (SIR) [
31] indicate that the accumulation of reaction products during both injection and recovery can be neglected on the time scale of one century. SIR is also an unintentional process during ASR [
32], which prevents Fe(II) during recovery to reach the ASR well and mix there with any O
2 (if this survived the aquifer detention at some depth). The risk of CaCO
3 precipitation is also very low, because the injectant and ambient groundwater are undersaturated with respect to CaCO
3. Another potential cause of mineral precipitation is chemical instability of the injectant, which can lead to retarded, in-well flocculation of Fe(OH)
3 or MnO
2. This process is hard to distinguish from the advective transport of suspended particles, and therefore not considered further.
Barry et al. [
7] investigated the clogging risk by dispersion of the clay minerals within columns filled with aquifer material, especially within the context of potential future changes in the mixing ratio of Class A water and RO desalinated water. They used a method based on the principles of the ‘Emerson Crumb test’ [
33,
34,
35]. That approach characterizes dispersion using combinations of aquifer materials and source waters by measuring the turbidity increase of the supernatant, relative to that of the water alone, after a period of 48 h. Dispersion of clays in the batch tests was so low that no visible cloudiness was observed in any of the waters tested. Although kaolinite, the predominant clay mineral in the target aquifer, is a non-swelling clay and present within the aquifer storage zone at very low concentrations (<1%), its interaction with low salinity water can still contribute to a reduction in aquifer permeability by detachment from solid surfaces and migration through porous media where it can clog pore spaces [
36]. In conclusion, the risk of clay mobilization is (very) low but cannot be ruled out completely, especially not if more RO water is contributing to its mixture with Class A recycled water.
The risk of aquifer permeability losses through aquifer jamming by repeatedly shifting from injection to backflushing, which creates shock waves, is considered low [
10]. Aquifer dissolution (not only by the injectant but also by acids applied for well redevelopment) is potentially a risk factor in marley limestone or calcite cemented sandstone aquifers, because the carbonate dissolution will be accompanied by the mobilization of fines that may end up in the pore throats [
37,
38]. The target aquifer at Werribee is, however, not containing carbonates and thus not vulnerable to this dissolution.
In
Table 5, an overview is given of potentially relevant clogging parameters and their levels in the infiltrated Class A recycled water with (second ASR pilot) and without RO water (first pilot), and with (first pilot and cycle 3B of second pilot) and without an onsite prefiltration step (cycles 1–3A of second pilot). The following conclusions are drawn, when comparing the injectant with the given guideline values:
TSS is relatively low (on average 1–2 mg/L), but still above the guideline value for a sandy aquifer (0.1 mg/L). This should lead to physical clogging. Particles containing Fe, Mn and Al probably play a significant role, as deduced from analyzing suspended solids during backflushing, even though the difference between total and dissolved concentrations (the particulate fraction), seems small. MFI is too high, suggesting a high risk of physical clogging. Concentrations of DOC, BDOC ([
28]) and AOC ([
39]) are high, far above their guideline values. This will lead to biofouling (biological clogging) if without regular backflushing, also because nutrients N + P are not limiting.
3.4.2. Risk of Clogging by Suspended Particles
We quantified this risk by calculating the clogging rate using the modified Bichara method and the Buik and Willemsen method (
Section 2.6). The results of calculation are shown for several scenarios in
Table 6 (Bichara’s method) and
Table 7 (Buik and Willemsen method).
With the modified Bichara method we calculate for ASR well 20 during cycle 3A, resetting the clock after each backflushing event, a flow reduction of about 9% for each day of continuous injection (
Table 6). Maintaining the injection rate means that more pressure is needed, which leads to an increase of the impressed head in the well. Intuitively, this increase is proportional to the predicted flow reduction while ignoring temperature effects on viscosity, so that:
where: φ
0, φ
t = the impressed head in the injection well without (significant) clogging, and with clogging at time
t since start, respectively (m);
f = empirical fit factor, being zero at
t = 0, and otherwise >0.
Application of Equation (16) to the 3-day-long injection period from 27 October up to and including 30 October 2017 (
Figure 3), yields an excellent overlap of calculated with measured φ
t (
Table 6), with parameter settings of
f = 2 (if
t > 0) and φ
0 = 10 m.
Table 6 also shows how much effect can be expected from reducing the injection rate,
TSS input or augmenting the backflush frequency or borehole radius.
For ASR well 20 during cycle 3A, with an MFI value of 47 s/L
2, we calculate with the method of Buik and Willemsen [
23] a clogging rate of 520 m/a or 1.42 m/day, assuming 100 days of injection a year (
Table 7). This high clogging rate looks much smaller than the one obtained with Bichara’s method (4.3 m versus 27 m in 3 days), but v
CLOG does not include the water level rise due to unsteady flow as does φ
t.
Table 7 also shows how much effect can be expected from reducing the injection rate, MFI (by enhanced pretreatment) and equivalent full loading hours, or increasing the bore hole radius or implementing all measures to reduce the clogging rate.
3.4.3. Risk of Bioclogging
The results of calculating the number of bacteria (N) and the thickness of the biofouled layer (D
BAC) are presented for several scenarios in
Table 8, and the bacterial growth curve is presented for selected cases in
Figure 7. An unrealistic high D
BACT is predicted for scenarios A and E–G of the second Werribee trial, when an unlimited supply of assimilable carbon (and nutrients and O
2) is assumed, during a long uninterrupted injection run. The observed consumption level of BDOC in the aquifer (Δ
BDOC) is believed to represent the biodegradable fraction of DOC, which is then used for both respiration and biomass production. The concentration of Δ
BDOC (~0.2 mg C/L) is much lower than the NO
3 and PO
4 concentrations in the injectant (
Table 5) and is, therefore, considered the growth-limiting factor.
When we include growth limitation, then much less bacteria are accumulating in a much thinner biofouled layer: e.g., in case of Werribee scenario A, the calculated total number of bacteria decreases from 6.1 × 10
16 to 1.0 × 10
14 m
−2 and the thickness of the biofouled layer declines from 173 to 0.29 mm, in case of BDOC limitation (
Table 8).
These predictions are hampered by many imperfections due to among others: (i) inaccuracy of parameters, especially ΔBDOC; (ii) accumulation of dead bacteria by lack of e.g., oxygen, (iii) accumulation of suspended particles other than bacteria, (iv) incomplete removal of biofouling and accumulated fines during backflushing, and (v) erosion by flowing water and predation by higher organisms.
The presented model calculations thus only serve the purpose of doing a sensitivity or risk analysis. What can we do to lower the risk of biological well clogging? The various scenarios in
Table 8 reveal that this risk can be lowered by (i) further pretreatment to reduce N
0 (requires chlorination, advanced oxidation or reverse osmosis) and BDOC (requires granular activated carbon filtration or slow sand filtration), (ii) chlorination to reduce N
0 and extend t
LAG (this may raise BDOC and the capacity to oxidize aquifer minerals however), (iii) augmenting the frequency of backflushing (which reduces t), (iv) making wells with a larger A
OPEN, especially by drilling larger diameter holes, and (v) reducing the injection rate by augmenting the number of wells.