Evaluating Investment Risks of Metallic Mines Using an Extended TOPSIS Method with Linguistic Neutrosophic Numbers
Abstract
:1. Introduction
- (1)
- Present a number of distance measures between two LNNs, such as the Hamming distance, the Euclidean distance, and the Hausdorff distance. Equally important, prove relevant properties of these formulas;
- (2)
- Use the thought of maximum deviation for our reference, build a model with respect to linguistic neutrosophic environment to obtain the values of mine risk evaluation criteria weight;
- (3)
- Come up with the extended TOPSIS model with LNNs. Importantly, utilize this method to cope with investment decision-making matter of metallic mine projects;
- (4)
- Compare with other methods, in order to demonstrate the significance and superiority.
2. Background
2.1. Risk Factors of Mining Project Investment
2.2. Linguistic Term Sets and Linguistic Scale Function
2.3. Linguistic Neutrosophic Numbers
- (1)
- (2)
- (3)
- (4)
- (1)
- if ;
- (2)
- if and ;
- (3)
- if and .
3. Extended TOPSIS Method with Incomplete Weight Information
3.1. Descriptions
3.2. Distance Measures of LNNs
- (1)
- when , the Hamming distance
- (2)
- when , the Euclidean distance
- (3)
- the Hausdorff distance
- (1)
- ;
- (2)
- ;
- (3)
- if ;
- (4)
- .
- (1)
- Because , and , as , then .
- (2)
- This proof is obvious.
- (3)
- (4)
3.3. Weight Model Based on Maximum Deviation
- (1)
- If there is a tiny difference of evaluation values among all objects under criteria , it indicates that the criteria has little effect on the sorting results. Accordingly, it is appropriate to allocate a small value of the related weight .
- (2)
- Conversely, if there is a significant variance of assessment information among all alternatives under criteria , then the criteria may be very important to the ranking orders. In this case, giving a large weight value is reasonable.
- (3)
- Notably, if are the same values among all options under criteria (), it means that the criteria doesn’t affect the ranking results. Therefore, we can make the corresponding weight .
3.4. The Extended TOPSIS Method with LNNs
4. Case Study
5. Comparison Analysis
- (1)
- Evaluating the risk degree of mining projects under qualitative criteria by means of LNNs is a good choice. As all the consistent, hesitant, and inconsistent linguistic information are taken into account.
- (2)
- The flexibility has increased because various distance measures, aggregation operators, and linguistic scale functions can be chosen according to the savants’ experience or reality.
- (3)
- A common situation, in which the criteria weight information is unknown, is under consideration. There are many complex risk factors in the process of metallic mining investment. Thus, it is difficult or unrealistic for decision makers to give the weight vector directly. The weight model based on the thought of maximum deviation may be a simple and suitable way to resolve this problem.
- (4)
- Instead of using absolute ideal points, the extended TOPSIS method defined the relative ideal solutions. The strength of it is that different ideal solutions are calculated corresponding with the different original information of different mining projects. This may be more in line with reality.
6. Discussion and Conclusions
Acknowledgments
Author Contributions
Conflicts of Interest
References
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Risk Factors | Explanations |
---|---|
Financial risk | Caused by the unexpected changes in the mine’s balance of payments. It largely consists of financial balance, exchange rate, interest rate, and other factors. |
Production risk | Caused by accident, which makes it impossible to produce the production plan according to the predetermined cost. Mainly including production cost, technical conditions, selection scheme, and so on. |
Market risk | Caused by the unexpected changes in the market, which makes the mine unable to sell its products according to the original plan. It chiefly contains demand forecasting, substitution products, peer competition, and other factors. |
Personnel risk | Caused by accident or change of the important personnel in the mine, which causes a significant impact on the production and operation of the mine. The main factors include accidental casualties, confidential leaks, and personnel changes. |
Environmental risk | Caused by the changes of the external environment of the mining industry, which primarily comprises the national policies, geological conditions, and pollution control. |
Assessment Indicators | |
---|---|
Primary indicators | Secondary indicators |
Production risk | Mining type, production equipment level, and mining technology |
Geological risk | Geological grade, mine reserves, hydrogeology, and surrounding rock conditions |
Social environment | Marco economy, national industrial policy, and international environment |
Market risk | Marketing ability, product market price, and potential competition |
Management risk | Rationality of enterprise organization, scientific decision, and management personnel |
Grade | 0~19 | 20~29 | 30~39 | 40~49 | 50~59 | 60~69 | 70~79 | 80~89 | 90~100 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Evaluation | exceedingly low | pretty low | low | slightly low | medium | slightly high | high | pretty high | exceedingly high |
Linguistic term |
Approaches | Ranking Orders | Optimal Alternatives | Worst Alternatives |
---|---|---|---|
Approach with the LNWAM operator [54] | |||
Approach with the LNWGM operator [54] | |||
Approach with [50] | |||
Approach with [50] | |||
Approach with [50] | |||
Approach with SVNLN-TOPSIS [42] | |||
The presented approach |
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Liang, W.; Zhao, G.; Wu, H. Evaluating Investment Risks of Metallic Mines Using an Extended TOPSIS Method with Linguistic Neutrosophic Numbers. Symmetry 2017, 9, 149. https://doi.org/10.3390/sym9080149
Liang W, Zhao G, Wu H. Evaluating Investment Risks of Metallic Mines Using an Extended TOPSIS Method with Linguistic Neutrosophic Numbers. Symmetry. 2017; 9(8):149. https://doi.org/10.3390/sym9080149
Chicago/Turabian StyleLiang, Weizhang, Guoyan Zhao, and Hao Wu. 2017. "Evaluating Investment Risks of Metallic Mines Using an Extended TOPSIS Method with Linguistic Neutrosophic Numbers" Symmetry 9, no. 8: 149. https://doi.org/10.3390/sym9080149
APA StyleLiang, W., Zhao, G., & Wu, H. (2017). Evaluating Investment Risks of Metallic Mines Using an Extended TOPSIS Method with Linguistic Neutrosophic Numbers. Symmetry, 9(8), 149. https://doi.org/10.3390/sym9080149