Is It All about a Science-Informed Decision? A Quantitative Approach to Three Dimensions of Justice and Their Relation in the Nuclear Waste Repository Siting Process in Germany
Abstract
:1. Introduction
2. State of Research
2.1. Procedural Justice
2.2. Distributive Justice
2.3. Justice as Recognition
2.4. Adjacent Factors
3. Materials and Methods
3.1. Operationalization
3.2. Sample
3.3. Statistical Analysis
4. Results
4.1. Procedural Justice
4.2. Distributive Justice
4.3. Justice as Recognition
4.3.1. Intergenerational Justice
4.3.2. Interpersonal Justice
4.3.3. Recognition of Knowledge
4.4. Comparison Questions
5. Discussion
5.1. How Can the Presented Results Be Placed within the Current State of Research?
5.2. Can the Scientificity of the Site Selection Process Be Considered as the Most Relevant Determinant of the Perception of Justice?
5.3. What Other Research Needs Arise Due to the Constitution of the Sample?
6. Conclusions
Funding
Institutional Review Board Statement
Informed Consent Statement
Data Availability Statement
Acknowledgments
Conflicts of Interest
1. | Although the Repository Site Selection Act specifies a fixed date for the designation of a repository site (2031), the Federal Company for Radioactive Waste Disposal (BGE) has already communicated that the designation will probably take place between 2046 and 2068. |
2. | The term ‘generation’ is usually used as a comparative term to visualize the abstract notion of time or long time spans. Statistically speaking one generation last approx. 25 years. Additionally, a ‘generation’ is characterized by similar social imprints. Nonetheless, the term ‘generation’ is strongly debated, as it does not provide a clear distinction between people living in different times. In this contribution the term ‘generation’ will be used as a concept of people in the future. |
3. | This data is not publically available, but can be requested from the operator BASE. |
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ID * | Dim. | Factor | Definition/Background | Conceptualization (Translated) | Reference |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
PJ1 | Procedural Justice | Transparency | Constant disclosure of procedural actions and documents, based on accountability, openness, and efficiency | A just site selection process is transparent. | [18,47] |
PJ2 | Comprehensibility | Use of understandable language | A just site selection process is comprehensible. | [28,29] | |
PJ3 | Participation | Possibility to bring arguments meaningfully into a process, independent of one’s position | A just site selection process enables participation. | [23] | |
PJ4 | Honesty | Truthfulness by speaking actors that is regarded as trustworthy be receiving actor | Mistakes should be openly communicated. | [28] | |
PJ5 | Power | Possibility for one actor to overrule another actor | All actors should have the same opportunities to influence. | [24] | |
DJ1 | Distributive Justice | Affectedness | NIMBY (Not in My Backyard)—People tend to agree to infrastructural changes as long as those are not in their vicinity | If my region is geologically the most suitable for a repository, I agree to the construction of a repository there. | [32] |
DJ2 | Utilitarianism | Greatest possible benefit for the greatest amount of people | The final repository site is more just if fewer people are affected by it. | [33,34] | |
DJ3 | Compensation | Providing (i)material resources to minimize inequality, such as risk or loss | The repository community is entitled to generous financial compensation. | [41,42,43] | |
DJ4 | Retribution | Response to harm, ‘polluters-pay-principle’ | If the geology is suitable, a region that has benefited strongly from nuclear energy should also host the repository. | [37,38] | |
DJ5 | Environmental Burden | Exemption of environmentally burdened areas from the site selection process (utilitaristic environment-centered perspective), e.g., sites with heavy industry or environmental pollution | The search for a repository should not include regions with a high environmental burden. | [34] | |
IJ1 | Justice as Recognition (Intergenerational) | Future Generations | (Hypothetical/Anticipated) Inclusion of Wants and Needs of Future Generations | Future Generations have to be considered in the siting procedure for a repository. | [61,62] |
IJ2 | Young Generations | Young generations as a constant mediator to future generations | Intergenerational justice comprises the inclusion of the younger generation. | [25] | |
IJ3 | Reversibility | Retrievability of nuclear waste | For the sake of future generations, the repository should be kept open | [63] | |
IJ4 | Closure | No points of contact with nuclear waste to be able to respond to future challenges | For the sake of future generations, the repository should be sealed. | [63] | |
IJ5 | Timely Solution | The legal definition of how long the procedure to find a repository site will last, predictability | A final repository must be found quickly so that future generations are not burdened. | [6] | |
RJ1 | Justice as Recognition (Current, Epistemic) | Equal Treatment | Equal treatment of all actors (without any societal, testimonial, or personal bias) | All participants must be treated equally in the site selection process. | [44,45,46] |
RJ2 | Expert Knowledge | Importance of expert knowledge | Expert knowledge must be recognized in the site selection process. | [52,54] | |
RJ3 | Lay Knowledge | Importance of laypeople’s knowledge | Lay knowledge must be recognized in the site selection process. | [52,54,56] | |
RJ4 | Uncertainties | Communication of geological, societal, and other scientific uncertainties | Communicating scientific uncertainties is important to me. | [57] | |
RJ5 | Dissent | Communication of geological, societal, and other scientific dissents | Communicating scientific dissent is important to me. | [56] | |
RJ6 | Access to Independent Studies | The necessity to enable access to independent studies by external scientists (hermeneutical capability) | Access to independent studies is important to me. | [51] | |
RJ7 | Independent Control Institution | The necessity to involve independent control mechanisms, such as peer-review procedures by external scientists | Independent, external process control is necessary. | [26] | |
RJ8 | Process Length | Reasons to expand the procedure’s length | The process may take longer than planned.
| [6] | |
AF1 | Adjacent Factors | Trust | … in the scientific foundation | I trust that science will find the best possible final repository site. | [67,68] |
AF2 | … in the technological barrier | I trust that technology will enable the best possible repository site. | |||
AF3 | … in the geological formation | I trust that geology will find the best possible solution for a repository. | |||
AF4 | Emotions | Importance to include fears and other emotions in deliberation | Scientific arguments are more important than fears expressed. | [69] | |
AF5 | Scientific arguments are more important than emotions expressed. | ||||
GS1 | General Statements | Risk | Personal assessment of risk for a nuclear waste repository | A repository is a high-risk facility. | [69] |
GS2 | Phase-Out | Personal assessment of whether the phase-out decision was right | Phasing-out nuclear energy in Germany was the right decision. | [12] | |
GS3 | Fear | Personal assessment of fear | A repository in my vicinity scares me. | [32] | |
GS4 | German Repository | The legal foundation defines that the repository must be situated in Germany. | The storage of highly radioactive waste from German nuclear power plants must take place in Germany. | [6] | |
GS5 | One Repository Aim | The legal foundation defines that there must be one (single) repository for all HAW from Germany. | The storage of highly radioactive waste from German nuclear power plants must take place in one final repository. | [6] | |
CQ1 | Comparison questions | Spatially balanced site decision | Distributive Justice | A spatially well-balanced site decision is important for a just repository site. | [74] |
CQ2 | Compensation | Distributive Justice | Adequate compensation is important for a justrepository site. | [32] | |
CQ3 | Just process | Procedural justice | A just process is important for ajust repository site. | [16,67] | |
CQ4 | Future Generations | Intergenerational Justice | The consideration of future generations is important for a just repository site. | [61] | |
CQ5 | Flat Power Hierarchies | Justice as Recognition | A balanced influence of all actors is important for a just repository site. | [24] | |
CQ6 | Scientific Site Decision | Epistemic Justice | A science-informed decision is important for a just repository site. | [51] | |
CQ7 | Political Consideration | Justice as Recognition | Political consideration is important for a just repository site. | [35] | |
CQ8 | Emotions | Adjacent Factor (Emotions) | The consideration of emotions is important for a just repository site. | [69] | |
CQ9 | Time Specification | Adjacent Factor (Time) | A clear timeframe is important for a just repository site. | [6] | |
CQ10 | Trust | Adjacent Factor (Trust) | Trust in the operator/Regulator is important for a just repository site | [68] | |
SA | Spatial Assessment | Land Use, Place Identity, Risk Perception | Assessment of different kinds of land use for hosting a nuclear waste repository | Provided the geology for a repository is equally suitable everywhere: Please indicate how just you perceive the following (schematic) sites. This map exemplarily shows the schematic style of the assessed maps. Land uses: Major city, rural village, lakeside, seaside, riverside, forest, mountains, agricultural field, nuclear power plant, interim storage site, border, urban border, rural border | [71,72,73] |
Age structure | <18—0.3%; 18–29—14.4%; 30–44—28.9%; 45–59—29.9%; 60≥—19.3% |
Process role | Citizen—44.3%; Employees of operator (BGE)—14.2%; Representatives of local authorities—12.6%; Scientists—10.1%; NGO member—5.9%; Employees of regulator (BASE)—1.0%; Others—11.9% |
Distance to nuclear power plant | <20 km—23.0%; >20 km—71.6%; Unsure—4.1% |
Situated within sub-area | Yes—48.3%; No—36.7%; Unsure—10.8%; Unaware—2.8% |
Region within Germany | Berlin—6.3%; North—29.9%; East—17.7%; South—19.5%; West—14.5% |
Participation frequency in the site selection process | Never—41.1%; Annually—42.3%; Monthly—11.2%; Weakly—4.1% |
Transparency (PJ1) | Comprehensibility (PJ2) | Participation (PJ3) | Honesty (PJ4) | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Comprehensibility | ρ | 0.911 ** | - | 0.760 ** | 0.198 ** |
(PJ2) | Sig. (2-sided) | <0.001 | - | <0.001 | <0.001 |
N | 687 | - | 672 | 682 | |
Participation | ρ | 0.755 ** | 0.760 ** | - | 0.246 ** |
(PJ3) | Sig. (2-sided) | <0.001 | <0.001 | - | <0.001 |
N | 672 | 672 | - | 666 | |
Honesty | ρ | 0.198 ** | 0.198 ** | 0.246 ** | - |
(PJ4) | Sig. (2-sided) | <0.001 | <0.001 | <0.001 | - |
N | 681 | 682 | 666 | - | |
Power | ρ | 0.003 | −0.007 | −0.007 | 0.246 ** |
(PJ5) | Sig. (2-sided) | 0.935 | 0.864 | 0.848 | <0.001 |
N | 684 | 685 | 669 | 684 |
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Schwarz, L. Is It All about a Science-Informed Decision? A Quantitative Approach to Three Dimensions of Justice and Their Relation in the Nuclear Waste Repository Siting Process in Germany. Societies 2022, 12, 179. https://doi.org/10.3390/soc12060179
Schwarz L. Is It All about a Science-Informed Decision? A Quantitative Approach to Three Dimensions of Justice and Their Relation in the Nuclear Waste Repository Siting Process in Germany. Societies. 2022; 12(6):179. https://doi.org/10.3390/soc12060179
Chicago/Turabian StyleSchwarz, Lucas. 2022. "Is It All about a Science-Informed Decision? A Quantitative Approach to Three Dimensions of Justice and Their Relation in the Nuclear Waste Repository Siting Process in Germany" Societies 12, no. 6: 179. https://doi.org/10.3390/soc12060179
APA StyleSchwarz, L. (2022). Is It All about a Science-Informed Decision? A Quantitative Approach to Three Dimensions of Justice and Their Relation in the Nuclear Waste Repository Siting Process in Germany. Societies, 12(6), 179. https://doi.org/10.3390/soc12060179