3.1. The Ruedlingen Full Scale Experiment
The Ruedlingen full scale field test [
1,
18] was performed to study the response of a steep forested slope, subjected to artificial intense rainfall within the context of the multidisciplinary research programme on the “Triggering of Rapid Mass Movements in steep terrain” (TRAMM). The experiment was carried out in northern Switzerland in a forested area near Ruedlingen village. The selected experimental site is located on the east-facing bank of the river Rhine, with an average slope angle of approximately 38°. An orthogonal area, with a length of 35 m and a width of 7.5 m, was instrumented with a wide range of devices including earth pressure cells, piezometers, tensiometers, time domain reflectometers (TDRs), and acoustic and temperature sensors, organized in clusters, as seen in
Figure 4b. A landslide triggering experiment was conducted in March 2009 where the slope was subjected to artificial rainfall with an average intensity of 20 mm/h at the upper one-third (approximately) of the slope and with 7 mm/h in the remaining lower part leading to a shallow slope failure after 15 h.
The failure concentrated at the upper part of the instrumented area (see
Figure 4b) and extended within a surficial layer of a medium to low plasticity (average PI ∼10%) silty sand (ML) [
19]. The developed failure mechanism can be characterized as a surficial planar failure. The mobilized area had a length of ∼17 m, a width of ∼7 m while the failure surface can be practically assumed to be parallel to both the soil surface and the underlying soil–bedrock interface with its maximum depth exciding 1 m [
18]. This soil layer rests on top of a fissured Molassic bedrock (sandstone and marlstone—see
Figure 4a) [
20,
21]. Sitarenios et al. [
9] numerically analysed the triggered slope instability and, by combining field measurements with numerical results, they concluded that failure happens under saturated conditions and is triggered by water exfiltration from the bedrock which results in considerable pore water pressure build-up at the soil–bedrock interface.
3.2. 2D Solution—Neglecting Lateral Resistance
In this section, the proposed limit equilibrium mechanism is used to evaluate the stability of the Ruedlingen slope by neglecting any contribution of lateral resistance or, in other words, by assuming an infinite failure mechanism perpendicular to the examined plane. When utilizing the mechanism, it is important to first establish the hydraulic and mechanical parameters of the Ruedlingen soil; to enable comparison of the results with the study of Sitarenios et al. [
9], the same experimental data will be examined and similar assumptions will be put forward.
Starting with the hydraulic behaviour and according to what was previously discussed, calculation of the soil shear strength under unsaturated conditions necessitates knowledge of the degree of saturation as the latter is the most frequently made assumption for parameter (
). To calculate the degree of saturation and thus parameter (
), the Water Retention Model (WRM) of Equation (22) is used where
is the suction level,
is a model parameter controlling the shape of the reproduced Water Retention Curve (WRC) and
and
are the maximum and residual degrees of saturation, respectively. It is the a Van Genuchten type WRM [
23] further including dependence of the behaviour of the void ratio (
) through parameter
, as described in Equation (23), where
and
are reference values and parameter
controls the rate of change of the WRC with the void ratio.
It should be highlighted that the water retention behaviour is key to the accurate representation of the unsaturated shear strength. Consequently, in case of significant hysteresis in the water retention behaviour, attention must be given to the utilization of this branch of the curve (drying vs. wetting) which best represents the physically analysed problem. This study addresses a wetting problem (rainfall water infiltration) and, in this respect, the water retention behaviour is calibrated based on a set of suction controlled wetting laboratory tests [
24]. The calibrated behaviour can be seen in
Figure 5a and the parameters used are shown in
Table 1.
Figure 5b shows the WRC curve that is used in the analyses, which corresponds to an initial void ratio of
as this has been measured in the field and also used in previous studies [
9]. It is accompanied by the evolution of the
term which in fact reflects the increase in the shear strength of the material with suction.
With the WRM calibrated, Equation (11) is used to calculate the safety factor of the Ruedlingen slope under different combinations of suction and slope heights. With respect to the shear strength parameters involved in Equation (11), cohesion is set to zero (
) and the friction angle equal to
[
9,
19], while the unit weight (
) of the slope follows the evolution of saturation through Equation (1), with specific gravity equal to
. Finally, the inclination of the failure surface is set equal to the average inclination of the slope (
) [
1] and no surcharge is considered on the soil surface (
).
Figure 6 presents the results of a parametric study.
Figure 6a portrays the evolution of the FoS with suction for various slope heights ranging from 0.5 to 2.75 m. The reason why the height of the slope is handled parametrically is related to the in situ variability of the thickness of the soil layer which was found, in general, to range from 0.5 to 4.5 m [
18,
20], while in the part of the slope where failure occurred the variation was smaller, with depths up to 2.75 m. In
Figure 6b, similar results are presented with depth in the horizontal axis and the various curves represent different suction levels from zero (0) up to 10 kPa, following the in situ initial suction values as those have been reported in [
18].
The results of
Figure 6 clearly demonstrate the dominant effect that partial saturation can have on stabilizing a planar slope. It is characteristic that when no suction is present (
), a cohesionless slope (
) has a safety factor which follows the
ratio; the latter, for the examined slope geometryand soil shear strength is equal to
. In both
Figure 6a,b, it can be observed that even a small suction increase significantly alters stability conditions with various combinations of suction and slope heights exhibiting stable behaviours (FoS ≥ 1).
To better understand this interplay between the height of the slope and suction,
Figure 7 presents stability charts correlating the two quantities, with suction represented by the horizontal axis and slope height by the vertical axis, respectively.
Figure 7a suggests that there is an almost linear relation between the increase in depth and the required increase in suction for the slope to remain stable (FoS > 1), while in
Figure 7b the same relation is presented using a logarithmic scale with suction.
Figure 7b helps to understand that the increase in the stable slope height with suction in fact follows the trend of the increase in the shear strength with suction as the latter is controlled by the increase in the
term in
Figure 5b.
Examining the stability chart of
Figure 6 in relation to the observed behaviour during the Ruedlingen field experiment, it seems that the suggested evolution of stability with suction and slope height does not match the observed behaviour. If we consider an average slope height of 1.5 to 2 m,
Figure 7 suggests that a minimum suction value of 10 to 15 kPa is required for stability. This may partially explain why the slope remains stable under the initial hydraulic regime which suggests a value of around 10 kPa, but at the same time it is obvious that even the smallest decrease in suction should cause failure. However, both in situ measurements [
1] and numerical analyses [
9] clearly indicate that even complete loss of suction is not enough to trigger the Ruedlingen failure. In this respect, it seems reasonable to assume that additional factors contribute to stability with respect to those examined with the present 2D failure mechanism.
3.3. 3D Solution—Including Lateral Resistance
Lateral resistance can be one of the factors contributing to improved stability conditions with respect to those of
Figure 7. To consider the effect of lateral resistance in the examined problem, the analysis of the previous section is repeated by additionally considering the lateral resistance at the two sides of a failing block with a width equal to b = 7.5 m. For the side resistance, the same friction angle as for the soil–bedrock interface is assumed (
=1.0), while for the lateral earth pressure coefficient an arbitrary value of K = 0.5 is chosen, close to the value suggested by Jaky’s formula for
.
Figure 8 presents results similar to those of
Figure 6; however,
Figure 8 includes the additional contribution of lateral resistance. The results clearly demonstrate the beneficial effect of lateral resistance in increasing FoS under given combinations of slope height and suction. It is interesting to observe that
Figure 8a seems to suggest that the effect of suction in improving stability conditions becomes less profound as the slope height increases. Moreover,
Figure 8b indicates that under relatively small slope height values (i.e., less than 0.6 m), the influence of suction is quite significant, while as the slope height increases its effect becomes less profound, reaching a minimum for a given depth and then slightly increasing again.
This effect is more profound in the results shown in
Figure 9, presenting a stability chart similar to
Figure 7 with the addition of lateral resistance. It is observed that as the height of the slope increases, positive pore water pressure values are needed to cause instability. Qualitatively, this trend in behaviour is much better aligned with the behaviour of the Ruedlingen slope, where failure happened following considerable water pressure build-up which reduced the available shear strength at the soil–bedrock interface. Moreover, both postfailure in situ observations and numerical results suggest that the depth of the failure surface ranged from 1.0 to 2.0 m. This is in good agreement with
Figure 9, where within the same range of
values, the stability chart exhibits a peak coinciding with the most unfavourable stability conditions for the given assumptions.
However, from a quantitative perspective and within the same range of slope heights, the required suction for stability suggests that the slope should have failed before reaching full saturation contrary to what was observed in situ. This discrepancy can be attributed to several factors which can result in better stability conditions than those described by the analysis used for this study. Amongst others, three of the most likely potential candidates for the different behaviours can be (a) the presence of some cohesion either due to fines or due to the contribution of vegetation and roots [
25]; (b) a less extended mechanism in the third direction (smaller
) and (c) a different WRC. However, it should be recognized that the WRC can only affect the behaviour in the unsaturated regime and still cannot explain why a higher positive pore water pressure may be needed to trigger the instability.
3.4. 3D Solution—The Effect of Cohesion and 3D Mechanism Development
The previous section demonstrated how the inclusion of the lateral resistance in the analyses can justify an improvement of the stability conditions for the analysed Ruedlingen field experiment. However, it was not feasible to quantitatively approach the behaviour satisfactorily. As mentioned before, either the presence of cohesion or a narrower than assumed mechanism can serve as the most probable explanations and this hypothesis is put to test in this section.
To examine the effect of different assumptions regarding the aforementioned factors, a parametric analysis is conducted to check the sensitivity of the stability charts on the presence of cohesion (c) and on the width (b) of the 3D mechanism.
Figure 10a presents how the stability curve differentiating between stable and unstable conditions changes with an increase in cohesion. Five different cohesion values, namely
and
kPa (from the blue to the red curve), are examined and the same cohesion values also control the lateral resistance by assuming that
(Equation (20)). The plotted charts indicate a significant contribution of cohesion to the stability conditions. Even the smallest nonzero value of
kPa is enough to justify a stable slope under the presence of the smallest suction and irrespective of its height. This is in accordance with the experimentally observed behaviour, while the presence of roots can justify even higher values of cohesion [
25] which, if adopted (i.e.,
kPa), can explain why significant pore pressures up to almost 10 kPa were needed in the soil–bedrock interface for failure to occur in the Ruedlingen experiment.
Figure 10b offers a similar discussion by explaining the effect of the width of the assumed mechanism. The main assumption put forward in the analyses presented hitherto is that the width of the mechanism is
m, coinciding with the width of the experimental area (dashed curve on
Figure 9b). However, the in situ postfailure observations suggest that the failing mass had a smaller average width (see also
Figure 4b), and the results of
Figure 10b indicate that such a reduction in the lateral development of the failure mechanism is quite beneficial for stability. In more detail,
Figure 10b presents the evolution of the stability curves with the width of the mechanism, namely from
m down to
m (from the blue to the red curve). It is interesting that the effect of lateral development was qualitatively different compared to that of cohesion, with the slope height playing a key role. It is observed that as the slope becomes higher and the mechanism narrower, the effect of the lateral resistance on improving stability becomes higher. This is a clear reflection of the fact that the ratio of the area of the lateral side over the area of the soil–bedrock interface becomes higher, increasing the contribution of the side resistance and limiting the contribution of the failure plane resistance, thus progressively making the lateral resistance more and more dominant.
Regarding the in situ behaviour, it is clear that a narrower mechanism cannot explain the in situ behaviour alone; as for the slope height relevant to the Ruedlingen soil (
1 to 2 m) and the range of the lateral development of the mechanism (
5 to 7 m), the slope is still unstable, even though there is a noticeable improvement in stability conditions with respect to the refence scenario (
7.5 m). In this respect, the best candidate to justify the experimental behaviour is cohesion. From the results of
Figure 10, it seems that reasonable assumptions regarding a small presence of cohesion in the order of
3 to 4 kPa, combined with a relatively smaller average mechanism
5 to 7 m, can explain very satisfactory the experimentally observed behaviour during the Ruedlingen experiment, both qualitatively and quantitively.
To test this assumption, four combinations of cohesion and slope width within the aforementioned range of values are finally analysed
Figure 11b. In the same graph, the grey shaded area indicates the range of values of slope height and “suction” (negative suction values correspond to positive pore water pressure) most representative of the in situ failure conditions. In more detail,
Figure 11a presents the failure mechanism (after [
1]) where the average depth of the failure surface was more than 1 m. It also contains a plot of the evolution of the in situ and of the numerically determined pore water pressure at the failure area (after [
9]) indicating that an average pore water pressure in the order of 5 kPa was present in the slope mass at failure. The very good match of the stability curves with the shaded area is a clear indication that the relatively simple 3D translational failure mechanism used in this study can provide a very good insight into the Ruedlingen failure.