It is common practice in the DFN community to calculate linear intensity using drill run lengths and restrict the minimum bias angle to 15° when calculating volumetric intensity [
13]. This section presents the impact of changing interval length and the minimum bias angle for the calculated P
32. A methodology to calculate P
32 from borehole intensity is then presented. The main purpose of this methodology is to capture the spatial variation in intensity while avoiding artificially increasing or decreasing the intensity of the intervals.
5.1. Effect of the Minimum Bias Angle Considered to Estimate P32 from P10
Using the DFN model presented in
Section 4, the volumetric intensity (P
32) was calculated from the linear intensity (P
10), using Equation (4). Note that P
32 was calculated using the whole well length, and the analyses focused on evaluating the effect of the minimum bias angle α in the estimation of P
32. For this, three cases were considered: minimum α of 15°, 5° and 1°.
When limiting the alpha angle to a minimum of 15°, the calculated P
32 is underestimated (
Table 4), especially in boreholes parallel to the fractures (up to 24% for Well 5). On the other hand, when the minimum bias angle decreases, the ratio starts to become closer to one. It is also worth noticing that the standard deviation (SD) increases when the minimum angle decreases, suggesting that the dispersion of the data increases for low angles.
Table 4 shows a good agreement between the input P
32 and the calculated P
32 is obtained using a minimum angle of 1°. These results align with the recommendations by Chilès et al. [
13] of not discarding data by introducing a minimum bias angle.
The problem with this approach is that it is limited to calculating average P32 when several boreholes or scanlines with different orientations are available, but it does not allow for calculating the spatial variability of intensity along the wells.
5.2. Effect of Interval Length on the Calculated P32 from P10
Because of the tendency to calculate linear intensity using run lengths, smaller angles will result in intervals with high artificial variability in the calculated intensity. Note that the practice of using run lengths as reference intervals has no scientific basis and is largely dictated by empirical field practices, which are difficult to change. It is suggested to use linear intensity values determined for geotechnical domains, which may include several adjacent cores runs.
The effects of varying the interval length on the calculated P
32 were investigated using simple DFN models with constant fracture orientations. When the fracture orientation and the sampling length are constant, Equation (4) can be expressed as
A volume of interest was defined within a box of 100 m per side, and DFN models were generated using a box size according to the recommendations presented in
Section 3, and using the properties presented in
Table 5. DFN models were sampled with a 100 m long vertical well. Under these conditions, the α angle is equal to the fracture’s input plunge, and the results are independent of the fracture trend.
The well was discretized in regular intervals of 2 m, 5 m, 10 m, 20 m, 50 m and 100 m. At the same time, boxes centred in each interval, and with the same side length as the intervals were used to calculate the actual P
32 per interval (sampled P
32). The actual P
32 per interval was then compared with the P
32 calculated using Equation (5), based on the P
10 values sampled per Well interval. Note that for this exercise, estimating the P
32 correction factor was unnecessary, since the actual P
32 in each box was compared with P
32 calculated in each interval. For the same reason, the actual and sample P
32 values are higher than the input P
32 values presented in
Table 5.
Figure 13 presents the results of comparing actual P
32 and calculated P
32 for different interval sizes. For small α angles, the dispersion increases significantly for small size intervals, with many values out of the graph scale. On the other hand, for 50 m and 100 m intervals, the values tend to follow the line that defines the linear fit of the data. Note that the slope of the line is close to one for all cases, even for those with great dispersion. This effect can be explained, since for small α angles the probability of intersecting a small interval is low. Therefore, many of the small intervals present P
32 values of zero. Contrastingly, the intensity for intervals intersecting a fracture is extremely high. Those artificial low and high intensities diverge from the actual intensity, but when they are averaged, they result in P
32 values close to the actual intensity (
Table 6). This effect was already discussed by Hekmatnejad et al. [
21], who found that on a composite scale (interval scale), fluctuations in calculated P
32 are large and there may be a significant deviation between the calculated and the actual value of P
32. However, on average, the values tend toward the actual P
32. It can be observed that even when the P
32 calculated in small intervals present a high dispersion, their mean tent to represent the actual P
32 (
Table 6). This interesting result suggests that it would be possible to reduce the dispersion by using longer intervals for small α angles and smaller intervals for greater α angles.
To investigate the appropriate length to use for each α angle, the maximum calculated P
32 was plotted for each interval length.
Figure 14 shows the maximum calculated P
32 per interval for input intensities of 1 m
−1 and 8 m
−1. The data suggest that for α angles greater than 15 °, intervals with lengths ranging from 10 m to 15 m can be used. While for α angles between 2° and 15 °, intervals with a length between 20 and50 m need to be used; finally, for α angles between 1° and 2°, an interval length greater than 50 m is required.
5.3. Proposed Methodology to Calculate P32 from Borehole Intensity
Based on the analyses performed, a methodology to calculate P32 from borehole intensity is proposed. This methodology can be easily implemented using code, and the idea behind this is to allow the calculation of P32 in intervals small enough to capture the spatial variation in intensity, but at the same time without artificially increasing or decreasing the intensity of the interval. This is very useful when the interval intensity is used as input in block models, in which artificial changes in intensity may affect the result of the interpolation values in the block model.
The following methodology is proposed to calculate P32 from borehole intensity:
Since P32 is an additive variable, it is possible to discretize a borehole in different overlapping intervals and calculate P32 as the addition of the P32 values calculated in each interval, as long as the fractures belonging to each interval are not double counted.
Based on the foregoing, it is possible to calculate P
32 using the correction proposed by Chilès et al. [
13] (Equation (4)), using regular intervals whose length depends on the magnitude of the acute angle (α) between the scanline and the fracture.
Table 7 presents the recommended length intervals for each angle.
Add the P32 values calculated using the smallest intervals; this addition corresponds to the total P32.
Note that if only the average intensity is required, it is recommended to calculate P32 using the whole length of the borehole or the length within the structural domain of interest. It is still recommended to limit the minimum α angle to 1°, to avoid extreme high-weighting factors or division by zero.
The proposed methodology was tested using the DFN model and synthetic wells presented in
Section 4. The interval lengths used, depending on the acute angle between the well and the fracture, are presented in
Table 8.
Independent of the borehole direction, a good agreement was observed between the input P
32 and the median (50% percentile) of the calculated P
32.
Figure 15 presents a comparison between the proposed methodology and the P
32 values calculated in Well 5 using different interval sizes and minimum α angles, while
Table 9 summarizes the result obtained for each one of the 10 wells analyzed.
The methodology herein proposed is the one that provides the best result in terms of a good agreement between input P
32 and calculated P
32, and at the same time maintaining a relatively low variability. Note that when a minimum angle of 15° is considered the mean P
32 values calculated are underestimated. This is especially relevant considering it is common practice to use a minimum angle of 15° [
13] to restrict the maximum weighting factor.
An interval of 3 m corresponds to the typical length of a drill run. It is common practice (but not necessarily best practice) to calculate linear intensity on a run basis and then estimate P
32 using the same run length. The analyses show that using a length of 3 m, even when restricting the minimum angle to 15 °, produces a high variability on the calculated P
32, meaning that the calculated P
32 will often be under- or overestimated. Note that, in practice, depending on the drilling operation and rock quality, the actual drilling run lengths are variable and may be significantly smaller than 3 m. This means that if P
32 is calculated using those shorter intervals, the P
32 variability may be much higher than the one calculated using 3 m intervals. These results agree with the work by Elmo and Stead and Yang et al. [
22,
23] on the problems of using run lengths to calculate RQD (rock quality designation [
24], which is an empirical rock mass quality parameter linked to fracture frequency (i.e., linear intensity).
As another validation method, P
32 values were calculated using a grid with a total volume and location equal to the volume of interest, using cells of 10 m per side. In the cells, P
32 is calculated as the area of fractures within the grid cell divided by the grid cell volume.
Figure 16 presents an example of the P
32 values calculated in the grid for one realization using an input P
32 of 6 m
−1 and a cross-section with a comparison between the grid values and the values calculated in the wells.
When the proposed methodology is applied, it is possible to capture the spatial variation of P
32 and simultaneously obtain a good agreement between the actual P
32 (P
32 values calculated in the grid) and the P
32 calculated along the wells. On the other hand, when P
32 is calculated in 3 m intervals, high variability is observed, with artificially low or high values that do not agree with the actual values calculated on the grid cells.
Figure 17 presents the result of 100 realizations as cumulative frequency curves of actual P
32 in the grid cells and the calculated P
32 in wells. The proposed methodology is the one that produces the best results, especially when compared with the common practice of limiting the minimum angle to 15° and calculating P
32 using the drill run length (3 m).