Comparative Analysis of the Incidence of Selected Sexually Transmitted Viral Infections in Poland in 2010–2015: A Retrospective Cohort Study
Abstract
:1. Introduction
2. Materials and Methods
2.1. Study Population and Design
2.2. Statistical Analysis
3. Results
3.1. Incidence of Selected Sexually Transmitted Viral Infections in 2010–2015
3.1.1. Genital Herpes
3.1.2. Genital Warts
3.1.3. HIV
3.2. Assessment of the Direction of Changes in Incidence between 2010 and 2015
- Moderately increasing tendencies for genital warts (R = 0.66) in Lower Silesia;
- A statistically significant upward trend in the incidence of genital warts (R = 0.94) and HIV (R = 0.89) in Greater Poland;
- A similarly strong upward trend in HIV incidence in the eastern Polish regions, i.e., Podlasie (R = 0.89) and Subcarpathian provinces (R = 0.83).
3.3. Incidence by Age Group
3.4. Incidence by Gender
4. Discussion
4.1. Genital Herpes
4.2. Genital Warts
4.3. HIV
4.4. Limitations of the Study
5. Conclusions
Author Contributions
Funding
Institutional Review Board Statement
Informed Consent Statement
Data Availability Statement
Acknowledgments
Conflicts of Interest
References
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Year | M | Me | SD | Min. | Max. | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Genitals herpes (p2015 vs. 2010 = 0.5695) | 2010 | 1.38 | 0.34 | 2.88 | 0.00 | 11.48 |
2011 | 1.30 | 0.51 | 2.10 | 0.00 | 8.14 | |
2012 | 0.90 | 0.68 | 0.73 | 0.00 | 2.63 | |
2013 | 1.04 | 0.43 | 1.36 | 0.07 | 4.95 | |
2014 | 1.02 | 0.50 | 1.28 | 0.13 | 4.39 | |
2015 | 1.11 | 0.59 | 1.63 | 0.04 | 6.64 | |
Genital warts (p2015 vs. 2010 = 0.0386 *) | 2010 | 2.55 | 2.13 | 2.51 | 0.33 | 10.24 |
2011 | 2.19 | 2.04 | 1.46 | 0.38 | 5.66 | |
2012 | 2.40 | 2.20 | 1.73 | 0.61 | 7.47 | |
2013 | 3.37 | 2.77 | 2.79 | 0.23 | 11.49 | |
2014 | 3.14 | 1.90 | 3.39 | 0.47 | 14.04 | |
2015 | 3.77 | 2.77 | 4.71 | 0.28 | 20.73 | |
HIV (p2015 vs. 2010 = 0.0061 *) | 2010 | 1.76 | 1.58 | 1.07 | 0.43 | 4.73 |
2011 | 2.75 | 2.35 | 1.54 | 0.85 | 6.89 | |
2012 | 2.27 | 2.27 | 1.13 | 0.55 | 5.32 | |
2013 | 2.52 | 2.07 | 1.26 | 1.03 | 5.89 | |
2014 | 2.32 | 2.13 | 0.91 | 1.11 | 4.16 | |
2015 | 2.71 | 2.84 | 1.37 | 0.42 | 5.27 |
Province | Sexually Transmitted Infections | ||
---|---|---|---|
Genital Herpes | Genital Warts | HIV | |
Lower Silesia | 0.20 | 0.66 | 0.37 |
Kuyavian-Pomeranian | 0.03 | −0.20 | 0.03 |
Lublin Province | −0.49 | 0.09 | −0.09 |
Lubusz Province | 0.54 | 0.37 | 0.43 |
Lodz Province | 0.89 * | 0.94 * | 0.43 |
Lesser Poland | 0.26 | −0.66 | 0.54 |
Mazovia Province | −0.49 | 0.83 * | −0.54 |
Opole Province | 0.49 | 0.60 | 0.20 |
Subcarpathian Province | −0.49 | −0.20 | 0.83 * |
Podlasie Province | 0.94 * | 0.60 | 0.89 * |
Pomeranian | −0.37 | 0.43 | 0.20 |
Silesia | 0.77 | −0.20 | 0.49 |
Świętokrzyskie Province | −0.09 | 0.14 | 0.31 |
Warmia-Masuria Province | −0.31 | 0.66 | −0.43 |
Greater Poland | 0.58 | 0.94 * | 0.89 * |
West Pomeranian Province | −0.94 * | −0.66 | 0.60 |
Sexually Transmitted Infection | Age Group (Years) | Incidence Rate per 100,000 Population | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2011 | 2012 | 2013 | 2014 | 2015 | p2015 vs. 2010 | ||
Genital herpes | <1 | 0.00 | 4.75 | 0.28 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.0000 |
1–9 | 0.00 | 0.11 | 0.03 | 0.11 | 0.08 | 0.0873 | |
10–14 | 1.87 | 0.16 | 0.05 | 0.00 | 0.17 | <0.001 * | |
15–19 | 3.15 | 0.36 | 1.84 | 0.34 | 2.48 | 0.1903 | |
20–24 | 4.50 | 2.11 | 4.14 | 3.29 | 3.36 | 0.0390 * | |
25–29 | 4.48 | 2.41 | 3.72 | 3.52 | 4.59 | 0.8349 | |
30–44 | 1.85 | 1.16 | 1.14 | 1.46 | 1.86 | 0.9694 | |
45–64 | 1.03 | 0.53 | 0.81 | 0.84 | 1.10 | 0.6563 | |
≥65 | 0.71 | 0.35 | 0.65 | 0.78 | 1.17 | 0.0133 * | |
Genital warts | <1 | 0.00 | 0.26 | 1.67 | 0.27 | 0.55 | 0.1431 |
1–9 | 0.09 | 0.11 | 0.17 | 0.31 | 0.39 | 0.0089 * | |
10–14 | 0.10 | 0.21 | 0.05 | 0.22 | 0.17 | 0.5993 | |
15–19 | 1.73 | 1.26 | 2.45 | 2.31 | 3.29 | 0.0011 * | |
20–24 | 8.07 | 8.53 | 11.84 | 9.99 | 14.89 | <0.001 * | |
25–29 | 9.04 | 9.25 | 15.32 | 12.50 | 18.54 | <0.001 * | |
30–44 | 3.35 | 4.07 | 5.38 | 5.78 | 7.70 | <0.001 * | |
45–64 | 0.95 | 0.98 | 1.00 | 1.51 | 2.12 | <0.001 * | |
≥65 | 0.39 | 0.58 | 0.49 | 1.06 | 1.25 | <0.001 * | |
HIV | <1 | 0.77 | 0.79 | 0.83 | 0.00 | 1.38 | 0.4203 |
1–14 | 0.02 | 0.07 | 0.06 | 0.04 | 0.13 | 0.0331 * | |
15–19 | 0.52 | 0.72 | 0.56 | 0.74 | 1.01 | 0.0623 | |
20–29 | 7.38 | 5.76 | 7.93 | 6.51 | 8.41 | 0.0522 | |
30–39 | 7.69 | 6.22 | 7.81 | 6.60 | 7.23 | 0.3545 | |
40–49 | 4.14 | 3.60 | 4.06 | 3.81 | 4.26 | 0.7537 | |
50–59 | 1.24 | 0.99 | 1.30 | 1.33 | 1.24 | 0.9899 | |
≥60 | 0.47 | 0.25 | 0.41 | 0.23 | 0.33 | 0.1410 |
Sexually Transmitted Infection | Age Group (Years) | Disease Risk Assessment | ||
---|---|---|---|---|
OR | OR (95% CI) | p | ||
Genital herpes | 15–19 | 1.00 | 0.88–1.13 | 0.9693 |
20–24 | 2.11 | 1.94–2.30 | <0.001 * | |
25–29 | 2.26 | 2.08–2.45 | <0.001 * | |
30–44 | 0.90 | 0.84–0.98 | 0.0093 * | |
45–64 | 0.52 | 0.48–0.57 | <0.001 * | |
≥65 | 0.45 | 0.40–0.50 | <0.001 * | |
Genital warts | 15–19 | 0.64 | 0.58–0.72 | <0.001 * |
20–24 | 3.13 | 2.96–3.31 | <0.001 * | |
25–29 | 3.78 | 3.60–3.98 | <0.001 * | |
30–44 | 1.54 | 1.46–1.61 | <0.001 * | |
45–64 | 0.38 | 0.36–0.41 | <0.001 * | |
≥65 | 0.22 | 0.20–0.25 | <0.001 * | |
HIV | 15–19 | 0.34 | 0.28–0.40 | <0.001 * |
20–29 | 3.60 | 3.40–3.82 | <0.001 * | |
30–39 | 3.66 | 3.45–3.88 | <0.001 * | |
40–49 | 2.02 | 1.88–2.16 | <0.001 * | |
50–59 | 0.64 | 0.58–0.70 | <0.001 * | |
≥60 | 0.17 | 0.15–0.20 | <0.001 * |
Disease | % of Women in the Total Number of Cases in 2010–2015 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
M | Me | SD | Min. | Max. | |
Genitals herpes | 39.6% | 37.7% | 13.9% | 17.9% | 62.3% |
Genital warts | 31.6% | 32.1% | 7.6% | 22.6% | 49.6% |
Sexually Transmitted Disease | Province | Women | Men | M/F RR (95% CI) | p | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
N | I | N | I | ||||
Genital herpes | Lower Silesia | 71 | 4.70 | 43 | 3.07 | 0.65 (0.45–0.95) | 0.0265 * |
Kuyavian-Pomeranian | 71 | 6.58 | 130 | 12.81 | 1.95 (1.46–2.60) | <0.001 * | |
Lublin Province | 45 | 4.04 | 57 | 5.44 | 1.35 (0.91–1.99) | 0.1351 | |
Lubusz Province | 32 | 6.11 | 52 | 10.45 | 1.71 (1.10–2.66) | 0.0155 * | |
Lodz Province | 41 | 3.11 | 69 | 5.75 | 1.85 (1.25–2.72) | 0.0016 * | |
Lesser Poland | 54 | 3.13 | 35 | 2.15 | 0.69 (0.45–1.05) | 0.0822 | |
Mazovia Province | 881 | 31.82 | 1066 | 41.96 | 1.32 (1.20–1.44) | <0.001 * | |
Opole Province | 5 | 0.96 | 23 | 4.72 | 4.91 (1.87–12.93) | 0.0004 * | |
Subcarpathian Province | 10 | 0.92 | 30 | 2.88 | 3.13 (1.53–6.40) | 0.001 * | |
Podlasie Province | 7 | 1.14 | 31 | 5.31 | 4.65 (2.05–10.55) | 0.0001 * | |
Pomeranian | 15 | 1.28 | 12 | 1.07 | 0.84 (0.39–1.80) | 0.6531 | |
Silesia | 114 | 4.78 | 85 | 3.82 | 0.80 (0.60–1.06) | 0.1149 | |
Świętokrzyskie Province | 6 | 0.92 | 10 | 1.61 | 1.75 (0.63–4.80) | 0.2746 | |
Warmia-Masuria Province | 50 | 6.77 | 82 | 11.56 | 1.71 (1.20–2.43) | 0.0026 * | |
Greater Poland | 8 | 0.45 | 18 | 1.07 | 2.38 (1.03–5.46) | 0.0357 * | |
West Pomeranian Province | 70 | 7.94 | 155 | 18.52 | 2.33 (1.76–3.09) | <0.001 * | |
Genital warts | Lower Silesia | 122 | 8.07 | 124 | 8.85 | 1.10 (0.85–1.41) | 0.4700 |
Kuyavian-Pomeranian | 131 | 12.14 | 269 | 26.51 | 2.18 (1.77–2.69) | <0.001 * | |
Lublin Province | 108 | 9.70 | 163 | 15.57 | 1.60 (1.26–2.04) | 0.0001 * | |
Lubusz Province | 60 | 11.45 | 185 | 37.19 | 3.25 (2.43–4.34) | <0.001 * | |
Lodz Province | 82 | 6.22 | 165 | 13.75 | 2.21 (1.69–2.88) | <0.001 * | |
Lesser Poland | 102 | 5.90 | 298 | 18.30 | 3.10 (2.47–3.88) | <0.001 * | |
Mazovia Province | 1594 | 57.57 | 2107 | 82.94 | 1.44 (1.35–1.54) | <0.001 * | |
Opole Province (#) | 40 | 7.69 | 86 | 17.66 | 2.30 (1.58–3.34) | <0.001 * | |
Subcarpathian Province | 12 | 1.10 | 37 | 3.55 | 3.22 (1.68–6.17) | 0.0002 * | |
Podlasie Province | 71 | 11.58 | 215 | 36.84 | 3.18 (2.43–4.15) | <0.001 * | |
Pomeranian | 72 | 6.13 | 150 | 13.42 | 2.19 (1.65–2.90) | <0.001 * | |
Silesia | 222 | 9.32 | 539 | 24.25 | 2.60 (2.22–3.04) | <0.001 * | |
Świętokrzyskie Province | 17 | 2.61 | 54 | 8.70 | 3.33 (1.93–5.74) | <0.001 * | |
Warmia-Masuria Province | 127 | 17.19 | 253 | 35.68 | 2.07 (1.68–2.57) | <0.001 * | |
Greater Poland | 87 | 4.89 | 165 | 9.79 | 2.00 (1.54–2.60) | <0.001 * | |
West Pomeranian Province | 73 | 8.28 | 250 | 29.87 | 3.60 (2.77–4.67) | <0.001 * |
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Orzechowska, M.; Cybulski, M.; Krajewska-Kulak, E.; Sobolewski, M.; Gniadek, A.; Niczyporuk, W. Comparative Analysis of the Incidence of Selected Sexually Transmitted Viral Infections in Poland in 2010–2015: A Retrospective Cohort Study. J. Clin. Med. 2022, 11, 3448. https://doi.org/10.3390/jcm11123448
Orzechowska M, Cybulski M, Krajewska-Kulak E, Sobolewski M, Gniadek A, Niczyporuk W. Comparative Analysis of the Incidence of Selected Sexually Transmitted Viral Infections in Poland in 2010–2015: A Retrospective Cohort Study. Journal of Clinical Medicine. 2022; 11(12):3448. https://doi.org/10.3390/jcm11123448
Chicago/Turabian StyleOrzechowska, Magda, Mateusz Cybulski, Elzbieta Krajewska-Kulak, Marek Sobolewski, Agnieszka Gniadek, and Wiaczeslaw Niczyporuk. 2022. "Comparative Analysis of the Incidence of Selected Sexually Transmitted Viral Infections in Poland in 2010–2015: A Retrospective Cohort Study" Journal of Clinical Medicine 11, no. 12: 3448. https://doi.org/10.3390/jcm11123448
APA StyleOrzechowska, M., Cybulski, M., Krajewska-Kulak, E., Sobolewski, M., Gniadek, A., & Niczyporuk, W. (2022). Comparative Analysis of the Incidence of Selected Sexually Transmitted Viral Infections in Poland in 2010–2015: A Retrospective Cohort Study. Journal of Clinical Medicine, 11(12), 3448. https://doi.org/10.3390/jcm11123448