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Background:
Systematic Review

Prognostic Factors in Patients Undergoing Physiotherapy for Chronic Low Back Pain: A Level I Systematic Review

1
Department of Orthopedics and Trauma Surgery, Academic Hospital of Bolzano (SABES-ASDAA), 39100 Bolzano, Italy
2
Department of Medicine and Psychology, University of Rome “La Sapienza”, 00185 Rome, Italy
3
Centre for Sports and Exercise Medicine, Barts and the London School of Medicine and Dentistry, Mile End Hospital, Queen Mary University of London, London E1 4DG, UK
4
School of Pharmacy and Bioengineering, Keele University Faculty of Medicine, Stoke on Trent ST4 7QB, UK
5
Residency Program in Orthopedics and Traumatology, University of Milan, 20122 Milan, Italy
6
Department of Orthopedics and Trauma Surgery, Villa Erbosa Hospital, San Raffaele University of Milan, 20132 Milan, Italy
7
Department of Spine Surgery, Oberlinklinik GmbH, 14482 Potsdam, Germany
8
Department of Life Sciences, Health, and Health Professions, Link Campus University, 00165 Rome, Italy
*
Author to whom correspondence should be addressed.
J. Clin. Med. 2024, 13(22), 6864; https://doi.org/10.3390/jcm13226864
Submission received: 10 October 2024 / Revised: 5 November 2024 / Accepted: 12 November 2024 / Published: 14 November 2024
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Clinical Advances in Spine Disorders)

Abstract

:
Background: Low back pain is common. For patients with mechanic or non-specific chronic LBP (cLBP), the current guidelines suggest conservative, nonpharmacologic treatment as a first-line treatment. Among the available strategies, physiotherapy represents a common option offered to patients presenting with cLBP. The present systematic review investigates the prognostic factors of patients with mechanic or non-specific cLBP undergoing physiotherapy. Methods: In September 2024, the following databases were accessed: PubMed, Web of Science, Google Scholar, and Embase. All the randomised controlled trials (RCTs) which evaluated the efficacy of a physiotherapy programme in patients with LBP were accessed. All studies evaluating non-specific or mechanical LBP were included. Data concerning the following PROMs were collected: the pain scale, Roland Morris Disability Questionnaire (RMQ), and Oswestry Disability Index (ODI). A multiple linear model regression analysis was conducted using the Pearson Product–Moment Correlation Coefficient. Results: Data from 2773 patients were retrieved. The mean length of symptoms before the treatment was 61.2 months. Conclusions: Age and BMI might exert a limited influence on the outcomes of the physiotherapeutic management of cLBP. Pain and disability at baseline might represent important predictors of health-related quality of life at the six-month follow-up. Further studies on a larger population with a longer follow-up are required to validate these results.

1. Introduction

Low back pain (LBP) is defined as pain occurring between the lower edge of the 12th rib and the buttock creases [1]. Chronic low back pain (cLBP) is based on the persistence of pain longer than 12 weeks or 3 months [2]. The current estimates of incidence and prevalence are 0.024 to 7.0%. and 1.4 to 15.6%, respectively [3,4]. Low back pain (LBP) represents the leading cause of disability worldwide and is associated with considerable related costs for the healthcare system [5,6]. Over the past three decades, the prevalence of LBP has increased, driven by biological factors, such as ageing and obesity, as well as psychological, social, and economic components [6]. While most episodes of LBP are self-resolving, LBP can evolve into a chronic condition that has a considerable impact on the ability of patients to work, engage in social situations, and manage daily tasks and activities. CLBP represents one of the five major causes of living with disability worldwide [7].
The complexity of spinal anatomy makes it prone to a wide array of stressors that can lead to different types of LBP, such as mechanical, discogenic, or neurologic, alone or in combination [8]. In most cases, a specific nociceptive cause [6] cannot be identified, making it difficult to determine the best management course.
For patients with mechanic or non-specific cLBP, current guidelines suggest conservative, nonpharmacologic management as a first-line treatment; in particular, the available evidence lists physical exercise and passive management, such as massage, as viable options for these patients [9,10,11]. Among available strategies, physiotherapy represents a common option offered to patients presenting with cLBP, and several investigations have sought to highlight which physiotherapeutic option is the most effective in this setting [12,13,14,15,16,17]. However, this type of management can often be time-consuming and costly, requiring multiple treatment sessions over numerous weeks [18,19,20]. It is thus fundamental to identify which patients can indeed profit from this kind of management, to focus the available resources on patients who are most likely to benefit from it, and promptly initiate a different treatment for those who would probably not see any meaningful improvement after physiotherapy. Therefore, a level I systematic review was conducted to investigate whether demographic characteristics at baseline influence the outcome of patients undergoing physiotherapy for mechanic or non-specific cLBP. The outcomes of interest were to assess the association between patient characteristics (length of the follow-up, mean age and BMI, sex, and previous symptoms duration) and PROMs (VAS, RMQ, and ODI) at baseline and the same PROMs (VAS, RMQ, and ODI) at the last follow-up.

2. Methods

2.1. Eligibility Criteria

All the randomised controlled trials (RCTs) that evaluated a physiotherapy programme’s efficacy in patients with LBP were accessed. According to the authors’ language capabilities, English, German, Italian, French, and Spanish articles were eligible. According to the Oxford Centre of Evidence-Based Medicine [21], we included only RCTs with level I of evidence. Opinions, editorials, letters, and reviews were not examined. Animal, biomechanical, computational, cadaveric, and other in vitro studies were excluded. All studies evaluating non-specific [11] or mechanical [22] chronic low back pain were eligible. The pain was defined as chronic when symptoms persisted for at least three months [23]. The presence of concomitant radiculopathy, psychologic disorders, or concomitant pharmacological therapy did not warrant exclusion from the study. We excluded studies that had missing quantitative data on the outcomes of interest.

2.2. Search Strategy

This study was conducted according to the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses: the 2020 PRISMA statement [24]. The following algorithm was used for the literature search:
  • Problem: LBP;
  • Intervention: physiotherapy;
  • Outcomes: prognostic factors.
In September 2024, the following databases were accessed: PubMed, Web of Science, Google Scholar, and Embase. No time constraint was established for the search. The search was restricted to only RCTs. No additional filters were used in the database search. The matrix of keywords used in each database was as follows: “Low Back Pain”[Mesh] OR “Low Back Pain/therapy”[Mesh] OR “Low Back Pain/rehabilitation”[Mesh] OR “Spine”[Mesh] OR Low back pain OR LBP OR non-specific Low back pain OR mechanical Low back pain OR chronic Low back pain OR spine AND “Physical Therapy Modalities”[Mesh] OR physiotherapy AND “Musculoskeletal Manipulations”[Mesh] OR “Massage”[Mesh] OR “Manipulation, Spinal”[Mesh] OR “Muscle Stretching Exercises”[Mesh] OR “Exercise”[Mesh] OR “Exercise Therapy”[Mesh] OR “Acupuncture”[Mesh] OR “Acupuncture Therapy”[Mesh] OR “Yoga”[Mesh] OR physical therapy OR manual therapy OR massage OR mobilization OR spinal manipulation OR lumbar stabilization OR active and passive stretching OR exercises OR muscle exercises OR motor control exercises OR strengthening exercises OR stabilizing exercises OR functional resistance training OR muscle strength training OR Back school OR McKenzie OR Acupuncture OR Pilates OR Yoga AND “Prognosis”[Mesh] OR prognostic factors.

2.3. Selection and Data Collection

Two authors (G.P. and M.P.) separately executed the database search. All the concordant titles were screened by hand, and the abstracts were analysed if suitable. The full text of the abstracts that matched the topic was accessed. Studies with an inaccessible or unavailable full text were not considered for inclusion. A cross-reference of the full-text bibliography was also conducted to identify additional studies. In cases of disagreement, a third senior author (N.M.) made the ultimate decision.

2.4. Data Items

Two authors (G.P.; M.-K.M.) individually conducted data extraction. The following data at baseline were extracted: the author, year and journal of publication, gender ratio, number of patients and their associated mean age and BMI (kg/m2), mean duration of symptom duration before physiotherapy, and period of the follow-up. Data regarding the following PROMs were acquired at baseline and at the last follow-up: the Visual Analogic Scale (VAS) or numeric rating scale (NRS), Roland Morris Disability Questionnaire (RMQ) [25], and Oswestry Disability Index (ODI) [26]. Given the high correlation between VAS and NRS, these two parameters were used interchangeably [27]. Data were extracted in Microsoft Office Excel version 16.72 (Microsoft Corporation, Redmond, WA, USA).

2.5. Assessment of the Risk of Bias and Quality of the Recommendations

The risk of bias in RCTs was examined in conformity with the Cochrane Handbook for Systematic Reviews of Interventions guidelines [28]. The risk of bias graph of the software Review Manager (RevMan 5.3, The Nordic Cochrane Collaboration, Copenhagen) was used. One reviewer (A.B.) autonomously evaluated the risk of bias in the reduced studies. The following endpoints were analysed: selection, detection, performance, attrition, reporting, and other biases.

2.6. Synthesis Methods

The main author (F.M.) performed the statistical analyses following the recommendations of the Cochrane Handbook for Systematic Reviews of Interventions [29]. For descriptive statistics, IBM SPSS version 25 was used. The mean and standard deviation were applied. A multiple pairwise analysis was performed to investigate possible associations between patient characteristics (mean follow-up, mean age, female sex, mean BMI, and symptom duration) and PROMs (VAS, RMQ, and ODI) at baseline and the same PROMs (VAS, RMQ, and ODI) at the last follow-up. The STATA Software/MP version 16 (StataCorporation, College Station, TX, USA) was used for the analyses. A multiple linear model regression analysis through the Pearson Product–Moment Correlation Coefficient ( r ) was used. The Cauchy–Schwarz formula was used for inequality: +1 is considered a positive linear correlation and −1 negative. Values of 0.1 < |   r | < 0.3, 0.3 < |   r | < 0.5, and |   r | > 0.5 were considered to have weak, moderate, and strong correlations, respectively. The overall significance was assessed through a χ2 test, with values of p < 0.05 considered statistically significant.

3. Results

3.1. Study Selection

The systematic literature search led to 3067 articles. Of them, a total of 1577 duplicates were excluded. Furthermore, 1292 studies did not fulfil the eligibility criteria and were therefore not included for the following reasons: study design (n  =  1042), low level of evidence (n = 128), therapeutic approaches not suitable (n = 69), and language limitations (n  =  53). An additional 50 papers were excluded because quantitative data on the interest outcomes were unavailable. Finally, 149 RCTs were included in our study. The results of the literature search are visible in Figure 1.

3.2. Risk of Bias Assessment

The risk of bias analysis indicated a low risk of selection bias, as all studies included were randomised controlled trials (RCTs). Most studies demonstrated high quality in terms of how patients were assigned to treatment groups, leading to a low to moderate risk of allocation bias. Given the lack of blinding of patients and personnel, 25% of the RCTs raised a high risk of performance and assessment bias. Another 25% of the included studies did not report information on blinding during the procedure and assessment of the outcomes and were judged as having a moderate risk of bias in these two domains. In certain studies, details about participant dropouts during enrolment or analysis were reported inadequately, leading to moderate attrition bias. The risk of reporting bias was generally low to moderate, while the risk of other biases was predominantly low. In conclusion, the methodological assessment of RCTs was good (Figure 2).

3.3. Study Characteristics and Results of Individual Studies

Data from 12,625 patients were retrieved. The mean length of symptoms before the treatment was 61.6 ± 51.2 months. The mean length of the follow-up was 4.3 ± 5.9 months. The mean age of patients was 44.4 ± 9.4 years and the mean BMI was 25.7 ± 2.5 kg/m2. The generalities and demographics of the included studies are shown in Table 1.

3.4. Synthesis of Results

VAS at the last follow-up evidenced a weak positive association with VAS at baseline (r = 0.2; p = 0.0005). RMQ at the last follow-up was moderately associated with patient age at baseline (r = 0.4; p < 0.0001) and moderately associated with RMQ at baseline (r = 0.4; p < 0.0001). ODI at the last follow-up evidenced a weak positive association with patient age at baseline (r = 0.2; p = 0.04). In addition, ODI at the last follow-up was moderately associated with BMI at baseline (r = 0.4; p = 0.0001) and strongly associated with ODI at baseline (r = 0.6; p < 0.0001). No additional significant associations were evidenced (Table 2).
Table 1. Generalities and patient baseline of the included studies (RCT: randomised controlled trial).
Table 1. Generalities and patient baseline of the included studies (RCT: randomised controlled trial).
Author, YearJournalType of TreatmentType of MovementPatients (n)Follow-Up (Months)Mean AgeWomen (%)
Aasa et al., 2015 [30]J Orthop Sports Phys TherExerciseLow-Load251242.054
ExerciseHigh-Load-Lifting28 42.057
Balthazard et al., 2012 [31]BMC Musculoskelet DisordSpinal ManipulationHigh-Velocity, Low-Amplitude19644.036
Physical AgentsUltrasound18 42.030
Bhadauria et al., 2017 [32]J Exerc RehabilExerciseStabilisation12032.850
ExerciseStrengthening12 36.742
PilatesContraction12 35.38
Cecchi et al., 2010 [33]Clin RehabilBack SchoolIndividualised681257.970
PhysiotherapyIndividualised68 60.561
Spinal ManipulationMobilisation, Manipulation69 58.169
Costa et al., 2009 [34]Phys TherMotor Control ExerciseIndividualised771054.658
Sham 77 52.862
Vibe Fersum et al., 2019 [35]Eur J PainSpinal ManipulationIndividualised593643.152
Cognitive Functional Therapy 62 42.953
Garcia et al., 2013 [36]Phys TherBack SchoolUnknown74654.269
MckenzieSymptom-Guided74 53.778
Goldby et al., 2006 [37]SpineSpinal StabilisationStabilisation352443.468
Spinal ManipulationIndividualised37 41.070
Control 19 41.568
Halliday et al., 2016 [38]J Orthop Sports Phys TherMckenzieSymptom-Guided32248.880
Motor Control ExerciseContraction30 48.380
Hohmann et al., 2018 [39]Dtsch Arztebl IntHirudotherapy 25259.388
ExerciseVarious19156.595
Kääpä et al., 2006 [40]SpineMultidisciplinaryVarious592446.098
PhysiotherapyVarious61 46.5
Kobayashi et al., 2019 [41]Complement Ther MedShiatsuVarious30267.467
Standard Care 29 68.362
Lawand et al., 2015 [42]Joint Bone SpineExerciseStretching30649.481
Control 30 47.573
Macedo et al., 2019 [43]PhysiotherapyKinesio Taping with TensionTraction270.3325.0100
Kinesio Taping no Tension 27 24.0
Sham 27 25.0
Control 27 24.0
Majchrzycki et al., 2014 [44]Sci World JMassageDeep Tissue Massage28052.646
MassageDeep Tissue Massage26 50.850
Murtezani et al., 2015 [45]J Back Musculoskelet RehabilMckenzieSymptom Guided110348.825
Physical AgentsVarious109 47.562
Sahin et al., 2017 [46]Turk J Phys Med RehabPhysical AgentsVarious501250.464
ControlStretching And Strengthening50 46.262
Saper et al., 2017 [47]Ann Intern MedYogaVarious1279.246.457
AerobicsVarious129 46.470
Education 64 44.266
Suh et al., 2019 [48]MedicineStretchingStretching131.553.562
Walking ExerciseWalking13 54.285
Spinal StabilisationStabilisation10 57.460
Spinal StabilisationStabilisation, Walking12 54.867
Takahashi et al., 2017 [49]Fukushima J Med SciControl 15053.353
ExerciseStretching And Strengthening18 57.656
Uzunkulaoğlu et al., 2018 [50]Turk J Phys Med RehabilKinesio Taping with TensionTraction30621.663
Kinesio Taping without Tension 30 21.363
Yeung et al., 2003 [51]J Altern Complement MedExerciseVarious26355.681
ExerciseVarious26 50.485
Dufour et al., 2010 [52]SpineExerciseStrengthening1292441.257
ExerciseStrengthening143 40.656
Helmhout et al., 2004 [53]SpineExerciseHigh-Intensity Strengthening41941.00
ExerciseLow-Intensity Strengthening40 40.0
Jarzem et al., 2005 [54]J Musculoskelet PainSham 83145.150
Tens 84
Acupuncture TENS 78
TensBiphasic79
Meng et al., 2011 [55]Clin J PainBack School 1811250.265
Back School 163 49.563
Prommanon et al., 2015 [56]J Phys Ther SciBack Care Pillow 26338.542
Control 26 39.750
Tavafian et al., 2011 [57]Clin J PainEducation 97644.673
Control 100 45.983
Tavafian et al., 2014 [58]Int J Rheum DisEducation 871244.675
Control 91 46.282
Alfuth et al., 2016 [59]OrthopädeMobilisationMobilisation14150.079
StabilisationStabilisation13 43.054
Grande-Alonso et al., 2019 [60]Pain MedMultidisciplinaryVarious25339.956
MultidisciplinaryStabilisation25 38.356
Ali et al., 2019 [61]J Bodyw Mov TherSpinal ManipulationVarious14035.4
Spinal ManipulationVarious14 35.3
Ahmadi et al., 2020 [62]Clin RehabilExerciseIndividualised30042.6100
EducationIndividualised29 38.9100
Almhdawi et al., 2020 [63]Clin RehabilExerciseStrengthening, Stretching21040.534
Control 20 41.720
Added et al., 2016 [64]J Orthop Sports Phys TherPhysiotherapyIndividualised74644.672
PhysiotherapyIndividualised74645.672
Arampatzis et al., 2017 [65]Eur J Appl PhysiolExerciseLow–moderate Intensity20031.940
Control 20 31.445
Areeudomwong et al., 2016 [66]Musculoskeletal CareExerciseContraction21335.471
Control 21 36.276
Bae et al., 2018 [67]J Back Musculoskelet RehabilExerciseCore Stabilisation18332.750
ExerciseStrengthening18 32.461
Bi et al., 2013 [68]Int J Med ResExerciseContraction23029.144
ControlStrengthening24 30.946
Bicalho et al., 2010 [69]Man TherManipulationHigh-Velocity20029.575
Control 20 26.560
Bronfort et al., 2011 [70]Spine JExerciseVarious101945.658
Spinal ManipulationHigh-Velocity, Low-Amplitude100 45.266
ExerciseStrengthening100 44.557
Cai et al., 2017 [71]Med Sci Sports ExercExerciseResistance25428.950
ExerciseContraction24 26.1
ExerciseStabilisation25 26.9
Azevedo et al., 2017 [72]Phys TherExerciseStrengthening, Stretching74440.458
ControlVarious74 43.465
Castro-Sánchez et al., 2016 [73]Spine JSpinal ManipulationHigh-Velocity310.2543.065
Spinal ManipulationLow-Velocity31 47.061
Ryan et al., 2010 [74]Man TherExerciseVarious20345.270
Control 18 45.561
Chhabra et al., 2018 [75]Eur Spine JAppVarious45041.4
Control 48 41.0
Cortell-Tormo et al., 2018 [76]J Back Musculoskelet RehabilExerciseVarious11035.6100
Control 8 35.6100
Cruz-Díaz et al., 2015 [77]Disabil RehabilPilatesIndividualised5310.569.6100
PhysiotherapyVarious48 72.7100
Cruz-Díaz et al., 2017 [78]Complement Ther MedPilatesVarious34036.968
PilatesVarious34 35.562
Control 30 36.363
Cuesta-Vargas et al., 2011 [79]Am J Phys Med RehabilMultidisciplinaryVarious24037.658
MultidisciplinaryVarious25 39.854
Diab et al., 2013 [80]J Back Musculoskelet RehabilExerciseTraction40646.345
ExerciseStretching40 45.943
Koldaş Doğan et al., 2008 [81]Clin RheumatolAerobicsWalking19137.179
Physical AgentsVarious18 41.578
Control 18 42.178
Eardley et al., 2013 [82]Forsch KomplementmedMultidisciplinaryIndividualised20048.885
ShamIndividualised21 48.167
Delayed 17 44.665
Engbert et al., 2011 [83]SpineExerciseClimbing10051.960
ExerciseVarious13 50.446
de Oliveira et al., 2013 [84]Phys TherSpinal ManipulationHigh-Velocity74046.068
Spinal ManipulationRegion-Specific74 46.380
França et al., 2012 [85]J Manipulative Physiol TherExerciseStabilisation15042.1
ExerciseStretching15 41.5
Friedrich et al., 1998 [86]Arch Phys Med RehabilExerciseVarious441243.357
ExerciseVarious49 44.945
Frost et al., 1995 [87]BMJExerciseAerobics36634.253
Control 35 38.551
Garcia et al., 2018 [88]BMJMckenzieVarious7410.7557.578
Control 73 55.574
Gardner et al., 2019 [89]BMJExerciseIndividualised371044.066
ControlVarious38 45.049
Gavish et al., 2015 [90]PhysiotherapyExerciseOscillation180.7553.233
Control 18 47.156
Geisser et al., 2005 [91]Clin J PainExerciseVarious21039.367
ExerciseVarious18 38.756
Non-Specific ExerciseVarious15 36.580
Non-Specific ExerciseVarious18 46.361
Gwon et al., 2020 [92]Physiother Theory PractExerciseSide Bridge15021.92
ExerciseSide Bridge15 21.62
Haas et al., 2014 [93]Spine JShamVarious9510.640.949
Spinal ManipulationHigh-Velocity, Low-Amplitude99 41.449
Spinal ManipulationHigh-Velocity, Low-Amplitude97 41.849
Spinal ManipulationHigh-Velocity, Low-Amplitude100 41.252
Halliday et al., 2019 [94]PhysiotherapyMckenzieSymptom-Guided351048.880
Motor Control ExerciseContraction35 48.380
Harts et al., 2008 [95]Aust J PhysiotherExerciseHigh-Intensity23444.00
ExerciseLow-Intensity21 42.0
Control 21 41.0
Macedo et al., 2014 [96]Phys TherExerciseVarious861249.652
Motor Control ExerciseSymptom-Guided86 48.766
Javadian et al., 2012 [97]J Back Musculoskelet RehabilExerciseStabilisation303
ExerciseVarious
Loss et al., 2020 [98]Chiropr Man TherSpinal ManipulationThrust12041.750
ControlVarious12 43.950
Kell et al., 2011 [99]J Strength Cond ResExerciseStrengthening600.2542.431
ExerciseStrengthening60 41.737
ExerciseStrengthening60 42.833
Control 60 43.238
Kim et al., 2015 [100]Clin RehabilExerciseContraction27229.7100
Control 26 28.6
Kim et al., 2018 [101]J Sport RehabilExerciseVarious38339.561
ExerciseStabilisation39 46.254
Tekur et al., 2008 [102]J Altern Complement MedYogaVarious40049.053
ExerciseVarious40 48.038
Tekur et al., 2012 [103]Complement Ther MedYogaVarious40049.053
ExerciseVarious40 48.038
de Oliveira et al., 2020 [104]J PhysiotherSpinal ManipulationHigh-Velocity71545.077
Spinal ManipulationVarious72 45.078
Zou et al., 2019 [105]MedicinaTai ChiVarious15058.173
ExerciseStabilisation15 58.473
Control 13 60.777
Zhang et al., 2014 [106]J Int Med ResEducationStrengthening25022.333
ControlStrengthening24 23.041
Zheng et al., 2012 [107]J Tradit Chin MedMassagePressure; Traction30043.044
ControlTraction30 42.050
Yang et al., 2021 [108]J Bodyw Mov TherPilatesVarious204.550.575
Control 19 47.979
Waseem et al., 2019 [109]J Back Musculoskelet RehabilExerciseCore Stabilisation53046.434
ExerciseVarious55 45.535
Williams et al., 2005 [110]PainYogaVarious20048.765
Control 24 48.071
Verbrugghe et al., 2021 [111]Int J Environ Res Public HealthExerciseHigh-Intensity Strengthening16644.368
ControlModerate-Intensity Strengthening13 44.068
Sipaviciene et al., 2020 [112]Clin BiomechExerciseStabilisation35338.3100
ExerciseStrengthening35 38.5100
Phattharasupharerk et al., 2018 [113]J Bodyw Mov TherQi GongVarious36035.767
Control 36 34.861
Magalhães et al., 2018 [114]Braz J Phys TherExerciseVarious33046.676
ExerciseVarious33 47.273
Monticone et al., 2013 [115]Clin J PainExerciseVarious451249.060
ControlVarious45 49.756
Monticone et al., 2014 [116]Eur Spine JMotor Control ExerciseStabilising10358.970
ControlVarious10 56.640
Morone et al., 2011 [117]Eur J Phys Rehabil MedBack SchoolVarious41561.259
Control 29 58.672
Matarán-Peñarrocha et al., 2020 [118]Clin RehabilExerciseVarious32654.353
Exercise 32 53.247
Laosee et al., 2020 [119]Complement Ther MedMassagePressure703.4568.277
MassagePressure70 69.171
Rittweger et al., 2002 [120]SpineExerciseExtension25649.844
ExerciseVibration25 54.152
Prado et al., 2019 [121]Physiother Theory PractExerciseStretching27035.070
Control 27 33.063
Vollenbroek-Hutten et al., 2004 [122]Clin RehabilMultidisciplinaryVarious69638.5
Control 73 39.5
del Pozo-Cruz et al., 2011 [123]J Rehabil MedExerciseVibration25058.774
Control 24 59.572
Kostadinovic et al., 2020 [124]J Back Musculoskelet RehabilExerciseStabilisation; Mobilisation40044.155
ExerciseStabilisation40 44.358
Monticone et al., 2016 [125]Eur J PainExerciseIndividualised752453.263
Control 75 53.860
Járomi et al., 2018 [126]J Clin NursBack SchoolVarious67041.794
Control 70 41.193
Liu et al., 2019 [127]Int J Environ Res Public HealthTai ChiVarious15058.173
ExerciseStabilisation15 58.473
Control 13 60.777
Lara-Palomo et al., 2012 [128]Clin RehabilMassageInterferential Current30050.070
MassageSuperficial Pressure31 47.065
Saha et al., 2019 [129]Complement Ther Clin PractMassagePressure250.7152.268
Control 25 47.288
Segal-Snir et al., 2016 [130]J Back Musculoskelet RehabilExerciseRotation20157.2100
Control 15 54.7100
Nambi et al., 2014 [131]Int J YogaYogaVarious30644.363
ControlStrengthening, Stretching30 43.743
Salamat et al., 2017 [132]J Bodyw Mov TherExerciseStabilisation12035.8
Motor Control ExerciseVarious12 36.1
Salavati et al., 2015 [133]J Bodyw Mov TherExerciseStabilisation20032.60
ControlVarious20 29.90
Masharawi et al., 2013 [134]J Back Musculoskelet RehabilExerciseVarious20252.5100
Control 20 53.6100
Natour et al., 2014 [135]Clin RehabilPilatesVarious302.9647.880
Control 30 48.177
Murtezani et al., 2011 [136]Eur J Phys Rehabil MedExerciseIndividualised50051.448
ControlVarious51 49
Kogure et al., 2015 [137]PLoS OneSpinal ManipulationVarious90660.060
ShamVarious89 59.664
Ozsoy et al., 2019 [138]Dove Med PressExerciseCore Stabilisation21068.129
ExerciseVarious21 68.031
Jousset et al., 2004 [139]SpineMultidisciplinaryVarious434.7541.430
ExerciseIndividualised41 39.437
Roche-Leboucher et al., 2011 [140]SpineExerciseVarious681240.832
ExerciseVarious64 38.738
Khalil et al., 1992 [141]SpineSpinal ManipulationStretching14041.143
Control 14 48.550
Mannion et al., 1999 [142]SpineExerciseVarious46646.361
AerobicsLow-Impact47 45.254
Physical AgentsVarious44 43.755
Mannion et al., 2001 [143]SpineExerciseVarious441246.361
AerobicsLow-Impact43 45.254
Physical AgentsVarious40 43.755
Yoon et al., 2012 [144]Ann Rehabil MedMassageSymptom-Guided120.550.358
TensVarious10 53.360
Yang et al., 2019 [145]J Healthc EngExerciseSymptom-Guided5035.020
ControlVarious3 50.3100
Hicks et al., 2016 [146]Clin J PainControlVarious31369.552
ExerciseStabilisation26 70.758
Yalfani et al., 2020 [147]J Bodyw Mov TherWater PilatesVarious12025.2100
PilatesVarious12 24.7100
Trapp et al., 2015 [148]J Back Musculoskelet RehabilExerciseFeedback15045.533
ControlVarious15 40.640
Kofotolis et al., 2016 [149]J Back Musculoskelet RehabilPilatesVarious37042.7100
Control 28 41.2100
ExerciseStrengthening36 39.1100
Kuvacic et al., 2018 [150]Complement Ther Clin PractControl 15033.653
YogaVarious15 34.740
Hernandez-Reif et al., 2001 [151]Intern J NeuroscienceMassageVarious24043.858
ControlVarious 36.750
Lewis et al., 2005 [152]SpineExerciseVarious331246.165
ExerciseIndividualised29 45.765
O’Keeffe et al., 2020 [153]J Sports MedCognitive Functional TherapyIndividualised10610 to 10.547.077
ExerciseVarious100 50.670
Kaeding et al., 2017 [154]Scand J Med Sci SportsExerciseVibration21046.467
Control 20 44.670
Petrozzi et al., 2019 [155]Chiropr Man TherapAppVarious54max 1050.154
ControlVarious54 50.659
Winter et al., 2015 [156]J Back Musculoskelet RehabilExerciseRotation10045.945
ExerciseStretching10 48.9
ExerciseStrengthening10 38.3
Massé-Alarie et al., 2016 [157]Clin NeurophysiolPhysical AgentsContraction11033.245
ShamNone10 42.150
Martí-Salvador et al., 2018 [158]Arch Phys Med RehabilSpinal ManipulationVarious33243.452
ShamVarious33 41.761
Aguilar-Ferrándiz et al., 2022 [159]NatureKinesio TapingWithout Tension29044.059
Tens 29 46.072
Elgendy et al., 2022 [160]Ortop Traumatol RehabilPhysical AgentsVarious15032.7
ControlStretching, Strengthening15 33.3
Fukuda et al., 2021 [161]Braz J Phys TherSpinal ManipulationJoint Mobilisation351235.253
Spinal ManipulationJoint Mobilisation, Strengthening35 40.2
Ma et al., 2021 [162]Ann Palliat MedPhysical AgentsNeedling301247.750
MassageSwedish Massage30 49.263
Maggi et al., 2022 [163]Aging Clin Exp ResKinesio TapingNo Tension57366.872
Control 62 67.882
Jalalvandi et al., 2022 [164]BMC Musculoskelet DisordExerciseStretching, Strengthening22037.973
Tens 22 36.164
Atilgan et al., 2021 [165]J Back Musculoskelet RehabilExerciseBreathing, Stabilisation23032.1100
ControlStabilisation20 37.7100
Pivovarsky et al., 2021 [166]Einstein (Sao Paulo)Sham 35040.869
Tens 35 44.066
Tens 35 42.677
Van Dillen et al., 2021 [167]JAMA NeurolExerciseVarious741242.468
ExerciseStretching, Strengthening75 42.655
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Cognitive Functional TherapyUnknown51 41.053
Ghroubi et al., 2007 [169]Ann Readapt Med PhysSpinal ManipulationSymptom-Guided32139.184
Sham 32 37.475
Huber et al., 2019 [170]BMC Musculoskelet DisordWalkingWalking2713.552.952
WalkingWalking, Heat26 53.454
Control 27 43.863
Werners et al., 1999 [171]SpineTens 74338.343
MassageTraction73 39.249
Kankaanpää et al., 1999 [172]SpineExerciseVarious301239.837
ControlVarious24 39.333
Marshall et al., 2008 [173]SpineSpinal ManipulationHigh-Velocity, Low-Amplitude, Various12934.350
Spinal ManipulationHigh-Velocity, Low-Amplitude13 35.854
Spinal ManipulationNon-Thrust, Various12 33.950
Spinal ManipulationNon-Thrust13 41.742
Branchini et al., 2015 [174]F1000researchSpinal ManipulationPressure11348.064
ControlIndividualised13 44.069
Batıbay et al., 2021 [175]J Orthop SciPilatesVarious28049.3100
Exercise 25 48.4100
Elabd et al., 2020 [176]J Appl BiomechExerciseStabilisation, Stretching25026.852
ExerciseStabilisation25 27.4
Dadarkhah et al., 2021 [177]J Natl Med AssocExerciseCore Stabilisation281249.057
ExerciseCore Stabilisation28 50.057
Nardin et al., 2022 [178]Lasers Med SciExerciseAerobics200.542.280
ShamAerobics20 42.875
Physical Agents 20 43.180

4. Discussion

Based on the main findings of this study, age and BMI might exert a limited influence on the outcomes of the physiotherapeutic management of cLBP. Pain and disability at baseline might represent important predictors of health-related quality of life at the 6-month follow-up.
Regarding demographic data, age showed a weak to moderate association with health-related quality of life (HRQoL) parameters. BMI did not show any significant correlation to any of the outcomes of interest for patients affected by cLBP. A possible explanation might lie in the relatively narrow range of age and BMI obtained from the available studies. Overall, the available literature analysing prognostic factors for physiotherapy outcomes in cLBP patients showed contrasting results for age [179,180], while BMI is often not considered in other studies. When age did show a correlation with pain and disability after physiotherapeutic management, older age was described as a negative prognostic factor [179], similar to the results obtained in the present work.
Considering the worldwide trends of obesity and the ageing population [181,182], future research should target these outliers to identify possible limits to the efficacy of physical therapy in these particularly complex subjects, which are frequently affected by cLBP [183].
Overall, pain and disability outcomes correlated with the respective baseline parameters. One possible interpretation for this result is that, since the follow-up HRQoL parameters correlate with the results at follow-up, physiotherapeutic management should be started as early as possible. Beginning the treatment with a low level of pain and disability would then be associated with lower levels of pain and disability at follow-up. A previously published secondary analysis of RCTs investigating prognostic factors for symptom improvement in patients with cLBP showed comparable results regarding the association between baseline and follow-up parameters, which were also evaluated at the 6-month mark [184]. Similar results have been observed in a surgical cohort at a 2-year follow-up [185]. While the two considered patient groups and management options are not comparable, it is possible that long-lasting pain would lead to a harder-to-manage pain memory [186], and early intervention would thus be beneficial for these patients.
The literature has reported an initial improvement for all patients with cLBP, which then slows down over time, irrespective of the type of treatment initiated [187,188]. However, the short 6-month follow-up available in the literature may not be sufficient to develop the benefits of conservative treatment fully, and a longer follow-up might be required to observe a more relevant improvement in patients with higher baseline levels of pain and disability.
The interpretation of the correlation between baseline and follow-up HRQoL must consider the short follow-up available. When analysing longitudinal data, it is crucial to consider that the shorter the interval between measurements, the stronger the correlation between the values will be. One study on the prognostic factors of cLBP with a one-year follow-up showed a relatively low effect of baseline pain and disability on the variance in HRQoL at the last follow-up [189]. Thus, a question remains regarding whether the observed correlation is a true biological association or arises from the closeness of the considered intervals. Another non-invasive option in the management of cLBP is represented by a multidisciplinary biopsychosocial model of rehabilitation, which is demonstrated to alleviate physiological, psychological, and social disabilities and ensure the return to work of patients with chronic LBP [190,191,192,193]. Another commonly used component of multidisciplinary pain programmes is represented by cognitive behavioural therapy (CBT), whose target is to replace maladaptive patient coping skills, thoughts, emotions, and behaviours with more adaptive ones. This can decrease distress, consequentially reducing the pain experience [194,195,196]. Yoga, home exercises, and Pilates also improved the outcomes of patients suffering from cLBP [197,198,199]. Ot et al. [199] randomised 54 patients with cLBP into three groups undergoing physical therapy, home exercises, and yoga. All groups showed decreased stress, pain intensity, pain sensitivity, and central sensitisation, and improved quality of life [199]. The main limitation of the included evidence is represented by the small ranges of age and BMI available in the works published so far. This restricts the generalizability of the observed results to a small population segment: further studies will be required to investigate the effects of physiotherapy on cLBP in older patients with a higher BMI. The available literature only evaluated a short follow-up, which does not allow us to infer the prognostic factors of managing cLBP over a long period. The present analysis did not allow for the differentiation of possible prognostic factors in specific patient groups, such as those with and without concomitant radiculopathy or psychologic disorders, or who those who had undergone previous surgery. Different patient categories might respond differently to physiotherapeutic management. Another aspect that should be considered in future studies is the barriers to adherence highlighted in previous studies, which could affect the long-term outcomes of physiotherapeutic management [200]. Chronic low back pain could also lead to long-term disability associated with financial damage from decreased work hours and frequent healthcare service use [201,202]. Moreover, cLBP has a significant negative psychological impact on patients, increasing the prevalence of depression, anxiety, and poor sleep quality if compared with healthy people [203,204]. A decrease in depressive symptoms is associated with a reduction in pain and improvements in function in patients with cLBP treated with physiotherapy [205,206,207]. Given the lack of sufficient quantitative data, it was not possible to evaluate the importance of psychological or occupational factors, which are known prognostic factors for the success of cLBP management [208,209,210]. Similarly, the effect of other concomitant therapies, such as pharmacological management or patient outcomes with previous guideline-nonconcordant care [211], could not be evaluated. In light of the limitations of the present study, our results should be interpreted cautiously.

5. Conclusions

Age and BMI might exert a limited influence on the outcomes of the physiotherapeutic management of cLBP. Moreover, pain and disability at baseline might represent important predictors of health-related quality of life at the 6-month follow-up. Further studies on a larger population with a longer follow-up are required to validate these results.

Author Contributions

Conception and design, statistical analysis, drafting, F.M.; supervision, revision, N.M.; literature search, data extraction, risk of bias assessment, M.P.; literature search, data extraction, A.B.; supervision, G.P. (Gennaro Pipino) and M.K.M.; revision, G.P. (Gaetano Pappalardo). All authors have read and agreed to the published version of the manuscript.

Funding

The authors received no financial support for the research, authorship, and/or publication of this article.

Institutional Review Board Statement

Not applicable.

Informed Consent Statement

Not applicable.

Data Availability Statement

The datasets generated and/or analysed during the current study are available throughout the manuscript.

Conflicts of Interest

The authors declare that they have no competing interests in this article.

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Figure 1. PRISMA flow chart of literature search.
Figure 1. PRISMA flow chart of literature search.
Jcm 13 06864 g001
Figure 2. Cochrane risk of bias tool graph.
Figure 2. Cochrane risk of bias tool graph.
Jcm 13 06864 g002
Table 2. Results of the pairwise correlations.
Table 2. Results of the pairwise correlations.
EndpointVASRMQODI
rprprp
Follow-up (months)0.00.70.00.70.00.7
Mean age0.10.20.4<0.00010.20.04
Women (%)0.10.30.20.073−0.10.3
Mean BMI0.10.4−0.10.60.40.0001
Symptom duration (months)0.00.7−0.10.60.10.5
VAS (baseline)0.20.00050.10.50.00.8
RMQ (baseline)0.20.10.9<0.00010.50.02
ODI (baseline)−0.10.20.60.0030.6<0.0001
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Baroncini, A.; Maffulli, N.; Pilone, M.; Pipino, G.; Memminger, M.K.; Pappalardo, G.; Migliorini, F. Prognostic Factors in Patients Undergoing Physiotherapy for Chronic Low Back Pain: A Level I Systematic Review. J. Clin. Med. 2024, 13, 6864. https://doi.org/10.3390/jcm13226864

AMA Style

Baroncini A, Maffulli N, Pilone M, Pipino G, Memminger MK, Pappalardo G, Migliorini F. Prognostic Factors in Patients Undergoing Physiotherapy for Chronic Low Back Pain: A Level I Systematic Review. Journal of Clinical Medicine. 2024; 13(22):6864. https://doi.org/10.3390/jcm13226864

Chicago/Turabian Style

Baroncini, Alice, Nicola Maffulli, Marco Pilone, Gennaro Pipino, Michael Kurt Memminger, Gaetano Pappalardo, and Filippo Migliorini. 2024. "Prognostic Factors in Patients Undergoing Physiotherapy for Chronic Low Back Pain: A Level I Systematic Review" Journal of Clinical Medicine 13, no. 22: 6864. https://doi.org/10.3390/jcm13226864

APA Style

Baroncini, A., Maffulli, N., Pilone, M., Pipino, G., Memminger, M. K., Pappalardo, G., & Migliorini, F. (2024). Prognostic Factors in Patients Undergoing Physiotherapy for Chronic Low Back Pain: A Level I Systematic Review. Journal of Clinical Medicine, 13(22), 6864. https://doi.org/10.3390/jcm13226864

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