In these subsections, an analysis of the current data content of regional noise registries is presented and potential uncertainties in the determination of the exposed area due to the structure and extent of the input data are illustrated by means of the case studies.
3.1. Case Study: Pile Driving Activities in the North Sea
We recall that information on the source level of impulsive noise from pile driving is reported according to the value code categories as described in
Table 1,
Table 2, and
Table 3. We define our case study event to represent a hypothetical pile driving event in the North Sea reported with a value code category of “low”, corresponding to a SEL of 162–171 dB re 1µPa
2s in a distance of 750 m from the source location (cf.
Table 3).
The propagation loss versus distance for our hypothetical pile driving event in the North Sea reported with a value code category of “low” was estimated using the frequency dependent transmission loss (TL) equations empirically derived for different regions of the North Sea by Thiele and Schellstede [
14], which can be written as follows:
Here, R denotes the distance to the source in kilometers and the logarithm of the frequency grid point is given by F = 10 log10(𝑓/1000) with the frequency 𝑓 in Hertz. Results for the propagation loss versus distance are depicted in
Figure 2, with the propagation loss curve corresponding to the upper bound in green and to the lower bound in blue, respectively, in the range defined for the value code category “low”. As additional criteria for the estimation of the exposed area due to our event, we defined a significance threshold value as SEL of 140 dB re 1µPa
2s, which determined which area was interpreted as being adversely affected. This significance threshold was applied in this study, as it was used to define the lowermost biological relevance limit of event source strength, which has to be reported to the regional noise registries (TG Noise Guidance Part 2 and 3) [
3,
4]. This lowermost biological relevance limit was derived from results on the noise sensitivity of the Harbour Porpoise (
Phocoena phocoena).
The propagation distance to reach SEL of 140 dB varies between 15.7 km (for the initial value of 162 dB) and 34.8 km, which implies a difference of 19.1 km of uncertainty within the same class. When using the value code categories to determine the exposed area, large uncertainties occur due to the class ranges.
Figure 3 shows the distances to reach a threshold of 140 dB for all value classes of impact pile driving. It is directly evident that considerable uncertainty exists in determining the exposed area when information on noise classes is not available. However, even when information on noise classes is available, uncertainty in the exposed areas determined can be relevant, as summarized in
Figure 4 and
Table 4.
Further, we quantified realistic uncertainties resulting from the available information on source locations. Data to the ICES Noise Registry can be reported using the exact location of an impulsive noise event (coordinates) or an attribution to corresponding geographic polygons, such as ICES Sub rectangle or UK License Block [
5]. The exact source position of pile driving events is commonly reported to noise registries. However, the following analysis is also representative for uncertainties in source locations for other event types. Modelling of sound propagation based on source coordinates using impact areas or propagation formulas results in an accurately derived exposed area, apart from uncertainties in the propagation calculation itself. Events reported as ICES sub-rectangles (approximately 18 km × 25 km in size) or UK license blocks do not provide information on the exact location.
Figure 5 presents different ways of handling the definition of possible locations of an event inside a sub-rectangle, for which the true location within the rectangle remains unknown. If the polygon edges (
Figure 5 top left) are used as a worst-case assumption of an otherwise spatially undefined source location, results for the exposed area can be overestimated. The effects of the choice of the event location within the sub-rectangle on the affected area and the uncertainties derived from this will be quantified in the following paragraphs.
Instead of using propagation modelling to determine the area exposed with received noise levels above a biological effect level, the calculation of exposed areas may be based on predefined effect ranges (distance of effect) [
15] derived from observations, e.g., 12 km for mitigated pile driving and 20 km for non-mitigated pile driving, without taking noise classes into account. Consequently, quantitative results of exposed area will deviate between these approaches, which must be considered in impulsive noise assessments.
If the exact location of the event is not available, but only the grid cell information, assumptions must be made about the source location to determine the exposed area. As an example, we selected four possible configurations depicted in
Figure 5 and calculated the corresponding exposed areas. Results are presented in
Figure 6. It can be concluded that the choice of the source location decisively determines the exposed area. In our example, the exposed fractions of the considered areas range between 4 and 10%, with respect to the area of the southern North Sea. These uncertainties need to be taken into account for a quantitative regional assessment using threshold values. If areal blocks have to be used as spatial input data, a standardization of the assessment could be represented by a worst-case scenario (according to the precautionary principle), where all locations in a polygon are set as source location. If value code classes have to be used for the estimate of source levels, a worst-case scenario could imply that the upper range of the value code level classes is used as source level. However, from a statistical point of view, the use of such worst-case approaches would lead to significant overestimations of exposed areas. We suggest preventing this by instead aiming at more detailed input data, which is verified by in situ measurements.
3.2. Case Study: Underwater Explosion Event in the Baltic Sea
In the second case study, we focus on examining different input data to describe the noise source and its impact on the results for estimating noise exposed habitat areas. Our case study in the Baltic Sea concerns an underwater explosion, which occurred in the Stockholm Archipelago. A measurement campaign using explosion trials was performed in this region between April and May 2015 with TNT equivalent charge masses of 105 kg [
16] detonated in variable water depth. These impulsive noise events were reported to the regional noise registry for the Baltic Sea (ICES) without disclosing the exact location of the events. The ICES noise registry contains several events of source type explosion in this region with information on the event date and the ICES sub-rectangle in which the source is located. These events were reported as explosions of the value code category “high”. The explosions were recorded by multiple hydrophones located at different depths (20 m, 30 m, 50 m) and distances to the source towards the coast in the vicinity of the marine protection area (MPA) Huvudskär, a nearby Nature2000 site for grey seals (Halichoerus grypus).
Table 5 summarizes a selection of the available measurement data as published in [
16]. The exact positions of the measurements are, however, not known to the authors of this study.
In addition to information on the measurements as published in [
16], we made use of publicly available information for the bathymetry with a maximum resolution of approximately 40 m × 40 m retrieved from EMODnet bathymetry [
17]. The spatial information for the extent of the marine protection area Huvudskär was retrieved from Natura 2000 datasets [
18].
Figure 7 shows the study region including the Huvudskär MPA site and impulsive noise events reported to the noise registry.
The source locations of the explosion events were reported to the noise registry in the unit of ICES sub-rectangles only. Using this information for the assessment of affected habitat areas may therefore lead to a significant overestimation of the area affected by explosion noise when considering the entire rectangle as a potential source location. In the previous case study, we already addressed the uncertainty in estimating the affected habitat areas due to uncertainties in the reported source location. Here, we aim at the analysis of uncertainties due to different information regarding the source description. Therefore, we fixed the event location arbitrarily at the centre of the ICES rectangle as indicated by the black triangle in
Figure 7.
The Natura 2000 site Huvudskär is located at a distance of approx. 16 km to the northwest of the assumed source location for this case study. Its mean water depth is −31 m (max.: −110 m, min: +0.25 m). Another relevant MPA for the protection of grey seals is Gotska Sandön-Salvorey, located at a distance of approx. 38 km to the southeast of the assumed source location with a mean water depth of −31 m (max.: −81 m, min.: +0.35 m). The water depth in the source area is approximately 85 m.
In order to determine the habitat area affected by the impulsive noise from the explosion events for a particular species, bioacoustic (threshold) criteria must be available for the calculation of the effect range associated to each source. In our test case, we arbitrarily set the bioacoustic threshold for the SEL to 164 dB re 1 µPa2s, as this value is designated as the lower limit for the reporting requirement of impulsive noise events for explosions according to TG Noise Guidance Part 3 [
4]. For the estimation of the influence of the source information on the estimated effect range of the explosion noise, we compared an approach for the explosion event source description as published by the EU and an alternative source description derived from empirical observations.
In the first approach, we follow TG Noise Guidance on the description of the explosion source for the assessment of the proportion of the affected seal habitat area. Part 3 of the TG Noise Monitoring Guidance [
4] considers explosions to be categorized from very low to very high, based on the “TNT equivalent charge mass” associated with an energy source level ESL.
Table 6 summarizes the value code classes used for reporting to the noise registry for the source type explosions according to the explosion charge mass and the corresponding energy source level. The explosion studied in this test case has an equivalent TNT charge of 105 kg, which is assigned to the noise registry value code category “high”. Following the procedure of energy source level estimation described in the TG Noise Monitoring Guidance Part 3 [
4] (formula 7 and 8 therein), this explosion charge corresponds to an energy source level of 251.2 dB re 1 µPa
2m
2s.
The noise registry does usually neither collect nor provide spectral information on the reported noise events. Additionally, for the explosions studied here, no information is available on this aspect. In addition to the information detailed in
Table 5, Andersson [
16] provides information on the frequency distribution representative for the measurements of the explosion events. For the description of the shock wave and the pressure wave, we derived an idealized estimate for the noise spectrum based on the descriptions of TNO 2014 [
19] and Andersson [
16].
Figure 8 shows these idealized frequency distributions used for our explosion event.
For analyzing the variation in the estimated effect ranges of explosion noise due to different choices of sound propagations formulas, we tested and compared a total of four variants, namely a shallow water propagation with the classical 15·log r law, a deep water model with 20·log r law and the empirical model (Formula (1) in comparison with results from a numerical propagation calculation by Andersson [
16]). Due to the bathymetry variations, we additionally applied the cut-off frequency to all propagation models using a sound-reflecting bottom for convenience.
Figure 9 shows results for the SEL versus distance to the source location of the explosion, using the different propagation formulas and the numerical propagation calculation of the event determined by Andersson [
16]. The SEL was calculated by using the determined 1 m energy source level (ESL) according to
Table 6. Further, the bathymetry profiles used in this approach and used in the modelling of Andersson [
16] are depicted in
Figure 9. Bathymetry data used in this study (green line) was retrieved from EMODnet data and collected along the direct path from the source to measurement point. The bathymetry profiles differ in their resolution, but on average and in certain areas of strong water depth variations are in good agreement. Solid lines show results for the distance dependent SEL taking the bathymetry into account by using a corresponding cut-off frequency, while dashed lines show results without bathymetry adaptions. The different colours refer to the respective formula used to determine the results as indicated in the figure labels.
For all sound propagation formulas tested, we find an offset of at least 10 dB between the measured data and the results obtained by using the source description based on the ESL in 1 m distance to the source. These differences likely arise due to the physics of explosions, which describes near-field and far-field effects in different ways. According to these clear deviations between the calculated and measured levels according to the first approach, significant uncertainties may arise in estimated effect ranges and therewith in affected habitat areas.
In a second approach, we used an empirical formula for the description of the source strength from Soloway and Dahl [
20] given by the following:
where SEL denotes the sound exposure level in dB re 1 µPa
2s, R denotes the measurement range in meters and W is the charge weight in kg TNT. This formula was determined empirically by means of explosion experiments performed in shallow water of 15 m water depth, using measurement distances from 165 m to 950 m and TNT equivalent weights from 0.3 to 6.1 kg. This empirical formula was selected for the comparison here since estimated SEL values derived by this formula were reported [
21] to be in good agreement with other measurements of explosions in the order of magnitude of the TNT equivalents considered here, also agreeing with well with empirical formulas derived by Cole [
22].
The process of an explosion is strongly nonlinear up to a sufficient distance to the source. This distance generally depends on the explosive charge. According to Ainslie [
23], non-linearities may be neglected for the physical description of the water column perturbations for distances of 5000 multiplied by the charge radius, which is given by α
exp =
with the mass density of the TNT charge of
. This requirement is met for our explosion example. Thus, we determined the SEL of the explosion charge mass of 105 kg TNT equivalent at a reference distance of 1000 m as alternative source description.
Table 7 summarizes the value code classes using Formula (2) according to the explosion charge mass and the corresponding SEL in a distance of 1000 m to the source location. According to Formula (2), we obtain an SEL of 192.9 dB re 1 µPa
2s for our case study explosion.
For the analysis of the variability in effect range estimates due to the different choice for the source description, we compare the modeled results of the distance-dependent SEL from both approaches with the published measurement results.
Figure 10 presents the comparison between the modeled results for the SEL versus distance to the source location from both approaches with the measurements and with the numerical calculations as published in [
16] (grey curve), which were derived from an extensive study of the noise propagation using a PE model considering bathymetry and velocity profiles. Note that the near- and far-field propagation of the explosion are handled in different ways. These numerical results agree well with reported measurements (red dots) and serve as reference for the model fit obtained by using the two approaches tested in this study. The comparison shows that results of the empirical modelling and the numerical modelling achieve comparable results when using the alternative source description from the second approach using Formula (2); further, the second approach tends to reproduce the measurements better than the results obtained with the first approach.
For an overview of the estimated habitat affected by the explosion noise,
Figure 11 illustrates the spatial distribution of the modeled distance-dependent SEL mapped to the source area of the explosion event in the Stockholm Archipelago. For the assessment of adversely affected and unaffected habitat area, we used the bioacoustics criteria of an SEL to 164 dB re 1 µPa
2s as described above. Thus, the estimated effect range of explosion noise according to the second approach for the source description and the propagation modelling with Formula (1) was found to remain outside the nearby Huvudskär Marine Protection Area (hatched). It should be noted that the use of simpler propagation models, such as 15 log r or 20 log r laws are rather imprecise for a detailed spatial assessment and pose a disadvantage for a reliable determination of the percentage of affected habitat areas, as shown in the additional map views of noise exposure levels in the
Appendix B.
The first approach for the source description according to an energy source level at a distance of 1 m to the explosion source, while reasonable, has two major drawbacks. A 1 m source level is not a measurable quantity in most cases, and with the focus on far-field sound propagation, a description of the source outside the near-field yields more accurate results. In this test case, it has been demonstrated that simple propagation models accompanied by an appropriate description of the source can be used to represent the far-field sound propagation sufficiently well in comparison to published measurement results and comprehensive numerical modelling results.
For the source description, we used the empirical Formula (2) that was derived from measurements of explosion experiments. Since measurements at a certain distance provide the basis for this empirical source description approach, it would be possible to also report on measurement results of explosion noise to the regional noise registry and use these results to determine their value code category. This would have the advantage that explosions for which technical abatement measures, such as bubble curtains, were applied could be classified and reported correctly to the noise registry. Results of our study suggest that this option should be developed in a revision of the TG Noise Guidance of 2014 for the improvement of the noise registry and the assessment accuracy.
If regions in the near field of an explosion need to be considered for the protection of the marine environment, a different descriptive metric may have to be used.
3.3. Case Study: Airgun Array in the Mediterranean Sea
In our third case study, we analyze a possible handling of an assessment regarding impact on the nearby habitats of noise sensitive species when an insufficient reporting of impulsive noise events occurs. The study region for this test case is located in the Ligurian Sea of the Mediterranean Sea. The analyzed impulsive noise events took place in the year 2002. Multiple whale-watching companies noticed and reported the absence of fin whales (Balaenoptera physalus) for a period of 2 months in 2002. This absence of the species could be correlated with typical airgun array noise observed at measurement locations in the Ligurian Sea [
24]. The measurements were used to derive the position of the sound source, which was determined to be near the French Îles d’Hyères outside Toulon [
24].
Figure 12a shows the study region for this test case and the locations of the measurement positions and the estimated source location. Since the regional noise registries under the MSFD were implemented after the year 2015, this impulsive noise activity in 2002 was not reported to any noise registry; thus, more detailed information on the activity and the source location are not publicly available. Compared to the case studies for the North Sea and the Baltic Sea, the environmental setting and the bathymetry of the study region are significantly more complex. The distance range between the events and the measurement locations is significantly higher (more than 250 km) and the water depth ranges from −80 m to −3500 m. Despite these differences in the environmental boundary conditions, the same approach as in the previous test cases was used to evaluate the test case. However, the input parameters and bioacoustic thresholds were adapted to the local conditions.
The event was defined as a point source in front of the isles of “Îles d’Hyères”. The bathymetry of the region was derived from a publicly available dataset from EMODnet [
17], and is shown in the colour map in
Figure 12a. A generic frequency distribution of an airgun array was used as shown in
Figure 12b. For this test case, neither information on the source strength of the airgun array nor on the frequency distribution are available. Therefore, three source strengths according to [
3] were considered, comprising a source level in the value code class very low (ESL of 186 dB re 1 µPa
2m
2s), with values according to TG Noise Guidance Part 2 [
3] and, additionally, source levels in value code classes low and medium.
For the propagation model, four standard approaches (10 log with surface duct, 15 log r law, Formula (1) and 20 log r law) were used. In the absence of more detailed bioacoustic thresholds (frequency distribution and level values) in relation with regional cetaceans, the bioacoustic threshold was chosen here as 110 dB re 1 µPa
2s to be in line with typical sound levels of ocean background noises at different frequencies, e.g., Urick [
25].
Figure 13 shows results of the analysis for the sound propagation using a 15-log attenuation law in (b), and using a 10-log attenuation law with a surface duct in (a). As expected, using the 10-log attenuation law with a surface duct yields a significantly slower decline in noise levels with propagation distance than the use of the 15-log law. Within the surface duct (or layering), the pressure loss is slower and effect ranges based on bioacoustics criteria thus extend over significantly larger distances. At the location of the observational site, the estimations of received noise levels differ by more than 60 dB, with the level using the 15-log law being close to typical background noise levels of approx. 110 dB. Further,
Figure A6a,b in
Appendix C shows propagation modelling results based on a ESL of 216 dB re 1 µPa
2m
2s and 226 dB re 1 µPa
2m
2s, respectively, which refer to the central value of the noise registry class ranges “low” and “medium” (cf.
Table 1). These results emphasize that a solid estimation of sound propagation in the affected sea regions requires a good knowledge of regional acoustic properties in addition to a precise source description. In this case, knowledge of the depth at the source and the stratification in the water column of the sea region is essential.
To determine the impact of this noise event on the fin whale habitat, the Potentially Useable Habitat Area (PUHA) [
26] was used for the assessment and a corresponding dataset of PUHA in the study area was retrieved. This PUHA dataset includes information on the probability of the occurrence of seven different marine mammal species, including fin whales. The project area was divided into grid cells of approximately 14 × 18.5 km in size. The probability of species occurrence within the habitat is influenced by abiotic factors such as water depth and seafloor slope and was augmented by sighting data [
26]. According to the data, fin whales tend to stay in deeper water as shown in
Figure 14. The results of the noise propagation were combined with the probability of presence for the assessment of noise disturbance of fin whales.
Figure 15 and
Figure 16 show results of the propagation model combined with the PUHA dataset for the target species, fin whales, representing the probability of presence of the species in the specific area. Again, the bioacoustic criteria for a disturbance of this species was defined as being equivalent to a typical background noise level of 110 dB due to the lack of a scientifically validated bioacoustic threshold for fin whales [
25]. The results for the received noise levels across the study region mapped onto the same spatial grid format of the PUHA dataset. A (spatially) averaged sound pressure level was derived for each grid cell. The probability of fin whale presence was divided into five classes: the higher the probability of a sound pressure level being above 110 dB, the higher the likely disturbance to the species. Sound pressure levels below 110 dB were classified as not disturbing for fin whales, and are shown as green-colored regions.
Figure 15 panel (a) shows results for the noise propagation using a 10-log law and a surface duct for an airgun source in the noise registry class “very low”. Results in panel (a) under the assumption of a low transmission loss due to a surface channel indicate a high likelihood that the entire habitat area of this species would be disturbed due to the slow decrease in sound pressure level. Hence, we find that by assuming an ESL of 186 dB re 1 µPa
2m
2s, the impulsive sound event could only be measured at the measurement locations in the Ligurian Sea (cf.
Figure 12a) for a sound propagation loss according to the 10-log law with surface channel. However, based on a numeric study on the estimation of regional sound propagation for this test case performed in [
27], a log 20 attenuation law was found to represent the noise propagation across the corresponding transmission path better than a lower transmission loss. Assuming an airgun source in the lowest noise registry class in combination with a transmission loss of about log 20 would thus not explain the reported absence of the fin whales in the study region.
Figure 16 shows results for the noise propagation using a 20-log law for an airgun source in the noise registry class “low” in panel (a) and “medium” in panel (b). Under the condition of an observability of the event at the measurement locations and the absence of fin whale sightings, the source strength of the airgun event would be expected to lie within the range of the noise registry class “medium”, assuming a 20-log law for the transmission loss. The analysis of PUHA here allows for a more accurate estimation of the proportions of disturbed habitat areas for a certain species due to a specific source location and source description.