1. Introduction
Quality goals play vital roles in the processes of quality management [
1]. Quality goals can be defined as “something sought, aimed for, or related to quality”, which are closely connected to management concepts [
2,
3]. The development of external environments, such as new information technology, new production and new requirements, will promote the improvement of management concepts [
4]. There are five aspects related to quality goals in the ISO standard system. In other words, quality goals are embraced by the whole quality management system. It is necessary to improve the measure of quality management continuously [
5]. One of the effective ways is to monitor and implement these appropriate management measures, which should have the biggest power to aim the planed quality goals. As there are many subjective and objective limitations, such as economy and energy, it is impossible to improve all the quality goals. How to choose the appropriate quality goals with the lowest effort to improve the management measures is an open issue. The selection of suitable quality goals can be viewed as the problem of rank of quality goals.
The experience of quality managers of companies is one of the commonly used methods for quality goals’ ranking. However, it is full of subjective arbitrariness [
6], and the uncertain information is unavoidable during the evaluation process of managers’ experiences. How to measure quality goals in a quantitative way is still a challenge. It is clear that the quality is of subjectiveness, and it may contain multiplicity means that highly depend on human cognition [
7]. That is, for the same quality, different people will generate different meanings based on their knowledge, experience and preference. Quality goals can be understood from different perspectives. In other words, quality goals can be depicted by several attributes or criteria. Furthermore, ranking quality goals is one of the typical multi-attribute decision-making (MADM) problems [
8,
9,
10,
11,
12,
13]. Recently, several methods have been proposed to solve MADM problems, such as the characteristic objects method (COMET) [
14,
15,
16], the technique for order preference by similarity to ideal solution (TOPSIS) [
17], Pythagorean fuzzy set thoery [
18], inherent fuzzy entropy [
19,
20,
21], and analytical network process (ANP) [
22]. One of the key tasks in an MADM problem is to ascertain the relative importance of attributes. Among these methods, the analytic hierarchy process (AHP) is popular and widely used to solve the problem of weight due to its simplicity in concept and convenience in operation of hierarchy [
23]. The AHP method provides a pairwise comparisons way to measure the degree of importance criteria in the same layer. The items used to represent the preference relationships are in the form of a positive integer. AHP is still unable to deal with these uncertain and imprecise information, and cannot indicate the hesitant information. Based on this, fuzzy AHP (FAHP) has emerged, which provides a way to deal with these fuzzy uncertain information with the aid of fuzzy set theory [
24]. The framework of FAHP is similar to AHP, however the element of FAHP is in the form of triangular fuzzy numbers while positive integer in AHP, as detailed discussed later.
The evaluation process of quality goals is inevitably accompanied with uncertainty and impreciseness [
25]. Several mathematical tools have been proposed to represent and deal with uncertain information, such as fuzzy set theory [
26], intuitionistic fuzzy set [
27,
28,
29], entropy [
30,
31,
32], evidence theory [
33,
34], rough set [
35], Z-numbers [
36,
37], R-numbers [
38,
39], probabilistic linguistic set [
40,
41], etc. [
42,
43,
44]. Among them, Dempster–Shafer evidence theory, also named evidence theory, which can be regarded as the extension of the traditional Bayesian probability theory, has been widely used in many areas, such as data fusion [
45,
46], evaluation of nuclear safeguards [
47], conflict management [
48,
49], uncertain measure [
50], information quality evaluation [
51], target recognition [
52], fault diagnostics [
53,
54,
55,
56,
57], reliability assessment [
58,
59,
60,
61], etc. [
62,
63,
64]. However, there still exist some limitations while evidence theory is applied, such as mutual exclusion, exhaustive collectiveness, completeness constraint, highly computational complexity, “one-vote veto” mechanism, and independence of each other, as discussed later. Aiming to overcome the above mentioned deficiencies of evidence theory, D number theory has emerged in 2012, which provides a more flexible way to deal with uncertain information, and the above mentioned limitations are well addressed. Since the advantage of D number theory, it has been widely carried out to solve these problems, such as decision making [
65,
66,
67], location selection [
68], risk assessment [
69], supply chain management [
70], target recognition [
71], environmental impact assessment [
72,
73], curtain grouting efficiency assessment [
74] and so forth [
75,
76,
77]. Besides, D number thoery can be together used with other measures, such as intuitionistic hesitant fuzzy set [
78], decision-making trial and evaluation laboratory method (DEMATEL) [
79], failure mode and effect analysis (FMEA) [
80], to generate new measures for some real-life problems.
Recently, many methods have been put forward to solve the issue of evaluation of quality goals. For example, Li et al., proposed a method to evaluate in-flight service quality based on fuzzy AHP and 2-tuple fuzzy linguistic method [
81]. Perçin proposed a combined fuzzy decision-making approach based on in DEMATEL, ANP and VIKOR to airline service quality evaluation [
82]. Xu et al., proposed a method for evaluating service quality based on hesitant fuzzy linguistic information [
83]. Cheng et al., proposed a method for evaluating the service quality of boutique tourist scenic spot based on TODIM [
84]. In the previous study, Tadic et al. proposed a TOPSIS-FAHP method to evaluate quality goals based on TOPSIS and FAHP [
85]. In their study, FAHP is used to obtain the weights of attributes with the aid of the distance between two triangular fuzzy numbers [
86], and TOPSIS is used to rank quality goals [
87]. In this paper, a new method of evaluation quality goals is proposed based on D number theory and FAHP, named D-FAHP method. A new measure of the probability degree of triangular fuzzy numbers is put forward to obtain the weights of attributes. D number theory is carried out to do the process of information fusion. Compared with the TOPSIS-FAHP method, the new proposed method is more intuitive and convenient, especially with the aid of the integration property of D number theory. The main contributions of this manuscript can be briefly summarized as follows. (1) A new multi-attribute decision-making model to rank quality goals is built at the process level. (2) Triangular fuzzy numbers are adopted to represent and deal with uncertain information during the whole periods of evaluation. (3) D number theory and FAHP are synthesized for the decision making problem.
The rest of the manuscript is organized as follows.
Section 2 gives some basic knowledge of fuzzy analytic hierarchy processes (FAHP), evidence theory and D number theory.
Section 3 proposes the evaluation model of D-FAHP for quality goals. A numerical example is used to demonstrate detailed steps of the proposed D-FAHP method in
Section 4. Some necessary discussions and contrastive analysis are provided in
Section 5, which demonstrate the effectiveness and the advantages of the proposed method. A short conclusion is drawn in
Section 6.
4. Case Study
One industry association in Serbia want to investigate the situation of quality goals and to choose the finite quality goals to improve [
85]. A total of 52 companies with similar business processes and with similar size are chosen as an example. A management team compound of association experts and quality managers of each company is set up to do the process of evaluation. As the similar companies are considered, it is realistic to assume that all the decisions made by management team are consensus and valid. The proposed D-FAHP method is carried out to solve the ranking problem of quality goal, as follows.
Step 1. Ascertain the candidate of quality goals. Based on the experience and some consensus of industry, the below 10 quality goals are proposed by the management team, as follows.
Measure of process discrepancy (A1)
Duration of production order realization (A2)
Level of supplies in production (A3)
Rate of complaints concerning production (A4)
Level of capacity utilization (A5)
Process capability (A6)
Process effectiveness (A7)
Effectiveness of corrective and preventive measures (A8)
Level of application of methods and tools for process improvement (A9)
Savings resulting from process improvement (A10)
Step 2. Ascertain the criteria of quality goals on the process level. The management team and some experts who have worked on projects concerning quality system implementation in more than 150 organizations are together invited to analyse the process level of quality goals, and the following criteria are chosen as follows [
94].
Conformity with overall quality goal (C1) is one of the most important criteria for quality goals’ evaluation on the process level, which is of benefit to enable the elimination of possible conflicts between quality goals and other business goals.
Reflection of the state of a process (C2) is an important criterion especially in those occasions when an urgent decision is necessary.
Measurability (C3) means the demand of process measure which is compulsory. Quality goals’ measurement is of diversity even during the same process. It provides the possibility to monitor and measure some quality goals automatically.
Reflection of the outcomes of a process (C4) is based on the requirements of a quality management system measuring the outcomes of a process. If the outcomes of a process is contained in some process goals, then the outcomes are highly supported in the process goal.
Relation to hierarchical process structure (C5) indicates the level of goal importance and its correlation among other things, which emphasizes the complexity and structure of the process goal.
Reasonable for employees (C6) reflects the realization for a process, where exists a demand in theory and practice to direct processes towards goals that should be recognizable and generally accepted. The goal is reasonable, which is one of the preconditions.
Controllability (C7) indicates the possibility of process change in relation to new demands, which provides the power of dynamic adjustment to management towards goals.
Effort for implementation (C8) is a considerable criterion, which means the subjective possibility of quality implementation.
Step 3. Construct the judgment matrices of criteria. After selection of the above mentioned criteria, it is necessary to evaluate the relative importance degree of each criterion. Uncertainties are inevitable during the process of evaluation, because of various background of knowledge, experience and preferences. In this paper, the triangular fuzzy numbers are adopted to model uncertainties described in the form of linguistic expressions. The importance of the criteria of evaluation quality goals are not always be regarded as the same, however they can be regarded as unchangeable during a period of time. The subjective judgments and the individual preferences of quality managers are highly involved during the processes of evaluation. In order to decrease the complexity of the evaluation and more habitually to human expression, the fuzzy rating is described by linguistic expressions which can be represented as the triangular fuzzy numbers, as shown in
Table 1. After that, the management team is asked to do the evaluation of importance of criteria of quality goals, using the linguistic terms as shown in
Table 1. The evaluation results for the comparison among criteria are listed in
Table 4. As the elements in FAHP must be in the form of triangular fuzzy numbers, the elements of judgment matrices provided by management team can be transferred to the form of triangular fuzzy numbers, as shown in
Table 5.
All the elements of diagonal in
Table 5 are the same as
, which means that one compared with oneself is regarded as the
equally important (EI). Elements on the both sides of the diagonal are with reciprocal relations, which provide simplified operations to the evaluation processes.
Step 4. Calculate the weights of each criterion of quality goals. After the judgment matrices of criteria of quality goals are obtained, next is to calculate the weights of criteria based on FAHP method, as shown in
Section 2.1. Based on Equations (
4)–(
7), the weights of the eight criteria of quality goals are obtained as shown in
Table 6.
Step 5. Evaluate each quality goal by experts. The below seven linguistic terms as shown in
Table 7 are utilized to evaluate the eight criteria on the ten quality goals, and the initial results are shown in
Table 8.
Step 6. Information fusion. The integration property of D number theory as shown in Equation (
12) will be carried out to fuse the information provided by management team. However, the integration property of the D number can only function under special conditions.
Table 8 can be converted based on the third column of
Table 7. The degree of certainty is not provided, in other words, which can be regarded as the same value of 0.1250, since each quality goal is evaluated by eight criteria. Then
Table 9 can be obtained based on
Table 7 and
Table 8 as follows.
Since the weight information is involved in this study, the integration property of D number theory as shown in Equation (
12) should be adjusted appropriately, as follows.
where
,
,
,
,
and
is the weight factor.
Then the integration property of D number as shown in Equation (
13) will be carried out to integrate the information. Taking
for example, based on
Table 6 and
Table 9, the result of information integration can be obtained as follows.
Analogously, the results of information integration of remainder quality goals can be obtained, as shown in the first three columns of
Table 10.
Step 7. Rank. The first three columns in
Table 10 indicate that the rank of quality goals is presented as
, where “≻” means “be prior to”.