Natural Course of COVID-19 and Independent Predictors of Mortality
Abstract
:1. Introduction
2. Patients and Methods
Statistical Analysis
3. Results
3.1. Patients’ Characteristics
3.2. Comparison between Survivors and Deceased COVID-19 Patients
3.3. Analysis of Independent Predictors of In-Hospital Death
4. Discussion
5. Conclusions
Author Contributions
Funding
Institutional Review Board Statement
Informed Consent Statement
Data Availability Statement
Conflicts of Interest
References
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Baseline Characteristics | Total (n = 107) | Survivors (n = 80) | Deceased (n = 27) | p |
---|---|---|---|---|
Male, n (%) | 50 (46.7) | 40 (50) | 10 (37) | 0.243 |
BMI, kg/m2 | 23.48± 3.06 | 23.57 ± 2.99 | 23.11 ± 3.36 | 0.356 |
ICU, n (%) | 4 (3.7) | 3 (3.8) | 1 (3.7) | 0.991 |
Age, years | 71.51 ± 16.14 | 68.13 ± 16.21 | 81.56 ± 11.1 | <0.0001 |
Length of stays | 28.45 ± 17.31 | 32.56 ± 15.83 | 16.29 ± 15.95 | 0.476 |
CUS, n (%) | 50 (46.7) | 37 (46.3) | 13 (48.1) | 0.864 |
DVT confirmed, n (%) | 3 (2.8) | 1 (1.3) | 2 (7.4) | 0.094 |
CT scan, n (%) | 13 (12.1) | 10 (12.5) | 3 (11.1) | 0.849 |
Drug thromboprophylaxis n (%) | 103 (96.3) | 77 (96.3) | 26 (96.3) | 0.991 |
Anticoagulant drugs, n (%) | ||||
No therapy | 4 (3.7) | 3 (3.8) | 1 (3.7) | |
LMWH | 94 (87.9) | 70 (87.5) | 24 (88.9) | |
AVKs | 3 (2.8) | 2 (2.5) | 1 (3.7) | 0.952 |
NOACs | 6 (5.6) | 5 (6.3) | 1 (3.7) | |
COVID-19 vaccination | 19 (17.7) | 13 (16.2) | 6 (22.2) | 0.482 |
Mechanical ventilation, n (%) | 8 (7.5) | 4 (5) | 4 (14.8) | 0.094 |
PaO2/FiO2 ratio | 314 ± 115 | 342 ± 102 | 228 ± 113 | <0.001 |
MAP, mmHg | 87 ± 12.42 | 86.91 ± 11.98 | 87.25 ± 49.33 | 0.773 |
CCI | 2.6 ± 1.3 | 2.3 ± 1.1 | 2.9 ± 1.7 | 0.334 |
Arterial hypertension, n (%) | 60 (56.1) | 42 (52.5) | 18 (66.7) | 0.200 |
Coronary heart disease, n (%) | 16 (15.0) | 11 (13.8) | 5 (18.5) | 0.548 |
ACE-Inhibitors, n (%) | 19 (17.8) | 14 (17.5) | 5 (18.5) | 0.905 |
RAAS, n (%) | 31 (29.0) | 22 (27.5) | 9 (33.3) | 0.563 |
Heart failure, n (%) | 55 (51.4) | 33 (41.3) | 22 (81.5) | <0.0001 |
NYHA classes, n (%) | ||||
Class I | 7 (12.7) | 6 (18.2) | 1 (4.5) | |
Class II | 14 (25.5) | 12 (36.4) | 2 (9.1) | |
Class III | 14 (25.5) | 9 (27.3) | 5 (22.7) | 0.004 |
Class IV | 20 (36.4) | 6 (7.5) | 14 (63.6) | |
GCS | 13.54 ±2.45 | 14.08 ± 2.11 | 11.96 ± 2.73 | <0.0001 |
Baseline Characteristics | Survivors (n = 80) | Deceased (n = 27) | p | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Creatinine, mg/dL | 1.16 ± 1.22 | 0.93 ± 0.46 | 1.84 ± 2.91 | 0.029 |
Bilirubine, mg/dL | 0.51 ± 0.27 | 0.49 ± 0.23 | 0.59 ± 0.35 | 0.182 |
NT-proBNP, pg/mL | 1954 ± 4941 | 718 ± 1286 | 5616 ± 8712 | <0.0001 |
D-dimer, ng/mL | 1455 ± 1252 | 1276 ±1166 | 1988 ± 1367 | 0.005 |
D-Dimer classes, n (%) | ||||
I (0–500 ng/mL) | 27 (25.2%) | 24 (30%) | 3 (11.1%) | |
II (500–1000 ng/mL) | 29 (27.1%) | 22 (27.5%) | 7 (25.9%) | |
III (1000–4000 ng/mL) | 35 (32.7%) | 25 (31.3%) | 10 (37%) | |
IV (>4000 ng/mL) | 17 (15.0%) | 9 (11.3%) | 7 (25.9%) | |
PT, seconds | 81.1 ± 22.43 | 85.06 ± 19.61 | 69.29 ± 26.24 | 0.002 |
INR | 1.31 ± 1.21 | 1.13 ± 0.30 | 1.84 ± 2.30 | 0.001 |
Platelet, n/mm3 | 207.738 ± 80785 | 202.375 ± 77.733 | 190,000 ± 88.863 | 0.335 |
Univariate Analysis | Multivariate Analysis | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Odds Ratio | CI 95% | p | Odds Ratio | CI 95% | p | |
D-Dimer | 0.087 | - | - | - | ||
PT | 0.964 | 0.941–0.988 | 0.004 | 0.958 | 0.927–0.990 | 0.010 |
INR | 0.130 | |||||
Creatinine | 0.083 | |||||
PaO2/FiO2 ratio | 0.991 | 0.985–0.996 | 0.001 | 0.987 | 0.981–0.994 | 0.001 |
GCS | 0.677 | 0.544–0.842 | 0.001 | 0.128 | ||
Heart failure | 0.147 | - | - | - | ||
NYHA classes | 0.055 | |||||
NT-pro-BNP | 1.000 | 1.000–1.001 | 0.026 | 1.001 | 1.000–1.001 | 0.004 |
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Orlando, L.; Bagnato, G.; Ioppolo, C.; Franzè, M.S.; Perticone, M.; Versace, A.G.; Sciacqua, A.; Russo, V.; Cicero, A.F.G.; De Gaetano, A.; et al. Natural Course of COVID-19 and Independent Predictors of Mortality. Biomedicines 2023, 11, 939. https://doi.org/10.3390/biomedicines11030939
Orlando L, Bagnato G, Ioppolo C, Franzè MS, Perticone M, Versace AG, Sciacqua A, Russo V, Cicero AFG, De Gaetano A, et al. Natural Course of COVID-19 and Independent Predictors of Mortality. Biomedicines. 2023; 11(3):939. https://doi.org/10.3390/biomedicines11030939
Chicago/Turabian StyleOrlando, Luana, Gianluca Bagnato, Carmelo Ioppolo, Maria Stella Franzè, Maria Perticone, Antonio Giovanni Versace, Angela Sciacqua, Vincenzo Russo, Arrigo Francesco Giuseppe Cicero, Alberta De Gaetano, and et al. 2023. "Natural Course of COVID-19 and Independent Predictors of Mortality" Biomedicines 11, no. 3: 939. https://doi.org/10.3390/biomedicines11030939
APA StyleOrlando, L., Bagnato, G., Ioppolo, C., Franzè, M. S., Perticone, M., Versace, A. G., Sciacqua, A., Russo, V., Cicero, A. F. G., De Gaetano, A., Dattilo, G., Fogacci, F., Tringali, M. C., Di Micco, P., Squadrito, G., & Imbalzano, E. (2023). Natural Course of COVID-19 and Independent Predictors of Mortality. Biomedicines, 11(3), 939. https://doi.org/10.3390/biomedicines11030939