1. Introduction
For several decades, the ability to create, apply and disseminate innovation has been treated as the most important factor for sustainable economic growth and development (
Dworak 2020). It is emphasized that innovation is the result of interactions between people, organizations and their environment (
Świadek and Gorączkowska 2020;
Prokop et al. 2021). This understanding of innovation is reflected in the concept of National Innovation System (NIS) that plays an important role in the innovation policy of all developed market economies.
There is a great deal of risk associated with innovation activity, and this is seen as one of the main barriers to conducting such activity. A low level of innovation of the new Member States of the European Union (EU) stems from, among other factors, a low propensity for risk taking. In a situation of relatively small financial resources, entrepreneurs’ fears concerning the return of expenditure on innovation activity diminish their willingness to conduct this activity. An insufficient level of innovativeness of enterprises results in a low level of innovation in the economies of these countries.
The main aim of the article is to present the concept and classification of national innovation systems in the world and to try to answer the question whether the type of National Innovation System determines the level of innovation of the economies of the European Union countries. The following research thesis was formulated in the study: the type of National Innovation System determines a certain level of innovation of the economy of an EU country, i.e., in countries belonging to developed National Innovation System the level of innovation of the economy is higher than in countries belonging to developing systems. The results of the analysis confirm the research thesis. In the context of the research conducted, it should be emphasized that the development through innovation increases a country’s competitiveness and improves its position on the international arena. However, each development has its own economic and social consequences, which means that it is a source of potential risks.
The research originality of the article results primarily from making intergroup comparisons (between groups of countries) based on the authors’ own concept of comparing the means in individual groups for each variable with the total means and, on this basis, indicating factors with high, medium and low values within the groups. The authors’ contribution to the research on the innovativeness of economies also results from the determination of the relationship between the level of innovativeness of the European Union economies and the type of NIS.
The article consists of the following sections: Introduction; Literature Review; Methodology; Results and Discussion; and Conclusions. The Introduction presents, among other content, the aim of the paper and the research hypothesis, as well as demonstrates the need for research in the field of national innovation systems. The theoretical part of the article reviews the literature in the field of National Innovation System issues and presents the definitions and selected classifications of National Innovation Systems in the world. In the empirical part, the level of innovation in the EU countries was assessed using the synthetic measure of development by Z. Hellwig, called the synthetic measure of development (SMD). Based on the obtained values of the synthetic measure of development (innovation), a ranking of the innovation of the economies of the European Union countries was compiled and groups of countries with a similar degree of innovation in the economy were distinguished. The developed ranking of the EU countries was compared with the National Innovation Systems classification presented in the theoretical part of the article. The study covered 2010 and 2019. The choice of years was dictated by taking into account the most recent statistical data and the need to show the studied phenomenon over a 10-year time horizon. The data used in the study was obtained from the Eurostat and OECD databases.
Literature Review—The Concept and Classifications of the National Innovation System
An attempt at a multi-level NIS typology is a universal approach, made with the method of hierarchical cluster analysis, based on the following classification criteria (this classification was developed by M. Godinho, S. Mendonça, T. Pereira and is hereinafter referred to as the GMP classification) (
Weresa 2012):
(a) the internal market, described by the following indicators: GDP in absolute terms, GDP per capita, and population density;
(b) institutional conditions, measured by income inequality, life expectancy, demographic structure, and corruption index;
(c) tangible and intangible investments, as shown by expenditure on R&D and education per capita and as % of GDP;
(d) theoretical and applied knowledge, described in terms of the percentage of population with secondary and tertiary education, percentage of students of exact sciences, number of research workers in relation to total employment, and number of publications per capita;
(e) the structure of the economy, presented by the share of high-tech industries in exports and GDP, the turnover of domestic R&D companies on a global scale in relation to GDP;
(f) connections of the economy with the environment, measured by the balance of foreign trade and direct investment in relation to GDP, broadband Internet connections;
(g) knowledge diffusion, described by the following indicators: Internet access, cellular network density, number of ISO 9000 and ISO 1400 certificates per capita;
(h) innovation, measured by the number of patents and trademarks per capita.
On the basis of the above-mentioned measures, two main types of NSI were distinguished: (1) developed innovative systems, (2) developing innovative systems. Within these NIS types, three sub-types are distinguished in each group, some of which have their types listed. This typology is presented in
Table 2.
3. Results and Discussion: Classification of the European Union Countries in Terms of the Level of Innovation of the Economy
The aim of the empirical study is to classify the EU countries according to the level of innovation of their economies in 2010 and 2019. One of the methods of multivariate statistical analysis was used in the study: the method of standard deviations of linearly ordered objects. In the context of measuring and assessing the innovation of economies, apart from the problem of data availability for the analyzed period, there is also the problem of selecting indicators that best describe this phenomenon. Economic literature devotes a great deal of space to determinants of NIS development (
Seidel et al. 2013;
Roszko-Wójtowicz and Grzelak 2020). Each of these determinants reflects an aspect of the innovation system, and they may be grouped into three levels: a micro, meso and macro level. The micro level (i) consists of private and public institutions that provide support for main actors in the innovation system, while the meso level (ii) is considered as an important intermediary tool to convert policy decisions into practice. Generally, at the meso level, we find clusters, technology transfer centers, innovation service providers, and funding agencies. Meanwhile, the macro level (iii) is a level of national policies: laws, regulations, training and education, and master plans.
This study refers to the methodological proposals contained in the Oslo Manual (
OECD/Eurostat 2018) which is the result of the joint work of Eurostat and OECD. Following the Oslo methodology, 13 variables, potential indicators of innovation, were included in the input data set. The set of these variables is presented in
Table 3. All potential indicators describing innovation were treated as stimulants, i.e., variables whose increasing values have a positive impact on the studied phenomenon.
In the first step of preliminary data analysis, the usefulness of indicators for the analysis was assessed, using measures of descriptive statistics (
Table 4). However, in the case of this study, at this stage, there is transition from a set of acceptable indicators, determined based on the substantive and formal premises, to a set of diagnostic indicators (
Panek 2009, pp. 20–21). At this stage, no variable was eliminated as all indicators were characterized by high volatility. The next stage of the preliminary data analysis involves the assessment of the correlation of potential diagnostic indicators. For this purpose, among many methods of reduction and selection of diagnostic variables due to their informational potential, the parametric Hellwig method is used. This method is based on the Pearson linear correlation coefficient matrix and removes those features that are strongly correlated with the remaining features, usually at a level greater than 0.9 (and this was also the level adopted in this study). As a result of correlation analysis, the following indicators were removed from further analysis: number 1 (total R&D expenditure in EUR per capita) in 2010 and numbers 1 and 4 (expenditure on R&D in the higher education sector in EUR per capita) in 2019.
The results of the calculations in line with the stages described in the Methodology section, and thus the classification and ranking of the EU countries in terms of innovation, are summarized in
Figure 2 and
Figure 3. Based on the value of the synthetic measure of innovation, the EU countries were ranked from “best” to “worst” (
Figure 2). Based on the value of the measure
qi, taking into account 12 (2010) or 11 (2019) features assigned to individual countries, it can be concluded that in 2010 Luxembourg (0.4717), Sweden (0.4140), Finland (0.3864), France (0.3823), Denmark (0.3674) and the Netherlands (0.3664) were the most innovative EU countries. In 2019, group 1, i.e., the group of the most innovative countries, was more numerous. For example, Ireland (0.3082), Belgium (0.2916), Germany (0.2775), and Austria (0.2751) joined the group. Luxembourg, the innovation leader in 2010, left the group. Group 1, regardless of the year under study, is dominated by the Scandinavian countries, which are generally recognized as the most innovative in Europe. Group 3 is the most numerous, 11 countries were classified into it in 2010 and 10 countries in 2019. This group includes mainly southern European countries and the countries of the former Eastern Bloc. The results show that in 2010 the least innovative countries included Croatia, Poland, Latvia, Bulgaria and Romania. Portugal joined these countries in 2019. Unfortunately, in the analyzed period, no significant progress was made in increasing the level of innovation of the Polish economy compared to other EU countries. Poland ranks low in the innovation ranking and belongs to the last group in the years 2010 and 2019. The conducted study is part of the trend in research on innovation where changes over time are assessed (
Roszko-Wójtowicz and Białek 2019).
Based on the value of the synthetic measure for the EU countries (
), obtained as a result of applying the Hellwig economic development measure, countries were grouped according to the level of economic innovation in 2010 and 2019, using standard deviations (
Figure 3). The values of the arithmetic mean and standard deviation of the synthetic variable were as follows: in 2010,
= 0.235497 and
= 0.118259; and in 2019,
= 0.178826 and
= 0.089795. Based on the above-presented values, the ranges of variability of the synthetic measure were determined for groups of EU countries, which are summarized in
Table 5.
The classification of countries into particular groups in 2010 is presented below (
Figure 3):
- Group 1.
Luxembourg, Sweden, Finland, France, Denmark, The Netherlands
- Group 2.
Germany, Austria, United Kingdom, Ireland, Belgium, Malta
- Group 3.
Cyprus, Spain, Estonia, Hungary, Czech Republic, Slovenia, Italy, Greece, Portugal, Lithuania, Slovakia
- Group 4.
Croatia, Poland, Latvia, Bulgaria, Romania
The classification of countries into particular groups in 2019 is presented below (
Figure 3):
- Group 1.
Ireland, France, The Netherlands, Belgium, Sweden, Germany, Austria, Finland
- Group 2.
Denmark, Luxembourg, United Kingdom, Malta
- Group 3.
Czech Republic, Hungary, Cyprus, Estonia, Spain, Greece, Slovenia, Italy, Slovakia, Lithuania
- Group 4.
Portugal, Latvia, Croatia, Poland, Romania, Bulgaria
Comparing the means in individual groups with the average levels of the indicators in total, the following classification was made:
Very high level: the value of the indicator in the group is at least twice the average value for all the analyzed countries.
High level: the value of the indicator in the group is higher than the average value for all the analyzed countries, but not twice as high.
Moderate level: the value of the indicator in the group is lower than the average value determined for all the analyzed countries, and constitutes from 60% to 99% of this value.
Low level: the value of the indicator in the group is lower than the average value determined for all the analyzed countries, and constitutes from 20% to 59% of this value.
Very low level: the value of the indicator in the group is lower than the average value determined for all the analyzed countries, and constitutes less than 20% of this value.
In 2010, compared to other groups, group 1 achieved the best results, significantly exceeding the levels of individual variables recorded in the other groups. Group 1 is the best in terms of high-tech patent applications to the EPO per million inhabitants and triadic patent family applications per million inhabitants. Despite this fact, group 1 is the worst in terms of the share of students as a percentage of the population aged 18 years, with the mean value not only below the total mean, but also significantly lower than that recorded in groups 2 and 3. Group 2 is the least diversified from the point of view of the mean values of individual indicators and their relation to the total mean. This group performs best in terms of student share as a percentage of the population at the age of 18. Likewise, group 3 performs best in terms of the share of students as a percentage of the population aged 18 and the share of product or process innovative enterprises engaged in any cooperation in the total number of innovative enterprises. Group 1 is the best in terms of high-tech patent applications to the EPO per million inhabitants and triadic patent family applications per million inhabitants. On the other hand, the greatest advantage of group 4 is the share of employment in knowledge-intensive activities in total employment, with the mean value for this group being the lowest in comparison to the means of the other groups (
Table 6,
Table 7 and
Table 8,
Figure 3 and
Figure 4). Thus, group 4 is the worst in comparison with the other groups. It is the only group with such low mean values for as many as five variables (
Table 6,
Table 7 and
Table 8,
Figure 3 and
Figure 4).
Similarly to 2010, group 1 is also the best compared to the other groups in 2019. This group is distinguished in particular by very high values of the rate of high-technology patent applications to the EPO per million inhabitants and the triadic patent family applications per million inhabitants. Group 1 is the worst in terms of EU trademark applications per million inhabitants. Group 2, as in 2010, is the least diversified from the point of view of the mean values of individual indicators and their relation to the total mean. At the same time, group 2 is the best in terms of EU trademark applications per million inhabitants. Group 3 performs best in terms of the share of students as a percentage of the population aged 18 and the share of product or process innovative enterprises engaged in any cooperation in the total number of innovative enterprises. Group 1 is the worst in terms of high-tech patent applications to the EPO per million inhabitants and triadic patent family applications per million inhabitants. In 2019, as in 2010, group 4 is the worst compared to the other groups, it is the only group where such low mean values were recorded for as many as three variables. The greatest advantage of this group is trade in high technologies in EUR million as a percentage of total trade and the share of employment in knowledge-intensive activities in total employment, though the mean values for these variables in this group are still lower than the means in the other groups (
Table 6,
Table 7 and
Table 8,
Figure 3 and
Figure 4).
The analysis conducted shows that although the composition of individual groups has changed over the years, the general characteristics of these groups are relatively stable over time, especially when the subsequent issues are considered (
Raghupathi and Raghupathi 2017;
Roszko-Wójtowicz and Grzelak 2020). The following variables are definitely determinants of innovation: total R&D expenditure in EUR per capita; R&D expenditure in the enterprise sector in EUR per capita; high-tech patent applications to the EPO per million inhabitants; and triadic patent family applications per million inhabitants. The variables that have a small impact on the high level of innovation include: EU trademark applications per million inhabitants; and the share of students as a percentage of the population aged 18 years. In the case of the groups with the lowest levels of innovation, it should be emphasized that their weakest point is low R&D expenditure, which certainly translates, at least to some extent, into low rates of patent applications, especially those in the field of high technologies and triadic patent families. Despite the shifts between the groups, the best results are achieved by the Scandinavian countries, the Netherlands and France. In 2019, Austria and Germany moved to a better, more innovative group. Over the years, the differentiation between countries has diminished, the values of the coefficients of variation have decreased in the case of eight variables. In both analyzed years, group 2 turned out to be the most numerous.
It is significant that the indicators concerning the higher education system in the countries belonging to group 3 are favorable. Nevertheless, it should be emphasized that they only testify to a high level of formal education, and not to a high quality of teaching, which is clearly indicated by the level of innovation in the economies of the countries belonging to the analyzed group. The education system in these countries does not foster the promotion of creativity and the ability to cooperate, nor does it encourage the building of social capital. An insufficient level of social capital development is also evidenced by the lack of lasting links between the sphere of research and scientific institutions and the sphere of enterprises. According to the Global Competitiveness Report, in 2019, the Polish economy ranked 74th among 141 countries under consideration based on the indicators on cooperation and diversification. Poland ranked 70th in terms of the level of development of clusters, while the country held the 116th position in terms of advanced cooperation in the field of research and development between enterprises and universities or research institutions (
Schwab 2019). It can therefore be concluded that Poland lacks an effective system of cooperation between these spheres. On the one hand, entrepreneurs complain that the innovative projects offered by R&D institutions do not meet their needs and show a passive approach to the commercialization of research results. On the other hand, representatives of R&D institutions believe that enterprises have little interest in using research results, as their strategy is focused mainly on the use of simple resources for increasing labor productivity. The reason for this phenomenon can be seen in the shortcomings of social capital, manifested, among others, in the inability to perform tasks jointly, the lack of trust, and the social unwillingness to become engaged in public–private activities.
Moreover, in a situation of a lack of incentives for cooperation between the scientific and research sphere and entrepreneurs, it should not be surprising that expenditures on R&D activities in the economies belonging to groups 3 and 4 are at a relatively low level-in Poland it is only 49% of the EU average, while expenditures on innovation not connected with R&D activities exceed the EU average by more than 29%. It should also be added that the level of state expenditure on R&D activity in Poland is one of the lowest among the EU and OECD countries—according to the European Innovation Scoreboard, the share of public expenditure in 2019 was 53% of the EU average. It is also below the average level observed in the Visegrad Group countries.
This situation results in low rates of high-tech patent applications to the EPO per million inhabitants and triadic patent family applications per million inhabitants in the countries belonging to group 3. Research shows that there is a positive correlation between patent activity and the level of development of the country (
Vonortas 2009). In highly developed countries, there is a traditional culture of inventiveness (e.g., Germany, the Anglo-Saxon countries and the Far East), and patent activity is a common phenomenon. Countries with a lower level of development, however, lack well-established traditions and institutions in this field, hence patent activity is weak.
4. Conclusions
Summarizing the considerations made so far, it must be stated that four groups of the EU countries were distinguished in the study according to the level of innovativeness of the economy (
Figure 2 and
Figure 3). In order to answer the question whether the type of NIS determines the level of innovation of the economies of the European Union countries, the classification of countries in terms of the level of innovation of the economy should be compared with the NIS classification presented in
Section 2 (GMP classification). Comparing these classifications, one can see the compliance of the empirical classification with the NIS classification developed by Godinho, Mendoca, Pereira (GMP classification) (
Table 2). This classification lists two types of NIS–developed and developing, each of which has three subtypes. In the study presented in the article, the EU countries were divided into four groups on the basis of a synthetic measure of innovation of the economy. A comparison of the results of both lists allows us to state that the first two groups of the EU countries in the ranking of innovation of the economy correspond to the developed NIS in the classification of Godinho, Mendoca, Pereira, while the last two to the developing NIS. The only exceptions are Malta and Spain. Malta, belonging to the developing NIS in the GMP classification, was included in the group of countries with a relatively high level of innovation of the economy, and therefore among the developed NIS in the ranking based on the synthetic measure of innovation. On the other hand, Spain, classified in the GMP ranking among developed NSI, was in this ranking among the developing systems. It is worth noting that the countries with the highest level of economic innovation (belonging to the first group in the innovation ranking)—Ireland, the Netherlands, Finland, Sweden, Germany, Great Britain, Finland and Italy—took the highest places in the GMP classification, i.e., they were among the dynamic and stably functioning national information systems in this classification. Summing up, it should be stated that the type of NIS determines the level of innovation in the EU economies.
In the context of the considerations made in the article, it should be stated that the main aim and the research hypothesis formulated in the introduction to the article have been positively verified; thus, the type of NIS determines the level of innovation of the economy in the EU countries. In 2010 and 2019, the countries included in the developed NIS represented a high level of innovation of the economy (except for Spain, which showed a relatively low level of innovation of the economy in the analyzed years), while the countries belonging to the developing NIS show a relatively lower level of innovation (the exception is Malta, which recorded a relatively high level of innovation of the economy in the analyzed years). The countries included in the first group are the founding countries of the EU and the countries admitted to the EU before 2004, the second group includes the countries admitted to the EU in 2004 and later, which, despite many benefits resulting from integration with the EU, have still not closed the innovation gap and caught up to the most developed European economies.
As far as the research originality is concerned, it should be emphasized that it consists mainly in noting the relationship between the level of innovativeness of the EU economies and the type of NSI. Intergroup comparisons of countries based on the authors’ own concept constitute the added value of the presented study. The comparison of the group means with the total means allows us to identify indicators characterized by high, moderate and low values in the individual groups. The basic limitation that the authors had to face concerns the data used in the article. The authors are aware that conducting primary research (e.g., in enterprises) would certainly have enabled us to carry out more in-depth analysis. Moreover, it is worth drawing attention to the fact that there is always the problem of selection and quality of variables in the case of research on multivariate phenomena. It should be noted that data from official statistics (Eurostat) have been used in this research procedure. Nevertheless, it can be assumed that the research results presented in the paper may provide valuable insights that could be used in the type of economic policy where innovation policy plays an important role. The analysis conducted indicates that increasing the efficiency of NSI results in a higher level of innovativeness of the economy. There is no doubt that the conducted research has confirmed that the countries with the highest level of innovativeness are the countries characterized by a relatively high level of variables related to patents. Therefore, the most developed innovation systems are those in which the applicable regulations, including patent law, are conducive to generating innovation. It is worth adding, however, that the propensity for commercializing the results of creative works is a more complex issue resulting also from the general social attitude and the need to legalize the results of conducted research. Hence, as part of recommendations concerning economic policy, in addition to changes in legislation (facilitation and limitation of procedural red tape), programs for entrepreneurs and citizens that will promote the commercialization of research and scientific work should be mentioned. The key prerequisite for increasing the level of innovativeness of the economy is also to ensure a stable macroeconomic environment and an efficiently functioning institutional system which affect the degree of utilizing the technological potential of the economy. Appropriate allocation of financial resources from the state budget and enterprise funds to R&D activity and implementation is also important. Changes in this area should primarily consist in increasing enterprises’ expenditure on R&D by facilitating access to capital at all stages of R&D project implementation. Budget expenditure on R&D ought to also be increased, provided that private enterprises’ expenditure on this type of activity grows faster as well. For financing innovative ventures in enterprises, the development of the venture capital market (private equity, venture capital) is essential. Increasing the level of innovativeness of the economy requires also the development of permanent connections between entities from the R&D sphere and the business sphere, which is fostered by the growth of social capital.