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Article

Systemic Risk Management of Investments in Innovation Based on CSR

by
Vladimir V. Lebedev
1,
Nelia A. Deberdeeva
2,*,
Natalya A. Farkova
3 and
Larisa S. Korobeinikova
4
1
Public Joint Stock Company “Quadra”, Tula 300012, Russia
2
Department of Psychology, Plekhanov Russian University of Economics, Moscow 115093, Russia
3
Diplomatic Academy of the Ministry of Foreign Affairs of the Russian Federation, Moscow 119021, Russia
4
Department of Economic Analysis and Audit, Voronezh State University, Voronezh 394018, Russia
*
Author to whom correspondence should be addressed.
Risks 2022, 10(5), 87; https://doi.org/10.3390/risks10050087
Submission received: 14 February 2022 / Revised: 27 March 2022 / Accepted: 13 April 2022 / Published: 19 April 2022

Abstract

:
The problem studied in this paper consists in the fact that the social and financial risks of investments in innovations are managed in isolation, which leads to limited results (reduces certain risks but raises other risks). This paper is devoted to the search for a new strategy of managing the risks of investments in innovations, which would allow balancing the financial interests of business and the interests of employees and is aimed at developing a framework strategy of the systemic management of all risks based on corporate social responsibility. The methodology of this research is based on regression analysis. The research sample comprises data from 80 countries of the world in 2021. The social and financial risks of investments in innovations are identified, systematized, and quantitatively measured and reconsidered from the positions of the UN SDGs. The paper’s contribution consists in substantiating a systemic interconnection between the social and financial risks of investments in innovations and the possibility of complex management of all these risks based on corporate social responsibility. The theoretical value of this paper consists in overcoming the gap in studying the social and financial risks of investments in innovations. The practical value of the authors’ conclusions and recommendations consists in the developed framework strategy being a practical guide for the systemic management of the risks of investments based on corporate social responsibility.

1. Introduction

Risk is the key guide of any investment strategy. The prospect of return and profitability of investments, which is assessed from the positions of risk, forms the basis for making investment decisions. Investments in innovation are very important for the growth and development of the economy and entrepreneurship, especially in crisis conditions, which economic systems and individuals have faced due to the COVID-19 pandemic. Investments in innovation also carry increased risks and thus need risk management.
The problem is that the risks of investments in innovations have a different nature and are managed in isolation, which reduces the effectiveness of risk management—the reduction of some risks leads to the growth of other risks, and the risk component of investments in innovations is preserved at a high level. (Maglio and Lim 2016). The existing literature distinguishes, first, social risks.
The UN’s Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) are growing in prominence around the world, so companies pay serious attention to them when investing in innovation (Huang et al. 2021a; Inshakova et al. 2021; Ragulina et al. 2021; Xi et al. 2020). The management of the social risks of investments in innovation is based on corporate social responsibility and has to reduce the social consequences and prevent the opposition of company employees to change.
The number of responsible companies that explicitly support and successfully implement the SDGs in their activity is growing constantly. It should be noted that the level of corporate social responsibility in business amid the pandemic and crisis has not reduced but grown, which is mentioned in the works of Purnomo et al. (2021) and Tian and Tian (2021).
Second, financial risks are the unrealized entrepreneurial potential and unachieved targeted results of investments in innovations, which are dictated by the market. Li et al. (2021a), Liu et al. (2021), Roszkowska-Menkes (2018), and Ruggiero and Cupertino (2018) describe corporate social responsibility as a boundary of social risks.
This is caused by the fact that to reduce social risks, responsible companies refuse innovations that will bring the most serious changes (and, accordingly, risks). Therefore, innovations that are implemented imply insufficient changes for the strengthening of a business’s competitiveness and the development of its potential. That is, the reduction of social risks leads to an increase in the financial risks of investments in innovation.
The financial interests of business and the economy (economic growth and high-tech export) contradict the interests of employees (stability, refusal of any changes), and the resolution of this contradiction with the help of corporate social responsibility checks innovations and violates the action of the market mechanism, which is critically important for ensuring the effectiveness of the economy and entrepreneurship.
In this case, it is expedient to search for a new strategy of managing the risks of investments in innovation, which would allow balancing the financial interests of business and employees and will ensure the systemic management of all risks. The risks of investments in innovation are studied in detail in the existing literature, but in isolation: social risks are studied in the works of Brewster et al. (2020), Chi (2021), and Suto and Takehara (2021); financial risks are studied in the works of Li and Vermeulen (2021), Lou et al. (2022), and Wang and Dong (2022). The absence of a comprehensive view of the whole totality of the risks (social and financial) of investments in innovation and the unknowns related to complex management of all these risks are a research gap.
This logically leads to the research question of this paper, which is as follows: How can we ensure the systemic management of the social and financial risks of investments in innovation?
As an answer to the research question, this article proposes the following hypothesis: corporate social responsibility is a prospective mechanism that enables the systemic management of the social and financial risks of investments in innovation. The purpose of this paper is to develop a framework strategy of the systemic risk management of investments in innovation based on corporate social responsibility. Achievement of this purpose predetermines the tasks of the research, which are as follows:
Discovering and quantitatively measuring the social risks of investments in innovation, which are the priorities of risk management;
Identifying the financial risks of investments in innovation and comparing them to social risks by their scale;
Substantiating the advantages of management of the social and financial risks of investments in innovation based on corporate social responsibility.
The methodology of this research is based on regression analysis, a high-precision method of economic statistics analysis. The empirical base for the research is the materials of the interactive database of the World Bank (2021), with the statistics of WIPO’s “Global Innovation Index 2021”. The research sample contains 80 countries for which there are no gaps or almost no gaps in the data for the studied indicators. This paper’s novelty lies in the identification, systematization, precise quantitative measuring, and reconsideration of the social and financial risks of investments in innovation from the positions of the SDGs.
The paper’s originality lies in the substantiation of the systemic interconnection between the social and financial risks of investments in innovation and the possibility of the complex management of all these risks based on corporate social responsibility. This paper adds new knowledge to the existing complex of knowledge in the sphere of managing the risks of investments in innovations through discovering a universal tool that allows for the simultaneous reduction of the social and financial risks (while the existing literature suggests isolated management of these risks). This tool is corporate social responsibility, which is manifested through the providing company’s employees with the opportunity to participate in the creation of innovations.
The paper’s contribution to the literature consists in overcoming the gap in studying the social and financial risks of investments in innovation. The practical value of the authors’ conclusions and recommendations consists in the developed framework strategy being a practical guide to the systemic management of risks of investments in innovation based on corporate social responsibility. It allows for the fullest development of entrepreneurial potential and achievement of target results of investments in innovation that are dictated by the market.
The social implications of the research consist in the systemic implementation of the whole complex of the SDGs during investing in innovations due to corporate social responsibility, which covers all SDGs. The economic implications of the research consist in stimulating the growth of innovative business activity and increasing its effectiveness due to the reduction of the whole spectrum of this activity’s risks.
The literature review elaborates on the essence of the social and financial risks of investments in innovation and demonstrates the seriousness of the research gap: inadmissibility of research in isolation and the contradiction of the existing approaches to risk management of investments in innovation. The literature review is followed by the research methodology, with a description of the research strategy, the theoretical basis of the research, and an explanation of the logic and methodology of testing the hypothesis H. Results include the following:
Determination of the social risks of investments in innovation;
Determination of the financial risks of investments in innovation and their comparison to social risks by their scale;
Substantiation of the advantages of risk management of investments in innovation based on corporate social responsibility for social and financial risks.
In the Discussion, the results obtained are compared to the literature. The value of scholarly knowledge obtained in this paper is described. The Conclusion sums up the research and describes the limitations and perspectives of further studies.

2. Literature Review

This article is based on the fundamental provisions of the theory of managing the risks of investments in innovation.
The central category of this theory and this paper is the notion of the risk of investments in innovation, which is treated as possible (probabilistic) negative consequences (aggravation of any indicators of a company’s activity) of investments in innovation for (internal and external) interested parties.
Social risks of investments in innovation are probabilistic negative consequences for the company’s employees or society. According to the existing theory, they are reflected in Table 1 (they are also compared to the SDGs).
As shown in Table 1, the social risks of investments in innovation include the following:
According to SDG 8: first, the risk of reduction of the knowledge intensity of jobs during automatization: employees might be forced to move from creative jobs to technical maintenance of machines. Social risk management based on corporate social responsibility allows successful management of this risk, ensuring the increase in the knowledge intensity of employment for the human control of machines (Carlini and Grace 2021; Nicolopoulou 2011);
Second, the risk of reduction of labor efficiency due to the growth of workload on employees. Social risk management based on corporate social responsibility allows successful management of this risk, ensuring the improvement of labor conditions for the development of human potential and growth of labor efficiency (Li et al. 2021b; Tambosi et al. 2021);
According to SDG 4: the risk of reduction of the number of jobs during automatization. Social risk management based on corporate social responsibility allows successful management of this risk, ensuring retraining/advanced training of personnel based on formal training, to prevent personnel cuts (Papa et al. 2021; Sareen and Pandey 2021);
According to SDG 9: the risk of reducing the possibilities for employees to participate in the creation of innovations during companies’ purchase of ready innovations. Social risk management based on corporate social responsibility allows successful management of this risk, ensuring the creation of own innovations with the maximum involvement of the company’s employees in this process (Hu et al. 2021);
According to SDG 5: the risk of reduction of gender neutrality of jobs due to the aggravation of competition among employees. Social risk management based on corporate social responsibility allows successful management of this risk, ensuring the support of females as creative personnel to preserve the healthy working climate in a company (Owalla et al. 2021; Restrepo et al. 2021).
Financial risks of investments in innovation are probabilistic negative consequences for the company (including owners, stockholders, investors, and management), government, and economy. According to the existing theory, they are reflected in Table 2. Like social risks, they are compared to the SDGs.
As shown in Table 2, the financial risks of investments in innovation include the following:
Risk of the complexity of selling high-tech innovations due to their high cost;
Risk of reduction of competitiveness of business due to unclaimed innovations.
Financial risk management of investments in innovation is implemented based on automatization. It implies the implementation of the following measures:
Increase in the norms of creative labor for the growth of intellectual property receipts (Prowse 2009; Yu and Fu 2021);
Purchase of ready innovations for the growth of high-tech manufacturing and high-tech exports (Busch and Richards 2006; Oswal et al. 2014);
Creation of smart companies for the creation and strengthening of global brand value (Lee and Trimi 2018; Zheng et al. 2018).
The systemic view of social and financial risks of managing the investments in innovation and the consequences of risk management is presented in Table 3.
As shown in Table 3, the approaches to the risk management of investments in innovation are essentially different during the management of social and financial risks. Social risk management implies the implementation of human-oriented innovations based on corporate social responsibility (Ghiasi et al. 2021; Pīlēna et al. 2021; Szemere et al. 2021). Financial risk management is connected to the reduction of the influence of the “human factor” through automatization.
The contradiction of the approaches to risk management of investments in innovation consists in social risk management increasing the effect of the “human factor” on innovations and thus raising their financial risks (Ali et al. 2021; Divella and Sterlacchini 2021; Weinberger et al. 2021). In contrast, financial risk management implies automatization, which increases the social risks of investments in innovation. Thus, the financial and social risks of investments in innovation are managed in isolation (forcedly), since their common solution (a universal managerial mechanism) is absent—this reduces the effectiveness of risk management and restrains the investments in innovation.
The conducted literature review demonstrated the following research gaps:
Absence of a clear and complex idea of the quantitative expression of the social and financial risks of investments in innovation and their proportion;
There is no scientific view of the connection (neither its presence nor absence is confirmed) between corporate social responsibility and the financial risks of investments in innovation. The ideas offered in the works (Boasson and Boasson 2015; Huang et al. 2021b; Lubberink et al. 2017; van de Poel et al. 2017; Zhao and Wang 2019) that corporate social responsibility (aimed at the reduction of the social risks) increases the financial risks of investments in innovation remain at the level of theoretical suppositions—untested hypotheses. The existing publications (Hadj 2020; Kharlanov et al. 2022; Paredes-Frigolett 2016; Polukhin and Panarina 2022; Wu 2017) also suggest alternative hypotheses and provide theoretical arguments in favor of corporate social responsibility reducing the financial risks of business; however, the evidential base is not formed, and these hypotheses also remain untested.
The discovered research gaps predetermine the uncertainty of the risks of investments in innovation. Their fragmentary research (in isolation—social and financial risks) does not allow forming a comprehensive idea of the whole totality of risks. Taking into account the fact that the social and financial risks are equally important (as shown in this paper, they contribute equally to the achievement of the SDGs), it is important to search for a common (universal, the one that could be applied to the social and financial risks, and non-contradictory) solution for managing all these risks.
This paper attempts to find this solution through collecting factual data on the impact of corporate social responsibility on the financial risks of investments in innovation. The discovered research gaps are filled in through the development of a framework strategy of the systemic risk management of investments in innovation based on corporate social responsibility.

3. Methodology

The research question (RQ) and the hypothesis of this study are shown in Figure 1.
The formulated goal and tasks predetermined the strategy (logic and order) of this research (Table 4).
The methodology of this research is based on regression analysis, a high-precision method of economic statistics analysis. Its reliability during the study of innovations is confirmed in the works of Chen and Lei (2018), Coad and Rao (2008), and Ebersberger and Herstad (2013).
The empirical basis of the research includes the materials of the interactive map of the World Bank (2021), which contains the statistics of WIPO’s “Global Innovation Index 2021”. The research sample consists of 80 countries for which gaps in the data are absent or almost absent (for the considered indicators). The sample is given in the Supplement. Data were collected with the help of systematization—the statistics from different sources were standardized and brought down to a common list of countries (array of data). The research uses the data for 2021.
According to the research strategy (Table 4), at the first stage (within the first research task), the authors discover the social risks of investments in innovation—from the positions of employees of innovation-active companies. The dependence of the social consequences (Srisk) on investments in innovation (InvestInnov) is found. It takes the following form:
Srisk = σSrisk + μSrisk × InvestInnov
The indicators of the social risks of investments in innovation are as follows:
Knowledge-intensive employment, % (Srisk1);
Firms offering formal training, % (Srisk2);
Labor productivity growth, % (Srisk3);
Research talent, % in businesses (Srisk4);
Females employed w/advanced degrees, % (Srisk5).
The indicators of investments in innovation are as follows:
Venture capital investors, score 0–100 (InvestInnov1);
GERD financed by business, % (InvestInnov2).
The social risks of investments in innovation are the negative social consequences (for which μSrisk < 0).
At the second stage (within the second research task), the dependence of the financial risks (Frisk) on investments in innovation (InvestInnov) is found. It has the following form:
Frisk = σFrisk1 + μFrisk1 × InvestInnov
The financial risks of investments in innovation are the negative social consequences (for which μFrisk1 < 0).
At the third stage (within the third research task), the dependence of the financial risks (Frisk) on the social consequences of investments in innovation (Srisk)—manifestations of corporate social responsibility—is found. It takes the following form:
Frisk = σFrisk2 + μFrisk2 × Srisk
The target financial results of investments in innovation are as follows:
High-tech manufacturing, % (Frisk1);
High-tech exports, % total trade (Frisk2);
Global brand value, top 5000, % of GDP (Frisk3);
Intellectual property receipts, % of total trade (Frisk4).
The proposed hypothesis (H) is deemed proved if in such manifestations of corporate social responsibility (Srisk) μresult2 > 0 is found. Based on Equation (3), a framework strategy of systemic management (social and financial) of risks of investments in innovation based on corporate social responsibility is developed.
Then, the evaluation and comparison (using the method of comparative analysis) of the systemic results of managing the social and financial risks (I) are performed:
During financial risk management—the reduction of the influence of the “human factor” through automatization (Ifin): arithmetic mean of the percentage growth of the indicators of social consequences (Srisk) according to Equation (1) and financial consequences (Frisk) according to Equation (2) with the maximum (100%) values of the indicators of investments in innovation (InvestInov): Ifin = [(∆Sriskfin/5) + (∆Friskfin/4)]/2;
During the management of social risks—implementation of human-oriented innovations based on corporate social responsibility (Icsr): as the arithmetic mean of the percentage growth of the indicators of social consequences (Srisk) and financial consequences (Frisk) according to Equation (3) with maximum (100%) values of the indicators of social consequences, achieved through corporate social responsibility: Icsr = [(∆Sriskcsr/5) + (∆Friskcsr/4)]/2.
The approach to managing the risks of investments in innovation based on corporate social responsibility is deemed preferable from the positions of systemic risk management if Icsr > Ifin and (∆Sriskcsr/5) > 0 and (∆Friskcsr/4) > 0.

4. Results

4.1. The Social and Financial Risks of Investments in Innovations

For the maximum accuracy of the final results and exclusion of their false treatments, let us perform a multicollinearity test, which allows discovering and excluding the duplicate variables. For this, a matrix of correlation of all variables is compiled (Table 5).
The results of the correlation analysis from Table 5 do not show the duplicate variables (cross-correlation of which exceeds 0.9 in absolute value). Therefore, multicollinearity is absent, and each variable is unique. The significance level in the correlation matrix equals 0.08 (which is more than 0.05).
Within the solution of the first research task, to identify the social risks of investments in innovation—from the positions of employees of innovation-active companies—according to the presented logic and orders of the research (Figure 1), the dependence of the social consequences (Srisk) on investments in innovation (InvestInnov) is found. It is expressed in Equation (1) (Table 6).
The results of the regression analysis (Table 2) demonstrate the presence of two social risks of investments in innovation (the proof is the negative values of μrisk). First, the risk of reduction of the number of jobs and the absence of opportunities for retraining/advanced training. An increase in venture capital investors of 1 score causes a decrease in the share of firms offering formal training of 0.22%. An increase in the share of GERD financed by business of 1% causes a decrease in firms offering formal training of 0.06%. Second, the risk of reduction of opportunities for the development of human potential, expressed in labor productivity. An increase in venture capital investors of 1 score causes a decrease in labor productivity growth of 0.07%.
Consequently, of the five potential social risks (objects of possible social changes under the influence of innovations) from Table 1, only two risks are confirmed—which is a sign of the general moderate level of social risks of investments in innovation. More detailed results of the regression, including the level of significance, R and R-square, F-criterion, and other regression statistics, are given in Table A1, Table A2, Table A3, Table A4 and Table A5 (in Appendix A).
Within the solution of the second research task, to find the financial risks of investments in innovation and compare them to the social risks by their scale, the dependence of the financial results (Frisk) on investments in innovation (InvestInnov) is calculated. It is expressed in Equation (2) (Table 7).
As shown in Table 7, almost all discovered dependencies are positive (μFrisk1 > 0), which is a sign of the low financial risks of investments in innovation. The only revealed negative change of the financial indicators of companies’ activity during investing in innovations is a slight decrease in high-tech export (by 0.02%, which is neglectfully small).
The comparative analysis of the results from Table 6 and Table 7 shows that the financial risks of investments in innovation (0.02) are much lower than the social risks (0.22 + 0.06 + 0.07 = 0.35). That is why the management of social risks is of higher priority, which strengthens the scientific arguments in favor of the expedience of using corporate social responsibility during the systemic management of risks of investments in innovation. More detailed results of the regression, including the level of significance, R and R-square, F-criterion, and other regressions statistics, are given in Table A6, Table A7, Table A8 and Table A9.

4.2. Advantages of the Management of Social and Financial Risks of Investments in Innovations Based on Corporate Social Responsibility

Within the solution of the third research task, to substantiate the advantages of management of the social and financial risks of investments in innovation based on corporate social responsibility, the dependence of the financial results (Frisk) on social consequences of investments in innovation (Srisk)—manifestations of corporate social responsibility—is found. It is expressed in Equation (3) (Table 8).
As shown in Table 8, corporate social responsibility, which is manifested through allowing a company’s employees to participate in the creation of innovations, is a universal factor that makes a significant positive contribution to the decrease in social and financial risks of investments in innovation. More detailed results of the regression, including the level of significance, R and R-square, F-criterion, and other regressions statistics, are given in Table A10, Table A11, Table A12 and Table A13.
An increase in the share of business structures that support research talent of 1% causes an increase in high-tech manufacturing of 0.51%; an increase in high-tech exports of 0.53%; an increase in total trade, global brand value of the top 500 of 0.45% of GDP; and an increase in intellectual property receipts of 0.42% of total trade. Therefore, there is a systemic interconnection between the social and financial risks of investments in innovation, as well as the potential possibility of complex management of all these risks (hypothesis H was proved).
It is also established that such a targeted financial result of investments in innovation as an increase in the share of high-tech manufacturing has positive dependence on all manifestations of corporate social responsibility. Since there are many such manifestations of corporate social responsibility (Srisk) for which μFrisk2 > 0 (they are all considered manifestations of corporate social responsibility), the offered hypothesis (in Figure 1—Hypothesis H) is deemed proved. However, the manifestations of the aggravation of the financial risks of investments in innovation during companies’ manifestation of corporate social responsibility are discovered (“*” in Table 4).
Therefore, corporate social responsibility really (as is supposed in the existing literature) raises, to a certain extent, some financial risks of investments in innovation (which supplements and develops the scientific provisions of the works of Boasson and Boasson 2015; Huang et al. 2021a; Lubberink et al. 2017; van de Poel et al. 2017; Zhao and Wang 2019). However, corporate social responsibility significantly contributes to the reduction of other financial risks, increasing the effect of investments in innovation (which supplements and develops the scientific provisions of the works of Hadj 2020; Kharlanov et al. 2022; Paredes-Frigolett 2016; Polukhin and Panarina 2022; Wu 2017). This allows for the simultaneous management of the financial and social risks of investments in innovation based on the universal mechanism of risk management of investments in innovation—corporate social responsibility.

4.3. The Systemic Approach to Managing the Risks of Investments Based on Corporate Social Responsibility

Using the results of the regression analysis from Table 4, a framework strategy of the systemic risk management of investments in innovation based on corporate social responsibility was developed. According to it, the recommendations are as follows:
Reduce the social risks of investments in innovation through (1) creation of additional jobs and providing employees with the opportunities for retraining/advanced training based on formal training in innovation-active companies and (2) expansion of opportunities for the development of human potential, which is expressed in labor productivity during investments in innovation;
Strive toward the fullest development of the potential of increase in the share of high-tech manufacturing through the complex maximization of the social advantages of corporate social responsibility while investing in innovation;
Support financial risk management of investments in innovation, with the help of corporate social responsibility, to obtain a synergetic effect in the form of an even larger increase in the targeted financial results through (1) increase in knowledge-intensive jobs, (2) expansion of opportunities of employees’ participation in the creation of innovations and (3) increase in gender neutrality of jobs.
The proved presence of the possibility does not mean the expedience of the simultaneous management of the financial and social risks of investments in innovation, which has yet to be proved. For this, the systemic results of managing the social and financial risks are evaluated (I).
During financial risk management—reduction of the influence of the “human factor” through automatization (Ifin)—the systemic results of managing the social and financial risks are determined based on the data from Table 2 and Table 3. At the maximum (100%/100 score) values of the indicators of investments in innovation (InvestInov), the consequences are as follows (Table 9).
As shown in Table 9, the arithmetic mean of the percentage growth of the indicators of social consequences (Srisk) is as follows: ∆Sriskfin/5 = (83.03 − 81.30 − 6.40 + 151.64 + 93.29)/5 = 48.05. The arithmetic mean of the financial results (Frisk) is as follows: ∆Friskfin/4 = (94.70 + 99.36 + 234.85 + 296.74)/4 = 181.41. During the management of financial risks—reduction of the influence of the “human factor” through automatization—the results of managing the social and financial risks are as follows: Ifin = [(∆Sriskfin/5) + (∆Friskfin/4)]/2 = (48.05 + 181.41)/2 = 107.32.
During the management of the social risks—implementation of human-oriented innovations based on corporate social responsibility (Icsr)—the systemic results of managing the social and financial risks are determined based on the data from Table 4. At the maximum (100%) social consequences, which are achieved due to corporate social responsibility, the consequences are as follows (Table 10).
As shown in Table 10, the arithmetic mean of the percentage growth of the indicators of the social consequences (Srisk) is as follows: ∆Sriskcsr/5 = (112.82 + 295.53 + 71.38 + 176.65 + 129.78)/5 = 157.23. The arithmetic mean of the financial results (Frisk) is as follows: ∆Friskcsr/4 = (97.25 + 161.11 + 59.01 + 169.00)/4 = 121.59. In the new (socially-oriented) strategy of managing the risks of investments in innovation, which is based on corporate social responsibility, the systemic results of managing the social and financial risks are as follows: Icsr = [(∆Sriskcsr/5) + (∆Friskcsr/4)]/2 = (157.23 + 121.59)/2 = 141.39.
Since Icsr > Ifin (141.39 > 107.32) and (∆Sriskcsr/5) > 0 (157.23 > 0) and (∆Friskcsr/4) > 0 (121.59 > 0), the approach to managing the risks of investments in innovation based on corporate social responsibility is considered preferable.
This is confirmed not only at the level of generalized results but also at the level of the specific results, for in case of the approach to managing the financial risks—reduction of the influence of the “human factor” through automatization—the social risks aggravate: firms offering formal training (∆Srisk2 < 0) and labor productivity growth (∆Srisk3 < 0) reduce. In contrast, the approach to managing the risks of investments in innovation based on corporate social responsibility does not lead to growth; on the contrary, it reduced each social and financial risk of investments in innovation.
The advantages of the systemic risk management of investments in innovation based on corporate social responsibility through the lens of the SDGs are systematized in Table 11.
The information presented in Table 11 specifies the systemic view of social and financial risks of managing the investments in innovations and the consequences of risk management (Table 3). It was proved that the implementation of human-oriented innovations based on the mechanism of corporate social responsibility allows for the simultaneous (systemic) and highly effective management of all—social and financial—risks of investments in innovation.
The developed framework strategy of the systemic risk management of investments in innovation—which is based on corporate social responsibility—ensures the following advantages (from the positions of sustainable development):
Contribution to the achievement of SDG 4: retraining/advanced training of personnel based on formal training to prevent personnel cuts—an increase in the number of jobs by 71.38%;
Contribution to the achievement of SDG 5: provision of gender-neutral jobs—an increase in the number of supported females as creative personnel to preserve the “healthy” working climate in the company by 129.78;
Contribution to the achievement of SDG 8 (decent work): first, an increase in knowledge intensity of employment for the human control of machines by 112.82%. Second, improvement of labor conditions for the development of human potential and growth of labor efficiency by 295.53%;
Contribution to the achievement of SDG 8 (economic growth) and SDG 9: first, creation of own innovations with the maximum involvement of company employees in this process. Second, simplification/support of selling high-tech innovations. Third, the growth of competitiveness of business due to needed innovations—the growth of high-tech manufacturing by 97.25%; growth of high-tech exports by 161.11%; growth of global brand value (top 500) by 59.01%; growth of intellectual property receipts by 169%.

5. Discussion

This paper contributes to the development of the theory of managing the risks of investments in innovation, through the quantitative measuring of the social and financial risks of investments in innovation and proposing a mechanism of the complex management of these risks that are based on corporate social responsibility. The revealed universal mechanism—providing the company’s employees with an opportunity to participate in the creation of innovations—answered the set research question, demonstrating that corporate social responsibility allows for the systemic management of the social and financial risks of investments in innovations.
Contrary to the existing literature sources, the results that were obtained in this article show the following:
Corporate social responsibility raises the economic effectiveness of investments in innovation (facilitates the achievement of companies’ targeted financial results), which is different from the assumptions proposed in various studies (Ali et al. 2021; Divella and Sterlacchini 2021; Weinberger et al. 2021);
Financial and social risks of investments in innovation could and should (useful for companies) be managed systemically. Contrary to various studies (Ghiasi et al. 2021; Pīlēna et al. 2021; Szemere et al. 2021), a common solution (universal management mechanism) was found—corporate social responsibility.
The obtained conclusions form the scientific arguments for the choice of the developed strategy of the systemic management of investments in innovations, which is based on corporate social responsibility. Due to the results obtained, this paper has filled in the research gaps and contributed to the literature in the following way:
Forming a clear and complex view of the social and financial risks of investments in innovation: most of the risks are not implemented in practice, i.e., have a low probability of emergence;
Quantitatively measuring these risks and proving that the level of financial risks (risk of reduction of high-tech export: μFrisk1 = −0.02%) is below the level of social risks (risk of reduction of jobs and absence of the possibilities for retraining/advanced training: μSrisk1 = 0.22%; μSrisk2 = 0.06%; risk of reduction of possibilities for the development of human potential, which is expressed in labor efficiency: μSrisk = 0.07%) of investments in innovation;
Proving the contribution of corporate social responsibility to the reduction of all financial risks of investments in innovation: intellectual property receipts +0.61% (∑μFrisk2 = 0.06 + 0.01 + 0 + 0.51 + 0.03); high-tech manufacturing +0.67% (∑μFrisk2 = −0.08 + 0.12 + 0.14 + 0.53 − 0.04); high-tech exports +0.17% (∑μFrisk2 = 0 − 0.17 − 0.08 + 0.45 − 0.03); global brand value +0.565% of GDP (∑μFrisk2 = 0.14 − 0.12 − 0.15 + 0.42 + 0.27).
The practical significance of the authors’ conclusions and recommendations is as follows: the developed framework strategy of the systemic risk management of investments in innovation based on corporate social responsibility allows optimizing the consequences of investments in innovation: reducing the social risks by 157.23% and financial risks by 121.59%.

6. Conclusions

The complex resolution of the set tasks allowed achieving the goal of this research: developing a framework strategy of the systemic management of the risks of investments in innovations based on corporate social responsibility.
Within the framework of the first task, the authors revealed and quantitatively measured the social risks of investments in innovation. The authors revealed two social risks of investments in innovation. The first risk: reduction of the number of jobs and absence of opportunities for retraining/advanced training (0.22%). The second risk: reduction of opportunities for the development of human potential, which is expressed in labor productivity (0.06%).
Within the framework of the second task, the authors identified the only financial risk of investments in innovation: a negative change of the financial indicators of company activity during investing in innovations is an insignificant decrease in high-tech export (by 0.02%, which is neglectfully small). The authors compared the risks by their scale and revealed that the social risks are much higher than the financial risks (0.28 > 0.02). This is a reason why social risks are the priorities of risk management.
Within the framework of the third task, the authors substantiated the advantages of management of social and financial risks of investments in innovation based on corporate social responsibility. Corporate social responsibility ensures the improvement of all considered financial indicators of investments in innovation: intellectual property receipts +0.61%, high-tech manufacturing +0.67%, high-tech exports +0.17%, and global brand value +0.565% of GDP.
As a result, the sought framework strategy of the systemic risk management of investments in innovation based on corporate social responsibility was developed. The main provisions of the authors’ framework strategy are as follows: (1) prioritized reduction of the social risks of investments in innovation, (2) striving toward the fullest development of the potential of growth of the share of high-tech manufacturing, (3) support of other targeted positive financial consequences, which are achieved through investments in innovation, with the help of corporate social responsibility, to gain a synergetic effect. These provisions are supplemented with practical (specifying) recommendations. The strategy allows reducing the social risks by 157.23% on average and financial risks by 121.59% on average.
The theoretical significance of the conclusions obtained consists in proving that the systemic risk management of social and financial risks of investments in innovation is possible based on the managerial mechanism of corporate social responsibility. The proposed hypothesis was proved. Corporate social responsibility is universal, for it ensures the systemic reduction of the social and financial risks of investments in innovation. The above results determine the paper’s contribution to the literature (to the development of the theory of managing the risks of investments in innovation).
The practical value of the authors’ conclusions consists in providing the objective proof of the necessity for a deep change in the existing practice of managing the risks of investments in innovations. Corporate social responsibility should move to the foreground of managing these risks. The authors’ developed strategy opens a possibility for the systemic management of the risks of investments in innovations based on providing employees with an opportunity to participate in the creation of innovation and demonstrates the vivid advantages of this strategy in the form of reduction of the social and financial risks.
The proposed strategy would be especially useful for companies that are leaders in the spheres of the economy—large and transnational businesses, which pay a lot of attention to corporate social responsibility and sustainable development. The contradiction in the system of risk management is dealt with in the new strategy, which allows increasing the scale of the programs of corporate social responsibility without any limitations. From the practical point of view, the proprietary strategy is also to support investments in innovations among small and medium entrepreneurship, which is the least sustainable and urgently needs systemic risk management under the conditions of economic restoration after the COVID-19 crisis.
Management implications consist in substantiating the necessity for the correction of the practice of managing the risks of investments in innovation, during which much more attention should be paid to corporate social responsibility than was considered previously. Social implications are due to the proposed strategy ensuring the maximization and systemic character of the contribution of investments in innovation to the practical implementation of SDG 4, SDG 5, SDG 8, and SDG 9.
Despite the generally positive impact on the financial consequences of investments in innovation, corporate social responsibility is more effective (by its nature) in the reduction of the social risks of investments in innovation. This is shown by the fact that though the general level of the financial risks reduces during the use of the mechanism of corporate social responsibility, there is still a certain decrease in the financial consequences of investments in innovation. Thus, a decrease during certain manifestations of corporate social responsibility is observed in high-tech exports, global brand value, and intellectual property receipts.
A limitation of the performed research is that corporate social responsibility is proposed as an alternative to automatization. Under the conditions of the Fourth Industrial Revolution, further automatization is inevitable and necessary for the accelerated restoration of the world economy and entrepreneurship after the COVID-19 crisis. Though the obtained results are valuable because they allow overcoming the contradiction between the social and financial risks and ensuring their systemic management, this seems to be only an intermediary result on the path of the optimization of risk management of investments in innovation. The revealed Pareto optimality (proposed framework strategy) is effective, but further scientific search aimed at the harmonization of automatization and corporate social responsibility is expedient. This should be done in the next scientific studies.
Most likely, the discovered universal mechanism of the systemic management of the risks of investments in innovations—providing company’s employees with the opportunity to participate in the creation of innovations—is the first of the range of such mechanisms that allow for the simultaneous (and without contradiction) reduction of the social and financial risks of the business. This opens a wide field for further scientific search for other mechanisms, which should be done in the next scientific works.

Author Contributions

Conceptualization, L.S.K.; Formal analysis, N.A.F.; Methodology, V.V.L.; Project administration, N.A.D.; Resources, L.S.K., V.V.L.; Writing—review & editing, N.A.D. and N.A.F. All authors have read and agreed to the published version of the manuscript.

Funding

This research received no external funding.

Data Availability Statement

Not applicable.

Conflicts of Interest

The authors declare no conflict of interest.

Appendix A

Table A1. Regression statistics of the dependence Srisk1 on investments in innovation (InvestInnov).
Table A1. Regression statistics of the dependence Srisk1 on investments in innovation (InvestInnov).
Regression Statistics
Multiple R0.55933
R-square0.31285
Adjusted R-square0.295
Standard error20.6915
Observations80
Analysis of variance
DfSSMSFSignificance F
Regression215,009.27504.5817.52845.3 × 10−7
Residual7732,966.7428.139
Total7947,975.9
CoefficientsStandard errort-Statp-ValueLower 95%Upper 95%
Y-intercept30.92964.246537.28352.4 × 10−1022.473739.3855
InvestInnov10.382620.082014.66531.3 × 10−50.219310.54593
InvestInnov20.168110.083092.023280.046510.002660.33357
Source: Authors’ calculations.
Table A2. Regression statistics of the dependence Srisk2 on investments in innovation (InvestInnov).
Table A2. Regression statistics of the dependence Srisk2 on investments in innovation (InvestInnov).
Regression Statistics
Multiple R0.2766
R-square0.07651
Adjusted R-square0.05252
Standard error25.8833
Observations80
Analysis of variance
dfSSMSFSignificance F
Regression24273.82136.93.189670.04668
Residual7751,585.8669.945
Total7955,859.6
CoefficientsStandard errort-Statp-ValueLower 95%Upper 95%
Y-intercept33.03595.312046.219072.4 × 10−822.458343.6136
InvestInnov1−0.21980.10259−2.14280.03529−0.4241−0.0155
InvestInnov2−0.06320.10394−0.60840.54473−0.27020.14373
Source: Authors’ calculations.
Table A3. Regression statistics of the dependence Srisk3 on investments in innovation (InvestInnov).
Table A3. Regression statistics of the dependence Srisk3 on investments in innovation (InvestInnov).
Regression Statistics
Multiple R0.14149
R-square0.02002
Adjusted R-square−0.0054
Standard error15.3206
Observations80
Analysis of variance
dfSSMSFSignificance F
Regression2369.24184.620.786550.45904
Residual7718,073.6234.722
Total7918,442.8
CoefficientsStandard errort-Statp-ValueLower 95%Upper 95%
Y-intercept58.40943.1442618.57653.6 × 10−3052.148464.6705
InvestInnov1−0.07490.06073−1.2330.22134−0.19580.04605
InvestInnov20.036930.061520.600260.5501−0.08560.15944
Source: Authors’ calculations.
Table A4. Regression statistics of the dependence Srisk4 on investments in innovation (InvestInnov).
Table A4. Regression statistics of the dependence Srisk4 on investments in innovation (InvestInnov).
Regression Statistics
Multiple R0.83235
R-square0.69281
Adjusted R-square0.68483
Standard error17.3667
Observations80
Analysis of variance
dfSSMSFSignificance F
Regression252,374.526,187.386.82761.8 × 10−20
Residual7723,223.2301.601
Total7975,597.8
CoefficientsStandard errort-Statp-ValueLower 95%Upper 95%
Y-intercept−3.09633.56417−0.86870.3877−10.1934.00088
InvestInnov10.105750.068831.536290.12857−0.03130.24282
InvestInnov20.834780.0697411.97033 × 10−190.695920.97365
Source: Authors’ calculations.
Table A5. Regression statistics of the dependence Srisk5 on investments in innovation (InvestInnov).
Table A5. Regression statistics of the dependence Srisk5 on investments in innovation (InvestInnov).
Regression Statistics
Multiple R0.54434
R-square0.29631
Adjusted R-square0.27803
Standard error23.5045
Observations80
Analysis of variance
dfSSMSFSignificance F
Regression217,912.58956.2516.21151.3 × 10−6
Residual7742,539.7552.463
Total7960,452.2
CoefficientsStandard errort-Statp-ValueLower 95%Upper 95%
Y-intercept21.65624.823854.48942.5 × 10−512.050731.2617
InvestInnov10.264750.093162.841780.005740.079240.45026
InvestInnov20.359870.094393.812810.000280.171930.54782
Source: Authors’ calculations.
Table A6. Regression statistics of the dependence of Frisk1 on investments in innovation (InvestInnov).
Table A6. Regression statistics of the dependence of Frisk1 on investments in innovation (InvestInnov).
Regression Statistics
Multiple R0.71487
R-square0.51104
Adjusted R-square0.49834
Standard error16.5211
Observations80
Analysis of variance
dfSSMSFSignificance F
Regression221,966.310,983.140.2391.1 × 10−12
Residual7721,016.9272.947
Total7942,983.2
CoefficientsStandard errort-Statp-ValueLower 95%Upper 95%
Y-intercept13.07063.390633.854930.000246.3190319.8223
InvestInnov10.087550.065481.336930.18518−0.04280.21794
InvestInnov20.532180.066348.021749.2 × 10−120.400080.66429
Source: Authors’ calculations.
Table A7. Regression statistics of the dependence of Frisk2 on investments in innovation (InvestInnov).
Table A7. Regression statistics of the dependence of Frisk2 on investments in innovation (InvestInnov).
Regression Statistics
Multiple R0.506
R-square0.25604
Adjusted R-square0.23671
Standard error24.7473
Observations80
Analysis of variance
DfSSMSFSignificance F
Regression216,229.38114.6313.24991.1 × 10−5
Residual7747,157.2612.431
Total7963,386.5
CoefficientsStandard errort-Statp-ValueLower 95%Upper 95%
Y-intercept4.726275.078910.930570.35499−5.387114.8397
InvestInnov1−0.0220.09809−0.22410.82324−0.21730.17334
InvestInnov20.492890.099384.959864.1 × 10−60.295010.69078
Source: Authors’ calculations.
Table A8. Regression statistics of the dependence of Frisk3 on investments in innovation (InvestInnov).
Table A8. Regression statistics of the dependence of Frisk3 on investments in innovation (InvestInnov).
Regression Statistics
Multiple R0.71342
R-square0.50897
Adjusted R-square0.49621
Standard error15.8483
Observations80
Analysis of variance
dfSSMSFSignificance F
Regression220,046.410,023.239.9061.3 × 10−12
Residual7719,340.1251.17
Total7939,386.4
CoefficientsStandard errort-Statp-ValueLower 95%Upper 95%
Y-intercept−3.98263.25256−1.22440.22452−10.4592.49409
InvestInnov10.309790.062824.931654.6 × 10−60.184710.43488
InvestInnov20.353690.063645.557643.8 × 10−70.226970.48042
Source: Authors’ calculations.
Table A9. Regression statistics of the dependence of Frisk4 on investments in innovation (InvestInnov).
Table A9. Regression statistics of the dependence of Frisk4 on investments in innovation (InvestInnov).
Regression Statistics
Multiple R0.68414
R-square0.46804
Adjusted R-square0.45422
Standard error23.2825
Observations80
Analysis of variance
DfSSMSFSignificance F
Regression236,724.618,362.333.87412.8 × 10−11
Residual7741,739.7542.074
Total7978,464.3
CoefficientsStandard errort-Statp-ValueLower 95%Upper 95%
Y-intercept−8.9254.77827−1.86780.06559−18.440.58977
InvestInnov10.4780.092285.17971.7 × 10−60.294240.66176
InvestInnov20.418860.093494.480112.6 × 10−50.232690.60503
Source: Authors’ calculations.
Table A10. Regression statistics of the dependence of Frisk1 on social consequences of investments in innovation (Srisk).
Table A10. Regression statistics of the dependence of Frisk1 on social consequences of investments in innovation (Srisk).
Regression Statistics
Multiple R0.72075
R-square0.51948
Adjusted R-square0.48701
Standard error16.7067
Observations80
Analysis of variance
DfSSMSFSignificance F
Regression522,328.84465.7615.99981.2 × 10−10
Residual7420,654.4279.113
Total7942,983.2
CoefficientsStandard errort-Statp-ValueLower 95%Upper 95%
Y-intercept16.25129.366691.7350.0869−2.412334.9148
Srisk10.055480.099330.558540.57816−0.14240.2534
Srisk20.006440.074490.086490.93131−0.1420.15486
Srisk3−0.00340.13197−0.02550.97974−0.26630.25959
Srisk40.508180.071877.070417.3 × 10−100.364970.65139
Srisk50.030990.089590.345920.73038−0.14750.20951
Source: Authors’ calculations.
Table A11. Regression statistics of the dependence of Frisk2 on social consequences of investments in innovation (Srisk).
Table A11. Regression statistics of the dependence of Frisk2 on social consequences of investments in innovation (Srisk).
Regression Statistics
Multiple R0.53975
R-square0.29133
Adjusted R-square0.24345
Standard error24.638
Observations80
Analysis of variance
dfSSMSFSignificance F
Regression518,466.33693.266.084169 × 10−5
Residual7444,920.2607.029
Total7963,386.5
CoefficientsStandard errort-Statp-ValueLower 95%Upper 95%
Y-intercept1.2625813.81340.09140.92742−26.26128.7864
Srisk1−0.08490.14649−0.57940.56405−0.37680.207
Srisk20.119020.109851.083520.2821−0.09990.3379
Srisk30.141760.194610.728420.46866−0.2460.52954
Srisk40.528160.1064.98284 × 10−60.316950.73936
Srisk5−0.0380.13213−0.28780.77433−0.30130.22525
Source: Authors’ calculations.
Table A12. Regression statistics of the dependence of Frisk3 on social consequences of investments in innovation (Srisk).
Table A12. Regression statistics of the dependence of Frisk3 on social consequences of investments in innovation (Srisk).
Regression Statistics
Multiple R0.66566
R-square0.44311
Adjusted R-square0.40548
Standard error17.2164
Observations80
Analysis of variance
dfSSMSFSignificance F
Regression517,452.43490.4811.7762.2 × 10−8
Residual7421,934296.405
Total7939,386.4
CoefficientsStandard errort-Statp-ValueLower 95%Upper 95%
Y-intercept12.66959.652491.312570.19339−6.563531.9025
Srisk1−0.00230.10236−0.02280.9819−0.20630.20163
Srisk2−0.16560.07676−2.15780.03419−0.3186−0.0127
Srisk3−0.07610.13599−0.55930.57762−0.3470.1949
Srisk40.44810.074076.049955.5 × 10−80.300520.59569
Srisk5−0.03460.09233−0.37490.7088−0.21860.14935
Source: Authors’ calculations.
Table A13. Regression statistics of the dependence of Frisk4 on social consequences of investments in innovation (Srisk).
Table A13. Regression statistics of the dependence of Frisk4 on social consequences of investments in innovation (Srisk).
Regression Statistics
Multiple R0.68395
R-square0.46778
Adjusted R-square0.43182
Standard error23.7555
Observations80
Analysis of variance
dfSSMSFSignificance F
Regression536,704.47340.8713.00834.4 × 10−9
Residual7441,759.9564.323
Total7978,464.3
CoefficientsStandard errort-Statp-ValueLower 95%Upper 95%
Y-intercept−1.66913.3186−0.12530.90061−28.20724.8689
Srisk10.140390.141240.993940.32349−0.1410.42181
Srisk2−0.12480.10591−1.17850.24236−0.33590.08621
Srisk3−0.14750.18764−0.78590.43441−0.52140.22641
Srisk40.421510.10224.124399.6 × 10−50.217870.62515
Srisk50.274680.12742.156130.034320.020840.52852
Source: Authors’ calculations.

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Figure 1. Research question (RQ) and hypothesis of the study. Source: authors.
Figure 1. Research question (RQ) and hypothesis of the study. Source: authors.
Risks 10 00087 g001
Table 1. Social risks of managing the investments in innovation and the approach to this management.
Table 1. Social risks of managing the investments in innovation and the approach to this management.
Sustainable Development Goal (SDG)Object of Possible Social Changes under the Influence of InnovationsSocial Risks of Investments in InnovationSocial Risk Management Based on Corporate Social ResponsibilityResearch of Social Risk Management in the Literature
SDG 8 “Decent work”Knowledge-intensive jobsDuring automatization, the knowledge intensity of jobs could reduce: employees might be forced to move from creative work to technical maintenance of machinesIncrease in knowledge intensity of employment for the human control of machines(Carlini and Grace 2021; Nicolopoulou 2011)
Possibilities for the development of human potential, which is expressed in labor efficiencyLabor efficiency could reduce due to the growth of workload on employeesImprovement of labor conditions for the development of human potential and growth of labor efficiency(Li et al. 2021a; Tambosi et al. 2021)
SDG 4 “Quality education”Number of jobs and possibilities for retraining/advanced trainingDuring automatization, companies might be forced to reduce the number of jobsretraining/advanced training of personnel based on formal training to prevent personnel cuts(Papa et al. 2021; Sareen and Pandey 2021)
SDG 9 “Industry, innovation and infrastructure”Possibilities for company employees’ participation in the creation of innovationsCompanies can purchase ready innovations, due to which employees might be able to participate in the creation of innovationsCreation of own innovations with the maximum involvement of company’s employees in this process(Hu et al. 2021)
SDG 5 “Gender equality”Gender-neutral jobsGender-neutral jobs could be reduced due to the growth of competition among employeesSupport of females as creative personnel, to preserve a “healthy” working climate in a company(Owalla et al. 2021; Restrepo et al. 2021 )
Source: Authors.
Table 2. Financial risks of managing the investments in innovation and the approach to this management.
Table 2. Financial risks of managing the investments in innovation and the approach to this management.
Sustainable Development Goal (SDG)Object of Possible Financial Changes under the Influence of InnovationsFinancial Risks of Investments in InnovationFinancial Risk Management Based on AutomatizationResearch of Financial Risk Management in the Literature
SDG 8 “Economic growth” and SDG 9 “Industry, innovation and infrastructure”Intellectual property receiptsComplexity of selling high-tech innovations due to their high costIncrease in the norms of creative labor(Prowse 2009; Yu and Fu 2021)
High-tech manufacturingPurchase of ready innovations(Busch and Richards 2006; Oswal et al. 2014)
High-tech exportsReduction of competitiveness of business due to unclaimed innovations
Global brand valueCreation of smart companies(Lee and Trimi 2018; Zheng et al. 2018)
Source: Developed and compiled by the authors.
Table 3. The systemic view of social and financial risks of managing the investments in innovations and the consequences of risk management.
Table 3. The systemic view of social and financial risks of managing the investments in innovations and the consequences of risk management.
RisksSDGObject of Possible Changes under the Influence of InnovationsApproach to Risk ManagementConsequences of Risk Management
For Social RisksFor Financial Risks
Social risksSDG 8Knowledge-intensive jobsImplementation of human-oriented innovations based on corporate social responsibilitydecreaseincrease
Labor efficiency
SDG 4Number of jobs
SDG 9Employees’ participation in the creation of innovations
SDG 5 Gender-neutral jobs
Financial risksSDG 8 and SDG 9 High-tech manufacturingReduction of the influence of the “human factor” through automatizationincreasedecrease
High-tech exports
Global brand value, top 5000
Intellectual property receipts
Source: Developed and compiled by the authors.
Table 4. Strategy of the research.
Table 4. Strategy of the research.
Research TaskMethod of Solving the TaskResearch ModelTreatment of Results
1. Discovering and measuring quantitatively the social risks of investments in innovation, which are the priorities of risk managementThe method of regression analysis is used to find the dependence of the social consequences (Srisk) on investments in innovation (InvestInnov)Srisk = σSrisk + μSrisk × InvestInnovThe social risks of investments in innovation are the negative social consequences (for which μSrisk < 0)
2. Identifying the financial risks of investments in innovation and comparing them to the social risks by their scaleThe method of regression analysis is used to find the dependence of the financial risks (Frisk), first, on investments in innovation (InvestInnov)Frisk = σFrisk1 + μFrisk1 × InvestInnovThe financial risks of investments in innovation are the negative social consequences (for which μFrisk1 < 0)
The method of comparative analysis is used to compare the scale of social and financial risksFrom μSrisk < 0 and μFrisk1 < 0. the comparison of μSris and μFrisk1 is performedIf μSris > μFrisk1, social risks are higher; if μSris < μFrisk1, the financial risks are higher
3. Proving the advantages of risk management of investments in innovation based on corporate social responsibility for the social and financial risks (proving hypothesis H)The method of regression analysis is used to find the dependence of the financial risks (Frisk) on the social consequences of investments in innovation (Srisk)—manifestations of corporate social responsibilityFrisk = σFrisk2 + μFrisk2 × SriskThe proposed hypothesis (H in Figure 1) is deemed proved if there are such manifestations of corporate social responsibility (Srisk) for which μresult2 > 0
Evaluation and comparison (using the method of comparative analysis) of the systemic results of managing the social and financial risks (I)During the management of the financial risks; Ifin = [(∆Sriskfin/5) + (∆Friskfin/4)]/2
During the management of the social risks:
Icsr = [(∆Sriskcsr/5) + (∆Friskcsr/4)]/2.
Corporate social responsibility is deemed preferable from the position of systemic risk management if Icsr > Ifin and (∆Sriskcsr/5) > 0 and (∆Friskcsr/4) > 0.
Source: developed and compiled by the authors.
Table 5. The matrix of cross correlation of the variables.
Table 5. The matrix of cross correlation of the variables.
R2Srisk1Srisk2Srisk3Srisk4Srisk5Frisk1Frisk2Frisk3Frisk4InvestInnov1InvestInnov2
Srisk11.00----------
Srisk2−0.171.00---------
Srisk3−0.240.281.00--------
Srisk40.44−0.14−0.061.00-------
Srisk50.60−0.12−0.190.491.00------
Frisk10.38−0.10−0.060.720.401.00-----
Frisk20.120.070.100.510.170.631.00----
Frisk30.29−0.30−0.140.630.290.580.381.00---
Frisk40.47−0.23−0.200.600.540.550.220.601.00--
InvestInnov10.53−0.27−0.120.350.400.320.140.560.571.00-
InvestInnov20.34−0.150.030.830.470.710.510.590.530.311.00
Source: Calculated and compiled by the authors.
Table 6. Dependence of the social consequences (Srisk) on investments in innovation (InvestInnov).
Table 6. Dependence of the social consequences (Srisk) on investments in innovation (InvestInnov).
Parameters of the Regression DependenceValues of the Indicators of Regression Dependencies in the Aspect of Dependent Variables (Srisk)
Srisk1Srisk2Srisk3Srisk4Srisk5
Multiple correlation, %55.9327.6614.1583.2354.43
σSrisk30.9333.0458.41−3.1021.66
μSrisk (for the independent variable InvestInnov1)0.38−0.22−0.070.110.26
μSrisk (for the independent variable InvestInnov2)0.17−0.060.040.830.36
Source: Authors’ calculations.
Table 7. Dependence of the financial consequences (Frisk) on investments in innovation (InvestInnov).
Table 7. Dependence of the financial consequences (Frisk) on investments in innovation (InvestInnov).
Parameters of Regression DependenceValues of the Indicators of Regression Dependencies in the Aspect of Dependent Variables (Frisk)
Frisk1Frisk2Frisk3Frisk4
Multiple correlation, %71.4950.6071.3468.41
σFrisk113.074.73−3.98−8.92
μFrisk1 (for the independent variable InvestInnov1)0.09−0.02 *0.310.48
μFrisk1 (for the independent variable InvestInnov2)0.530.490.350.42
* Value of μresult1 is negligibly small (tends toward zero). Source: Authors’ calculations.
Table 8. Dependence of the financial consequences (Frisk) on social consequences of investments in innovation (Srisk).
Table 8. Dependence of the financial consequences (Frisk) on social consequences of investments in innovation (Srisk).
Parameters of Regression DependenceValues of the Indicators of Regression Dependencies in the Aspect of the Dependent Variables (Frisk)
Frisk1Frisk2Frisk3Frisk4
Multiple correlation, %72.0753.9766.5768.39
σFrisk216.251.2612.67−1.67
μFrisk2 (for the independent
variable Srisk1)
0.06−0.08 *0.000.14
μFrisk2 (for the independent
variable Srisk2)
0.010.12−0.17 *−0.12 *
μFrisk2 (for the independent
variable Srisk3)
0.000.14−0.08 *−0.15 *
μFrisk2 (for the independent
variable Srisk4)
0.510.530.450.42
μFrisk2 (for the independent
variable Srisk5)
0.03−0.04 *−0.03*0.27
* Manifestations of the aggravation of the financial risks of investments in innovation during companies’ manifestation of corporate social responsibility. Source: Calculated and compiled by the authors.
Table 9. Consequences of managing the financial risks—reduction of the influence of the “human factor” through automatization.
Table 9. Consequences of managing the financial risks—reduction of the influence of the “human factor” through automatization.
Element of Investments in InnovationIndicatorSymbolInitial Value in 2021Value during Full-Scale Implementation and StrategyGrowth (∆) during Full-Scale Implementation and Strategy, %
Basis of the strategy—increase in investments in innovationVenture capital investors, score 0–100InvestInnov122.57100.00343.07
GERD financed by business, %InvestInnov244.15100.00126.50
Social risksKnowledge-intensive employment, %Srisk146.9986.0083.03
Firms offering formal training, %Srisk225.284.73−81.30
Labor productivity growth, %Srisk358.3554.62−6.40
Research talent, % in businessesSrisk436.1590.96151.64
Females employed w/advanced degrees, %Srisk543.5284.1293.29
Financial risksHigh-tech manufacturing, %Frisk138.5475.0494.70
High-tech exports, % total tradeFrisk225.9951.8299.36
Global brand value, top 5000 % GDPFrisk318.6362.37234.85
Intellectual property receipts, % total tradeFrisk420.3680.76296.74
Source: calculated and compiled by the authors.
Table 10. Consequences of the full-scale implementation of a new (socially-oriented) strategy of managing the risks of investments in innovation that is based on corporate social responsibility.
Table 10. Consequences of the full-scale implementation of a new (socially-oriented) strategy of managing the risks of investments in innovation that is based on corporate social responsibility.
Element of Investments in InnovationIndicatorSymbolInitial Value in 2021Value during the Full-Scale Implementation of the StrategyGrowth (∆) during the Full-Scale Implementation of the Strategy, %
Investments in innovationVenture capital investors, score 0–100InvestInnov122.5722.570.00
GERD financed by business, %InvestInnov244.1544.150.00
Social risksKnowledge-intensive employment, %Srisk146.99100.00112.82
Firms offering formal training, %Srisk225.28100.00295.53
Labor productivity growth, %Srisk358.35100.0071.38
Research talent, % in businessesSrisk436.15100.00176.65
Females employed w/advanced degrees, %Srisk543.52100.00129.78
Financial risksHigh-tech manufacturing, %Frisk138.5476.0297.25
High-tech exports, % total tradeFrisk225.9967.87161.11
Global brand value, top 5000 % GDPFrisk318.6329.6259.01
Intellectual property receipts, % total tradeFrisk420.3654.76169.00
Source: Authors’ calculations.
Table 11. Advantages of the systemic risk management of investments in innovation based on corporate social responsibility.
Table 11. Advantages of the systemic risk management of investments in innovation based on corporate social responsibility.
RisksSDGObject of Possible Changes under the Influence of InnovationsApproach to Risk ManagementAdvantages of Risk Management (+141.39% on Average)
Social risksSDG 8Knowledge-intensive jobsImplementation of human-oriented innovations based on corporate social responsibility+112.82%On average: +157.23%
Labor efficiency+295.53%
SDG 4Number of jobs+71.38%
SDG 9Employees’ participation in the creation of innovations+176.65%
SDG 5Gender-neutral jobs+129.78%
Financial risksSDG 8 and SDG 9High-tech manufacturing+97.25%On average: +121.59%
High-tech exports+161.11%
Global brand value, top 5000+59.01%
Intellectual property receipts+169.00%
Source: Developed and compiled by the authors.
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Lebedev, V.V.; Deberdeeva, N.A.; Farkova, N.A.; Korobeinikova, L.S. Systemic Risk Management of Investments in Innovation Based on CSR. Risks 2022, 10, 87. https://doi.org/10.3390/risks10050087

AMA Style

Lebedev VV, Deberdeeva NA, Farkova NA, Korobeinikova LS. Systemic Risk Management of Investments in Innovation Based on CSR. Risks. 2022; 10(5):87. https://doi.org/10.3390/risks10050087

Chicago/Turabian Style

Lebedev, Vladimir V., Nelia A. Deberdeeva, Natalya A. Farkova, and Larisa S. Korobeinikova. 2022. "Systemic Risk Management of Investments in Innovation Based on CSR" Risks 10, no. 5: 87. https://doi.org/10.3390/risks10050087

APA Style

Lebedev, V. V., Deberdeeva, N. A., Farkova, N. A., & Korobeinikova, L. S. (2022). Systemic Risk Management of Investments in Innovation Based on CSR. Risks, 10(5), 87. https://doi.org/10.3390/risks10050087

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