Comparative Analysis of Advanced Models for Predicting Housing Prices: A Review
Abstract
:1. Introduction
2. Advanced Housing Price Prediction Methods: A Classification
3. Methodology for the Systematic Review of Housing Price Estimation Models
3.1. Search Criteria
3.2. Eligibility Criteria
- They conduct housing price prediction studies using more than one advanced predictive model.
- They have been published in the 21st century, i.e., from the year 2000 to 2024, to track advancements in the use of these techniques over time.
- They use empirical data, meaning the models have been applied practically and are not just explained theoretically.
- They provide a comparison between these models.
- The data used must be obtained from reliable sources, whether public organizations or companies dedicated to the real estate sector, to provide empirical housing price data.
4. Study Selection and Results
4.1. General Characteristics of the Included Studies
4.2. Advanced Housing Price Prediction Models
4.3. Most Influential Variables in Housing Price Prediction Models
5. Discussion
6. Conclusions
Author Contributions
Funding
Data Availability Statement
Conflicts of Interest
Appendix A. Description of the Selected Studies
Authors | Compared Prediction Models | Summary/Conclusions |
---|---|---|
Hoxha, 2024 [42] Analysis period: 2019–2023 Sample size: 1512 | Linear Regression, Decision Tree, K-Nearest Neighbors, and Support Vector Regression. | The prediction of housing prices in the city of Prishtina is analyzed through a dataset that includes housing prices and their characteristics, by comparing four machine learning models to extend the resulting knowledge to other real estate markets. The model that provides the best ability to predict prices is the Decision Tree model, as it achieves the lowest MSE and the highest R2. |
Soltani et al. 2022 [47] Analysis period: 1984–2016 Sample size: 428,000 | Linear Regression, Decision Tree, Random Forest, and Gradient-Boosted Tree. | They analyze how housing prices in the metropolitan area of Adelaide vary based on the impact of certain characteristics, in this case, adding a spatial variable. It is demonstrated that non-linear models perform better than linear ones, and that applying a spatio-temporal variable is effective in machine learning models. The model with the best performance is the Gradient Boosted Tree, achieving the highest R2 and the lowest RMSE and MAE. |
Ligus and Peternek, 2017 [39] Analysis period: 2012–2014 Sample size: 6318 | HPM and spatial analysis. | Understanding the preferences of homebuyers based on the environmental characteristics of the properties. By applying two econometric models, it is found that geographic characteristics are significant and cause variation in prices. The union of both models together presents more significant results than the HPM alone. |
Chen et al. 2023 [51] Analysis period: 2014–2017 Sample size: 25,135 | Gradient-Boosted Tree, Random Forest, Elastic Net, Lasso Regression, and Ridge Regression. | It aims to address the need to include uncommon variables in housing price variation, such as the effects and characteristics of neighborhoods, as well as the economic and ethnic conditions within them. As a result, transportation and the economic and sociodemographic characteristics of the neighborhood are significant, but the economic ones stand out as the most significant. |
Lahmiri et al. 2023 [52] Analysis period: 2012–2013 Sample size: 414 | Ensemble Regression Trees, Support Vector Regression, and Gaussian Regression. | By applying these three models, it aims to address the problems of housing price prediction. Ensemble regression trees achieve the best results for prediction as they exhibit the smallest error rate and low error variability, indicated by the range of the distribution. This makes them strong candidates for future predictions in Taiwan. |
Wang, 2023 [2] Analysis period: 2015–2020 Sample size: 34,447 | HPM, Neural Network, Lasso Regression, Ridge Regression, Regression Trees, Random Forest, and Gradient Boosting Machine. | The Google Street View tool is used to analyze the environmental location factors in housing prices through a neural network model. As a result, this model improves accuracy and provides more significant results than the others, this is because it recognizes edges and more complex shapes in its layers and highlights important features. |
Chen et al. 2022 [31] Analysis period: 2013–2019 Sample size: 137,132 | HPM, Random Forest, and Gradient Boosting Machine. | Using images of points of interest and neighborhood characteristics, this study examines how housing prices vary based on the image of the property compared to its intrinsic features. In general, the R2 improves across all models when images are introduced, but the random forest model exhibits the smallest error rate, making it the one that delivers the most signif-icant results. |
Hong et al. 2020 [32] Analysis period: 2006–2017 Sample size: 16,601 | HPM and random forest. | It investigates the Random Forest model as a predictor of housing prices and compares it with HPM to assess the results. Between the two models, Random Forest proves to be more adaptable to the reality of the real estate market, as it achieves a higher R2 and a lower MAPE, random forest is proposed as an excellent complement to the HPM. |
Chen et al. 2017 [33] Analysis period: 2007–2010 Sample size: 3.991 | HPM and Support Vector Machine. | It uses the Support Vector Machine method to predict housing prices, incorporating housing variables in the hedonic model to verify price variations. The support vector machine model demonstrates strong predictive power in forecasting housing prices with high accuracy. |
Selim, 2009 [34] Analysis period: 2004 Sample size: 5.741 | HPM and Artificial Neural Networks. | It analyzes the determinants of housing prices, including location. It compares both methods and finds that neural networks are the better alternative for price prediction as they are more accurate, although the HPM heteroscedasticity correction results in most variables being highly significant. |
Ho et al. 2020 [43] Analysis period: 1996–2004 Sample size: 39,554 | Random Forest, Support Vector Machine, and Gradient Boosting Machine. | It uses these three models for housing price evaluation. After applying the models, random forest and gradient boosting machine performed better than support vector machine (higher R2 and lower error rate). However, the latter is still considered a very useful algorithm, providing accurate predictions within a strict time constraint. |
Begum et al. 2022 [44] Analysis period: 2015–2019 Sample size: 506 | Linear regression, decision tree and random forest. | It analyzes housing price prediction using three models, both advanced and machine learning-based. After analyzing the three models, random forest is the method that yields the best results, as it has the lowest error rate and performed well on both the training and test data. |
Yoo et al. 2012 [35] Analysis period: 2000 Sample size: 4469 | HPM, Linear Regression, Random Forest and Cubist. | Its goal is to use machine learning models for selecting hedonic variables and for housing sale price models. Several models were applied, and random forest resulted in the best accuracy in terms of modeling, with the potential to be useful for selecting important variables for the hedonic price equation. |
Ceh et al. 2018 [36] Analysis period: 2008–2013 Sample size: 7407 | HPM and random forest. | A comparison of both models, including the structural characteristics of the property, envi-ronmental information, and neighborhood characteristics, was conducted. The best predic-tions were obtained with the random forest method, which achieved a higher R2 and a significantly lower error rate. |
Tochaiwat and Pultawee, 2024 [45] Analysis period: 2011/2014/2017/2021 Sample size: 59 | Decision Tree, Random Forest and Gradient-Boosted Tree. | After using multiple machine learning techniques to analyze urban development projects, it is found that combining models yields better results providing more accurate and realistic statistics compared to the individual models on their own. |
Paik et al. 2023 [53] Analysis period: 2021–2022 Sample size: 58,342 | Linear Regression, Decision Tree, Random Forest, LightGBM, Lasso Regression, Ridge Regression, Elastic Net, and XGBoost. | It aims to analyze the impact of metro stations and social capital on housing prices. To accomplish this, it compares eight machine learning methods to provide more information for determining housing prices. The LightGBM model has the smallest relative error between the actual and predicted values, and also performed better in terms of absolute error compared to the other models, making it the most suitable model for this study. |
Rui and Liu, 2019 [54] Analysis period: 2010–2017 Sample size: 664 | Neural Network (Short-Term Memory), GA (Genetic Algorithm), and Support Vector Regression. | To understand housing price fluctuations, a model composed of two methodologies is proposed as an experiment to test its effectiveness. The result shows that combining the neural network with genetic algorithms successfully predicts housing prices with a better feature selection process. However, a limitation is that if the dataset is small, the model weakens. |
Kou et al. 2021 [55] Analysis period: 2018 Sample size: 158,888 | Neural Networks, XGBoost, and Support Vector Machine. | The housing price valuation study is expanded by including regional clusters such as proxim-ity to workplaces or shopping centers. XGBoost presents the highest R2, and furthermore, when economic clusters are added, they make the fit more accurate than all the traditional features. |
Taecharungroj, 2021 [56] Analysis period: 2021 Sample size: 152,512 | Random forest and XGBoost. | It aims to analyze the amenities of neighborhoods and condominium prices in the city. Both the popularity and availability of services drive condominium prices in non-linear ways. The XGBoost model shows a higher level of fit (R2), making it perform better than random forest. |
Chou et al. 2022 [27] Analysis period: 2013–2017 Sample size: 209,402 | Artificial Neural Networks, Linear Regression, Regression Tree, Support Vector Machine, and Hybrid Model. | Four machine learning models are developed to predict housing prices. Additionally, a hybrid model is created for the same purpose. Neural networks achieved the best perfor-mance in R2, RMSE, MAE, and MAPE. However, the hybrid model, by combining three models, demonstrates greater precision than each individual model, as it leverages the advantages of each. |
Iban, 2022 [57] Analysis period: 2021 Sample size: 1002 | Random forest, XGBoost, LightGBM and Gradient Boosting. | It aims to investigate the determinants considered in the models when valuing housing prices through the application of four machine learning methods. In this study, the Gradient Boosting model achieved the highest R2 score. However, the XGBoost model presented the lowest MAPE and RMSE values, indicating better performance. |
Núñez-Tabales et al. 2012 [30] Analysis period: 2006 Sample size: 2888 | HPM and Artificial Neural Networks. | The goal is to obtain the implicit prices of housing characteristics by comparing the two models being analyzed. Neural networks demonstrate greater predictive power and more satisfactory results due to a higher degree of fit (R2) and lower RMSE, MAE, and residual standard deviation rates. |
Rico-Juan and Taltavull, 2021 [12] Analysis period: 2004–2012 Sample size: 392,412 | K-Nearest Neighbors, Decision Tree, Random Forest, AdaBoost, XGBoost, CatBoost, Artificial Neural Networks (Multilayer), Linear Regression, Ridge Regression, Lasso Regression, and HPM. | By using HPM and several machine learning models, the aim is to determine which of them provides the most significant results in predicting housing prices. After analyzing all the models, the random forest model proves to be the most suitable for the task, showing a higher degree of fit and the lowest error rates. |
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Number of Articles Included | 23 |
---|---|
Authors | |
1 author | 5 |
2 authors | 4 |
3 authors | 7 |
4 authors | 6 |
5 authors | 0 |
6 authors | 1 |
Country | |
Kosovo | 1 |
South Korea | 2 |
Australia | 2 |
Poland | 1 |
USA | 3 |
Taiwan | 4 |
United Kingdom | 1 |
Turkey | 2 |
China | 2 |
Slovenia | 1 |
Thailand | 2 |
Spain | 2 |
Year from publication | |
From 2000 to 2010 | 1 |
From 2011 to 2020 | 8 |
From 2021 to 2024 | 14 |
Type of study | |
Cross-sectional | 8 |
Longitudinal | 15 |
Data Sample Analysis Period | |
From 1 month to 5 years | 17 |
From 6 years onwards | 6 |
Sample Size | |
From 0 to 5000 | 9 |
From 5000 to 10,000 | 3 |
From 10,000 onwards | 11 |
Number of models compared in the study | |
Two models | 7 |
Three models | 7 |
Four models | 4 |
Five models | 2 |
Seven models | 1 |
Eight models | 1 |
Eleven models | 1 |
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Moreno-Foronda, I.; Sánchez-Martínez, M.-T.; Pareja-Eastaway, M. Comparative Analysis of Advanced Models for Predicting Housing Prices: A Review. Urban Sci. 2025, 9, 32. https://doi.org/10.3390/urbansci9020032
Moreno-Foronda I, Sánchez-Martínez M-T, Pareja-Eastaway M. Comparative Analysis of Advanced Models for Predicting Housing Prices: A Review. Urban Science. 2025; 9(2):32. https://doi.org/10.3390/urbansci9020032
Chicago/Turabian StyleMoreno-Foronda, Inmaculada, María-Teresa Sánchez-Martínez, and Montserrat Pareja-Eastaway. 2025. "Comparative Analysis of Advanced Models for Predicting Housing Prices: A Review" Urban Science 9, no. 2: 32. https://doi.org/10.3390/urbansci9020032
APA StyleMoreno-Foronda, I., Sánchez-Martínez, M.-T., & Pareja-Eastaway, M. (2025). Comparative Analysis of Advanced Models for Predicting Housing Prices: A Review. Urban Science, 9(2), 32. https://doi.org/10.3390/urbansci9020032