1. Introduction
Evacuations are used in Canada and elsewhere to protect public safety in the event of a wildfire and other hazards. Mandatory evacuations require residents to leave, while voluntary evacuations enable residents to choose whether or not to leave. Researchers in several countries have examined residents’ wildfire evacuation intentions during a potential future wildfire [
1,
2,
3,
4], and decision-making and actions during an actual wildfire [
5,
6,
7,
8,
9]. These studies provide important insights into whether or not residents will take recommended protective action and factors that influence their intentions and actions.
Researchers have also examined the impacts of wildfire evacuations on the health and well-being of evacuees. Existing research clearly shows that wildfire evacuees experience stress and anxiety during the evacuation process due to disruptions in daily routines, loss of control, uncertainty about personal safety and the safety of their homes, and proximity of danger [
1,
10,
11]. Social support has been found to reduce negative impacts of wildfire evacuations for evacuees [
12]. Scharbach and Waldram [
13] examined the impacts of the wildfire evacuation of Hatchet Lake Denesuline First Nation and found that splitting up families during the evacuation negatively affected their wellbeing. Kent and colleagues [
11] found that evacuations may have positive impacts when people have an opportunity to get to know one another. Communication also affects the wellbeing of evacuees, with inadequate communication increasing distress and abundant and timely information helping residents to cope with the stressful situation [
14,
15,
16].
Only a small number of studies has examined in detail the experiences of wildfire evacuees during the process of evacuation. Cohn and colleagues [
1] examined evacuation experiences of residents during three fires in the United States: Hayman Fire in Colorado (More than 5000 evacuated for 1–2 weeks), Rodeo-Chediski fire in northern Arizona (more than 32,000 evacuated for 1–2 weeks), and Cave Gulch/Bucksnort Fires in Montana (50–100 evacuated for 2–3 days). The researchers compared the perspectives of evacuees and public safety officials during five temporal evacuation stages: Anticipation, evacuation warning, displacement, notification of condition of home, and return and recovery. This study provides a valuable overview of wildfire evacuations from the perspectives of evacuees and emergency managers, however does not examine residents’ evacuation experiences in detail, including the process of leaving their home and community and travelling to safety. Scharbach and Waldram [
13] examine the concept of being ‘at risk’ and describe the evacuation experiences residents of Hatchet Lake Denesuline First Nation, a remote fly-in community of 1300 people in northern Saskatchewan, Canada which was evacuated for 10 days. The evacuation of Hatchet Lake Denesuline First Nation by air involved separation of families based on risk assessment which caused considerable distress and those deemed to be at low risk experienced social, cultural and health challenges. Further study is needed to examine evacuations in other contexts.
Being well prepared enables residents to effectively take protective action during a wildfire, in this case by evacuating [
17]. For residents, preparedness before an evacuation includes being aware of the local wildfire risk and the potential need to evacuate, having a plan for how to evacuate if required to do so, and having emergency supplies organized in advance. Only a small number of studies have examined residents’ preparedness to evacuate due to wildfire. McLennan and colleagues [
18] examined seven post-fire studies in Australia and found that only between 6–27% of residents who planned to evacuate had an adequate level of preparation to leave safely. McNeill and colleagues [
19] examined high wildfire risk communities that had recently experienced a wildfire in Western Australia, and found that perceived risk severity predicted greater evacuation preparation. Further study is needed to examine residents’ preparedness for wildfire evacuation.
The present study contributes to existing literature by examining the wildfire evacuation experiences of residents of urban Fort McMurray in the Regional Municipality of Wood Buffalo, Canada who evacuated for one month or more due to the Horse River fire which destroyed 2400 homes in Fort McMurray and caused the evacuation of more than 88,000 residents. The two research questions that guide this study were:
- (1)
How prepared were residents to evacuate on 3 May 2016?
- (2)
What were residents’ experiences leaving their home and community, and staying in a safe place?
Lindell and Perry’s (2012) [
20] protective action decision model (PADM) describes stages that occur before someone takes protective action, therefore will provide insights into the process that led up to the evacuation of residents from Fort McMurray. The first stage in PADM is a pre-decision process including reception, attention and comprehension of warnings; or exposure, attention and interpretation of environmental/social cues. The next stage includes perceptions of threats, protective actions, and stakeholders. Once the pre-decision process is complete and core perceptions activated, the next stage involves risk identification, risk assessment, protective action search, protective action assessment, and protective action implementation. The outcome of this process may be influenced by situational factors and impediments.
The Regional Municipality of Wood Buffalo (RMWB) is located in the boreal forest of north-eastern Alberta (see
Figure 1). RMWB includes the Fort McMurray urban centre and several rural settlements, including First Nations and Métis communities. The 2016 Census [
21] provides information about the RMWB. The population of RMWB in 2016 was 71,589 persons, with 66,573 residents living in urban Fort McMurray. The average age in RMWB was 33.1 compared to 37.8 for the province of Alberta. The population of RMWB is multicultural, with more than one quarter of the population (26.7%) in 2016 a visible minority, slightly higher than the provincial average of 23.5%. 9.2% of the population in RMWB declared Aboriginal identity, compared to 6.5% for the province. Formal education levels were higher than the provincial average, with 59.6% of the population 15+ in RMWB having a postsecondary or trades certificate or diploma (55.2% for Alberta); 29.3% having a high school diploma (compared to 27.9% for Alberta); and 11% having no certificate, degree, or diploma (compared to 16.9% for Alberta). Employment rates and incomes are high, with a 72.6% employment rate in RMWB compared to 65.4% for Alberta as a whole. Household incomes are also high, with the median total income of RMWB households
$195,570 in 2015, compared to
$93,835 for the Province of Alberta; and at the individual level, the average total income of residents was
$77,481 compared to a provincial average of
$42,717. However there is considerable disparity, with 77% of the Fort McMurray population 15+ earning more than
$100,000/annum, and 18% earning less than
$20,000 per year. House values are also high, with the average value of dwellings
$619,344 compared to
$449,790 for the province of Alberta. In 2016, 67.6% of the 25,660 private households were owned, while 32.1% were rented, and 0.4% were First Nation band housing. The Regional Municipality of Wood Buffalo is home to oil sands development and related industries, with 30% of the labour force working in this industry. Two other major industries that employ local residents are construction (10%) and retail trade (8%).
The Horse River fire started on May 1st, 2016, and quickly grew in size due to extremely hot and dry conditions. At 8pm on May 1st, residents in Centennial trailer park were warned to leave their homes, with residents in Beacon Hill and Gregoire neighbourhoods on evacuation alert (see
Figure 2). Two hours later, a state of local emergency was declared and a mandatory evacuation was ordered for residents of Centennial RV Park Campground, Prairie Creek and Gregoire. The next morning, the mandatory evacuation for Gregoire and Prairie Creek were rescinded. The wildfire continued to grow throughout the day on May 2nd, and at 8pm the fire reached the Athabasca River. Overnight, the fire jumped the Athabasca River (approximately 1 km distance).
For residents in Fort McMurray, the skies appeared sunny and clear the morning of May 3rd, with the smoke staying close to the ground due to a thermic inversion. At 11:00 am, representatives from the RMWB and the Provincial government held a media briefing. The media and residents were told that fire conditions were extreme and were expected to worsen throughout the day. Residents were told by the Fire Chief that they should be prepared to act on short notice by having “a little plan in mind if you were told you had to leave your house, what would you take with you and where do you think you might go.” However residents were also told to carry on as usual, with the Fire Chief saying “people need to get on with their lives, people need to go to work, Mom needs to take the kids to school, and Dad takes the guys to the ball game afterwards” (
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=55O3jp8thKM).
At 1:15pm, the wildfire crested the hills along the west side of Fort McMurray, becoming visible to many residents [
22]. At 2:31 pm, the wildfire entered the Beacon Hill neighbourhood. Three minutes later, at 2:34, an evacuation was ordered for Abasand, Grayling Terrace, and Beacon Hill neighbourhoods. The Thickwood neighbourhood was on a voluntary evacuation. At 2:52, the wildfire was sighted south of Thickwood, and at 3:31, an evacuation was ordered for the Thickwood, Gregoire, Waterways neighbourhoods, and Centennial Trailer Park. At 4:24, an evacuation was ordered for downtown Fort McMurray. At 5:30, Dickinsfield, Draper, Lower Townsite, Saline Creek, and Wood Buffalo were ordered to evacuate. At 6:49, all of Fort McMurray was ordered to evacuate. Due to traffic congestion on Highway 63, the one access road out of Fort McMurray, people living in neighbourhoods north of the Athabasca River were told to evacuate by driving north on Highway 63, while those living south of the river drove south. The estimated 15,000 to 20,000 evacuees who headed north stayed in industry work camps and Fort McKay First Nation. On May 4 after the fire started to head north and supplies in work camps began to run out, evacuees were either flown south to the cities of Edmonton or Calgary, Alberta, or drove back through Fort McMurray to communities south of RMWB.
In total, more than 88,000 residents of urban Fort McMurray and surrounding communities in RMWB evacuated their homes and communities due to the Horse River fire. By the time the fire was deemed to be under control on 4 July 2016, the fire had destroyed 2579 structures in Fort McMurray, and burned 589,552 hectares. Two young women died in a car crash on highway 63 during the evacuation. Government responses to this wildfire, including the evacuation, have been examined in studies completed by consulting companies following the wildfire [
22,
23,
24]. These studies provide important insights into the government response to the wildfire, however further study is needed to examine the experiences of residents who fled from their homes and neighbourhoods in Fort McMurray.
2. Materials and Methods
This project started in May 2016 while residents of RMWB were still away from their homes and communities. Before data collection commenced, this study received ethics clearance from the University of Alberta’s Human Research Ethics Board 1. An online survey was selected as the data collection tool because it provided a way to contact evacuees who were staying in a variety of locations after fleeing from their home and communities. A short online survey was also appropriate for people who were very busy during and after the evacuation. It also provided a way to obtain information quickly from evacuees so that the details of their experiences would be fresh in their minds. An online survey also provided a way to obtain input from many evacuees [
25].
The survey was developed by the author and a research assistant in May and early June. Closed-ended and open-ended questions were included, and the survey was designed to be completed within 10 min. Careful consideration was given to the questions included in the survey and wording of questions, given the sensitivity of the topic. Once the survey was prepared, it was emailed to two RMWB evacuees for feedback. Slight changes were made in response to feedback, and the survey was finalized in mid-June. The survey included questions about evacuees’ initial evacuation experiences, including learning about the wildfire, leaving, and staying elsewhere. Purposive sampling was used to try to recruit as many wildfire evacuees as possible. Once the survey was finalized, evacuees were recruited through the Facebook ‘Fort McMurray Evac Relocation Group’ and Twitter. Two First Nations and one First Nation organization in RMWB were also invited to post the survey on social media. At the time of this online survey, this was the first collection of data from evacuees from the Horse River fire. A total of 447 respondents completed the online survey, with most completing the survey within the first 24 h that it was posted online on June 21, 2016. Descriptive statistical data analysis was completed using Survey Monkey.
The 447 respondents included 94% who normally lived in the Fort McMurray urban centre, while the other 6% lived in other communities in RMWB. Survey respondents included adults in a range of age groups from 18–25 to 75+ (
Table 1). The survey was mainly completed by women (
Table 1). Most respondents were employed, with 63.5% in full-time paid employment, 8.0% self-employed, 8.0% in part time/casual employment. 8.5% full time domestic/parenting duties, 7.7% unemployed (The unemployment rate in RMWB at the time of the survey was 6.8% (Statistics Canada 2017)), 4.9% retired, 1.8% and 2.6% did not provide their employment status. 8.1% of respondents were born in RMWB, 16.4% were born elsewhere in Alberta, with most respondents (66.9%) born elsewhere in Canada, and 8.6% were born outside of Canada. At the time of the wildfire, respondents had lived in their community in RMWB for varied lengths of time, with a median of 6–10 years (
Table 1). Survey participants were asked how their home was affected by the wildfire. While most survey respondents reported that their home either had no (36%) or minor (41%) damage, 18% of respondents stated that their home was destroyed in the fire, and 3.6% of respondents said their home had suffered major damage.
4. Discussion
The results of this study show that most survey respondents were not prepared to evacuate when they had to leave their homes and communities. Many respondents were not aware of the very high wildfire risk to their community, home or family preceding May 3rd, and social cues told them to carry on as usual leading up to and on May 3rd, with schools and businesses open. For most respondents, this was their first evacuation experience. Many respondents received little if any official warning before they had to leave and instead left due to the environmental cues which made it clear that the threat was immediate. However some received warnings from official sources, friends and family, and other sources. Most respondents were able to take clothing and many took important documents, however only ¼ of respondents mentioned bringing food and water. Fortunately, most respondents had a vehicle that they used to evacuate, but some respondents relied on others to enable them to leave. Some of those who had a vehicle experienced situational impediments due to road access problems and traffic congestion. Some respondents ran out of gas, food, and water on the long drive away from Fort McMurray. For many survey respondents, the evacuation was a multi-stage process involving staying in more than one location. Most survey respondents stayed with friends and family during at least one part of the evacuation. Although most respondents were looked after once they arrived in a safe place, some respondents experienced financial difficulties, challenges finding suitable accommodation, and problems dealing with insurance. Although media coverage of this wildfire and evacuation was extensive, some respondents did not receive enough information. Most survey respondents received help during this evacuation from a variety of sources throughout the evacuation, which helped them to leave their home and community, reach a safe place, and meet their essential needs (food, water, clothing, and accommodation) during the evacuation. The help provided to survey respondents was remembered as a positive part of their evacuation experience.
The results that many respondents rated the wildfire risk to their community, property, or family as low to moderate before May 3rd is surprising due to the conditions leading up to the start of this wildfire, and studies which indicate that residents living in high wildfire risk areas are usually aware of the risk [
31,
32,
33]. Whittaker and colleagues [
9] found a high level of awareness preceding the 2009 Black Saturday fires in Victoria, Australia, however this is likely partly due to extensive media coverage to warn residents of the extreme fire risk [
34]. In Fort McMurray, social cues indicated that survey respondents should carry on as usual. The importance of early warnings for protecting lives and reducing injuries is well established in the broader hazards [
35,
36,
37] and in the wildfire literature [
38,
39]. Very limited if any warning time provided to residents due to a wildfire also occurred five years earlier in northern Alberta when residents of the Town of Slave Lake received little if any warning when a wildfire entered their town in 2011 [
40]. McLennan and colleagues [
18] also found that residents in Australia who planned to evacuate had a low level of preparedness.
The results of this study show that evacuees’ low levels of preparedness combined with long traffic delays [
30] made it difficult for people to evacuate, and increased residents’ distress as they were leaving and once they arrived in a safe place. Despite leaving late and traffic delays, survey respondents reported courteous driving on the way out of Fort McMurray, in line with research which shows that panic behaviour is very unlikely to occur, particularly if people are evacuating with people who are familiar to them including family, friends, and neighbours [
41,
42,
43]. The findings that almost 40% of survey respondents brought pets with them when they evacuated, and some respondents had difficulty finding accommodation that would enable their pets to stay with them confirms the need to identify ways to look after pets during evacuations [
44].
Those survey respondents who were not prepared fortunately received support from others to meet their basic needs, including transportation out of Fort McMurray, food, water, clothing, and accommodation. Existing studies clearly show that residents and organizations within an area affected by a wildfire [
45,
46] and other hazard events [
47] provide important sources of help to those directly affected. For example, Carroll and colleagues [
45] found that after the Rodeo-Chediski fire in the U.S., residents helped neighbours by providing shelter and support. In this case, the substantial amount of help provided to evacuees from residents in other communities within RMWB, elsewhere in Alberta, and beyond may be due to the number of people who evacuated, the extensive use of social media and media coverage of this wildfire [
48].