A Multi-Criteria Decision Intelligence Framework to Predict Fire Danger Ratings in Underground Engineering Structures
Abstract
:1. Introduction
2. Fire Danger Data Acquisition System
3. Methodology
3.1. Isometric Feature Mapping (ISOMAP)
3.2. Fuzzy c-Means Clustering Algorithm (FCM)
- (i)
- The initial stage requires the programmer to specify how many groups they want to analyze.
- (ii)
- A random cluster’s centroid is used as the starting point for the method in the second stage.
- (iii)
- The cluster centroids are recomputed using the membership probabilities of the data points as the metric of choice.
- (iv)
- Until convergence is achieved, or a predefined maximum number of interactions is reached, the computation of centroids and update procedure will continue.
3.3. K-Nearest-Neighbors (KNN)
3.4. Performance Indicators for Evaluating the Proposed Mechanism
4. Result and Discussion
- (1)
- The magnification of the original fire database was reduced using an intuitive technique called ISOMAP.
- (2)
- To minimize the consequences of sparse spectral heterogeneity in predominantly similar locations, the authors categorize the ISOMAP-acquired fire danger dataset using FCM.
- (3)
- Lastly, a supervised machine learning algorithm known as k-nearest-neighbors is incorporated to predict different possible danger ratings of fire data in underground mining production operations. The flowchart of the proposed study is demonstrated in Figure 8.
5. Limitation
- (1)
- The dataset does not have a balanced representative sample. The accuracy of predictions made by machine learning algorithms is significantly impacted by a number of factors, including the quantity and quality of samples. When the dataset regarding an issue is relatively limited, the generalizability and dependability of a model tend to decrease. This is due to the fact that larger databases include more information that may be accessed. In addition, the dataset has a number of inconsistencies, most notably with the samples that include divergent values. This demonstrates the negative influence that inconsistent data may have on the outcomes. As a result, it is of the utmost importance to construct a database for the prediction of fires that is not only more extensive, but also more varied.
- (2)
- The outcomes of the predictions might be affected by a variety of different indicators or attributes. Although the four attributes that were applied in this study were able to identify the essential fire situations to a certain limit, this does not indicate that other elements do not impact the fire prediction. As a consequence of this, it is essential to evaluate the effect that other important features have on the prediction results.
6. Conclusions
Author Contributions
Funding
Institutional Review Board Statement
Informed Consent Statement
Data Availability Statement
Conflicts of Interest
References
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Parameters | Symbol | Unit | Minimum | Maximum | Mean | Standard Deviation |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Oxygen | O2 | % | 19.27 | 21.15 | 20.67 | 0.32 |
Nitrogen | N2 | % | 75.61 | 80.67 | 78.98 | 0.63 |
Carbon Monoxide | CO | ppm | 0 | 6.31 | 1.19 | 1.51 |
Temperature | T | °C | 0.68 | 29.03 | 21.47 | 6.13 |
ISOMAP Algorithm |
---|
Step 1 Matrix construction |
|
Step 2 Graphing based on D |
|
Step 3 Estimating the geodesic distance |
|
Step 4 Defining the values of B and J |
|
Step 5 Solving the eigen problem |
|
Step 6 Computing the principal vector |
|
Fuzzy c-Means Algorithm | |
---|---|
1 | Initialization |
2 | The values c, y and m are assigned |
3 4 5 6 7 8 | Threshold values for convergence are determined this is randomly generated Compute the centroid Compute the centroid |
9 | Perform classification |
10 | Computing and updating the membership matrix |
11 12 | Prototype stabilization or convergence if or |
13 14 15 16 17 | Iteration stops else: Iteration is repeated at (9) Convergence is achieved |
KNN Algorithm Input: A fire danger dataset and a number of test samples that need to be classified (the dataset has t dimension) |
Output: The estimated fire danger rating in the testing dataset |
|
Component 1 | Component 2 | Component 3 | |
---|---|---|---|
1 | 21.87642 | −0.61109 | 3.078009 |
2 | 18.05238 | −0.42372 | 2.588285 |
3 | 12.57939 | −0.12902 | 1.388911 |
4 | 11.55528 | 0.085894 | −1.79916 |
5 | 5.584876 | 0.243517 | −0.29477 |
… | … | … | … |
116 | 2.666088 | 0.367277 | −0.36284 |
117 | 3.427989 | 0.335027 | −0.32689 |
118 | 5.010317 | 0.266068 | −0.19241 |
119 | 6.567639 | 0.189253 | 0.077908 |
120 | 7.433521 | 0.144162 | 0.250601 |
Low Fire Rating | Moderate Fire Rating | High Fire Rating | |
---|---|---|---|
Precision (%) | 90 | 88 | 100 |
Recall (%) | 88 | 88 | 88 |
F1-score (%) | 100 | 95 | 97 |
Proposed framework overall accuracy (%) | 94 |
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Kamran, M.; Chaudhry, W.; Wattimena, R.K.; Rehman, H.; Martyushev, D.A. A Multi-Criteria Decision Intelligence Framework to Predict Fire Danger Ratings in Underground Engineering Structures. Fire 2023, 6, 412. https://doi.org/10.3390/fire6110412
Kamran M, Chaudhry W, Wattimena RK, Rehman H, Martyushev DA. A Multi-Criteria Decision Intelligence Framework to Predict Fire Danger Ratings in Underground Engineering Structures. Fire. 2023; 6(11):412. https://doi.org/10.3390/fire6110412
Chicago/Turabian StyleKamran, Muhammad, Waseem Chaudhry, Ridho Kresna Wattimena, Hafeezur Rehman, and Dmitriy A. Martyushev. 2023. "A Multi-Criteria Decision Intelligence Framework to Predict Fire Danger Ratings in Underground Engineering Structures" Fire 6, no. 11: 412. https://doi.org/10.3390/fire6110412
APA StyleKamran, M., Chaudhry, W., Wattimena, R. K., Rehman, H., & Martyushev, D. A. (2023). A Multi-Criteria Decision Intelligence Framework to Predict Fire Danger Ratings in Underground Engineering Structures. Fire, 6(11), 412. https://doi.org/10.3390/fire6110412