Water–Energy–Food Nexus in the Agri-Food Sector: Research Trends and Innovating Practices
Abstract
:1. Introduction
2. Theorical Framework
3. Sources and Tools
4. Results
4.1. Evolution on the Main Parameters of Water–Energy–Food Nexus (WEF Nexus)
4.2. Main Journals
4.3. Most Relevant Authors
4.4. Most Productive Institutions
4.5. Most Active Countries
4.6. Principal Subject Areas in the Study of WEF Nexus
4.7. Most Important Funding Sponsors
4.8. Keywords: Relationships and Analysis
5. Innovating Practices in WEF Nexus in the Agri-Food Sector
6. Discussion and Conclusions
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- Variety in research methods. This bibliometric analysis was carried out by studying the information provided by Scopus, a database with extensive and diverse literature, but not only such generalist work systems should be employed. Thus, there are several specialised computer tools [118] that can be used for WEF Nexus research, such as ANEMI, CLEW, MuSIASEM, WEF Nexus Tool 2.0, and WESim. In addition, in the field of innovation stand out Albrecht et al. [119], who carried out 18 studies that will undoubtedly help the improvement of the Nexus from an analytical point of view through new procedures. Despite all this methodological variety, the WEF Nexus remains a very novel subject (the first writing dates from 1988 [1]), which makes it difficult to reduce the complexity of studying it, due to the multitude of progress that has yet to be defined. In order to reduce this diversity, the solution would then go through strengthening collaboration between disciplines, designing integrated software platforms, and inviting policy makers and stakeholders of different order to participate in this process. It is a difficult process of adaptation, due to the complexity of each system (with its individual advantages and disadvantages), as well as needing a deep understanding of the Nexus that has not yet been fully achieved, which makes it impractical today to obtain a universal method that helps to understand all the situations that may occur, both in theoretical and practical fields.
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- The size or scope of the Nexus. Due to the importance of WEF Nexus in preserving equity in access to resources and sustainable development, it is necessary to know the limits that will set it. This means that the interrelationship of the elements of the system (water, energy, and food) must be studied by reference to different approaches. Thus, we must not set aside the composition of the total scheme of the Nexus, being able to increase it to add elements such as climate [120] or ecosystem [121,122]. In addition, it will be necessary to expand the horizon of traditionally regional studies to a global one, with the aim of being able to manage issues such as population growth, which would also involve interrelating scale with the economy, without forgetting that limits must always be established to allow us to avoid uncertain results. Arguably, the point of view adopted (water, energy, or food) influences the modelling of interactions, to the point of leading some authors to question whether there is really consistency in such integration [123]. Thus, water would consider energy and food as inputs, while for food the raw material would be water and energy [124]. The same situation is true for research methods. Albrecht et al. [119] reported that only a quarter of the publications on the WEF Nexus employed social science methodologies, and that the methods were generally limited to disciplinary silos. A major drawback is the lack of consistent data availability across sectors and scales: at national and transnational levels, open-access databases such as those of the Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations (FAO), AQUASTAT and FAOSTAT, and the United Nations Statistics Division (UNSD) are used; at smaller scales, the problem lies in commercial trust and data confidentiality [125]. Thanks to new technologies, data could be captured with better resolution in both space and time, as long as the data obtained are not excessively expensive or exclusive to institutions. Decisions are made at various levels of governance (from local, through regional and national, to global) and at various geographical scales (river basin, city, state); however, most of the models in the WEF Nexus choose a single scale of each type and do not consider inter-scalar interactions. Thus, the need for a hierarchical framework integrating all scales and perspectives arises [123]. Due to this problem, the limited action of the Nexus has come to be considered [126]. Decision support tools and models must be perceived as credible, legitimate, and salient [127].
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- Lack of involvement of political authority (or, in the case of developing countries, lack of capacity to act). To implement the Nexus as efficiently as possible in a region, the development of economic strategies that foster cooperation at the inter-regional (and even inter-state) level, including trade, financial coordination, and production networks, is mandatory [128,129]. Unfortunately, due to the lack of effective monitoring and verification mechanisms, existing information is currently mostly discontinuous, scattered, and not homogeneous. Although obtaining data at the country level is possible within certain limits, it becomes complicated at lower scales (sub-national, urban, and suburban), and it is necessary to introduce quality information for a correct quantitative analysis of the Nexus. Thus, data must be consistent, comparable across scales, and available to stakeholders and the general public [40,130]. At the city level, Kennedy et al. [131] found that only three studies used models of so-called Urban Metabolism (UM), ‘the sum of the technical and socioeconomic processes that occur in cities, resulting in growth, production and energy, and elimination of waste’, to design concrete policies, and they were limited to analysing water [132] and waste processing [133,134]. Only Hendriks et al. [133] alluded to the creation of workshops as a way to seriously explore the interactions and processes governing waste management. Foran [135] went further and wrote that what is needed is a “critical social science of the Nexus”. Following published studies of cities in the United States and Europe [136,137,138], it has been observed that the management and evaluation models created are scientifically sound, but developed ‘behind closed doors’, making them unhelpful and unclear to society as a whole [139]. The solution for Van den Belt [140] is to develop such models in open and participatory spaces, creating a trust that allows acceptance by a wider group of participants. This was also the thinking of the main funding agencies in Europe, the United States, and the United Kingdom, which promoted calls for funding in 2015 through the Dear Colleague Letter (DCL), a statement of intent issued by the National Science Foundation (NSF), which called for the collaboration of research communities to unify different systems (physical, natural, and behavioural) to help the understanding of the WEF Nexus. Thus, four lines of research emerged to address in subsequent years in the first Innovations in Food, Energy, and Water Systems (INFEWS) call [125]: (I) modelling of FEW systems, (II) visualisation and decision support for implementing cyber–human–physical systems in the FEW nexus, (III) research to facilitate solutions, and (IV) education and workforce development.
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- It is a relevant topic, but there are still significant research gaps, particularly in certain sectors such as agriculture. The identification of these gaps suggests opportunities to guide future WEF Nexus research. Nazmul Islam et al. [141] concluded that within the field of agriculture, Nexus research is comparatively inferior, leading to missed opportunities in water and energy savings, as well as in the consequent reduction of greenhouse gas emissions. Precision technologies will facilitate the Nexus research task by offering to collect and provide real-time data on agricultural production. However, there are several limitations, such as current data infrastructure and accessibility. For Woodard et al. [142,143], a data warehouse that is able to integrate diverse data sources, such as satellite imagery, public surveys, climate and market data, while upholding data privacy, would make the resource optimisation policies of the WEF Nexus exponentially better.
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- The Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs). Following the Bonn Conference (2011), Nexus research results have increased every year [144,145], with rapid growth following the publication of the SDGs (2015), as the systematic nature of the SDGs is facilitated by Nexus thinking. Regional water, food, and energy resources can be undermined by factors such as climate change, population growth, urbanisation, and food security [42,146]. In addition, sustainable regional development must be achieved under resource constraints, which has already led to enormous challenges [147,148,149,150]. The global agricultural sector (production and supply) consumes 70% of freshwater and 30% of energy resources. With an estimated world population of 9 billion people by 2050, food supply will also need to increase by at least 60% globally [151,152]. However, the essential question remains to clarify the impact on sustainable development due to regional resource constraints: through the pressure–state–response model, the relationship between factors such as economic growth and the environment can be analysed, because it incorporates the sustainability aspect, and can serve as an exploitative framework for future research on the WEF Nexus [52,153]. Nevertheless, although studies of the Nexus have increased considerably in recent years, very few link it to the SDGs; indeed, for Boas et al. [154] the connections between many of the SDGs are weak and unstructured, and do not recognise the relationships between different sectors. The WEF Nexus is recognised in five SDGs: SDG 2 (food security), SDG 6 (clean water), SDG 7 (modern energy), SDG 13 (climate change), and SDG 15 (terrestrial ecosystems).
Author Contributions
Funding
Institutional Review Board Statement
Informed Consent Statement
Conflicts of Interest
Abbreviations
ANEMI | An ancient Greek term for the four winds, heralds of the four seasons. |
CLEW | Climate, Land, Energy and Water. |
CRISPR/Cas9 | Clustered Regularly Interspaced Short Palindromic Repeats. |
CSV format | Comma-Separated Values format. |
DCL | Dear College Letter. |
EU | European Union. |
FAO | Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations. |
i-RTG | Integrated Rooftop Greenhouse. |
IF | Impact Factor. |
INFEWS | Innovations in Food, Energy and Water Systems. |
KTH | Royal Institute of Technology: Kungliga Tekniska högskolan (Swedish). |
LAC | Latin America and Caribbean. |
MuSIASEM | Multi-Scale Integrated Analysis of Societal and Ecosystem Metabolism. |
NASA | National Aeronautics and Space Administration. |
NSF | National Science Foundation. |
PRIMA | Association for Research and Innovation in the Mediterranean Area. |
PUBYEAR | Publication year. |
PV panels | Photovoltaic panels. |
Q1 | Quartile 1. |
REDD+ programme | Reducing Emissions from Deforestation and Forest Degradation programme. |
RIS format | Research Information Systems format. |
SJR | SCIMago Journal Rank. |
SciMAT | Soft Computing and Intelligent Information Systems Research group. |
SDGs | Sustainable Development Goals. |
Texas A&M University | Texas Agricultural and Mechanical University. |
UK | United Kingdom. |
UM | Urban Metabolism. |
UN | United Nations. |
USA | United States of America. |
UNSD | United Nations Statistics Division. |
WEF Nexus | Water–Energy–Food Nexus. |
WEFE | Water-–Energy–Food–Ecosystems. |
WESim | The Water-Energy Simulator. |
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Year | Articles | Journals | Authors | Institutions | Countries | Subject Areas | Funding Sponsors | Citations | Average Citations 1 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2008 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 17 |
2009 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
2010 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
2011 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 377 | 188.5 |
2012 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 62 | 62 |
2013 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 22 | 22 |
2014 | 7 | 7 | 25 | 13 | 9 | 10 | 1 | 198 | 28.29 |
2015 | 32 | 22 | 99 | 71 | 20 | 12 | 9 | 962 | 30.06 |
2016 | 40 | 28 | 153 | 96 | 20 | 13 | 34 | 1228 | 30.7 |
2017 | 37 | 26 | 126 | 71 | 20 | 12 | 22 | 1180 | 31.89 |
2018 | 64 | 39 | 160 | 160 | 45 | 18 | 88 | 1421 | 22.20 |
2019 | 80 | 46 | 160 | 160 | 39 | 16 | 95 | 1196 | 14.95 |
2020 | 83 | 49 | 160 | 160 | 44 | 18 | 116 | 581 | 7 |
2021 | 115 | 56 | 160 | 160 | 44 | 16 | 112 | 233 | 2.03 |
Journals | Articles | SJR 1 | Sample H Index (Global H Index 1) | Countries | Citations | Average Citations 2 | First Article | Last Article | Founding Year |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Journal of Cleaner Production | 30 | 1.937 (Q1) | 13 (200) | UK | 454 | 15.13 | 2015 | 2021 | 1993 |
Science of the Total Environment | 27 | 1.795 (Q1) | 15 (244) | The Netherlands | 656 | 24.3 | 2016 | 2021 | 1972 |
Water (Switzerland) | 24 | 0.718 (Q1) | 6 (55) | Switzerland | 195 | 8.13 | 2016 | 2021 | 2009 |
Sustainability (Switzerland) | 22 | 0.612 (Q1) | 7 (85) | Switzerland | 107 | 4.86 | 2016 | 2021 | 2009 |
Resources, Conservation and Recycling | 19 | 2.468 (Q1) | 5 (130) | The Netherlands | 89 | 4.68 | 2017 | 2021 | 1988 |
Environmental Research Letters | 15 | 2.370 (Q1) | 10 (124) | UK | 484 | 32.27 | 2014 | 2021 | 2006 |
Environmental Science and Policy | 11 | 1.716 (Q1) | 8 (115) | The Netherlands | 318 | 28.91 | 2016 | 2020 | 1998 |
Applied Energy | 10 | 3.035 (Q1) | 8 (212) | UK | 375 | 37.5 | 2016 | 2021 | 1975 |
Frontiers in Environmental Science | 9 | 1.225 (Q1) | 7 (37) | Switzerland | 118 | 13.11 | 2017 | 2019 | 2013 |
Sustainable Production and Consumption | 9 | 1.019 (Q1) | 6 (26) | The Netherlands | 244 | 27.11 | 2015 | 2021 | 2015 |
Authors | Average Citations 1 | Citations | Articles | H Index 2 | Countries | Affiliation | First Article | Last Article |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
D’Odorico, Paolo | 52.2 | 261 | 5 | 5 | USA | Department of Environmental Science, Policy and Management, and University of California | 2016 | 2019 |
Fu, Qiang. | 41 | 164 | 4 | 3 | China | Northeast Agricultural University | 2019 | 2021 |
Campana, Pietro Elia | 36.25 | 145 | 4 | 4 | Sweden | Mälardalens högskola | 2015 | 2019 |
Liu, Dong | 34 | 170 | 5 | 4 | China | Northeast Agricultural University | 2019 | 2021 |
Li, Mo W. | 34 | 170 | 5 | 4 | China | Northeast Agricultural University | 2019 | 2021 |
Mohtar, Rabi H. | 17 | 85 | 5 | 4 | Lebanon | American University of Beirut | 2018 | 2020 |
Daher, Bassel T. | 15 | 75 | 5 | 4 | USA | Texas A&M University | 2019 | 2021 |
Al-Ansari, Tareq | 14.42 | 173 | 12 | 7 | Qatar | Hamad Bin Khalifa University | 2015 | 2021 |
Taniguchi, Makoto | 13.2 | 66 | 5 | 5 | Japan | National Institutes for the Humanities, Research Institute for Humanity and Nature | 2017 | 2020 |
Govindan, Rajesh | 7.2 | 36 | 5 | 3 | Qatar | Hamad Bin Khalifa University, College of Science and Engineering | 2020 | 2021 |
Institutions | Articles | H Index 1 | Countries | Citations | Average Citations 2 | Founding Year |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Texas A&M University | 17 | 10 | USA | 349 | 20.53 | 1871 |
Beijing Normal University | 15 | 8 | China | 307 | 20.47 | 1902 |
Chinese Academy of Sciences | 14 | 9 | China | 167 | 11.93 | 1949 |
Wageningen University and Research Centre | 13 | 7 | Netherlands | 203 | 15.62 | 1876 |
Hamad Bin Khalifa University | 11 | 6 | Qatar | 75 | 6.82 | 2010 |
Hamad Bin Khalifa University, College of Science and Engineering | 11 | 6 | Qatar | 75 | 6.82 | 2010 |
The Ohio State University | 10 | 5 | USA | 128 | 12.8 | 1870 |
The Royal Institute of Technology KTH | 9 | 6 | Sweden | 241 | 26.78 | 1827 |
National Taiwan University | 9 | 6 | Taiwan | 122 | 13.56 | 1928 |
China Agricultural University | 9 | 4 | China | 126 | 14 | 1905 |
Countries | Articles | Average Per Capita Articles 1 | H Index 2 | Citations | Average Citations 3 | First Article | Last Article |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
USA | 178 | 0.5402 | 30 | 3333 | 18.72 | 2011 | 2021 |
China | 78 | 0.0556 | 15 | 890 | 11.41 | 2016 | 2021 |
UK | 59 | 0.8777 | 9 | 1312 | 22.24 | 2013 | 2021 |
Germany | 34 | 0.4085 | 9 | 478 | 14.06 | 2014 | 2021 |
Italy | 34 | 0.5709 | 9 | 598 | 17.59 | 2015 | 2021 |
The Netherlands | 27 | 1.5482 | 7 | 374 | 13.85 | 2016 | 2021 |
Spain | 27 | 0.5702 | 7 | 448 | 16.59 | 2014 | 2021 |
India | 22 | 0.0159 | 9 | 340 | 15.45 | 2011 | 2021 |
Canada | 21 | 0.5525 | 7 | 290 | 13.81 | 2015 | 2021 |
Brazil | 20 | 0.0941 | 4 | 95 | 4.75 | 2015 | 2021 |
Funding Sponsors | Articles | H Index 1 | Countries | Citations | Average Citations 2 | First Article | Last Article | Founding Year |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
National Science Foundation | 50 | 16 | USA | 842 | 16.84 | 2015 | 2021 | 1950 |
National Natural Science Foundation of China | 49 | 13 | China | 687 | 14.02 | 2017 | 2021 | 1986 |
European Commission | 15 | 8 | EU | 198 | 13.2 | 2018 | 2021 | 1958 |
Horizon 2020 Framework Programme | 15 | 8 | EU | 174 | 11.6 | 2018 | 2021 | 2014 |
Chinese Academy of Sciences | 14 | 6 | China | 149 | 10.64 | 2018 | 2021 | 1949 |
Natural Environment Research Council | 11 | 8 | UK | 253 | 23 | 2015 | 2021 | 1965 |
Coordenação de Aperfeiçoamento de Pessoal de Nível Superior | 10 | 4 | Brazil | 31 | 3.1 | 2016 | 2021 | 1951 |
Conselho Nacional de Desenvolvimento Científico e Tecnológico | 9 | 3 | Brazil | 21 | 2.33 | 2020 | 2021 | 1951 |
Consortium of International Agricultural Research Centers | 9 | 6 | France | 207 | 23 | 2012 | 2020 | 1971 |
National Key Research and Development Program of China | 9 | 3 | China | 23 | 2.56 | 2020 | 2021 | 2016 |
Topic | |||||||
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Articles and Reviews | Author/s | Years | Journals | Tools | Developed Countries | Developing Countries | Citations |
Article: Sustainable planning of the energy–water–food nexus using decision making tools | Bieber, N., Ker, J.H., Wang, X., Triantafyllidis, C., van Dam, K.H., Koppelaar, R.H.E.M., Shah, N. | 2018 | Energy Policy | To ensure that, through tools and proposals, in agricultural and urban areas, affecting the least developed countries, WEF Nexus is used sustainably. | - | Natural environment | 93 |
Article: Complex water management in modern agriculture: Trends in the water–energy–food nexus over the High Plains Aquifer | Smidt, S.J., Haacker, E.M.K., Kendall, A.D., Deines, J.M., Pei, L., Cotterman, K.A., Li, H., Liu, X., Basso, B., Hyndman, D.W. | 2016 | Science of the Total Environment | - | Natural environment | - | 61 |
Article: Environmental assessment of an integrated rooftop greenhouse for food production in cities | Sanjuan-Delmás, D., Llorach-Massana, P., Nadal, A., Ercilla-Montserrat, M., Muñoz, P., Montero, J.I., Josa, A., Gabarrell, X., Rieradevall, J. | 2018 | Journal of Cleaner Production | Integrated rooftop greenhouse (i-RTG) (innovative crop system within its category (urban gardens)), which contributes to sustainability. | - | - | 58 |
Article: Closing the yield gap while ensuring water sustainability | Rosa, L., Rulli, M.C., Davis, K.F., Chiarelli, D.D., Passera, C., D’Odorico, P. | 2018 | Environmental Research Letters | Sustainability in the field through new irrigation techniques (also incidence in less developed countries). | - | Natural environment | 54 |
Review: SDG synergy between agriculture and forestry in the food, energy, water and income nexus: reinventing agroforestry? | van Noordwijk, M., Duguma, L.A., Dewi, S., Leimona, B., Catacutan, D.C., Lusiana, B., Öborn, I., Hairiah, K., Minang, P.A. | 2018 | Current Opinion in Environmental Sustainability | Agriculture and forestry management for environmental sustainability. | - | - | 43 |
Article: Linking the water–energy–food nexus and sustainable development indicators for the Mediterranean region | Saladini, F., Betti, G., Ferragina, E., Bouraoui, F., Cupertino, S., Canitano, G., Gigliotti, M., Autino, A., Pulselli, F.M., Riccaboni, A., Bidoglio, G., Bastianoni, S. | 2018 | Ecological Indicators | - | Natural and non-natural environment | Natural and non-natural environment | 42 |
Article: Integrated circular economy and education model to address aspects of an energy–water–food nexus in a dairy facility and local contexts | Kılkış, Ş., Kılkış, B. | 2017 | Journal of Cleaner Production | - | - | Non-natural environment | 38 |
Article: Integrated natural resource management as pathway to poverty reduction: Innovating practices, institutions and policies | van Noordwijk, M. | 2019 | Agricultural Systems | - | Natural environment | Natural environment | 33 |
Article: Nutrients in the nexus | Davidson, E.A., Nifong, R.L, Ferguson, R.B., Palm, C., Osmond, D.L., Baron, J.S. | 2016 | Journal of Environmental Studies and Sciences | Nitrogen management; reduce in developed and less developed countries, and increase in underdeveloped countries. | - | Natural environment | 22 |
Article: Unfolding livelihood aspects of the Water–Energy–Food Nexus in the Dampalit Watershed, Philippines | Spiegelberg, M., Baltazar, D.E., Sarigumba, M.P.E., Orencio, P.M., Hoshino, S., Hashimoto, S., Taniguchi, M., Endo, A. | 2017 | Journal of Hydrology | - | - | Non-natural environment | 20 |
Article: Nexus narratives and resource insecurities in the Mekong Region | Lebel, L., Lebel, B. | 2018 | Environmental Science and Policy | - | - | Natural environment | 19 |
Article: Assessment of Collective Production of Biomethane from Livestock Waste for Urban Transportation Mobility in Brazil and the United States | Pasqual, J.C., Bollmann, H.A., Scott, C.A., Edwiges, T., Baptista, T.C. | 2018 | Energies | Biogas Condominius: Based on the concept of “farm to fuel”, animal waste and manure are converted into electrical and thermal energy, biofuel for transport and biofuel. | - | - | 12 |
Article: Implications of non-sustainable agricultural water policies for the water-food nexus in large-scale irrigation systems: A remote sensing approach | Al Zayed, I.S., Elagib, N.A. | 2017 | Advances in Water Resources | - | - | Natural environment | 12 |
Article: An expert outlook on water security and water for energy trends to 2030–2050 | Mayor, B., Casado, R.R., Landeta, J., López-Gunn, E., Villarroya, F. | 2016 | Water Policy | Study, based on the Delphi method (statistics), to anticipate the tendency of the WEF Nexus to analyse the safety of water and water to generate energy. Some sections would be interesting for the theoretical WEF Nexus section. | - | - | 11 |
Review: Hydrologic and agricultural Earth observations and modelling for the water–food nexus | McNally, A., McCartney, S., Ruane, A.C., Mladenova, I.E., Whitcraft, A.K., Becker-Reshef, I, Bolten, J.D., Peters-Lidard, C.D., Rosenzweig, C., Uz, S.S. | 2019 | Frontiers in Environmental Science | Use of aerospace programs to study the WEF Nexus (ERTS, AVHRR, NDVI, GEOS-5). | - | - | 7 |
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Correa-Porcel, V.; Piedra-Muñoz, L.; Galdeano-Gómez, E. Water–Energy–Food Nexus in the Agri-Food Sector: Research Trends and Innovating Practices. Int. J. Environ. Res. Public Health 2021, 18, 12966. https://doi.org/10.3390/ijerph182412966
Correa-Porcel V, Piedra-Muñoz L, Galdeano-Gómez E. Water–Energy–Food Nexus in the Agri-Food Sector: Research Trends and Innovating Practices. International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health. 2021; 18(24):12966. https://doi.org/10.3390/ijerph182412966
Chicago/Turabian StyleCorrea-Porcel, Víctor, Laura Piedra-Muñoz, and Emilio Galdeano-Gómez. 2021. "Water–Energy–Food Nexus in the Agri-Food Sector: Research Trends and Innovating Practices" International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health 18, no. 24: 12966. https://doi.org/10.3390/ijerph182412966
APA StyleCorrea-Porcel, V., Piedra-Muñoz, L., & Galdeano-Gómez, E. (2021). Water–Energy–Food Nexus in the Agri-Food Sector: Research Trends and Innovating Practices. International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health, 18(24), 12966. https://doi.org/10.3390/ijerph182412966