1. Introduction
Although the World Health Organization (WHO) considers road traffic crashes (RTCs) to be preventable, nearly 3700 people die in RTCs worldwide every day [
1], and for every death there are at least 20 people that sustain non-fatal injuries [
2]. In the Republic of Croatia, there were 9695 RTCs with reported casualties in 2019, where 297 people died and 12,885 were injured [
3].
Since RTCs are one of the leading causes of premature death in the world, the United Nations General Assembly proclaimed “The decade of action for road safety 2011–2020” aiming to save lives by ensuring road safety, vehicle safety, improving road-user behavior and post-crash response [
4]. Nevertheless, RTCs are still the leading cause of death for children and young adults [
1], while road traffic crash (RTC) survivors suffer a wide range of consequences, e.g., functional impairments, cognitive dysfunctions, psychological suffering and poor quality of life [
5].
A significant proportion of RTC victims develop psychological disorders [
6,
7,
8,
9,
10,
11,
12,
13,
14,
15,
16,
17,
18,
19,
20,
21], most commonly posttraumatic stress disorder (PTSD), depressive disorder, driving phobia and other anxiety disorders [
22,
23]. A recent meta-analysis determined a pooled prevalence of PTSD following an RTC of 22.3%, with disparities among studies due to measuring instruments, country, gender, race and education level [
18]. Prevalence of depressive disorder following a RTC ranges from 7.8% to 63% [
8,
10,
11,
13,
14,
16,
17,
21,
24,
25], while prevalence of anxiety disorder ranges from 19.4% to 60% [
11,
24]. Consistent predictors of PTSD following an RTC are lack of social support, perceived threat to life, fatal outcomes in the RTC, acute stress disorder, previous physical and emotional problems and compensation claim [
26], while influence of road traffic injury (RTI) severity on PTSD showed contradicting results demanding more research [
5,
26]. Predictive factors determined for depression and anxiety following an RTC are perceived life-threat [
27], poor pre-RTC health status, female gender [
28], and RTI severity [
29], but literature data are not as abundant as for PTSD.
A recent meta-analysis concluded that psychological stress following an RTC is significant, but it was not clear whether it was caused by RTI or traumatic event itself, and suggested future research including uninjured controls [
19]. So far, there have been no prospective studies of RTC outcomes that included uninjured RTC survivors. Prospective studies of RTC victims and mental health outcomes or its predictors have never been conducted in the Croatian population. Therefore, the aim of this study was to prospectively follow RTC survivors that had recently experienced an RTC with or without RTI in order to determine mental health outcomes and its predictors in this population. Different patterns of mental health outcomes may serve as guidelines for designing institutional response to this matter.
2. Materials and Methods
A prospective cohort was followed between December 2016 and September 2017. The research was conducted at the Institute of emergency medicine of Vukovar-Srijem County in Croatia and it was approved by the Ethics Committee of the Faculty of Medicine Osijek, Croatia (Ethical Approval Code: 2158-61-07-17-211). A cohort of 200 RTC survivors was followed during six months after experiencing an RTC. Participants gave informed consent for participation in the study. Inclusion criteria were recent RTC experience and ≥18 years of age. Exclusion criteria were minor age and cognitive and mental health problems resulting in inability to give consent and provide necessary information. At one month and six months after an RTC, the participants gave information regarding their psychological and physical health status, socioeconomic status, compensation status, RTC characteristics, road traffic injuries (RTIs) and pre-RTC health status. Cohort recruitment is presented in
Figure 1.
Sociodemographic characteristics explored were age, sex, place of residence, education level, employment status, marital status, self-perceived economic status and religiousness. Pre-RTC health status included smoking habit, alcohol consumption, psychoactive substance use, body weight and height, presence of chronic physical and psychiatric diseases, medication use, previous traumatic or RTC experience and permanent pain. RTC characteristics included road user type, total number of crashed vehicles, total number of (RTIs) and road traffic fatalities (RTFs), unconsciousness in the RTC, post-RTC amnesia, fault for perpetrating the RTC, compensation claim and obtained compensation. RTI characteristics explored were injury status, injury severity, self-perceived life-threat, pain after the RTI, hospitalization and duration of hospitalization, surgical treatment, and rehabilitation after the RTC. Post-RTC health status explored whether there was another traumatic event or RTC in the follow-up period, new chronic diseases, sick leave duration, work status, invalidity, retirement due to RTC, driving phobia, permanent pain after the RTC, location and frequency of pain, pain management, medication use, smoking, alcohol and psychoactive substance consumption, subjective feeling of recovery and perception of general health. Body mass index (BMI) was calculated from self-reported body height and weight according to WHO [
30]. Presence of PTSD symptoms was assessed using the PTSD Check List—Civilian Version (PCL-C) [
31]. Depression symptoms were assessed using a Beck Depression Inventory—version I (BDI) [
32] and anxiety symptoms were assessed using a Beck Anxiety Inventory (BAI) [
33]. Abbreviated Injury Scale [
34] and New Injury Severity Scale [
35] were used to assess RTA injury severity. NISS classifies multiple injuries as mild, moderate, serious, severe and critical. Critical, severe, and serious injuries were analyzed as one category.
The normality of data distributions was checked by the Kolmogorov–Smirnov test. Descriptive statistics were used to describe the socio-demographic characteristics of study participants and RTC details, as well as the characteristics of the participants and their mental health outcomes 1 month and 6 months following an RTC. Multiple logistic regression was used to explore factors associated with depression, anxiety, and PTSD symptoms 1 month and 6 months following an RTC, i.e., six prognostic models were proposed. The associations between explored risk factors and mentioned mental health outcomes of RTC in each model were presented as odds ratios (ORs) with a 95% confidence intervals and
p-values. To make models reliable and select the factors that have an impact on the output, backward elimination was used with a selection criterion of 0.157 because such selection criterion is emphasized as the most appropriate for prognostic models [
36]. Data analysis was performed by SPSS statistical software package version 22.0 (SPSS Inc., Chicago, IL, USA). The statistical significance level was set at
p < 0.05.
4. Discussion
The study prospectively followed uninjured RTC survivors and injured RTC victims with all levels of injury severity for six months following the RTC, unlike other prospective studies of RTC victims that only included injured RTC survivors. Outcomes on physical and psychological health were assessed one month and six months following the RTC experience.
A full recovery after a six-month follow-up was reported by 59.5% of RTC survivors, while other research has reported this for 46.7% of recovered RTC victims two years following the RTC [
37]. This study reported only 5.5% of RTC survivors on a sick leave for longer than 6 months, while other studies have obtained higher rates of sick leave even two years after an RTC [
38]. Differences can be explained by different structure of injury severity among participants of different studies since research showed association between the recovery after an RTC and injury severity [
5].
Pain frequency decreased in the RTC survivors during the follow-up, but even after six months, 21.0% of RTC victims suffered permanent pain, as opposed to 9.5% of the participants that suffered permanent pain before the RTC. Study results showed that one in five RTC survivors suffered chronic pain, which is a significant number of people that experience an RTC every year. Public health importance of persistent pain in development of disability and mental disorders, such as depression and PTSD, is well established [
39].
One month following an RTC, 40.5% of the participants suffered symptoms of an investigated psychological disorder, while six months after an RTC, 23.5% of all RTC survivors reported symptoms of an investigated mental health disorder. Other studies found one half of RTC victims to be suffering from mental disorders 12 to 24 months after an RTC [
11,
40]. It is considered that one in four RTC survivors suffer from psychological consequences up to one year after the RTC [
21,
41].
The prospective cohort was characterized by a high prevalence of PTSD and depression symptoms and a low prevalence of anxiety symptoms during the research period. The obtained prevalence results were within the expected range, and are similar to other studies of mental health outcomes in RTC survivors [
5,
7,
9,
10,
11,
12,
13,
14,
15,
16,
17,
18,
21,
25,
26,
40,
42,
43,
44,
45]. Comorbidity of mental health outcomes determined in this study has also been established in other studies of RTC victims [
8,
11,
13,
15,
16,
17,
25,
40]. RTC survivors with comorbid mental disorders should be the focus of attention, since research found comorbidity to be the predictor of poorer mental health outcomes in the long term [
11]. During the prospective follow-up, 9.5% of RTC victims developed driving phobia, which is similar to other research investigating fear of driving that developed in 9% of survivors of RTCs in Serbia [
17].
The study showed an association between mental disorders and sociodemographic factors, as well as health status in terms of the RTC, RTI and RTC characteristics. The significance of certain factors changed during the follow-up period. Study results showed that socioeconomic factors were not significantly associated with mental health outcomes of RTCs. Other research into RTCs also showed that socioeconomic factors such as employment status or education level showed no association with depression or anxiety symptoms [
46,
47]. Regression models for one-month follow-up found irreligiousness to be a risk factor for depression symptoms, while at six-month follow-up, irreligiousness was determined to be a risk factor for PTSD symptoms, but not for depression symptoms. Other studies of RTC survivors and RTC outcomes did not explore religiousness, but this author’s preliminary studies showed similar results [
47]. In general, religiousness is a well-known factor influencing mental health [
48,
49].
Results showed that female sex was a risk factor for anxiety symptoms at one-month follow-up. Although a few studies found no association between gender and mental health of RTC victims [
26,
40,
50], there are far more studies that have found an association between female gender and mental health disorders in RTC survivors [
9,
13,
15,
17,
18,
28,
44,
47,
51,
52].
Health status before the RTC, including permanent pain before the RTC, previous psychiatric disease, previous RTC experience, previous psychoactive substance use and medication use, showed an association with mental health problems during the follow-up period. Similar to other research, the study results showed that poor physical and mental health before the RTC was a risk factor for developing psychological disorders after the RTC experience [
9,
11,
26,
28,
40,
43,
50,
53].
Regression models found factors related to RTI, such as a sustaining a RTI, RTI severity, self-perceived life-threat, hospitalization and its duration, to be associated with depression and PTSD symptoms, while symptoms of anxiety showed no significant association with the RTI. Other studies also found RTI [
5,
9,
17,
20,
21,
40,
45,
47,
54], hospitalization [
17,
47], pain [
9,
13,
47,
55] and life-threat [
8,
20,
27,
47] to be associated with poor mental health outcomes, such as PTSD and/or depression. Anxiety symptoms in RTC survivors unrelated to RTI was also reported in earlier research [
47].
Compensation claims were found to be associated with PTSD symptoms of RTC victims. Compensation processes following RTC are a well-known predictor of PTSD in the literature [
9,
26,
56]. It is thought that the constant reminders of the RTC and traumatic details during the compensation process have negative effects on RTC victims with PTSD symptoms [
26]. Others have found an association between PTSD and driving phobia, while the regression model in this study found no association between these [
57].
Regression models have shown that vulnerable road users, i.e., pedestrians and cyclists, had a higher risk of developing all of the investigated mental health disorders during the prospective follow-up in comparison with motor-vehicle drivers and passengers/co-drivers. Other research of RTC survivors from Europe and India that included several road user types in the study also identified vulnerable road users as those being at risk of psychological disorders after the RTC [
21,
45]. It is possible that this vulnerability to mental disorders results from the RTI, since all pedestrians and cyclists in this study reported RTIs.
The study results found an association between symptoms of mental disorders and post-RTC health status six months after the RTC. Regression models identified repeated RTC, permanent pain following an RTC, level of permanent pain, increase of alcohol and medication use and exacerbation of health status to be risk factors for mental health problems. Other research showed anxiety following the RTC to be negative prognostic factor associated with permanent pain and disability [
58]. High levels of pain have already been associated with the development of chronic pain and mental and physical disability; therefore, early management of pain and comorbidities such as PTSD, depression and anxiety can reduce development of chronic pain and related disabilities [
39].
Literature data has found an association between PTSD and depression in RTC victims [
13,
15,
17,
59]. This study determined factors associated with symptoms of PTSD and depression to be similar and largely related to pre-RTC and post-RTC health status and RTI. This may serve as a direction for the future research and for a development of screenings and interventions targeting RTC victims with risk factors. Screening might be set in healthcare facilities, such as trauma wards and rehabilitation centers, where injured RTC victims would be easily reachable for screening [
47]. Early interventions are important, since research has shown that RTC survivors with PTSD have greater risk of developing other mental disorders in the long term [
11]. The study results showed that anxiety symptoms following the RTC are associated with poor pre-RTC health status, and not with RTI, which has also been established previously [
47].
Recent systematic reviews of the most important factors of poor recovery following the RTC included high levels of pain, duration and intensity of pain, physical and mental health status before the RTC, PTSD, RTI severity and compensation procedure [
39,
60,
61], which is congruent with the results of this study. This study indicated some unexplored factors that deserve more attention such as religiousness as a protective factor and medication use as a negative prognostic factor. Preliminary research by this author also showed pre-RTC medication use to be a significant factor associated with mental health outcomes of RTC victims [
47].
Strengths and Limitations
The limitations of this study included the use of self-reported data, rather than using medical records for detecting pre-existing medical conditions. Participants represented only 31.3% of all RTC survivors, mostly due to lack of contact information. The response rate of 84.2% was high among those RTC victims who were contacted. Despite limitations, the study has several strengths. The study was set up prospectively, and a high number of variables were explored. To ensure systematic approach to RTI, uninjured RTC survivors and injured RTC victims with all types of RTI severity were included in the study, unlike some studies that have only included hospitalized RTC victims [
10,
12,
14,
21,
45,
56]. RTC survivors were engaged outside compensation settings to avoid possible secondary gain of the participants.