In this section, three cases are formulated to validate the efficacy of the proposed market model.
To enable the DR market mechanism, the critical load buses need to be identified. The critical load buses reflect those buses where a unit load reduction comparatively saves higher operating cost than the rest of the buses. At this end, a cost sensitivity is investigated for different loading levels. The effect of transmission capacity constraints on locational marginal price (LMP) is analyzed.
4.1. Case#1 (Sensitivity Analysis)
The transmission lines in a power system are planned to operate at safe margins with respect to their capacity limit; congestion only happens at some critical lines and are usually well identified. In the congestion-free condition, the transmission lines are not capacity constrained, i.e., they can transfer any amount of power between the buses, and the given demand is met with no locational variation in LMP. For the given test system, the LMP without transmission line constraints is
$30.17/MWh, to serve a 3.00 p.u. of the load at Bus#2, Bus#3, and Bus#4 with a total operating cost of k
$12.22. The generator, G
1, G
2, G
3, and G
5, provide 1.10, 1.00, 0.90, and 6.00 p.u., respectively. The expensive unit, G
4, does not get dispatched in this instance. Non-zero Lagrange multipliers of value
$16.58/MWh and
$10.83/MWh are found at the Bus#1 and the Bus#5 as generators G
1, G
2, and G
5 hit their upper limits, respectively. The results are summarized in
Table 4.
In the congested condition, when line 5–4 is capacity constrained and the maximum power transfer capacity is limited to 2.4 p.u., the market is cleared with high LMP as the cheaper generation cannot be delivered due to the transmission constraint. The LMPs at those five buses are determined to be
$28.19/MWh,
$32.86/MWh,
$30.60/MWh,
$31.23/MWh, and
$10.60/MWh, as shown in
Table 4. The G
3 increases from 0.90 to 4.06 p.u., while the G
5 reduces from 6.00 to 2.84 p.u. The non-zero Lagrangian multipliers due to hitting the upper limits of G
5 are now zero as they are within their limits. The upper limit multipliers for the G
1 and G
2 still exist. The transmission line constraint allowed the G
3 to increase its output and does not hit its upper limit anymore.
The load bus Bus#4 is found to be most sensitive, the Bus#3 is medium, and the Bus#2 is less sensitive. The aggregators are assumed to supply the DR to the most sensitive, Bus#4 and Bus#3. The aggregators bid into the DRX for the incremental DR level to mitigate the LMP spikes. Each of the aggregators has three type/group of users having a different disutility price. The user’s type value defined in aggregator’s DR offer cost function in Equation (18). The DR offer prices are different between two user’s groups. The DR bidding prices are given in
Table 3. The offer price continues to rise from the order of low price to high price. However, the bidding parameters are assumed to be constant for a specific DR level.
The DR bidding outcomes determine the transaction cost and compensation price, which can be considered as payback price for the end-users. The load curtailment amount in the DRX market is regulated by the LMP determined in the upper-level market. The aggregators get paid at the LMP rate of those buses where they provide the DR. The aggregator net payoff comprises of the difference of the LMP rate they get paid and the compensation cost provided to the end-users. The DRX market is considered during the peak demand hours, from 6 am to 9 am in the morning and from 4 pm to 8 pm in the evening.
4.2. Case#2 (Competitive Bidding)
Operation Cost and LMPs: The market model is simulated twice, without and with a DRX mechanism, to quantify the benefits of reduced LMP and operating cost. The operation cost without a DRX is determined to be k
$747.49 and an average (over a day) LMP at Bus#4 is found to be
$56.49/MWh. The reduction of the LMP (
$49.14/MWh LMP at Bus#4) and the operation cost (k
$724.16) is evident even with a modest amount of incremental DR (1.95%) for few hours. The effect of different levels of DR on the operating cost with, without DRX transaction cost, is summarized in
Table 5 and
Figure 5. The operation cost without considering DRX gradually decreases due to serving a reduced load demand. It is interesting to note that with DRX, the operation cost reduces with the DR up to 15.28% and increases for any further increase in DR levels. This is because, at higher DR levels, the DR transaction cost outweighs savings from the reduction in the market clearing cost (the DR transaction cost and the DR amount among the aggregators and users are the decision variables determined by solving the market at the lower-level). The DR transaction cost is reasonably small for up to 12.94% DR and increases sharply beyond it. The DR transaction cost progressively increases with the increasing level of DR. A larger value of DR yields a higher selling revenue for the DRX participants. The DR transaction cost at the lower-level equivalently provides monetary benefit for the end-user customers. The end-user proportionately shares this based on the disutility price they offered. However, the increased DR transaction cost exceeds the overall operation cost provide an argument for limiting the DR payments to periods when the LMP are likely to exceed a specific threshold. The emission without DRX was 19,077 ton a day. With 1.95% and 5.92% DR, the emission reduced to 18,806 and 18,167 ton, respectively. A 1.42% and 6.88% emission, respectively, reduces in each day.
Table 6 presents average LMP at different buses in the test system. It is observed that the LMP at Bus#4 is highest and at Bus#5 is lowest (the lower LMP reflects the existence of low-cost generation units to meet demand). The LMP without DR was found to be maximum at Bus#4, and minimum at Bus#5. The LMP at Bus#3 and #4 without DR were
$55.25/MWh, and
$56.49/MWh, respectively. At 1.95%DR, it reduces to
$52.30/MWh and
$53.46/MWh, respectively. With the increased DR, the LMP reduces, however, till a certain level and does not further reduce. The LMP was found minimal when the DR level 10.60%. The LMPs, usually, are the basis for payment to generators, aggregators, and payments by the retailers.
The GenCos and the aggregators are paid at the LMP rate at their respective buses. The radar charts in
Figure 6 compare the hourly LMP variation for a day. The radial axis starting from the centre shows the LMP value, while the equiangular distance along the peripheries shows an hour of a day. The hourly LMP is depicted by the marker on the radial axis. The individual line colour represents the LMP with different levels of DR.
The non-peak hour LMP at Bus#2, #3, and #4 does not significantly change. Further, the LMP at the Bus#5 only changes between $10.76 and $24.01. In Bus#5, the unit G5 get paid as its bid. These values are almost the same irrespective of the DR level. At Bus#2, #3, and #4, the LMPs of the peak demand period are responsive to the incremental DR level. The peak hour LMP at Bus#4, without DR, is found to be $82.67, which reduces to $67.45 at 10.60% DR. At Bus#3, those values are $80.85 and $66.10. At Bus#2, the LMPs are $75.86 and $62.40. Increasing the DR level decreases the peak hour durations. With a DR level of up to 5.92%, the duration of the LMP spike reduces to 4 h in a day and is further reduced to only 3 h for DR level of 8.26% and can be totally avoided with the DR level of 10.60%.
Aggregators’ Payoff: The lower-level model allows the aggregators to participate in the DR exchange in the same way that supply-side Genco’s bid into day-ahead electricity markets. The proposed DRX integrated market clearing model promotes the true market value of DR in daily scheduling intervals.
Figure 7 illustrates the aggregators’ payoff with different incremental DR levels and
Table 7 presents the DR amount supplied by the aggregators. The aggregator’s payoff not only depends on the amount of DR traded, but also on the LMP. The aggregator payoff is a difference of the DR selling revenue at LMP, and the compensation provided to end-users and is determined using Equation (18). Assuming, the reward scale factor,
γm, as unity, with a 1.95% DR, the aggregator, A
1, A
2, and A
3, earn k
$15.15, k
$13.74, and k
$14.41, offering the DR amounts of 2.69, 2.66, and 2.66, respectively, in the DR trading period in a day. Irrespective of the equal DR provided by both the J
2 and J
3, the payoff difference happens due to different compensation price among the user group. The payoff rises and becomes maximum at the 8.26% DR level. After a 12.94% DR, a payoff reduction is observed, because of the decrease in the LMP and increase in the rate of compensation price. At the 15.28% DR level, A
1 becomes marginally profitable and both A
2, A
3 outweigh compensation paid to the end-users than the LMP at which the A
2 and A
3 get paid. For any DR levels greater than 17.72%, all the aggregators lose. The polynomial fit (second order) of the payoff is also shown in the figure. As observed, with the increasing DR level, the payoff increases, reaches a maximum value, then decreases before finally becoming zero, at which point, the EMO also loses. Until such a critical DR level, the DR payoff resulting from new revenue generation driven by DRX market is considerable.
DR and Compensation Share among the End-Users: In the proposed model, aggregators compensate the users for the DR that they provide. The transaction cost and compensation price are determined in DRX markets. The magnitude of possible DR transaction cost depends on how much the users can afford and the marginal disutility price.
Figure 8 shows a disutility price for different user groups. Three types/groups of users under each aggregator are considered. The disutility price for user group, U
1, under the aggregator, A
1, is the stepper. The DR price is smallest for the U
1, while it is highest for the U
3. The user, U
1, under the A
2 has minimum disutility (
$21.71), while a maximum for the group, U
3 (
$26.43). The offer price for the U
1 under aggregator, A
3, is
$19.2. The price for the rest of the two group, U
2 and U
3, is around
$24.60. The aggregator, A
1, has a maximum DR supply capacity of 2 p.u. and A
2 and A
3 whereas having the capacity of 1.75 p.u. The end-users get paid by the aggregator at a compensation price, which is a dual multiplier associated with Equation (12) of the lower-level problem. Due to receiving compensation (payback), the users reduce the energy consumption cost. However, from the EMO perspective, the DR benefit can be obtained if the operation cost reduction at the upper-level does not outweigh the compensation given to the end-users at the lower-level. This possibly occurs when the DR demand rises significantly higher if the user seeks higher compensation. Multiplying the DR price with the allocated DR is regarded as overall DR compensation benefit for the users.
Figure 9 presents the optimal DR amount provided by the user groups for each incremental DR level. The DR transaction cost, the amount supplied, and the compensation price is found by solving the lower-level problem. Until a 10.60% DR, the user group, U
2, under the aggregators do not provide any DR amount. From 10.60 to 15.28% DR; both the U
1 and U
2 deliver with a varying amount. At a 17.62% DR and onward, all the user group under the aggregator, A
3, contribute to supply.
The DR compensation is given in
Table 8. At the 8.26% DR level, the compensation benefit provided to the user groups are determined to be k
$9.06, k
$10.76, and k
$9.52, respectively. The DR transaction cost at 5.92%DR is
$29349. Next, at 8.26% DR, transaction cost increases to
$48762. A k
$19.41 increase due to 2.34% DR level. The cost increases sharply as the DR requirement rises. At 17.72% DR, the transaction cost increases almost three times than that of the cost at 8.26% DR. The higher transaction cost due to rising DR compensation offer price is neither profitable for the aggregator nor to the EMO. As seen from the DRX integrated operation curve (
Figure 5), the DRX integrated market cost gradually decreases with the incremental DR level. The cost reaches a minimum of 8.26% DR. Further, it started to increase, and about 15.28% DR, the DRX integrated operation cost become equal to the cost without DRX. From the economic point of view, the DR integration level should be less than 15.28% DR.
The payoff margin of the aggregators varies with the DR level (
Figure 7) and the trend line shows that the maximum payoff is achieved at the 8.26% DR level. The payoff reduces as the DR level rises. At 15.28% DR, the payoff is marginal for the A
1, while for the A
2 and A
3, DR transaction is profitable. Now, if the LMP scaled parameter,
γm, is increased, then the payoff margin also increases to transact higher amount of DR, provided end-users kept their compensation price fixed.
Generation DispatchShare: The solution of the upper-level economic market clearing problem finds the optimal generation dispatch. The G
1, G
2, and G
5 bid a lower price than others. In the market clearing model, the generation units’ output is arranged according to the transmission security and economy-based merit order.
Figure 10,
Figure 11 and
Figure 12 compare the optimal generation dispatch without and with DRX (with two different DR level), respectively. Without DRX, the generation unit, G
1 and G
2, are at their maximum capacity, while the G
3 and G
4 change within its generation limits across the scheduling hour (as in
Figure 10). The amount supplied by G
5 is restricted by line capacity constraint, thereby, most of the time, its output changes around 2.85 p.u. The dotted line in red colour indicates the total load demand served by all the generators.
With the proposed DRX model and with a 1.95% DR participation, the total demand without and with DR is shown by the red and green colour in
Figure 11. The DR amount, which is the difference between those two curves, becomes higher during the peak period. It is observed that the G
4 is not dispatched at hours 7 am to 9 am as peak loads are curtailed. The G
4 dispatches a few hours around evening peak. Further, in
Figure 12, with 5.92% DR, the G
4 only dispatches around evening peak periods. Such dispatch results are economical, since the most expensive unit got restriction. The reduced dispatch of G
4 is compensated mainly by the second least expensive unit, G
3, to meet the load.
4.3. Case#3 (Strategic Bidding)
In strategic bidding, the GenCo bids at a higher price by price distortion or generation capacity withholding deliberately. This is not a routine practice, rather adopt this strategy when the system load demand during the peak hours exceeds significant load levels. It would argue that such opportunistic behaviour cannot always be perceived as profitable [
55]. Usually, the GenCos are prone to exercise market power and try to increase their revenue, eventually yielding to a higher overall operating cost [
56]. The strategic bidding was mostly attributed to the expensive units. The impact on dispatch share, LMPs, operation cost, and aggregator’ payoff is investigated considering the following scenarios:
Scenario#1: The unit, G3, bids $83.85 instead of $66.10 in the hour 7 pm, 8 pm, and 9 pm. The unit, G4, and others bid as completive.
Scenario#2: The unit, G4, bids $103.92 instead of $82.67 in those hours indicated in Scenario#1. The unit, G3, and others bid as completive.
Scenario#3: Both the G3 and G4 bid simultaneously with the new offer price, while others bid as completive.
Therefore, Scenario#1, Scenario#2, and Scenario#3, respectively, consider strategic bidding of the unit G3 only, the unit G4 only, and both the G3 and G4 simultaneously. The rest of the conditions, like loading level, transmission constraints, and the capacity of the rest of the units, are the same. The impact on dispatch share, LMPs, and operation cost are investigated.
Table 9 shows the impact of GenCos strategic bidding on aggregator’s payoff. The payoff set of each aggregator at different DR levels is shown in a second and third row. The sum of the payoff for all aggregators is presented in the fourth and fifth row. At 5.92% DR, the payoff maximum was accounted to be k
$67.84 in Scenario#1, while minimum at competitive bidding determines to be k
$62.99. A relative payoff variation was determined to be
$k2.2. In the same DR level at Scenario#3, the relative increase payoff rises to k
$7.69. It is observed that at 8.26% DR, the payoff maximum accounted to be k
$79.01 in Scenario#3, while minimum at competitive bidding determines to be k
$62.69. A relative payoff variation is
$k20.03. As seen, the corresponding payoff for the Scenario#1 and Scenario#2, comparison to the competitive case is almost the same accounted to be k
$17.33. In conclusion, GenCos strategic bidding enhances aggregator’s payoff, the payoff is comparatively higher if the number of GenCo practice strategic bidding becomes higher.
The supply offer prices for strategic bidding are highlighted in
Table 2.
Table 10 compares the operation cost and the LMPs for competitive and strategic bidding. The operation costs at 5.92% and 8.26% DR are shown in this table. The second rows show the cost without DR, while the third and fourth are for the 5.92% and 8.26% DR. In Scenario#1, when the G
3 is strategic, the operation cost rises to k
$764.99. In Scenario#2 and #3, the cost is k
$753.61 and k
$772.08, respectively. The relative decrease in operating cost compared to the competitive case found to be maximum at Scenario#3 is 3.69%.
The strategic bidding must clear the market with a higher price. The LMP average over a day in Bus#4 without the DR for the Scenario#1, Scenario#2, and Scenario#3 was found to be $54.98, $56.49, and $56.49, respectively. The DR reduces the price anyway. In Scenario#3, with a 5.92% DR, the average LMP at Bus#4 was found to be $52.57, which was $50.92 in competitive Case#2. At this DR level, the strategic bidding increases the LMP $1.67/MWh.
In summary, the Scenario#3 is the worst-case bidding, which escalates the operating cost to a maximum, keeping the dispatch share the same as that of the competitive case. However, the aggregator’s payoff is higher when a higher number of generators adopt strategic bidding.