1. Introduction
The global greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions from human activities are continually rising due to the need for continued economic and industrial development. According to the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change [
1], 25% of greenhouse gas emissions in 2010 came from electricity and heat generation, and carbon dioxide (CO
2) accounts for 65% of global GHG emissions. Global energy demand is expected to grow by 37% between 2014 and 2040, leading to a continued increase in the atmospheric concentration of GHGs due to the combustion of fossil fuels. A study by the International Energy Agency suggests a slow-down in the global energy demand, with a markedly improved system-level efficiency due to policy efforts world-wide [
2]. However, coal is likely to continue dominating the global and Southeast Asian energy mix in the foreseeable future [
3,
4,
5].
The objective is thus to evaluate technology options that would make the use of coal less environmentally damaging. Among the various methods used in the literature, life cycle analysis (LCA) methods appear to be most popular in evaluating the system-level carbon emission of electricity generation [
6], such as those of solar energy [
7,
8], biomass [
9,
10], and nuclear energy [
11,
12].
There is a number of LCA studies on electricity generation from coal. Nease et al. [
13] performed a comparative analysis using the process chain analysis (PCA) approach. The analysis focused on ultra-supercritical (USC) and integrated gasification combined cycle (IGCC) power plants in conjunction with the use of carbon capture and storage (CCS). Chang et al. [
14] combined the use of an input-output table and process level data for comparing the life cycle greenhouse gas emissions and water consumptions of sub-critical, supercritical, USC, and IGCC to those of the shale gas fired combined cycle gas turbine (CCGT) technologies. The US National Renewable Energy Laboratory (NREL) [
15] conducted a comprehensive assessment on the life cycle impacts of electricity generation from coal. The NREL’s detailed analysis is useful for formulating the life cycle system of electricity generation from coal in the proposed analysis. In addition, a number of studies have had a specific focus on evaluating the use of CCS technology for reducing carbon emission from coal fired power plant [
16,
17,
18].
Many of the studies in the LCA literature tend to employ commercially available software, such as GaBi [
19] and RETScreen [
20], or follow the ISO Standards or other general frameworks. As a contribution to the literature, we propose a generic LCA-PCA method by following the energy balance principles, with particular attention to the formulation of process and system boundaries based on earlier developments, as described in [
12,
21,
22,
23]. As such, our study does not employ any commercial software and/or existing modelling codes.
Among other considerations, the main reason for selecting a generic LCA-PCA approach as the basis for formulating the methodology in this study is threefold. First, the method is flexible and has transparent tracking of energy input and carbon emission streams. Next, it has demonstrated robustness in producing unbiased LCA results as shown in [
12]. Last and most importantly, the method can be extended to a wide range of systems, such as energy systems [
10], manufacturing systems [
7], and systems delivering services [
24]. These advantages enable a common platform for benchmarking alternative life cycle systems for policy discussions without having to engage in a resource-intensive assessment exercise.
Findings from this study seek to provide an alternative and more up-to-date set of LCA results on IGCC with and without pre-combustion carbon capture using Singapore as an example. Findings from this study are also relevant to the developing economies situated in the tropical climatic environment in Southeast Asia. Through a comparison of environmental impacts/benefits and the cost of alternative power generation systems, we further contribute to the policy debate on the use of IGCC with CCS to meet the climate and energy objectives of the developing economies in Southeast Asia.
2. Methodology
The proposed LCA methodology is developed primarily based on earlier developments on system, process, and input-output definitions, as described in [
10,
12,
22]. As a brief re-cap of the generic PCA framework, the methodology is conceived through a simplified representation of a life cycle electricity generation system as a black box system (
Figure 1). This black-box system is characterized by energy and non-energy inputs, energy output, energy loss, and carbon emissions and is confined by a physical system boundary over a fixed timeframe. Breaking down the black box by stage or process, the resulting multi-process system can be assembled through the transformation of products across the process chain (
Figure 2). All products are strictly confined within the physical boundary of the system by definition. In this case, the product refers to the fuel for the power generation process.
There are three dimensions governing the formulation of the system boundaries. First, there is a boundary between the life cycle system and its surroundings (
Figure 2). Next, there is a boundary between the “Main System” and its “Sub-systems”, which produce inputs for the “Main System” (
Figure 3). Last, there are physical and temporal boundaries governing the processes to be included in an analysis and the appropriate cradle-to-grave timeframe of analysis. These dimensions can ensure consistent inclusion or exclusion of carbon emission streams, which in turn leads to unbiased LCA results [
12].
In some cases, multiple systems could be interacting with one another such that the product from one system can be directly utilized by a corresponding process in a different system. In the event of an impending cross-boundary movement of products, a concept, named, “partial temporal boundary”, could be applied to synchronize all interconnecting systems over a consistent timeframe for analysis [
22]. In this study, the synchronization concept is not needed, since there is no potential movement of products out of the physical boundary of the Main System.
The key differences of the proposed methodology used in this study as compared to those used in other studies in the literature lie with the approach in formulating a life cycle system. Other methodologies generally conceive a life cycle system from a top-down approach by identifying the relevant processes to be included in an analysis. The physical and temporal boundaries are then defined according to the resulting system and the objectives of the analyses. Such a “top-down” approach is typically seen in commercial software, such as Simapro and GaBi. The proposed methodology conceives a life cycle system through evolving a generic power generation process, based on the fundamental energy balance principles, such as thermodynamics for power generation.
The basic idea is to evolve the definition of process and its energy input and output from a simple energy conversion process to a broader sense of process, such as a facility for producing a given product. The facility requires energy and non-energy input to be constructed, operated for producing the product, and decommissioned. Throughout the definition of this process and other processes in the life cycle system, the energy balance principles provide guidance on the interaction between input and output and hence the physical system boundary. The temporal boundary is determined through the fuel-to-electricity and fuel-to-fuel transformations across the process chain, which is referred to as the transformation of the “product” in this methodology [
21].
The power generation process using an IGCC power plant forms the basis of the life cycle system. The system starts off with the fundamental Brayton Cycle and Rankine Cycle for defining the elementary energy input and output, and the input-output interaction across the physical system boundary. Subsequently, these working cycles are evolved into a whole power plant, thereby transforming the input definition as that for power plant construction, operation and maintenance, and decommissioning. The details of such transformation are described in [
21]. As described in the preceding paragraph, the key is to broaden the definition of energy input from the input to the Brayton or Rankine Cycle to the input to the power plant, such as energy input to power plant construction, operation, and dismantling. This ensures consistency with the non-energy input, such as concrete and steel for the power plant structure, and copper and aluminum for the generator and other equipment, as discussed in [
12]. The fuel-to-energy conversion process is internalized with fuel becoming the “product” for assembling the process chain of the life cycle system.
The fuel for the IGCC power plant is supplied through gasification of coal. We further consider the option of having a steam-methane reforming process followed by pre-combustion carbon capture after coal gasification. Coal is assumed to be obtained from an earlier process of coal processing, which includes cleaning, pulverizing and drying after being received from the export country. Usually, coal is mined from the ground either through an underground or open-pit mining method and transported to power plants by land and/or sea. An overview of the key processes of a life cycle system for IGCC power generation is shown in
Figure 4.
2.1. System Boundaries and Accounting
The selection of system boundaries and the accounting of carbon emissions are usually referred to as assumptions in a typical LCA study. The proposed method uses a different approach in which the physical system boundary is identified through observations of the governing equations as the scope of calculation expands from the Main System to its Sub-systems mathematically. Thus, instead of assuming a set of system boundaries to subjectively determine the processes to be included and/or excluded, the quantitative formulations govern the inclusion and/or exclusion of the processes, as described in [
21]. The proposed method is thus more restrictive as compared to other methods, but the stringent governance of system and boundary formulations enables the framework to expand beyond the LCA of a standalone system towards a large-scale global energy systems analysis tool through systematic expansion across the Sub-systems.
The primary objective of this study is, then, to apply the framework to formulate the methodology for the proposed analysis, which is to evaluate the life cycle carbon emissions of IGCC for policy discussions. The key formulations required to conduct the proposed analyses are presented in this section.
With reference to [
12], the energy and non-energy input to each process of the system can be expressed respectively as
where
represents energy input by type such as diesel or electricity to each process (or
nth process) of the system; and
represents non-energy input by type such as chemicals, metals, or other materials to each process (or
nth process) of the system.
In a multi-process power generation life cycle system, the total system energy and non-energy inputs can be expressed respectively as
where
and
represent the total system energy and non-energy inputs, respectively;
represents the product made by each process of the system;
represents energy input per unit of
produced; and
represents the non-energy input per unit of
produced. The “product” refers to coal and/or syngas, depending on the stage/process.
The process carbon emissions due to energy and non-energy inputs can be expressed respectively as
where
represents carbon emissions due to energy input;
represents carbon emissions due to non-energy input;
represents the carbon content of energy input; and
represents the carbon content of non-energy input. Thus, the total carbon emissions over the lifetime of the system can be expressed as
where
represents the life cycle carbon emissions of the main system; and
represents the life cycle carbon emissions due to the combustion of syngas. The use of carbon capture is implied and thus not explicitly explained in this equation.
Following the physical system boundary conditions governed by the mathematical formulations described in [
12], the LCA main system is only responsible for carbon emissions due to the direct conversion of its inputs’ carbon content, such as the combustion of fossil fuel and/or chemical/physical reactions. Carbon emissions due to the production of the inputs are excluded to ensure consistency with the physical boundary conditions. Since the LCA main system of IGCC does not involve direct conversion of its non-energy inputs’ carbon content,
is removed from the final equation describing the life cycle carbon emissions of the life cycle system as shown in Equation (8)
2.2. Power Plant Fuel Requirements
The lifetime carbon emissions due to the combustion of fuel is calculated based on the quantity and carbon content of syngas. First, the lifetime electricity generation by the power plant can be expressed as
where,
represents the amount of electricity generated;
represents the power generating capacity of the power plant;
represents the availability factor of the power plant; and
represents the lifetime of the power plant.
Usually, the amount of thermal energy (
) required over the lifetime of the power plant can be expressed as
where
represents the thermal efficiency of the power plant.
The amount of fuel (
) required over the lifetime of the power plant can be expressed as
where
represents the heating value of the fuel.
In our study, we use a different approach in computing the lifetime power plant fuel requirement. As will be discussed in
Section 3.1, we assume a set of reference specifications for the IGCC power plant. These reference parameters allow for the computation of the flow rate of the syngas fuel (in kg/s) based on the heating value of the fuel. The lifetime fuel requirement
is thus obtained by multiplying the lifetime of the power plant considering the annual availability factor of the plant. This is the approach in calculating the lifetime carbon emissions from the combustion of fuel by the IGCC plant without carbon capture. The lifetime carbon emissions due to fuel combustion in the presence of pre-combustion carbon capture is explained in
Section 2.4.
The amount of coal (
) required over the lifetime of the IGCC power plant can be computed based on the atomic mass balance of carbon between syngas and coal. This computation follows the earlier assumption that only carbon reacts with H
2O to produce syngas. However, carbon is not the only element in coal in its natural form or in syngas when produced. There are other elements, such as volatile compounds, hydrogen, and ash in coal, and hydrogen and oxygen elements in syngas in addition to carbon. Thus, the atomic mass conversion is needed to ensure accurate tracking of the input coal and output syngas during the chemical reaction process. The simple conversion equation can thus be as expressed as
where
represents the amount of coal needed over the lifetime of the IGCC power plant;
represents the amount of syngas as fuel needed over the lifetime of the IGCC power plant;
represents the carbon content of coal (usually in weight percentage); and
represents the carbon content of fuel (also in weight percentage). In this equation, the term
is effectively the total amount of carbon (C) atoms required over the lifetime of the IGCC power plant. This amount of carbon atoms is assumed to be supplied from coal in the gasification process. The total amount of coal is computed based on the carbon content depending on the type of coal assumed in the analysis.
The amount of coal () is then used as product to compute the process and hence system energy and non-energy inputs using Equations (1)–(4) followed by carbon emissions using Equations (5)–(8) over the lifetime of the whole system.
2.3. Coal Gasification
IGCC power plants make use of synthetic gas or syngas which is converted from gasification of coal. A typical IGCC power plant consists of a few key components, namely, gasifier, gas turbine, steam turbine, and a heat recovery steam generator (HRSG). Coal is heated with a mixture of steam and oxygen to produce syngas consisting of carbon monoxide (CO), hydrogen (H
2) and methane (CH
4), as shown in Equation (13) with reference to [
25]. This partial combustion of coal generates heat that can be used to drive the steam turbine to generate electricity.
The composition of syngas can be computed through balancing the chemical reaction equation as shown in Equation (13). For illustration, the theoretical weight of the products after the reaction assuming 1 kg of carbon (C) inside the coal is reacted in the gasifier can be obtained as shown in
Table 1.
In the absence of pre-combustion carbon capture, the products shown in
Table 1 are the composition of syngas to be used as fuel input to the IGCC power plant. The percentage of carbon in syngas is calculated using the atomic mass ratio of carbon in all gaseous products. The final weight percentage of carbon in the syngas can be computed as shown in
Table 2.
The final percentage of carbon content in the syngas is then used to calculate the amount of coal required for the whole lifetime of the power plant based on atomic mass balance principles. In our case studies, we assume that the carbon content of coal is fully converted in the gasification process. In the absence of carbon capture, the syngas mixture is then combusted in the gas turbine for further electricity generation, while the waste heat from the gas turbine exhaust is recovered in the HRSG to raise steam for driving a steam turbine for power generation [
26]. Under the condition of high carbon conversion, two additional reactions—namely, the water-gas shift reaction and methane reforming—take place. These two reactions can facilitate the removal of CO
2 emission streams, as explained in the next sub-section.
2.4. Steam-Methane Reforming and Carbon Capture
The analysis on carbon capture is entirely based on assumptions, as there is no existing commercial or demonstration IGCC plant with pre-combustion carbon capture at the moment. Removal of CO
2 emissions from IGCC through pre-combustion carbon capture can be achieved after two reactions, namely, steam-methane reforming and water-gas shift reactions [
27].
With reference to [
28,
29], the chemical equations for steam-methane reforming and water-gas shift reactions can be expressed respectively as
Continuing from the gasification process, 1 kg of carbon can produce 0.22 kg of CH
4 as shown in
Table 2. Assuming 90% of 0.22 kg of CH
4 is converted in the steam-methane reforming, the resulting products after steam-methane reforming are shown in
Table 3.
Since the water-gas shift reaction can also take place under the prescribed reaction conditions for steam-methane reforming, we further assume that 90% of the total amount of CO produced in the gasification and steam-methane reforming processes continue to react with H
2O. Adding up the numbers from
Table 2 and
Table 3, 1 kg of carbon can produce a total of 2.31 kg of CO in the gasification and steam-methane reforming processes. Thus, approximately 2.09 kg of CO would participate in the water-gas shift reaction (products of the reaction are shown in
Table 4).
Post-reaction, 90% of the CO
2 is removed from the mixture of final products through carbon capture. The composition of the syngas before and after carbon capture is shown in
Table 5. In comparison, the water-gas shift and steam-methane reforming reactions followed by carbon capture effectively increase the percentage of hydrogen in the syngas composition. There is also a reduction in the equivalent carbon content of syngas by about 44% after carbon capture. In addition, we further assume 90% of the CO
2 from the use of natural gas as heating fuel for the steam-methane reforming process is also removed by the carbon capture process.
The composition of syngas before and after pre-combustion capture is used to compute the gross heating value of fuel for the IGCC power plant as expressed in Equation (16).
where
,
and
represent the weight of syngas, CO, H
2, and CH
4 respectively; and
,
,
, and
represent the heating value of syngas, CO, H
2, and CH
4, respectively.
The commonly known gross heating values for H
2, CO, and CH
4 are 141.9 MJ/kg, 100.9 MJ/kg, and 556.2 MJ/kg, respectively. These values are used to obtain the gross heating value of syngas can based on the composition of the gaseous mixture as shown in
Table 5 (values presented in
Table 6). The substantial increase in the gross heating value of syngas is primarily due to the increase in H
2 content in the syngas composition after steam-methane reforming and carbon capture. This can also be considered an improvement to the quality of syngas fuel when measured by the gross heating value.
The gross heating values and carbon contents of syngas with and without carbon capture are used to compute the amount of syngas needed over the lifetime of the IGCC power plant and its life cycle carbon emissions due to the combustion of fuel. The total amount of syngas consumed over the lifetime of the power plant is also used to compute the total amount of carbon required for the gasification reaction. This is done through calculating backwards from the composition of syngas presented from
Table 5 back to
Table 1 by following the conservation of atomic mass assuming negligible losses in the chemical reactions. The total amount of carbon is used to compute the total amount of coal needed over the lifetime of the IGCC power plant based on the carbon content of coal assumed in the case study.
2.5. Other Key Assumptions
There are a number of assumptions related to the use of the proposed method. First, this method is different from the existing commercial LCA software, such as Simapro and Gabi, mainly in the system and boundary formulations. In other words, all computations are implemented manually based on the energy and mass balance principles without the use of simulation software. Next, the method is designed to track the elementary interaction between the input and output across the system boundaries. The system boundary conditions restrict the accounting of carbon emissions that are not produced due to direct conversion of fossil fuel by the processes the Main System. In addition, the method assumes an ideal system in which there are negligible losses in the supply chain. Finally, a list of key input parameters and their reference values used in computing the life cycle carbon emissions is obtained from [
10] and its referenced studies (summarized in
Table 7).
4. Discussion
The construction cost of IGCC plant as compared to a supercritical coal fired power plant is high. The need to handle hydrogen as part of power plant fuel also poses safety concerns. Due to the need for stockpiling of coal for syngas production, the footprint of the IGCC facility could be much larger than a CCGT power plant fueled by natural gas. Although coal remains cheaper than natural gas and is abundant in Southeast Asia, land-use constraints and environmental concerns would continue to be barriers for IGCC adoption in small countries, like Singapore. However, IGCC could represent an interesting option for countries with coal resources and less constrained land space, such as Indonesia, Malaysia, and Vietnam.
The Southeast Asian region is generally well endowed with renewable energy resources, albeit with varied access to renewable technologies, among the member countries of the Association of South East Asian Nations (ASEAN). According to the International Energy Agency, the technical potential for renewable energy in ASEAN is approximately 150 GWe of hydropower, 90 GWe of bioenergy, and tens of gigawatts of wind suitable for only Vietnam and the Philippines [
34]. More recent studies suggest that more renewable technologies, especially solar PV, could be deployed with the right policy and market designs [
3,
4,
5]. In addition, atomic energy, especially the more advanced nuclear reactor technologies, such as the small modular reactors [
35,
36] and Generation IV reactor technologies [
37], could also represent strategic options for ASEAN members.
In other parts of Southeast Asia, such as Indonesia and Malaysia, the deployment of IGCC could substantially increase the efficiency of coal utilization and reduce the discharge of airborne pollutants as compared to conventional coal-fired power plants. However, the life cycle carbon emissions of IGCC power generation with pre-combustion carbon capture are still much higher than renewable energy, such as solar photovoltaic (PV) systems, at about 40 to 60 g-CO
2/kWh under Southeast Asia’s climatic conditions [
7]. With the fast projected decline in the cost of solar cells and hence PV modules [
38] and improvements in their conversion efficiencies [
39], PV systems may represent a more plausible option to decarbonize the electricity sector in Southeast Asia, especially when integrated with energy storage technologies.
The cost of electricity generation, as well as the capital commitment of building new power plants, are important considerations among the developing economies in ASEAN [
40]. The overnight cost of power plant construction and the levelized cost of electricity are high for IGCC and higher for IGCC with carbon capture when compared to other fossil-fueled power generation technologies [
41]. With the potential need for additional land-space for stockpiling of coal and the steam-methane reforming and carbon capture facilities, the total cost of IGCC power generation could be much higher than currently reported costs in the literature. With solar PV electricity projected to reach grid parity, IGCC might face stronger barriers for adoption in ASEAN.
The intermittent nature of solar energy and the suboptimal climatic conditions in Southeast Asia makes large-scale deployment of PV systems difficult [
4]. IGCC with pre-combustion carbon capture as a base load technology is much less carbon intensive than CCGT or supercritical coal-fired power plants. Theoretically, the life cycle carbon emission factors of IGCC with pre-combustion carbon capture could be further reduced with an additional post-combustion carbon capture. Assuming 90% CO
2 remove with post combustion capture and a 20% overall energy efficiency penalty, the life cycle carbon emission factor of IGCC with both pre- and post-combustion carbon capture could theoretically be reduced to about 67 to 98 g-CO
2/kWh, depending on the type of coal. However, the addition of post-combustion carbon capture is expected to further increase the overnight as well as the running costs of IGCC.
5. Conclusions
In this study, we have introduced a generic LCA-PCA method to examine the life cycle carbon emissions of IGCC power generation with and without pre-combustion carbon capture. This method is conceived based on the serial developments described in [
7,
10,
12,
22,
24]. This method allows for consistent system and boundary formulations, which can help ensure accurate and unbiased LCA results. Special attention is paid to the formulation of the physical system boundaries to ensure an accurate and consistent accounting of energy input and hence carbon emission streams. Two enhancements are made to the serial developments of the LCA-PCA method. The first enhancement, with reference to earlier developments as described in [
10], lies in adding the steam-methane reforming process with pre-combustion carbon capture endogenously into the mathematical formulations, rather than relying on a separate accounting approach outside of the methodology. This can help improve consistency in the system boundary formulations. Thus, the first recommendation for future research is to include post-combustion carbon capture endogenously into the formulations.
The next enhancement lies in embedding thermodynamic calculation procedures directly into the mathematical formulations. This may seem trivial from a mathematical standpoint, but it is an important step in further expanding the methodology towards being an energy systems modelling analysis tool. With reference to [
42,
43], the energy systems modelling tool, when developed in the future, can allow modelers to use these added formulations to estimate the technical performance of power plant technologies if no such data are available.
In addition to life cycle carbon emissions, we have further included a qualitative discussion on the economic and other dimensions in policy consideration to evaluate the suitability of IGCC with carbon capture as an option to decarbonize the electricity sector for the developing economies in ASEAN. For the purposes of this study, we were unable to secure credible and verifiable cost data on gasification, steam-methane reforming, and pre-combustion carbon capture. Due to such limitations, we were unable to quantify the economics of IGCC with pre-combustion capture, which we recognize as an important element in the cost-benefit analysis for low carbon technologies in the ASEAN context. We recommend a LCA on the cost of IGCC power generation with pre-combustion carbon capture as a second future research. This leads to our final recommendation for future research, which is to extend the current LCA methodology towards the inclusion of life cycle cost analysis endogenously in the formulation.