A Group Decision Framework for Renewable Energy Source Selection under Interval-Valued Probabilistic linguistic Term Set
Abstract
:1. Introduction
1.1. Literature Review
1.2. Motivation of the Study
- •
- •
- The aggregation operator in [37] aggregates preferences with some information loss and uses the operational law for aggregation, which eventually complicates the process. Proposing an aggregation operator that aggregates preferences without much loss of information and the virtual set is an open challenge.
- •
- Criteria weights are directly provided by the DMs, which causes inaccuracies in the MCGDM process. Hence, proposing a systematic way for weight evaluation under IVPLTS context is an interesting challenge.
- •
- Based on the comparative study conducted by Opricovic et al. [38], TOPSIS method performs weakly when compared to its close counterpart VIKOR. Hence, extending a better compromised ranking method for a suitable selection of object under IVPLTS context is an open challenge.
1.3. Contribution of the Study
- •
- Some simple and straightforward operational laws are presented under IVPLTS context, which is readily usable and is a direct extension to [4].
- •
- A new aggregation operator called interval-valued probabilistic linguistic simple weighted geometry (IVPLSWG) is developed for sensible aggregation of preference information without much loss of information and formation of the virtual set.
- •
- An organized process for criteria weight evaluation is also introduced under IVPLTS context by extending statistical variance (SV) approach.
- •
- Further, the conventional VIKOR ranking approach is extended under IVPLTSs by gaining motivation from [38]. This helps DMs to evaluate an option object from the set of options.
- •
- Apart from these contributions, the implementation of the proposed decision framework is also discussed by solving RES selection problem. Also, the strengths and weaknesses of the framework are mentioned under theoretic and numeric sense by comparison with the existing methods.
1.4. Organization of the Paper
2. Preliminaries
- (a)
- Consider two LTs and , the relation is true if .
- (b)
- The negation of a linguistic term is giving by , such that, .
- (a)
- If then .
- (b)
- If then calculate deviation using Equation (4). If then . If then .
3. Proposed Decision Framework under IVPLTSs
3.1. IVPLTS and Some Operational Laws
- (a)
- Empty IVPLTS ;
- (b)
- Full IVPLTS .
- (1)
- (2)
- (3)
- (4)
- .
3.2. Construction of the Proposed Decision Framework
3.3. Proposed IVPLSWG Aggregation Operator
3.4. Proposed Interval-Valued Probabilistic Linguistic Standard Variance Method
3.5. Proposed IVPLTS-based VIKOR Ranking Method
- (a)
- Initially, the DMs’ preferences are aggregated into a single decision matrix without much loss of information using the newly proposed IVPLSWG operator. The operator has two folds viz., (a) aggregating linguistic terms and (b) aggregating the interval-based probability terms. Since the details of this operator can be found in Section 3.2, we confine our discussion here.
- (b)
- Secondly, the criteria weights are determined utilizing a proposed IVPLSV approach, as an extension to the SV method under IVPLTS environment. The result of this method is a weight vector, whose length is equal to the number of criteria and whose sum is equal to unity. Since the procedure for weight estimation is clarified in Section 3.3, we confine our discussion here.
- (c)
- The aggregated matrix from Section 3.2 and criteria weights from Section 3.3 are taken as input to the newly proposed ranking method called IVPLTS-based VIKOR. Some details of the method are clarified below:
- •
- Step 1 of the ranking method is used to find the positive ideal solution (PIS) and negative ideal solution (NIS). Since benefit criteria correspond to a maximum in PIS and cost criteria correspond to a minimum in NIS (vice versa under cost criteria), we set our formulation in such a manner. Suppose, we consider, three alternatives with two benefits (b) and one cost (c) criteria, the PIS and NIS will have three values (2b + 1c). When Equation (26) and Equation (27) are applied for PIS and NIS, we obtain a single-valued term, and the corresponding IVPLTS information for each criterion is chosen. Such selection of PIS and NIS values yield sensible ranking as every instance of the rating is concentrated separately.
- •
- In Step 2, the parameters like and are determined for both lower and upper bounds. We adopt the distance measure to assess the closeness to PIS. The PIS and NIS values are transformed into single-valued terms by using . Then, the distance measure is applied. For simplicity, we consider the values produced by each IVPLTS information for PIS and NIS as , and itself (all these values are single-valued). The and values are determined for each alternative.
- •
- Step 3 is used to estimate the merit function under lower and upper bounds. The merit function is also determined for each alternative.
- •
- The average of and is calculated using Step 4 for each alternative to determine the ranking order.
- •
- The parameter is considerably varied from [0, 1] to realize the effect of fuzziness on the proposed method.
4. Numerical Example
- Hydropower;
- Solar energy;
- Wind energy.
- Technology
- Environmental;
- Social;
- Economical.
- •
- We signify the set of all RES as , over set of criteria as and set of all experts as . These three experts rate the mangers using IVPLTS information, and three decision matrices are formed with the order . The LTS used for the analysis is given by
- •
- We aggregate the given three matrices into a decision matrix by using proposed IVPLSWG operator from Section 3.2. This aggregated matrix is further normalized using Equations (12) and (13).
5. Comparative Analysis
- •
- The VIKOR method uses linear normalization, which is independent of the measuring unit of the criteria. TOPSIS, on the other hand, uses vector normalization, and the measuring unit of the criteria is essential for the study.
- •
- The VIKOR method adopts aggregation, which aggregates all criteria, their relative importance, and balances the satisfaction rates, while theTOPSIS method concentrates on the distance between positive and negative ideal solution without paying much attention to relative importance.
- •
- In the VIKOR method, the alternative, which gains the first rank, is the one that is closest to the ideal solution. While in the TOPSIS method, the alternative, which is ranked first, is better in terms of the rank index but is generally not the closest to the ideal solution.
- •
- The proposed IVPLTS concept is a direct extension to the PLTS concept [4], which associates interval values for the occurring probability of each linguistic term. Hence, we name the concept IVPLTS. Though Dong et al. [19] initiated the idea of interval value-based distribution assessment, it suffers from significant weaknesses, as mentioned earlier (see Section 1). On the other hand, in this paper, the proposed IVPLTS concept overcomes these weaknesses by (a) retaining the linguistic terms as it is, without adopting any conversion procedure. This mitigates the potential loss of information and originality. (b) Also, a new scientific decision framework is developed on IVPLTS context, which performs decision making in a much more sensible and rational manner than the arithmetic (expectation measure) based ranking used in Dong et al.’s [19] framework. (c) As mentioned by Dong et al. [19], another weakness of their proposal is the inability to compare the linguistic models because of the lack of criteria for evaluation. However, in this paper, we have surveyed the literature and identified suitable factors from both theoretic and numeric perspective for comparing the developed framework with existing methods.
- •
- Further, the work in [37] is a close counterpart to the proposed decision framework, and it suffers from the following weaknesses: (a) Direct elicitation of criteria weights causes error and inaccuracy in decision-making process; (b) operational laws adopt transformation measures, which increase the computational overhead; (c) the ranking approach is affected by the rank reversal issue; and (d) the rank value set is narrow and it causes trouble in backup management.
- •
- The newly proposed IVPLSWG aggregation operator aggregates DMs’ IVPLTS preferences in two folds viz., (a) LTs and (b) the relative importance of the LTs (as probability values in interval fashion), which produces a rational and sensible aggregated matrix without loss of originality. The other methods directly use this aggregated matrix without using any new aggregation method.
- •
- The proposed IVPLSV procedure is an extension to the SV procedure that is used for evaluating the criteria weights. The other methods directly use these weight values for evaluation.
- •
- The proposed IVPLTS-based VIKOR method constructs broad and sensible rank value set, which promotes easy and effective backup management while the other methods generate narrow rank value set and sometimes yield negative values, which affects the process of backup maintenance of alternatives.
- •
- Motivated by the numerical factors introduced by Rodriguez et al. [48], we investigate the effectiveness of the developed method in terms of adequacy changes to alternatives, criteria, computational complexity, and scalability. The other factors considered for investigation are inspired by intuition.
- •
- The results indicate that the proposed IVPLTS-based VIKOR method remains unaffected by rank reversal concern, by staying unaffected to adequate changes on alternatives (three new test cases formed by repeating each of the three alternatives) and criteria (four new test cases formed by repeating each of the criteria). The ranking order of is maintained even after the repetition of alternatives and criteria.This also ensures the stability of the proposed ranking method. The proposed decision framework also satisfies the scalability test by adhering to the Miller principle [47,49] of preference information to objects.
- •
- Though the developed method enjoys such elegant strengths, it does suffer from some weakness, as mentioned in Table 7. The key weakness of the proposal is the computational complexity, which comes to , where , , and are the number of alternatives, criteria, and instances, respectively, for each pair of alternative criteria, and is the corresponding probability value for each term.
6. Conclusions
- ➢
- The proposed decision framework under the new IVPLTS environment is a “ready-made” framework for rational MCGDM under uncertain situations.
- ➢
- The IVPLTS is a new data structure for providing preference information, which handles uncertainty and vagueness in a much sensible and rational manner. Managers, with little training, can provide effective preference information for sensible decision making.
- ➢
- Very often, managerial decision making cannot be accurate by using simple ad-hoc methods, and hence, there is a substantial need for systematic scientific methods.
- ➢
- The developed framework is flexible and ready-to-use, which helps DMs to make better decisions under uncertain situations. Also, the researchers can use such frameworks as an aid for proper planning and decision making.
Author Contributions
Funding
Acknowledgments
Conflicts of Interest
Ethical approval
References
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DMs | Managers | Assessment criteria | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
DMs | Assessment Criteria | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
Ideal Solution | Assessment Criteria | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
PIS | ||||
NIS |
Parameters | Renewable Energy Sources | ||
---|---|---|---|
0.5881 | 0.4683 | 0.5620 | |
0.9664 | 0.8685 | 0.5620 | |
0.5171 | 0.1356 | 0.2439 | |
0.6293 | 0.4302 | 0.2439 | |
Q | 0.7533 | 0.3500 | 0.1789 |
Parameter | Merit Function (Q) | Ranking Order | ||
---|---|---|---|---|
0.1 | 0.8598 | 0.3087 | 0.2112 | |
0.2 | 0.8332 | 0.3190 | 0.2031 | |
0.3 | 0.8066 | 0.3293 | 0.1950 | |
0.4 | 0.7799 | 0.3397 | 0.1869 | |
0.5 | 0.7533 | 0.3500 | 0.1789 | |
0.6 | 0.7267 | 0.3604 | 0.1708 | |
0.7 | 0.7001 | 0.3707 | 0.1627 | |
0.8 | 0.6735 | 0.3810 | 0.1546 | |
0.9 | 0.6469 | 0.3914 | 0.1465 |
Methods | Renewable Energy Sources for Evaluation | Ranking Order | Compromise Solution | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
IVPLTS-based VIKOR | 3 | 2 | 1 | ||
IVPLTS-based TOPSIS [37] | 3 | 2 | 1 | ||
PLTS-based TOPSIS [4] | 2 | 3 | 1 | ||
PLTS-based aggregation [4] | 2 | 3 | 1 | ||
HFLTS-based VIKOR [45] | 2 | 1 | 3 | ||
HFLTS-based TOPSIS [12] | 2 | 1 | 3 |
Context | IVPLTS-VIKOR (Proposed) | IVPLTS-TOPSIS [37] | PLTS-TOPSIS [4] | PLTS-Aggregation [4] | HFLTS-VIKOR [45] | HFLTS-TOPSIS [12] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Input | IVPLTS information | IVPLTS information | PLTS information | PLTS information | HFLTS information | HFLTS information |
Aggregation | Using the proposed IVPLSWG operator | IVPLTS-based weighted arithmetic and geometry operator | Average operator | No | ||
Probability values | Considered as interval numbers | Considered as single values | Not considered | |||
Criteria weights | Estimated using the proposed IVPLSV method. | Use the same weight values as of IVPLTS framework. | ||||
Rank value set | Broad and sensible. | Narrow | Narrow with some negative values. | Narrow | ||
Backup management | Done sensibly using the rank value set. | Since the rank value set is narrow, the alternative backup becomes a little tough. | Because of the negative value set, backup management becomes irrational. | Since the rank value set is narrow, the alternative backup becomes a little tough. | ||
Adequacy test(alternatives) | The method is affected when adequate amendments are applied to the options. | The method is affected by adequate changes to alternatives. | The method is unaffected by adequate changes to alternatives. | The method is affected by adequate changes to alternatives. | ||
Adequacy test (criteria) | The method remains unaffected by adequate changes to criteria. | The method is affected when adequate changes are made to the criteria. | The method is affected when adequate modifications are used to the criteria. | The method is unaffected by adequate changes to criteria. | The method is affected by adequate changes to criteria. | |
Scalability | The method is scalable and follows the principle of Saaty et al. [47]. | |||||
Computation complexity | ||||||
Strengths |
|
|
|
| ||
Weakness |
|
|
|
|
Context | Method(s) | |
---|---|---|
Proposed framework (%) | IVPLTS-TOPSIS [37] (%) | |
Adequacy test (alternatives) | 69.00 | 68.00 |
Adequacy test (criteria) | 92.33 | 87.67 |
Partial adequacy test (alternatives) | 92.33 | 85.67 |
Partial adequacy test (criteria) | 100 | 93.33 |
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Krishankumar, R.; Mishra, A.R.; Ravichandran, K.S.; Peng, X.; Zavadskas, E.K.; Cavallaro, F.; Mardani, A. A Group Decision Framework for Renewable Energy Source Selection under Interval-Valued Probabilistic linguistic Term Set. Energies 2020, 13, 986. https://doi.org/10.3390/en13040986
Krishankumar R, Mishra AR, Ravichandran KS, Peng X, Zavadskas EK, Cavallaro F, Mardani A. A Group Decision Framework for Renewable Energy Source Selection under Interval-Valued Probabilistic linguistic Term Set. Energies. 2020; 13(4):986. https://doi.org/10.3390/en13040986
Chicago/Turabian StyleKrishankumar, Raghunathan, Arunodaya Raj Mishra, Kattur Soundarapandian Ravichandran, Xindong Peng, Edmundas Kazimieras Zavadskas, Fausto Cavallaro, and Abbas Mardani. 2020. "A Group Decision Framework for Renewable Energy Source Selection under Interval-Valued Probabilistic linguistic Term Set" Energies 13, no. 4: 986. https://doi.org/10.3390/en13040986
APA StyleKrishankumar, R., Mishra, A. R., Ravichandran, K. S., Peng, X., Zavadskas, E. K., Cavallaro, F., & Mardani, A. (2020). A Group Decision Framework for Renewable Energy Source Selection under Interval-Valued Probabilistic linguistic Term Set. Energies, 13(4), 986. https://doi.org/10.3390/en13040986