The Radial Growth of Schrenk Spruce (Picea schrenkiana Fisch. et Mey.) Records the Hydroclimatic Changes in the Chu River Basin over the Past 175 Years
Abstract
:1. Introduction
2. Data and Methods
2.1. Study Area
2.2. Tree-Ring Data
2.3. Meteorological and Hydrological Data
2.4. Methods
3. Results
3.1. Tree-Ring Response to Climate and the Reconstructed SPEI
3.2. Changes in Moisture over the Past 175 Years
4. Discussion
5. Conclusions
Author Contributions
Funding
Acknowledgments
Conflicts of Interest
References
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Leave-one-out Cross-validation Test | |||||||||
r | rd | ST | ST1 | t | RE | ||||
SPEI | 0.599 ** | 0.470 ** | 47+/17− ** | 42+/21− * | 4.803 ** | 0.357 | |||
Split-sample Calibration-verification Test | |||||||||
Calibration | Verification | ||||||||
Period | r | R2 | F | Period | r | RE | CE | ST | ST1 |
1951–1982 | 0.653 | 0.426 | 22.33 | 1983–2014 | 0.594 | 0.409 | 0.263 | 22+/10− | 22+/9− * |
1983–2014 | 0.594 | 0.353 | 16.33 | 1951–1982 | 0.653 | 0.494 | 0.235 | 25+/7− ** | 19+/12− |
1951–2014 | 0.629 | 0.395 | 40.53 |
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Zhang, R.; Ermenbaev, B.; Zhang, T.; Ali, M.; Qin, L.; Satylkanov, R. The Radial Growth of Schrenk Spruce (Picea schrenkiana Fisch. et Mey.) Records the Hydroclimatic Changes in the Chu River Basin over the Past 175 Years. Forests 2019, 10, 223. https://doi.org/10.3390/f10030223
Zhang R, Ermenbaev B, Zhang T, Ali M, Qin L, Satylkanov R. The Radial Growth of Schrenk Spruce (Picea schrenkiana Fisch. et Mey.) Records the Hydroclimatic Changes in the Chu River Basin over the Past 175 Years. Forests. 2019; 10(3):223. https://doi.org/10.3390/f10030223
Chicago/Turabian StyleZhang, Ruibo, Bakytbek Ermenbaev, Tongwen Zhang, Mamtimin Ali, Li Qin, and Rysbek Satylkanov. 2019. "The Radial Growth of Schrenk Spruce (Picea schrenkiana Fisch. et Mey.) Records the Hydroclimatic Changes in the Chu River Basin over the Past 175 Years" Forests 10, no. 3: 223. https://doi.org/10.3390/f10030223
APA StyleZhang, R., Ermenbaev, B., Zhang, T., Ali, M., Qin, L., & Satylkanov, R. (2019). The Radial Growth of Schrenk Spruce (Picea schrenkiana Fisch. et Mey.) Records the Hydroclimatic Changes in the Chu River Basin over the Past 175 Years. Forests, 10(3), 223. https://doi.org/10.3390/f10030223