Whether They Return: Modeling Outdoor Recreation Behaviors, Decision Making, and Intention-to-Return in Congressionally Designated Wilderness
Abstract
:1. Introduction
2. Literature Review
2.1. Social–Ecological Systems
2.2. Social Factors
2.3. Situational Factors
2.4. Ecological Factors
2.5. Weather
2.6. Intention-to-Return
2.7. Stress-Coping and Substitution Theories
2.8. Summary and Research Questions
- R1:
- To what extent are visitors impacted by social, situational, and ecological factors at the LBW?
- R2:
- To what extent are visitors employing coping behaviors and exhibiting intention-to-return at the LBW?
- R3:
- What is the influence of weather upon social, situational, ecological factors and coping behaviors at the LBW?
- R4:
- What is the relationship between influencing factors, coping behaviors, and intention-to-return at the LBW?
3. Methods
3.1. Study Context—The Lye Brook Wilderness
3.2. Data Collection
3.3. Survey Instrumentation
3.4. Data Analyses
4. Results
4.1. Descriptive Statistics
4.2. Research Question One
4.3. Research Question Two
4.4. Research Question 3
4.5. Research Question Four
5. Discussion
5.1. Theoretical Implications
5.2. Management Implications
5.3. Implications for Future Research
6. Conclusions
Author Contributions
Funding
Institutional Review Board Statement
Informed Consent Statement
Data Availability Statement
Acknowledgments
Conflicts of Interest
References
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Item | Item M (SD) | Domain M (SD) |
---|---|---|
a Social Factors—Crowding (α = 0.94) | ||
Crowding | 2.10 (1.51) | 2.05 (1.47) |
Too many other visitors | 2.00 (1.42) | |
a Social Factors—Conflict (α = 0.92) | ||
Conflict with other visitors | 1.40 (1.05) | 1.53 (1.23) |
The way other visitors are behaving | 1.58 (1.30) | |
The actions or behaviors of other visitors | 1.60 (1.33) | |
a Situational Factors—Litter (α = 0.77) | ||
Visible litter, garbage, or waste | 1.77 (1.43) | 1.63 (1.29) |
Domestic animal waste | 1.48 (1.15) | |
a Situational Factors—Access (α = 0.78) | ||
Parking Accessibility | 1.74 (1.43) | 1.73 (1.43) |
Trail Accessibility | 1.72 (1.42) | |
a Ecological Factors—Trail Conditions (α = 0.78) | ||
Trail widening | 2.11 (1.66) | 2.49 (1.62) |
Informal trails | 1.87 (1.38) | |
Trail erosion | 2.79 (1.87) | |
Trail muddiness | 4.18 (2.07) | |
Trail litter | 1.51 (1.11) | |
a Ecological Factors—Weather Conditions (α = 0.84) | ||
Temperature | 2.29 (1.65) | 2.03 (1.58) |
Humidity | 2.51 (1.78) | |
Rain | 2.55 (2.17) | |
Strong Winds | 1.44 (1.11) | |
Cloudiness | 1.75 (1.38) | |
Visibility | 1.68 (1.41) |
Item | Item M (SD) | Domain M (SD) |
---|---|---|
a Resource Substitution (α = 0.85) | ||
Avoided certain areas of the LBW | 1.63 (1.37) | 1.71 (1.47) |
Visited different areas of the LBW | 1.78 (1.54) | |
Visited a different location within the LBW | 1.73 (1.49) | |
a Activity substitution (α = 0.83) | ||
Stopped engaging in my main recreation activity at the LBW | 1.33 (0.93) | 1.38 (1.04) |
Began a new recreation activity at the LBW | 1.46 (1.18) | |
Changed my Recreation activity at the LBW | 1.36 (1.00) | |
a Temporal Substitution (α = 0.88) | ||
Visited the LBW during a different season | 1.62 (1.46) | 1.77 (1.62) |
Visited the LBW on a different day of the week | 1.76 (1.61) | |
Visited the LBW earlier or later in the day | 1.87 (1.72) | |
Avoided visiting the LBW on holidays | 1.81 (1.72) | |
a Strategic Substitution (α = 0.73) | ||
Changed the gear I use while recreating in the LBW | 1.66 (1.39) | 1.79 (1.53) |
Considered purchasing new gear for future trips to the LBW | 1.92 (1.67) | |
a Absolute Displacement (α = 0.51) | ||
Considered visiting a different location outside of the LBW | 1.90 (1.72) | 1.61 (1.39) |
Considered abandoning my recreation experience entirely | 1.37 (1.05) |
Mean (SD) | Valid Percentages | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
5.17 (1.65) | (1) | (2) | (3) | (4) | (5) | (6) | (7) |
3.1% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 20.7% | 19.2% | 15.6% | 30.6% |
Nagelkerke R Square | β | Wald | Odds Ratio | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Social factors—Crowding Model a | ||||
Weather factors | 0.078 | 0.438 | 29.463 *** | 1.550 |
Constant | −0.896 | 24.873 *** | 0.408 | |
Social factors—Conflict Model b | ||||
Weather factors | 0.082 | 0.431 | 31.398 *** | 1.539 |
Constant | −1.747 | 82.227 *** | 0.174 | |
Situational factors—Litter Model c | ||||
Weather factors | 0.034 | 0.271 | 13.902 *** | 1.311 |
Constant | −1.011 | 33.545 *** | 0.364 | |
Situational factors—Access Model d | ||||
Weather factors | 0.028 | 0.246 | 11.564 *** | 1.279 |
Constant | −1.025 | 34.382 *** | 0.359 | |
Ecological factors—Trail Conditions Model e | ||||
Weather factors | 0.135 | 1.235 | 21.056 *** | 3.437 |
Constant | 0.158 | 0.168 | 1.172 |
Likelihood of Visitor Impact (%) | |||
---|---|---|---|
Reported Mean − 1 | Reported Mean | Reported Mean + 1 | |
Social factors—Crowding Model a | 39.1% | 50.0% | 60.7% |
Social factors—Conflict Model b | 21.4% | 29.6% | 39.2% |
Situational factors—Litter Model c | 32.5% | 38.7% | 45.3% |
Situational factors—Access Model d | 31.6% | 37.2% | 43.1% |
Ecological factors—Trail Conditions Model e | 80.8% | 93.6% | 98.0% |
Code a | Item | Loading b | Item M (SD) | Domain M (SD) |
---|---|---|---|---|
Weather Factors c | ||||
V1 | Temperature | 0.62 | 2.29 (1.65) | 2.20 (1.68) |
V2 | Humidity | 0.59 | 2.51 (1.78) | |
V3 | Rain | 0.66 | 2.55 (2.17) | |
V4 | Cloudiness | 0.70 | 1.75 (1.38) | |
V5 | Visibility | 0.71 | 1.68 (1.41) | |
Social/Situational Factors c (α= 0.87; R2 = 0.12) | ||||
V1 | The way other visitors are behaving | 0.80 | 1.58 (1.30) | 1.64 (1.34) |
V2 | The actions or behaviors of other visitors | 0.78 | 1.60 (1.33) | |
V3 | Visible litter, garbage, or waste | 0.85 | 1.77 (1.43) | |
V4 | Domestic animal waste | 0.76 | 1.48 (1.15) | |
V5 | Parking accessibility | 0.52 | 1.74 (1.43) | |
V6 | Trail Accessibility | 0.53 | 1.72 (1.42) | |
Trail Factors c (α= 0.83; R2 = 0.46) | ||||
V1 | Trail widening (e.g., excessive width) | 0.74 | 2.11 (1.66) | 2.26 (1.64) |
V2 | Informal trails (e.g., social trails) | 0.56 | 1.87 (1.38) | |
V3 | Trail erosion (e.g., bare soil) | 0.77 | 2.79 (1.87) | |
Coping d (α= 0.91; R2 =0.14) | ||||
V1 | Visited different areas of the LBW | 0.69 | 1.78 (1.54) | 1.66 (1.01) |
V2 | Visited a different location within the LBW | 0.73 | 1.73 (1.49) | |
V3 | Stopped engaging in my main recreation activity at the LBW | 0.58 | 1.33 (0.93) | |
V4 | Began a new recreation activity at the LBW | 0.70 | 1.46 (1.18) | |
V5 | Changed my Recreation activity at the LBW | 0.72 | 1.36 (1.00) | |
V6 | Visited the LBW during a different season | 0.75 | 1.62 (1.46) | |
V7 | Visited the LBW on a different day of the week | 0.73 | 1.76 (1.61) | |
V8 | Visited the LBW earlier or later in the day | 0.65 | 1.87 (1.72) | |
V9 | Avoided visiting the LBW on holidays | 0.65 | 1.81 (1.72) | |
V10 | Changed the gear I use while recreating in the LBW | 0.75 | 1.66 (1.39) | |
V11 | Considered purchasing new gear for future trips to the LBW | 0.57 | 1.92 (1.67) | |
V12 | Considered visiting a different location outside of the LBW | 0.55 | 1.90 (1.72) | |
V13 | Considered abandoning my recreation experience entirely | 0.44 | 1.37 (1.05) | |
Intention-to-return e (R2 = 0.13) | --- | 5.17 (1.65) |
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Ferguson, M.D.; Caraynoff, A.R.; Ferguson, L.A.; Barcelona, R.J.; Evensen, D.; Knox, H.; Pytlik, S.; Grosz, D. Whether They Return: Modeling Outdoor Recreation Behaviors, Decision Making, and Intention-to-Return in Congressionally Designated Wilderness. Forests 2022, 13, 1018. https://doi.org/10.3390/f13071018
Ferguson MD, Caraynoff AR, Ferguson LA, Barcelona RJ, Evensen D, Knox H, Pytlik S, Grosz D. Whether They Return: Modeling Outdoor Recreation Behaviors, Decision Making, and Intention-to-Return in Congressionally Designated Wilderness. Forests. 2022; 13(7):1018. https://doi.org/10.3390/f13071018
Chicago/Turabian StyleFerguson, Michael D., Alexander R. Caraynoff, Lauren A. Ferguson, Robert J. Barcelona, Darrick Evensen, Holly Knox, Steven Pytlik, and Donna Grosz. 2022. "Whether They Return: Modeling Outdoor Recreation Behaviors, Decision Making, and Intention-to-Return in Congressionally Designated Wilderness" Forests 13, no. 7: 1018. https://doi.org/10.3390/f13071018
APA StyleFerguson, M. D., Caraynoff, A. R., Ferguson, L. A., Barcelona, R. J., Evensen, D., Knox, H., Pytlik, S., & Grosz, D. (2022). Whether They Return: Modeling Outdoor Recreation Behaviors, Decision Making, and Intention-to-Return in Congressionally Designated Wilderness. Forests, 13(7), 1018. https://doi.org/10.3390/f13071018