Risk of Severe COVID-19-Related Outcomes among Patients with Cirrhosis: A Population-Based Cohort Study in Canada
Abstract
:1. Introduction
2. Materials and Methods
2.1. Study Design and Data Sources
2.2. Study Population
2.3. Outcome and Exposure
2.4. Statistical Analysis
2.5. Ethical Approval
3. Results
3.1. Demographic Characteristics
3.2. Risk Factors Overall
3.3. Cirrhosis and COVID-19 Severity by Age-Group
4. Discussion
5. Conclusions
Supplementary Materials
Author Contributions
Funding
Institutional Review Board Statement
Informed Consent Statement
Data Availability Statement
Acknowledgments
Conflicts of Interest
References
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No Hospitalization | Hospital Admission | ICU Admission | Overall | p-Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
(N = 153,963) | (N = 6035) | (N = 2511) | (N = 162,509) | ||
Sex | |||||
Female | 77,213 (50.2%) | 2728 (45.2%) | 928 (37.0%) | 80,869 (49.8%) | <0.001 |
Male | 76,750 (49.8%) | 3307 (54.8%) | 1583 (63.0%) | 81,640 (50.2%) | |
Age (years) | |||||
Median (Q1–Q3) | 37 (27–50) | 60 (44–73) | 60 (48–70) | 38 (28–52) | <0.001 |
Age-group | |||||
<20 Years | 5852 (3.8%) | 28 (0.5%) | 13 (0.5%) | 5893 (3.6%) | <0.001 |
20–29 Years | 42,304 (27.5%) | 437 (7.2%) | 96 (3.8%) | 42,837 (26.4%) | |
30–39 Years | 37,305 (24.2%) | 758 (12.6%) | 245 (9.8%) | 38,308 (23.6%) | |
40–49 Years | 27,722 (18.0%) | 793 (13.1%) | 321 (12.8%) | 28,836 (17.7%) | |
50–59 Years | 21,223 (13.8%) | 988 (16.4%) | 546 (21.7%) | 22,757 (14.0%) | |
60–69 Years | 12,939 (8.4%) | 1119 (18.5%) | 620 (24.7%) | 14,678 (9.0%) | |
70–79 Years | 4925 (3.2%) | 951 (15.8%) | 514 (20.5%) | 6390 (3.9%) | |
80+ Years | 1693 (1.1%) | 961 (15.9%) | 156 (6.2%) | 2810 (1.7%) | |
Health authority | |||||
Fraser | 69,169 (44.9%) | 2557 (42.4%) | 985 (39.2%) | 72,711 (44.7%) | <0.001 |
Interior | 25,138 (16.3%) | 1163 (19.3%) | 540 (21.5%) | 26,841 (16.5%) | |
Northern | 11,781 (7.7%) | 788 (13.1%) | 355 (14.1%) | 12,924 (8.0%) | |
Vancouver Coastal | 34,369 (22.3%) | 1105 (18.3%) | 441 (17.6%) | 35,915 (22.1%) | |
Vancouver Island | 12,283 (8.0%) | 414 (6.9%) | 189 (7.5%) | 12,886 (7.9%) | |
Unknown | 1223 (0.8%) | 8 (0.1%) | 1 (0.0%) | 1232 (0.8%) | |
Income (Quintiles) | |||||
1-Q | 28,991 (18.8%) | 1833 (30.4%) | 746 (29.7%) | 31,570 (19.4%) | <0.001 |
2-Q | 29,034 (18.9%) | 1243 (20.6%) | 542 (21.6%) | 30,819 (19.0%) | |
3-Q | 28,296 (18.4%) | 1076 (17.8%) | 427 (17.0%) | 29,799 (18.3%) | |
4-Q | 28,433 (18.5%) | 890 (14.7%) | 395 (15.7%) | 29,718 (18.3%) | |
5-Q | 25,721 (16.7%) | 734 (12.2%) | 287 (11.4%) | 26,742 (16.5%) | |
Missing/unknown | 13,488 (8.8%) | 259 (4.3%) | 114 (4.5%) | 13,861 (8.5%) | |
Asthma | |||||
No | 133,442 (86.7%) | 4932 (81.7%) | 2046 (81.5%) | 140,420 (86.4%) | <0.001 |
Yes | 20,521 (13.3%) | 1103 (18.3%) | 465 (18.5%) | 22,089 (13.6%) | |
Cirrhosis | |||||
No | 153,425 (99.7%) | 5903 (97.8%) | 2413 (96.1%) | 161,741 (99.5%) | <0.001 |
Yes | 538 (0.3%) | 132 (2.2%) | 98 (3.9%) | 768 (0.5%) | |
Cancer, lymphoma | |||||
No | 153,257 (99.5%) | 5920 (98.1%) | 2454 (97.7%) | 161,631 (99.5%) | <0.001 |
Yes | 706 (0.5%) | 115 (1.9%) | 57 (2.3%) | 878 (0.5%) | |
Cancer, solid | |||||
No | 138,046 (89.7%) | 4740 (78.5%) | 2007 (79.9%) | 144,793 (89.1%) | <0.001 |
Yes | 15,917 (10.3%) | 1295 (21.5%) | 504 (20.1%) | 17,716 (10.9%) | |
Cancer, metastatic | |||||
No | 151,060 (98.1%) | 5713 (94.7%) | 2374 (94.5%) | 159,147 (97.9%) | <0.001 |
Yes | 2903 (1.9%) | 322 (5.3%) | 137 (5.5%) | 3362 (2.1%) | |
Chronic kidney disease | |||||
No | 149,733 (97.3%) | 4928 (81.7%) | 2013 (80.2%) | 156,674 (96.4%) | <0.001 |
Yes | 4230 (2.7%) | 1107 (18.3%) | 498 (19.8%) | 5835 (3.6%) | |
Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease | |||||
No | 151,856 (98.6%) | 5426 (89.9%) | 2244 (89.4%) | 159,526 (98.2%) | <0.001 |
Yes | 2107 (1.4%) | 609 (10.1%) | 267 (10.6%) | 2983 (1.8%) | |
Depression | |||||
No | 115,755 (75.2%) | 3682 (61.0%) | 1549 (61.7%) | 120,986 (74.4%) | <0.001 |
Yes | 38,208 (24.8%) | 2353 (39.0%) | 962 (38.3%) | 41,523 (25.6%) | |
Diabetes mellitus (DM, treatment) | |||||
Non-DM | 144,493 (93.8%) | 4609 (76.4%) | 1803 (71.8%) | 150,905 (92.9%) | <0.001 |
DM, non-insulin-dependent | 7817 (5.1%) | 1025 (17.0%) | 462 (18.4%) | 9304 (5.7%) | |
DM, insulin-dependent | 1653 (1.1%) | 401 (6.6%) | 246 (9.8%) | 2300 (1.4%) | |
Obesity | |||||
No | 149,744 (97.3%) | 5766 (95.5%) | 2301 (91.6%) | 157,811 (97.1%) | <0.001 |
Yes | 4219 (2.7%) | 269 (4.5%) | 210 (8.4%) | 4698 (2.9%) | |
Weight loss | |||||
No | 151,680 (98.5%) | 5706 (94.5%) | 2413 (96.1%) | 159,799 (98.3%) | <0.001 |
Yes | 2283 (1.5%) | 329 (5.5%) | 98 (3.9%) | 2710 (1.7%) | |
Acute myocardial infarction | |||||
No | 152,839 (99.3%) | 5743 (95.2%) | 2404 (95.7%) | 160,986 (99.1%) | <0.001 |
Yes | 1124 (0.7%) | 292 (4.8%) | 107 (4.3%) | 1523 (0.9%) | |
Chronic heart disease * | |||||
No | 148,425 (96.4%) | 4877 (80.8%) | 2039 (81.2%) | 155,341 (95.6%) | <0.001 |
Yes | 5538 (3.6%) | 1158 (19.2%) | 472 (18.8%) | 7168 (4.4%) | |
Heart failure | |||||
No | 152,687 (99.2%) | 5546 (91.9%) | 2329 (92.8%) | 160,562 (98.8%) | <0.001 |
Yes | 1276 (0.8%) | 489 (8.1%) | 182 (7.2%) | 1947 (1.2%) | |
Hypertension | |||||
No | 136,548 (88.7%) | 3621 (60.0%) | 1495 (59.5%) | 141,664 (87.2%) | <0.001 |
Yes | 17,415 (11.3%) | 2414 (40.0%) | 1016 (40.5%) | 20,845 (12.8%) | |
Ischemic heart disease | |||||
No | 148,926 (96.7%) | 5031 (83.4%) | 2107 (83.9%) | 156,064 (96.0%) | <0.001 |
Yes | 5037 (3.3%) | 1004 (16.6%) | 404 (16.1%) | 6445 (4.0%) | |
Alcohol misuse | |||||
No | 145,687 (94.6%) | 5165 (85.6%) | 2181 (86.9%) | 153,033 (94.2%) | <0.001 |
Yes | 8276 (5.4%) | 870 (14.4%) | 330 (13.1%) | 9476 (5.8%) | |
Injection drug use | |||||
No | 145,635 (94.6%) | 5165 (85.6%) | 2202 (87.7%) | 153,002 (94.1%) | <0.001 |
Yes | 8328 (5.4%) | 870 (14.4%) | 309 (12.3%) | 9507 (5.9%) | |
Intellectual and developmental disabilities | |||||
No | 153,068 (99.4%) | 5957 (98.7%) | 2483 (98.9%) | 161,508 (99.4%) | <0.001 |
Yes | 895 (0.6%) | 78 (1.3%) | 28 (1.1%) | 1001 (0.6%) | |
Immunosuppression | |||||
No | 150,450 (97.7%) | 5664 (93.9%) | 2321 (92.4%) | 158,435 (97.5%) | <0.001 |
Yes | 3513 (2.3%) | 371 (6.1%) | 190 (7.6%) | 4074 (2.5%) | |
Alzheimer/dementia | |||||
No | 153,729 (99.8%) | 5895 (97.7%) | 2496 (99.4%) | 162,120 (99.8%) | <0.001 |
Yes | 234 (0.2%) | 140 (2.3%) | 15 (0.6%) | 389 (0.2%) | |
Epilepsy | |||||
No | 152,777 (99.2%) | 5919 (98.1%) | 2467 (98.2%) | 161,163 (99.2%) | <0.001 |
Yes | 1186 (0.8%) | 116 (1.9%) | 44 (1.8%) | 1346 (0.8%) | |
Parkinsonism | |||||
No | 153,878 (99.9%) | 5990 (99.3%) | 2505 (99.8%) | 162,373 (99.9%) | <0.001 |
Yes | 85 (0.1%) | 45 (0.7%) | 6 (0.2%) | 136 (0.1%) | |
Rheumatoid arthritis | |||||
No | 152,497 (99.0%) | 5839 (96.8%) | 2434 (96.9%) | 160,770 (98.9%) | <0.001 |
Yes | 1466 (1.0%) | 196 (3.2%) | 77 (3.1%) | 1739 (1.1%) | |
Schizophrenia and psychotic disorders | |||||
No | 151,813 (98.6%) | 5656 (93.7%) | 2424 (96.5%) | 159,893 (98.4%) | <0.001 |
Yes | 2150 (1.4%) | 379 (6.3%) | 87 (3.5%) | 2616 (1.6%) | |
Variants of concern | |||||
Non-VOC | 9353 (6.1%) | 398 (6.6%) | 158 (6.3%) | 9909 (6.1%) | <0.001 |
Delta | 38,540 (25.0%) | 2191 (36.3%) | 989 (39.4%) | 41,720 (25.7%) | |
Alpha | 17,270 (11.2%) | 713 (11.8%) | 290 (11.5%) | 18,273 (11.2%) | |
Beta | 98 (0.1%) | 4 (0.1%) | 3 (0.1%) | 105 (0.1%) | |
Gamma | 12,827 (8.3%) | 727 (12.0%) | 356 (14.2%) | 13,910 (8.6%) | |
Not sequenced | 68,917 (44.8%) | 1916 (31.7%) | 701 (27.9%) | 71,534 (44.0%) | |
Omicron | 6958 (4.5%) | 86 (1.4%) | 14 (0.6%) | 7058 (4.3%) | |
Vaccination status | |||||
Not vaccinated | 90,252 (58.6%) | 4439 (73.6%) | 2069 (82.4%) | 96,760 (59.5%) | <0.001 |
Partially vaccinated | 16,063 (10.4%) | 867 (14.4%) | 269 (10.7%) | 17,199 (10.6%) | |
Vaccinated | 47,648 (30.9%) | 729 (12.1%) | 173 (6.9%) | 48,550 (29.9%) |
No Cirrhosis | Cirrhosis | Overall | p-Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|
(N = 161,741) | (N = 768) | (N = 162,509) | ||
Severity (acute) | ||||
No hospitalization | 153,425 (94.9%) | 538 (70.1%) | 153,963 (94.7%) | <0.001 |
Hospitalization | 5903 (3.6%) | 132 (17.2%) | 6035 (3.7%) | |
ICU admission | 2413 (1.5%) | 98 (12.8%) | 2511 (1.5%) | |
Sex | ||||
Female | 80,501 (49.8%) | 368 (47.9%) | 80,869 (49.8%) | 0.591 |
Male | 81,240 (50.2%) | 400 (52.1%) | 81,640 (50.2%) | |
Age (years) | ||||
Median (Q1–Q3) | 38 (28–52) | 54 (43–64) | 38 (28–52) | <0.001 |
Age-group | ||||
<20 Years | 5890 (3.6%) | 3 (0.4%) | 5893 (3.6%) | <0.001 |
20–29 Years | 42,805 (26.5%) | 32 (4.2%) | 42,837 (26.4%) | |
30–39 Years | 38,204 (23.6%) | 104 (13.5%) | 38,308 (23.6%) | |
40–49 Years | 28,672 (17.7%) | 164 (21.4%) | 28,836 (17.7%) | |
50–59 Years | 22,574 (14.0%) | 183 (23.8%) | 22,757 (14.0%) | |
60–69 Years | 14,497 (9.0%) | 181 (23.6%) | 14,678 (9.0%) | |
70–79 Years | 6312 (3.9%) | 78 (10.2%) | 6390 (3.9%) | |
80+ Years | 2787 (1.7%) | 23 (3.0%) | 2810 (1.7%) | |
Health authority | ||||
Fraser | 72,407 (44.8%) | 304 (39.6%) | 72,711 (44.7%) | <0.001 |
Interior | 26,690 (16.5%) | 151 (19.7%) | 26,841 (16.5%) | |
Northern | 12,785 (7.9%) | 139 (18.1%) | 12,924 (8.0%) | |
Vancouver Coastal | 35,804 (22.1%) | 111 (14.5%) | 35,915 (22.1%) | |
Vancouver Island | 12,823 (7.9%) | 63 (8.2%) | 12,886 (7.9%) | |
Unknown | 1232 (0.8%) | 0 (0%) | 1232 (0.8%) | |
Income (Quintiles) | ||||
1-Q | 31,302 (19.4%) | 268 (34.9%) | 31,570 (19.4%) | <0.001 |
2-Q | 30,661 (19.0%) | 158 (20.6%) | 30,819 (19.0%) | |
3-Q | 29,673 (18.3%) | 126 (16.4%) | 29,799 (18.3%) | |
4-Q | 29,587 (18.3%) | 131 (17.1%) | 29,718 (18.3%) | |
5-Q | 26,663 (16.5%) | 79 (10.3%) | 26,742 (16.5%) | |
Missing/unknown | 13,855 (8.6%) | 6 (0.8%) | 13,861 (8.5%) | |
Asthma | ||||
No | 139,808 (86.4%) | 612 (79.7%) | 140,420 (86.4%) | <0.001 |
Yes | 21,933 (13.6%) | 156 (20.3%) | 22,089 (13.6%) | |
Cancer, lymphoma | ||||
No | 160,881 (99.5%) | 750 (97.7%) | 161,631 (99.5%) | <0.001 |
Yes | 860 (0.5%) | 18 (2.3%) | 878 (0.5%) | |
Cancer, solid | ||||
No | 144,256 (89.2%) | 537 (69.9%) | 144,793 (89.1%) | <0.001 |
Yes | 17,485 (10.8%) | 231 (30.1%) | 17,716 (10.9%) | |
Cancer, metastatic | ||||
No | 158,462 (98.0%) | 685 (89.2%) | 159,147 (97.9%) | <0.001 |
Yes | 3279 (2.0%) | 83 (10.8%) | 3362 (2.1%) | |
Chronic kidney disease | ||||
No | 156,080 (96.5%) | 594 (77.3%) | 156,674 (96.4%) | <0.001 |
Yes | 5661 (3.5%) | 174 (22.7%) | 5835 (3.6%) | |
Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease | ||||
No | 158,822 (98.2%) | 704 (91.7%) | 159,526 (98.2%) | <0.001 |
Yes | 2919 (1.8%) | 64 (8.3%) | 2983 (1.8%) | |
Depression | ||||
No | 120,627 (74.6%) | 359 (46.7%) | 120,986 (74.4%) | <0.001 |
Yes | 41,114 (25.4%) | 409 (53.3%) | 41,523 (25.6%) | |
Diabetes mellitus (DM, treatment) | ||||
Non-DM | 150,323 (92.9%) | 582 (75.8%) | 150,905 (92.9%) | <0.001 |
DM, non-insulin-dependent | 9176 (5.7%) | 128 (16.7%) | 9304 (5.7%) | |
DM, insulin-dependent | 2242 (1.4%) | 58 (7.6%) | 2300 (1.4%) | |
Obesity | ||||
No | 157,091 (97.1%) | 720 (93.8%) | 157,811 (97.1%) | <0.001 |
Yes | 4650 (2.9%) | 48 (6.3%) | 4698 (2.9%) | |
Weight loss | ||||
No | 159,091 (98.4%) | 708 (92.2%) | 159,799 (98.3%) | <0.001 |
Yes | 2650 (1.6%) | 60 (7.8%) | 2710 (1.7%) | |
Acute myocardial infarction | ||||
No | 160,240 (99.1%) | 746 (97.1%) | 160,986 (99.1%) | <0.001 |
Yes | 1501 (0.9%) | 22 (2.9%) | 1523 (0.9%) | |
Chronic heart disease * | ||||
No | 154,710 (95.7%) | 631 (82.2%) | 155,341 (95.6%) | <0.001 |
Yes | 7031 (4.3%) | 137 (17.8%) | 7168 (4.4%) | |
Heart failure | ||||
No | 159,865 (98.8%) | 697 (90.8%) | 160,562 (98.8%) | <0.001 |
Yes | 1876 (1.2%) | 71 (9.2%) | 1947 (1.2%) | |
Hypertension | ||||
No | 141,173 (87.3%) | 491 (63.9%) | 141,664 (87.2%) | <0.001 |
Yes | 20,568 (12.7%) | 277 (36.1%) | 20,845 (12.8%) | |
Ischemic heart disease | ||||
No | 155,398 (96.1%) | 666 (86.7%) | 156,064 (96.0%) | <0.001 |
Yes | 6343 (3.9%) | 102 (13.3%) | 6445 (4.0%) | |
Alcohol misuse | ||||
No | 152,590 (94.3%) | 443 (57.7%) | 153,033 (94.2%) | <0.001 |
Yes | 9151 (5.7%) | 325 (42.3%) | 9476 (5.8%) | |
Injection drug use | ||||
No | 152,471 (94.3%) | 531 (69.1%) | 153,002 (94.1%) | <0.001 |
Yes | 9270 (5.7%) | 237 (30.9%) | 9507 (5.9%) | |
Intellectual and developmental disabilities | ||||
No | 160,746 (99.4%) | 762 (99.2%) | 161,508 (99.4%) | 0.842 |
Yes | 995 (0.6%) | 6 (0.8%) | 1001 (0.6%) | |
Immunosuppression | ||||
No | 157,757 (97.5%) | 678 (88.3%) | 158,435 (97.5%) | <0.001 |
Yes | 3984 (2.5%) | 90 (11.7%) | 4074 (2.5%) | |
Alzheimer/dementia | ||||
No | 161,360 (99.8%) | 760 (99.0%) | 162,120 (99.8%) | <0.001 |
Yes | 381 (0.2%) | 8 (1.0%) | 389 (0.2%) | |
Epilepsy | ||||
No | 160,422 (99.2%) | 741 (96.5%) | 161,163 (99.2%) | <0.001 |
Yes | 1319 (0.8%) | 27 (3.5%) | 1346 (0.8%) | |
Parkinsonism | ||||
No | 161,606 (99.9%) | 767 (99.9%) | 162,373 (99.9%) | 0.905 |
Yes | 135 (0.1%) | 1 (0.1%) | 136 (0.1%) | |
Rheumatoid arthritis | ||||
No | 160,023 (98.9%) | 747 (97.3%) | 160,770 (98.9%) | <0.001 |
Yes | 1718 (1.1%) | 21 (2.7%) | 1739 (1.1%) | |
Schizophrenia and psychotic disorders | ||||
No | 159,164 (98.4%) | 729 (94.9%) | 159,893 (98.4%) | <0.001 |
Yes | 2577 (1.6%) | 39 (5.1%) | 2616 (1.6%) | |
Variants of concern | ||||
Non-VOC | 9822 (6.1%) | 87 (11.3%) | 9909 (6.1%) | <0.001 |
Delta | 41,491 (25.7%) | 229 (29.8%) | 41,720 (25.7%) | |
Alpha | 18,206 (11.3%) | 67 (8.7%) | 18,273 (11.2%) | |
Beta | 101 (0.1%) | 4 (0.5%) | 105 (0.1%) | |
Gamma | 13,871 (8.6%) | 39 (5.1%) | 13,910 (8.6%) | |
Not sequenced | 71,206 (44.0%) | 328 (42.7%) | 71,534 (44.0%) | |
Omicron | 7044 (4.4%) | 14 (1.8%) | 7058 (4.3%) | |
Vaccination status | ||||
Not vaccinated | 96,317 (59.6%) | 443 (57.7%) | 96,760 (59.5%) | 0.00111 |
Partially vaccinated | 17,082 (10.6%) | 117 (15.2%) | 17,199 (10.6%) | |
Vaccinated | 48,342 (29.9%) | 208 (27.1%) | 48,550 (29.9%) |
Hospitalization | ICU Admission | |||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
AOR | LCI | UCI | p-Value | AOR | LCI | UCI | p-Value | |
Overall | 1.97 | 1.58 | 2.47 | <0.001 | 3.33 | 2.56 | 4.35 | <0.001 |
Ages 18–49 | 2.65 ⁰† | 1.77 | 3.99 | <0.001 | 6.81 ‡ | 4.31 | 10.78 | <0.001 |
Ages 50–69 | 2.04 ⁰ | 1.50 | 2.78 | <0.001 | 2.98 | 2.08 | 4.27 | <0.001 |
Ages ≥ 70 | 1.48 | 0.90 | 2.46 | 0.125 | 2.17 † | 1.13 | 4.17 | 0.02 |
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Velásquez García, H.A.; Adu, P.A.; Okonkwo-Dappa, A.; Makuza, J.D.; Cua, G.; Binka, M.; Wilton, J.; Sbihi, H.; Janjua, N.Z. Risk of Severe COVID-19-Related Outcomes among Patients with Cirrhosis: A Population-Based Cohort Study in Canada. Viruses 2024, 16, 351. https://doi.org/10.3390/v16030351
Velásquez García HA, Adu PA, Okonkwo-Dappa A, Makuza JD, Cua G, Binka M, Wilton J, Sbihi H, Janjua NZ. Risk of Severe COVID-19-Related Outcomes among Patients with Cirrhosis: A Population-Based Cohort Study in Canada. Viruses. 2024; 16(3):351. https://doi.org/10.3390/v16030351
Chicago/Turabian StyleVelásquez García, Héctor Alexander, Prince A. Adu, Ada Okonkwo-Dappa, Jean Damascene Makuza, Georgine Cua, Mawuena Binka, James Wilton, Hind Sbihi, and Naveed Z. Janjua. 2024. "Risk of Severe COVID-19-Related Outcomes among Patients with Cirrhosis: A Population-Based Cohort Study in Canada" Viruses 16, no. 3: 351. https://doi.org/10.3390/v16030351
APA StyleVelásquez García, H. A., Adu, P. A., Okonkwo-Dappa, A., Makuza, J. D., Cua, G., Binka, M., Wilton, J., Sbihi, H., & Janjua, N. Z. (2024). Risk of Severe COVID-19-Related Outcomes among Patients with Cirrhosis: A Population-Based Cohort Study in Canada. Viruses, 16(3), 351. https://doi.org/10.3390/v16030351