Debt Overhang, Gazelles’ Growth, and Fiscal Policy: A Note from the Quantile Regression Approach
Abstract
:1. Introduction
2. Literature Review
3. Data and Empirical Methodology
4. Empirical Results
5. Conclusions
Author Contributions
Funding
Institutional Review Board Statement
Informed Consent Statement
Data Availability Statement
Conflicts of Interest
Appendix A. Robustness Check
OLS | 10th Q | 20th Q | 30th Q | 40th Q | 50th Q | 60th Q | 70th Q | 80th Q | 90th Q | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
LEV | −0.031 * | −0.177 *** | −0.064 *** | −0.017 | 0.000 | 0.011 | 0.021 | 0.037 | 0.075 *** | 0.148 *** |
(0.017) | (0.058) | (0.021) | (0.015) | (0.010) | (0.013) | (0.015) | (0.024) | (0.022) | (0.044) | |
AGE | −0.442 *** | −0.321 *** | −0.244 *** | −0.231 *** | −0.255 *** | −0.285 *** | −0.321 *** | −0.351 *** | −0.419 *** | −0.547 *** |
(0.016) | (0.030) | (0.014) | (0.006) | (0.016) | (0.013) | (0.012) | (0.008) | (0.020) | (0.017) | |
SIZ | 0.086 *** | 0.077 *** | 0.058 *** | 0.046 *** | 0.042 *** | 0.039 *** | 0.042 *** | 0.042 *** | 0.043 *** | 0.062 *** |
(0.006) | (0.017) | (0.005) | (0.003) | (0.004) | (0.003) | (0.005) | (0.003) | (0.006) | (0.008) | |
LIQ | −0.006 ** | −0.030 *** | −0.008 ** | −0.003 | −0.002 | −0.001 | −0.001 | −0.001 | 0.001 | 0.005 |
(0.003) | (0.010) | (0.004) | (0.003) | (0.001) | (0.002) | (0.002) | (0.002) | (0.002) | (0.005) | |
LAP | −0.176 *** | −0.112 *** | −0.075 *** | −0.063 *** | −0.062 *** | −0.067 *** | −0.073 *** | −0.080 *** | −0.100 *** | −0.153 *** |
(0.008) | (0.020) | (0.009) | (0.005) | (0.005) | (0.005) | (0.007) | (0.006) | (0.008) | (0.014) | |
ECG | 0.014 *** | 0.014 *** | 0.015 *** | 0.017 *** | 0.017 *** | 0.017 *** | 0.015 *** | 0.015 *** | 0.016 *** | 0.019 *** |
(0.002) | (0.005) | (0.002) | (0.001) | (0.001) | (0.001) | (0.001) | (0.001) | (0.002) | (0.003) | |
ECD | 0.075 *** | 0.177 *** | 0.094 *** | 0.058 *** | 0.037 *** | 0.014 | 0.004 | −0.020 ** | −0.035 *** | −0.045 ** |
(0.016) | (0.023) | (0.015) | (0.007) | (0.010) | (0.010) | (0.012) | (0.009) | (0.010) | (0.021) | |
FID | 0.002 ** | 0.000 | 0.001 | 0.001 | 0.001 *** | 0.001 *** | 0.001 *** | 0.001 *** | 0.001 *** | 0.002 *** |
(0.001) | (0.002) | (0.001) | (0.000) | (0.000) | (0.000) | (0.000) | (0.000) | (0.000) | (0.001) | |
Constant | 0.622 *** | −1.348 *** | −0.692 *** | −0.272 *** | 0.059 | 0.483 *** | 0.724 *** | 1.144 *** | 1.663 *** | 2.366 *** |
(0.169) | (0.363) | (0.165) | (0.066) | (0.087) | (0.114) | (0.125) | (0.100) | (0.112) | (0.285) | |
R2/Pseudo R2 | 0.1580 | 0.0543 | 0.0582 | 0.0594 | 0.0669 | 0.0815 | 0.0983 | 0.1196 | 0.1433 | 0.1845 |
N. of cases | 7730 | 7730 | 7730 | 7730 | 7730 | 7730 | 7730 | 7730 | 7730 | 7730 |
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Dependent Variable | Description |
---|---|
Firm growth (GROW) | Log (salesi,t)–log (salesi,t−1) |
Independent variables | |
Leverage (LEV) | Total debt/Total assets |
Age (AGE) | Log of firm age |
Size (SIZ) | Log of total assets |
Liquidity (LIQ) | Current assets/Current liabilities |
Labour productivity (LAP) | Log of (total sales/number of employees) |
Economic growth (ECG) | GDP growth(annual %) |
Economic development (ECD) | Log of GDP per capita |
Financial development (FID) | Private credit to GDP(%) |
Variable | Mean | Std. Dev. | Min | Max | GROW | LEV | AGE | SIZ | LIQ | LAP | ECG | ECD | FID |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
GROW | 0.120 | 0.856 | −8.364 | 8.893 | 1.00 | ||||||||
LEV | 0.822 | 0.630 | 0.013 | 4.699 | −0.09 | 1.00 | |||||||
AGE | 1.518 | 0.612 | 0.000 | 2.303 | −0.36 | 0.00 | 1.00 | ||||||
SIZ | 13.867 | 2.049 | 3.636 | 20.784 | 0.06 | −0.16 | 0.13 | 1.00 | |||||
LIQ | 2.094 | 3.435 | 0.060 | 25.630 | −0.06 | −0.31 | 0.06 | −0.05 | 1.00 | ||||
LAP | 10.385 | 1.455 | 2.593 | 16.934 | 0.19 | −0.09 | 0.00 | 0.57 | −0.08 | 1.00 | |||
ECG | 1.904 | 5.250 | −14.814 | 11.902 | 0.17 | −0.02 | −0.26 | −0.03 | −0.02 | 0.09 | 1.00 | ||
ECD | 8.917 | 0.646 | 7.742 | 10.222 | −0.03 | −0.07 | 0.08 | 0.09 | −0.04 | 0.26 | 0.19 | 1.00 | |
FID | 51.564 | 16.847 | 21.218 | 102.531 | −0.11 | 0.01 | 0.25 | 0.03 | 0.06 | −0.09 | −0.50 | −0.46 | 1.00 |
OLS | q10 | q20 | q30 | q40 | q50 | q60 | q70 | q80 | q90 | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
LEV | −0.0308 * | −0.1771 *** | −0.0643 *** | −0.0175 | 0.0001 | 0.0113 | 0.0212 ** | 0.0374 *** | 0.0746 *** | 0.1481 *** |
(−0.0171) | (−0.0378) | (−0.0164) | (−0.0119) | (−0.0103) | (−0.0088) | (−0.0102) | (−0.0113) | (−0.0156) | (−0.0267) | |
AGE | −0.4418 *** | −0.3215 *** | −0.2436 *** | −0.2310 *** | −0.2546 *** | −0.2845 *** | −0.3212 *** | −0.3511 *** | −0.4191 *** | −0.5468 *** |
(−0.0157) | (−0.0348) | (−0.0151) | (−0.0109) | (−0.0095) | (−0.008) | (−0.0093) | (−0.0103) | (−0.0144) | (−0.0245) | |
SIZ | 0.0864 *** | 0.0769 *** | 0.0579 *** | 0.0463 *** | 0.0416 *** | 0.0394 *** | 0.0417 *** | 0.0421 *** | 0.0428 *** | 0.0616 *** |
(−0.0055) | (−0.0123) | (−0.0053) | (−0.0039) | (−0.0034) | (−0.0028) | (−0.0033) | (−0.0037) | (−0.0051) | (−0.0087) | |
LIQ | −0.0062 ** | −0.0297 *** | −0.0075 *** | −0.003 | −0.0024 | −0.0008 | −0.0007 | −0.001 | 0.0009 | 0.0052 |
(−0.0028) | (−0.0063) | (−0.0027) | (−0.002) | (−0.0017) | (−0.0015) | (−0.0017) | (−0.0019) | (−0.0026) | (−0.0044) | |
LAP | −0.1761 *** | −0.1116 *** | −0.0749 *** | −0.0625 *** | −0.0617 *** | −0.0670 *** | −0.0726 *** | −0.0798 *** | −0.1005 *** | −0.1532 *** |
(−0.0077) | (−0.017) | (−0.0074) | (−0.0054) | (−0.0046) | (−0.0039) | (−0.0046) | (−0.0051) | (−0.007) | (−0.012) | |
ECG | 0.0142 *** | 0.0135 *** | 0.0154 *** | 0.0170 *** | 0.0172 *** | 0.0167 *** | 0.0152 *** | 0.0150 *** | 0.0159 *** | 0.0191 *** |
(−0.0019) | (−0.0043) | (−0.0019) | (−0.0013) | (−0.0012) | (−0.001) | (−0.0012) | (−0.0013) | (−0.0018) | (−0.003) | |
ECD | 0.0754 *** | 0.1769 *** | 0.0941 *** | 0.0581 *** | 0.0371 *** | 0.0135 | 0.0037 | −0.0205 * | −0.0346 ** | −0.0452 * |
(−0.0163) | (−0.0362) | (−0.0157) | (−0.0114) | (−0.0099) | (−0.0084) | (−0.0097) | (−0.0108) | (−0.0149) | (−0.0255) | |
FID | 0.0015 ** | 0.0003 | 0.0005 | 0.0007 | 0.0013 *** | 0.0011 *** | 0.0011 *** | 0.0011 ** | 0.0014 ** | 0.0021 * |
(−0.0007) | (−0.0016) | (−0.0007) | (−0.0005) | (−0.0004) | (−0.0004) | (−0.0004) | (−0.0005) | (−0.0007) | (−0.0011) | |
Constant | 0.6223 *** | −1.3475 *** | −0.6921 *** | −0.2717 ** | 0.0589 | 0.4828 *** | 0.7238 *** | 1.1436 *** | 1.6635 *** | 2.3658 *** |
(−0.1689) | (−0.3743) | (−0.1626) | (−0.1179) | (−0.1022) | (−0.0866) | (−0.1006) | (−0.1113) | (−0.1545) | (−0.2639) | |
R2/Pseudo R2 | 0.158 | 0.0543 | 0.0582 | 0.0594 | 0.0669 | 0.0815 | 0.0983 | 0.1196 | 0.1433 | 0.1845 |
N. of cases | 7730 | 7730 | 7730 | 7730 | 7730 | 7730 | 7730 | 7730 | 7730 | 7730 |
OLS | q10 | q20 | q30 | q40 | q50 | q60 | q70 | q80 | q90 | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
LEV | −0.0589 *** | −0.3471 *** | −0.1014 *** | −0.0308 ** | −0.0211 | 0.0084 | 0.0145 | 0.0284 ** | 0.0718 *** | 0.1451 *** |
(0.0204) | (0.0507) | (0.0227) | (0.0154) | (0.0128) | (0.0118) | (0.0134) | (0.0134) | (0.0198) | (0.0339) | |
AGE | −0.4128 *** | −0.3574 *** | −0.2556 *** | −0.2343 *** | −0.2536 *** | −0.2823 *** | −0.3069 *** | −0.3275 *** | −0.3783 *** | −0.4810 *** |
(0.0200) | (0.0497) | (0.0222) | (0.0151) | (0.0126) | (0.0116) | (0.0131) | (0.0131) | (0.0195) | (0.0332) | |
SIZ | 0.0621 *** | 0.0842 *** | 0.0546 *** | 0.0430 *** | 0.0366 *** | 0.0346 *** | 0.0294 *** | 0.0301 *** | 0.0297 *** | 0.0336 *** |
(0.0073) | (0.0182) | (0.0081) | (0.0055) | (0.0046) | (0.0042) | (0.0048) | (0.0048) | (0.0071) | (0.0121) | |
LIQ | −0.0021 | −0.0260 ** | −0.0041 | −0.0024 | −0.0036 | 0.0027 | 0.0022 | 0.0007 | 0.0023 | 0.0035 |
(0.0042) | (0.0103) | (0.0046) | (0.0031) | (0.0026) | (0.0024) | (0.0027) | (0.0027) | (0.0040) | (0.0069) | |
LAP | −0.1301 *** | −0.1421 *** | −0.0863 *** | −0.0671 *** | −0.0620 *** | −0.0615 *** | −0.0580 *** | −0.0606 *** | −0.0734 *** | −0.1011 *** |
(0.0102) | (0.0252) | (0.0113) | (0.0077) | (0.0064) | (0.0059) | (0.0066) | (0.0066) | (0.0099) | (0.0168) | |
ECG | 0.0135 *** | 0.0140 ** | 0.0149 *** | 0.0170 *** | 0.0168 *** | 0.0169 *** | 0.0153 *** | 0.0141 *** | 0.0140 *** | 0.0194 *** |
(0.0026) | (0.0065) | (0.0029) | (0.0020) | (0.0016) | (0.0015) | (0.0017) | (0.0017) | (0.0025) | (0.0043) | |
ECD | 0.0876 *** | 0.1723 ** | 0.0935 ** | 0.0598 ** | 0.0533 ** | 0.0367 * | 0.0161 | 0.0252 | 0.0051 | −0.0026 |
(0.0336) | (0.0835) | (0.0373) | (0.0254) | (0.0211) | (0.0194) | (0.0220) | (0.0220) | (0.0327) | (0.0558) | |
FID | 0.0011 | −0.0008 | 0.0005 | 0.0012 * | 0.0011 * | 0.0009 * | 0.0012 ** | 0.0009 * | 0.0013 | 0.0028 ** |
(0.0009) | (0.0021) | (0.0010) | (0.0007) | (0.0005) | (0.0005) | (0.0006) | (0.0006) | (0.0008) | (0.0014) | |
Constant | 0.3711 | −0.8437 | −0.4507 | −0.1864 | 0.0256 | 0.2941 * | 0.6170 *** | 0.6728 *** | 1.1257 *** | 1.6624 *** |
(0.3033) | (0.7532) | (0.3365) | (0.2290) | (0.1905) | (0.1753) | (0.1982) | (0.1984) | (0.2946) | (0.5031) | |
R2/Pseudo R2 | 0.1324 | 0.0573 | 0.0455 | 0.0473 | 0.0576 | 0.0726 | 0.0888 | 0.1086 | 0.1265 | 0.1507 |
N. of cases | 7730 | 7730 | 7730 | 7730 | 7730 | 7730 | 7730 | 7730 | 7730 | 7730 |
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Anton, S.G.; Onofrei, M.; Gogu, E.; Neculau, B.C.; Mihai, F. Debt Overhang, Gazelles’ Growth, and Fiscal Policy: A Note from the Quantile Regression Approach. Sustainability 2021, 13, 10457. https://doi.org/10.3390/su131810457
Anton SG, Onofrei M, Gogu E, Neculau BC, Mihai F. Debt Overhang, Gazelles’ Growth, and Fiscal Policy: A Note from the Quantile Regression Approach. Sustainability. 2021; 13(18):10457. https://doi.org/10.3390/su131810457
Chicago/Turabian StyleAnton, Sorin Gabriel, Mihaela Onofrei, Emilia Gogu, Bogdan Constantin Neculau, and Florin Mihai. 2021. "Debt Overhang, Gazelles’ Growth, and Fiscal Policy: A Note from the Quantile Regression Approach" Sustainability 13, no. 18: 10457. https://doi.org/10.3390/su131810457
APA StyleAnton, S. G., Onofrei, M., Gogu, E., Neculau, B. C., & Mihai, F. (2021). Debt Overhang, Gazelles’ Growth, and Fiscal Policy: A Note from the Quantile Regression Approach. Sustainability, 13(18), 10457. https://doi.org/10.3390/su131810457