1. Introduction
Terrestrial ecosystems, covering approximately 30% of the Earth’s land surface, play an important role in the global carbon cycle and climate changes [
1]. Forests are a major contributor to the terrestrial carbon pool. Forests store approximately 45% of the carbon found in terrestrial ecosystems as living biomass and dead wood and litter [
2,
3]. At the same time, forests can sequester large amounts of carbon dioxide from the atmosphere and contribute approximately 50% of the global net primary production (NPP) and approximately 80% of terrestrial NPP [
4,
5,
6]. Forests absorb atmospheric CO
2 through photosynthesis and remove nearly 3 billion tons of anthropogenic carbon every year [
7]. As forests grow, around 30% of CO
2 emissions from fuel burning and net deforestation are absorbed [
8]. Therefore, forest ecosystems can increase or decrease carbon sequestration by restoring or degrading vegetation [
9]. If a forest is disturbed by fire, deforestation or other human factors, the carbon stored in the forest would be released back into the atmosphere; therefore, the accurate estimation of forest carbon stocks is essential for the study of the carbon exchange between terrestrial ecosystems and the atmosphere and its effects on ecosystem-level carbon cycling, feeding back to climate change [
10,
11].
Forest aboveground biomass, or aboveground biomass of trees (AGB), is defined as the mass of the living organic material, which includes the living stems, branches and leaves of vegetation, with units of mass per unit area [
12]. The aboveground biomass constitutes the main portion of the carbon stock, and it is the most important and visible terrestrial ecosystem carbon pool. The AGB is intimately related to the emission of CO
2 caused by land use change and fire and the stored CO
2 in the atmosphere by vegetation growth. AGB is a key quantity estimating terrestrial carbon pools and is recognized as an Essential Climate Variable (ECV) by the Global Climate Observing System (GCOS) [
13]. It is also used to monitor climate change by the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC) and the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) [
14]. In addition, vegetation biomass has also wider significance to human society in the form of food, materials, energy and other ecosystem services that can be found in forests and other ecosystems [
15]. AGB is also important for monitoring the forest planting dynamics, evaluating forest management practices and assessing wood resources [
15,
16]. Accurately monitoring and reporting the forest aboveground biomass is essential to correctly budget carbon emissions and is beneficial for mitigating climate change through the reduction of greenhouse gas emissions [
17].
Conventionally, the AGB estimation methods can be categorized into field measurement, ecological model simulation and approaches involving remote sensing [
1]. Field measurement requires an intensive field inventory; the most important field forest-related parameters include the number of trees, tree density, the taxonomical information, tree height and the diameter at breast height (DBH) [
18]. Field measurement is considered to provide the most accurate AGB estimation, combined with allometric equations [
19]. The traditional approach of manual data collection is called field inventory in forestry [
20]. It is an important method that is used in the monitoring and management of the forest. However, the conventional method of AGB inventory is destructive, labor-intensive, expensive, time-consuming and sometimes limited by poor accessibility [
21]. It cannot provide the spatial and temporal distribution and explicit forest biomass information [
1]. Hence, the field inventory method is practical only in relatively smaller areas [
22].
Limited by the traditional methods of AGB estimation on a regional scale, remote sensing has been widely used to estimate AGB during the past few decades. On the one hand, remote sensing technology has the advantage of facilitating the collection of forest type characteristics and coverage information, which is greatly useful in field inventory [
23]. On the other hand, remote sensing can provide the spectral characteristics of vegetation and offer the repeated historical observation required for change detection, and digital data can be easily stored and integrated with geographic information [
22]. Remote sensing technology has been extensively used as an efficient and economical method for the large-scale estimation of forest biomass [
24,
25]. Various remote sensing data, such as optical, thermal, microwave, radar and LiDAR remote sensing data, have been used for AGB estimation [
26,
27]. The intermediate- and high-resolution remote sensing are usually used for biomass estimation at local or sub-regional scales, such as Landsat series, SPOT, WorldView-2 and GF series [
28,
29,
30]. Moreover, MODIS and NOAA-AVHRR remote sensing data have been used to estimate AGB at a regional, national or global scale [
31,
32]. Optical remote sensing data are a common data source for biomass estimation, but data saturation in the optical regime is an important factor influencing the accuracy of biomass estimation in forests [
33,
34]. With the rapid development of light detection and ranging (LiDAR) technology, LiDAR has become a vital method for AGB estimation [
35]. Compared to optical remote sensing, LiDAR can derive the canopy height information, which is strongly related to AGB at high levels, and it is considered the most promising technique for biomass estimation. However, LiDAR data are usually limited to use in small areas due to high costs [
26].
In the last few decades, multiple-resource remote sensing data have been used to estimate AGB and are recognized as dominant data sources for AGB mapping [
1]. However, current AGB estimations were retrieved by using different methods and remote sensing data with various spatial resolutions [
36]. This would lead to significant disagreement when estimating AGB and reduce its value in global and national applications. There are many random and/or systematic errors that arise during AGB estimation, such as in field-based AGB estimation, matching field and remote sensing measurement, satellite-based measurement and global wall-to-wall extrapolation [
37]. First, the uncertainty of the field-based AGB estimation is a matter of concern for remote sensing scholars. Chen et al. tracked the errors from the field-based uncertainty of AGB estimation based on airborne LiDAR remote sensing [
38]. Longo et al. concluded that the field-based uncertainty contributed around 10% of the total pixel-level uncertainty of AGB prediction at a 0.16 ha resolution [
39]. Second, the mismatch between field measurements and remote sensing images may lead to errors in AGB estimation. Moreover, it would reduce the AGB model error from 51% to 4% at 20 to 100 m resolution when using LiDAR remote sensing [
40]. The spatial difference between field measurements and remote sensing data is a common problem that can increase the AGB estimation error in remote sensing studies [
41]. Næsset et al. found that the field plot size would have an effect on the estimation of AGB and pointed out that the plot size should be considered when using remotely sensed data for AGB estimation [
42]. Persson et al. analyzed the uncertainties of AGB estimation at the plot and stand level and concluded that the error of field-based AGB estimation cannot be ignored, such as measured errors, missed or double-counted trees, measurement errors, sample plot location positioning errors or erroneous registration of tree species [
43]. Moreover, this uncertainty is difficult to predict in natural forests, but the error can be reduced with an increase in the plot size [
44]. In addition, Shen pointed out that the distribution of survey sites may bring some uncertainty in AGB estimation [
45]. Lastly, the issue of the scale mismatch between the calibration of the field measurement and remote sensing pixels is a significant challenge. When coarse-resolution remote sensing is used to map the local- or national-scale AGB, the numerous data of small field plots, such as national forest inventory datasets, will be used to establish the AGB estimation model. However, the area of the most of the field plots is less than 0.1 ha in size. Réjou-Méchain et al. analyzed the local spatial variability of AGB in plots with the size of 0.1 ha and 100 ha. Results show that the local spatial variability is large for standard plots, and the value of the local spatial variability is 46.3% for 0.1 ha subplots and 16.6% for 1 ha subplots, respectively [
46]. Compared with large plots, small plots carry large errors due to AGB variability for a consistent pixel-to-plot size. Moreover, this will generate large sampling errors and produce significant bias when estimating an AGB map. Thus, field measurements that better match the remote sensing pixel resolution are a challenge, and a more reliable approach to minimizing this sampling error needs to be developed.
It is complex to assess and quantify of the AGB estimation errors by using remote sensing data. However, it is also important to identify the errors and assess the effect of the different spatial resolutions of remote sensing data on AGB estimation, as it contributes to the uncertainty of the RS-based estimation; it is also necessary to consider how to correct this error. In this study, the issue of the scale mismatch of AGB estimation for remote sensing of different spatial resolutions was discussed. Moreover, a novel method, which is based on the law of conservation of mass, was developed, and the errors of the scale effect of AGB estimation at various spatial resolutions were analyzed. To achieve this goal, an AGB estimation model was first established that referred to three different spatial resolutions of remote sensing data, and the accuracy of AGB estimation at three different scales was analyzed. Second, the optimal scale estimation result was considered as a reference AGB spatial distribution true value, and the mismatch error due to the spatial variability and non-linearity of the AGB estimation model was discussed at three different spatial resolutions of remote sensing. Third, the scale conversion method of the entropy-weighted index with the assumption of the average AGB constant in this region, which was used to correct the scale error of AGB estimation by using coarse-resolution remote sensing, was established and the weight coefficient was determined by analyzing the biases between estimated and true AGB values. Finally, the AGB map with coarse-resolution remote sensing was corrected. This research represents an approach to the scale error correction of AGB estimation by using coarse-resolution remote sensing, and it provides a reference for high-precision AGB mapping using coarse-resolution remote sensing at a regional, national or global scale.
5. Discussion
Forest biomass is critically important for forest dynamics in the carbon cycle [
79]. However, it remains uncertain because large-scale AGB mapping applications from remote sensing data still carry large uncertainty [
37,
80]. In this study, a random forest model was devised to estimate the AGB at three different spatial scales (4 m, 10 m, 30 m). The determination coefficient between estimated and measured AGB for various remote sensing data using an independent dataset was 0.5711, 0.4819 and 0.4321, respectively. The same model and dataset were used, but the prediction accuracy of the AGB varied among different remote sensing data. The results generally demonstrated a tendency in which the accuracy of AGB estimation was decreased with the increase in the pixel size of the remote sensing data. In other words, there was a significant scale effect, which is the main problem associated with parameter estimation when using remote sensing. According to the results, this scale effect resulted in significant uncertainty in forest AGB estimation in this study [
81].
Some scholars have focused on scale effect research and attempted to identify the reasons for the scale error. Chen found that this scale effect was caused by the surface heterogeneity. He noted that the nonlinearity of the retrieval algorithm and mixed pixels led to the scale effect of the inversion of land surface parameters [
82]. Leeuwen et al. pointed out that spectral mixing would increase the error of the classification [
83]. Therefore, we developed a scale error correction method using information entropy of the land use type and compared the corrected AGB results. The fitting R
2 of the AGB estimation after scale correction at a resolution of 10 m increased from 0.6226 to 0.6725, and the MBE, RMSE and MAPE were significantly decreased compared with the AGB results without correction. Compared with other similar research, the accuracy was increased [
84,
85]. The fitting R
2 of the AGB estimation at a resolution of 30 m before correction was 0.5910, and it increased to 0.6704 after correction. In contrast, Zhou concluded that the R
2 of AGB estimation only using Landsat-8 was 0.61 [
86]. It was easily found that the correction of the scale effect can effectively improve the accuracy of AGB estimation, and our method presented good performance for scale error correction. Thus, it can be considered as an approach to correct the scale effect and improve the AGB estimation accuracy of coarse-resolution images.
To correct the scaling bias, scholars have developed many methods, such as statistical regression, the Taylor series expansion method, the wavelet fractal method, the fractal method and geostatistical theory [
87]. The geostatistical method is commonly used for the upscaling of AGB over the feature space [
88]. In this study, four geostatistical scale conversion methods, namely bilinear interpolation, the nearest neighbor method, cubic convolution and the Kriging interpolation method, were selected to upscale the AGB estimation from 4 m to 10 m and 30 m spatial resolution.
Figure 10 shows the scatter plot of the relative true value and scale corrected using the geostatistical method for Sentinel-2 (
Figure 10). The R
2 was 0.5981, 0.4354, 0.4445 and 0.6024. In contrast, the AGB results corrected by the Kriging interpolation method showed the best accuracy among these four methods. However, it was still inferior to our method, with R
2 of 0.6797. At the same time, the AGB estimation using the geostatistical scale was biased from the relative true value. The AGB value was overestimated when the AGB true value was small and vice versa. Moreover, the AGB bias was reduced using the method of this study.
In the same way, the corrected AGB values using bilinear interpolation, the nearest neighbor method, cubic convolution and the Kriging interpolation method were also calculated and the accuracy was compared with Landsat-8 AGB estimation. The R
2 values of the four method were 0.5369, 0.4916, 0.5476 and 0.5747, respectively. Among these results, the Kriging interpolation method showed a good capacity for upscaling, with higher accuracy (
Figure 11). However, the results corrected by the Kriging interpolation method still showed lower accuracy compared with the method of this study, with R
2 of 0.6704. The main reason was that a constant AGB value at different scales was selected, and it could be considered as a ruler, which was used to measure the scale error. After this, the scale conversion method with the entropy-weighted index was used to correct the scale error of the coarse-resolution image. Since the information entropy weight index considered the information entropy of the land use type, the heterogeneity of the surface feature could be fully considered. At the same time, this entropy weight index varied pixel by pixel and thus the correction index of the scale error for each pixel could be calculated, realizing the AGB scale error correction with various spatial resolutions.
It should be noted that some uncertainty may have existed in the current research. First, in the sample survey, there were many typical forest type survey sites selected, but the samples were still unable to cover the total research regions, so the number of the samples and the distribution of the survey sites many bring some uncertainty to the AGB estimation described in this paper. Moreover, the measurement error in the field investigation was not evaluated, and this will lead to the uncertainty of the stand aboveground biomass value calculated based on investigated data. Vegetation growth stages and seasonal differences should be considered for optical remote sensing data applications [
89]. Shen et al. found that the vegetation index (VI) introduced large uncertainty in each season, and this affected the AGB estimation results [
90,
91]. In addition, the algorithm itself will have error transmission and introduce the uncertainty of the estimated AGB. All these issues need to be studied in further work.