A Prognostic Symptom Model Incorporating Patient-Reported Symptoms for Transplant-Ineligible Patients with Multiple Myeloma
Simple Summary
Abstract
1. Introduction
2. Methods
2.1. Study Design and Population
2.2. Treatment Exposures
2.3. Data Sources
2.4. Outcomes
2.5. Covariates
2.6. Statistical Analysis
2.6.1. Prediction Model Development
2.6.2. Prediction Model Validation
3. Results
4. Discussion
4.1. Main Findings
4.2. Limitations
5. Conclusions
Supplementary Materials
Author Contributions
Funding
Institutional Review Board Statement
Informed Consent Statement
Data Availability Statement
Acknowledgments
Conflicts of Interest
References
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Variable | Value | Total |
---|---|---|
N = 1535 | ||
Age at index date * | Median (IQR) | 75 (70–80) |
N (%) ≥ 80 years | 387 (25.2) | |
Sex at index date | F | 669 (43.6) |
M | 866 (56.4) | |
Distance ≥ 50 km to nearest cancer center | 296 (20.4) | |
Co-morbidities (5 years prior **) | CHF | 207 (13.5) |
COPD | 79 (5.2) | |
Hypertension | 214 (13.9) | |
Diabetes | 103 (6.71) | |
Myocardial Infarction | 106 (6.9) | |
Previous other cancer (15 years **) | 272 (17.7) | |
Hemoglobin level < 100 g/L *** | 490 (31.9) | |
Platelets < 100 billion/L | 432 (28.1) | |
Neutrophil < 1 billion/L | 143 (9.3) | |
Hospitalization *** | 283 (18.4) | |
ED visit *** | 576 (37.5) | |
Radiation *** | 78 (5.1) | |
Novel drugs *** | 1290 (84.0) | |
Functional score (maximum score in 6 months prior to index) | 0/1 | 955 (62.2) |
2 | 226 (14.7) | |
3/4 | 104 (6.8) | |
Missing | 250 (16.3) |
Baseline Symptom | Score * | Maximum Score in 6 Months Prior to Index N (%) |
---|---|---|
Pain score | 0 | 264 (18.66) |
1–3 | 469 (33.14) | |
4–6 | 395 (27.92) | |
7–10 | 287 (20.28) | |
Tiredness score | 0 | 106 (7.49) |
1–3 | 434 (30.67) | |
4–6 | 474 (33.50) | |
7–10 | 401 (28.34) | |
Depression score | 0 * | 517 (36.54) |
1–3 | 483 (34.13) | |
4–6 | 260 (18.37) | |
7–10 | 155 (10.95) | |
Well-being score | 0 | 138 (9.75) |
1–3 | 476 (33.64) | |
4–6 | 498 (35.19) | |
7–10 | 303 (21.41) |
Variable | Value | Odds Ratio (Lower Limit–Upper Limit) | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Pain | Tiredness | Depression | Well-Being | ||
Baseline age at index date ≥ 80 years (REF = No) | N/A | 1.37 (1.04–1.82) | N/A | 1.48 (1.13–1.95) | |
Baseline sex at index date (REF = M) | F | 1.41 (1.12–1.77) | N/A | N/A | 1.23 (0.97–1.57) |
Baseline hemoglobin level < 100 g/L (REF = no/unknown) | N/A | N/A | 1.28 (0.97–1.69) | N/A | |
Baseline radiation (REF = No) | N/A | N/A | 0.53 (0.30–0.96) | N/A | |
Baseline distance >= 50 km to nearest cancer center at index (REF = No) | 0.78 (0.58–1.04) | N/A | N/A | N/A | |
Functional score (REF = 0/1) | 2 | 1.08 (0.77–1.52) | 1.08(0.75–1.55) | 0.88 (0.61–1.28) | 1.39 (0.97–2.01) |
3/4 | 0.80 (0.50–1.29) | 1.28 (0.72–2.27) | 1.46 (0.89–2.42) | 1.08 (0.64–1.82) | |
Missing | 1.22 (0.88–1.68) | 1.56 (1.11–2.20) | 1.50 (1.05–2.15) | 1.28 (0.92–1.78) | |
Baseline pain score (REF = 0) | 1–3 * | 1.59 (1.09–2.31) | 0.86 (0.61–1.21) | 0.94 (0.60–1.47) | 0.82 (0.58–1.15) |
4–6 | 5.45 (3.71–8.02) | 1.31(0.90–1.91) | 1.39 (0.89–2.19) | 1.37 (0.95–1.99) | |
7–10 | 9.86 (6.30–15.47) | 2.15 (1.34–3.46) | 1.41 (0.86–2.31) | 1.91 (1.22–2.99) | |
Baseline tiredness score (REF = 0) | 1–3 | 1.18 (0.68–2.06) | 2.27 (1.30–3.96) | 0.67 (0.33–1.37) | 1.11 (0.66–1.86) |
4–6 | 1.33 (0.75–2.39) | 6.56 (3.66–11.78) | 1.08 (0.52–2.22) | 2.03 (1.18–3.49) | |
7–10 | 1.35 (0.72–2.50) | 17.34 (9.00–33.42) | 1.14 (0.54–2.43) | 2.74 (1.52–4.95) | |
Baseline depression score (REF = 0) | 1–3 | 1.16 (0.87–1.55) | 1.06 (0.80–1.42) | 2.80 (1.92–4.09) | 1.13 (0.85–1.51) |
4–6 | 1.23 (0.85–1.78) | 1.40 (0.93–2.11) | 9.74 (6.36–14.90) | 1.16 (0.79–1.71) | |
7–10 | 1.63 (1.01–2.64) | 1.29 (0.73–2.26) | 28.07 (15.96–49.38) | 1.81 (1.03–3.18) | |
Baseline well-being score (REF = 0) | 1–3 | 1.02 (0.62–1.68) | 1.18 (0.73–1.88) | 1.03 (0.51–2.05) | 1.30 (0.80–2.09) |
4–6 | 1.64 (0.95–2.81) | 1.57 (0.93–2.63) | 1.24 (0.60–2.56) | 3.78 (2.25–6.35) | |
7–10 | 1.30 (0.72–2.35) | 1.29 (0.72–2.32) | 1.38 (0.64–2.98) | 4.12 (2.30–7.37) |
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Balitsky, A.K.; Sutradhar, R.; Seow, H.; Gayowsky, A.; Visram, A.; Tay, J.; Sandhu, I.; Mian, H. A Prognostic Symptom Model Incorporating Patient-Reported Symptoms for Transplant-Ineligible Patients with Multiple Myeloma. Cancers 2025, 17, 489. https://doi.org/10.3390/cancers17030489
Balitsky AK, Sutradhar R, Seow H, Gayowsky A, Visram A, Tay J, Sandhu I, Mian H. A Prognostic Symptom Model Incorporating Patient-Reported Symptoms for Transplant-Ineligible Patients with Multiple Myeloma. Cancers. 2025; 17(3):489. https://doi.org/10.3390/cancers17030489
Chicago/Turabian StyleBalitsky, Amaris K., Rinku Sutradhar, Hsien Seow, Anastasia Gayowsky, Alissa Visram, Jason Tay, Irwindeep Sandhu, and Hira Mian. 2025. "A Prognostic Symptom Model Incorporating Patient-Reported Symptoms for Transplant-Ineligible Patients with Multiple Myeloma" Cancers 17, no. 3: 489. https://doi.org/10.3390/cancers17030489
APA StyleBalitsky, A. K., Sutradhar, R., Seow, H., Gayowsky, A., Visram, A., Tay, J., Sandhu, I., & Mian, H. (2025). A Prognostic Symptom Model Incorporating Patient-Reported Symptoms for Transplant-Ineligible Patients with Multiple Myeloma. Cancers, 17(3), 489. https://doi.org/10.3390/cancers17030489