Spatial Distribution Characteristics and Driving Factors of Little Giant Enterprises in China’s Megacity Clusters Based on Random Forest and MGWR
Abstract
:1. Introduction
2. Materials and Methods
2.1. Study Area and Data
2.1.1. Study Area Overview
2.1.2. Research Data
2.2. Research Framework
2.3. Methodology
2.3.1. Spatial Autocorrelation
2.3.2. Ripley’s K Function
2.3.3. Kernel Density Analysis
2.3.4. Random Forest Regression Model
2.3.5. Multi-Scale Geographically Weighted Regression
3. Results
3.1. Spatial Distribution Characteristics of LGEs in the YRD and PRD
3.1.1. Overall Clustering Characteristics of LGEs in the YRD and PRD
3.1.2. Characteristics of the Spatial Distribution of LGEs in the YRD and PRD
3.2. Importance Analysis of Influencing Factors of LGEs Based on RF
3.3. LGEs and Spatial Heterogeneity of Influencing Factors
- (1)
- Natural geographic and location
- (2)
- Industrial development basis
- (3)
- External supporting conditions
- (4)
- Scientific research and innovation conditions
- (5)
- Land Use and Cost
- (6)
- Transportation accessibility
4. Discussion and Conclusions
4.1. Discussion
4.2. Conclusions
- (1)
- In terms of spatial distribution characteristics, LGEs show significant spatial agglomeration in the YRD and the PRD. The peak of agglomeration in the YRD occurs at 65 km, forming a “one-axis-three-core” distribution pattern centered around Shanghai and the “Suzhou-Wuxi-Changzhou” area, with Nanjing, Hangzhou, and Ningbo as core cities. In contrast, in the PRD, the clustering peak occurs at 30 km, characterized by a “single axial” distribution pattern along the line from Shenzhen to Guangzhou. The clustering intensity in the PRD is relatively higher compared to the YRD.
- (2)
- In terms of industrial distribution characteristics, the YRD is dominated by traditional manufacturing industries, supplemented by high-tech service industries, both sectors being prominent. In contrast, the PRD has a balanced development of high-tech manufacturing and service industries. The clustering locations and characteristics of enterprises in different industries exhibit some variations, but overall, they show a “multi-cluster” feature. The YRD is characterized by multi-patch distribution, while the PRD is characterized by point-polar distribution.
- (3)
- Regarding the main factors influencing the clustering of LGEs in the YRD and PRD, their spatial distribution is influenced by similar factors. These factors primarily include industrial structure, industrial platforms, logistics level, proportion of government fiscal expenditure, dependence on foreign trade, human capital level, and altitude. Among these, industrial structure, industrial platforms, and logistics level exert the greatest influence. In the YRD, the presence of multiple cores is significant, with a greater emphasis on land use costs and human capital. Conversely, in the PRD, there is a stronger focus on transportation accessibility.
- (4)
- There are scale effect differences in the role of factors influencing the spatial distribution of LGEs in the YRD and PRD regions. Among the seven factors that have a significant impact on the agglomeration of LGEs, industrial platforms, logistics level, foreign trade dependence, and human capital level all have a positive impact, while government financial expenditure has a negative impact. Although the impact direction of industrial structure is opposite in the two regions, its overall impact pattern remains consistent. The positive or negative impact of natural geographical location differs between the two regions, but it is not a primary factor.
Author Contributions
Funding
Data Availability Statement
Acknowledgments
Conflicts of Interest
Appendix A
Industry Classification | Specific Industry Names and Codes |
---|---|
High-tech Service Industry | Internet Services (64); Software and IT Services (65); Research and Experimental Development (73); Professional Technical Services (74); Technology Transfer and Application Services (75) |
High-tech Manufacturing Industry | Chemical Raw Materials and Chemical Products Manufacturing (26); Pharmaceutical Manufacturing (27); Chemical Fiber Manufacturing (28); Computer, Communication, and Other Electronic Equipment Manufacturing (39); Instrument and Apparatus Manufacturing (40); Ecological Protection and Environmental Governance (77) |
Food and Textile Industry | Processing of Food from Agricultural Products (13); Food Manufacturing (14); Manufacture of Beverages, Alcoholic Drinks and Refined Tea (15); Tobacco Products Industry (16); Textile Industry (17); Manufacture of Textile Wearing Apparel, and Accessories (18); Leather, Fur, Feather (Plume), and Related Products, and Footwear Manufacturing (19); Processing of Wood and Manufacture of Products of Wood, Bamboo, Rattan, Palm, and Straw (20); Furniture Manufacturing (21); Paper and Paper Products Industry (22); Printing and Reproduction of Recorded Media (23); Manufacture of Articles for Culture, Education, Arts and Crafts, Sports and Entertainment (24); Rubber and Plastics Products Industry (29); Other Manufacturing (41) |
Mining and Processing Industry | Nonferrous Metal Mining and Dressing (09); Non-metallic Mineral Mining and Dressing (10); Petroleum, Coal, and Other Fuel Processing Industry; Non-metallic Mineral Products Industry (25); Ferrous Metal Smelting and Rolling Processing Industry (31); Nonferrous Metal Smelting and Rolling Processing Industry (32) |
Machinery and Equipment Manufacturing | General Equipment Manufacturing (34); Special Equipment Manufacturing (35); Automobile Manufacturing (36); Manufacture of Railways, Ships, Aerospace, and Other Transport Equipment (37); Electrical Machinery and Equipment Manufacturing (38); Comprehensive Utilization of Waste Resources (42); Repair of Metal Products, Machinery, and Equipment (43); Metal Products Industry (33) |
Wholesale and Retail Trade | Wholesale Trade (51); Retail Trade (52) |
Industrial Support Service | Electricity and Heat Production and Supply (44); Residential Building Construction (47); Civil Engineering Construction (48); Building Installation Services (49); Road Transport (54); Capital Market Services (67); Leasing Services (71); Business Services (72) |
Others | Agriculture (01); Livestock Farming (03); Other Mining Industries (12); Water Production and Supply (46); Building Decoration and Other Construction (50); Multimodal Transport and Transport Agency Services (58); Telecommunications and Satellite Transmission Services (63); Real Estate (70); Water Management (76); Public Facility Management (78); Land Management (79); Residential Services (80); Vehicle, Electronics, and Consumer Goods Repair (81); Other Services (82); Health Services (84) |
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Name of Megalopolis | Province | Cities Included |
---|---|---|
Yangtze River Delta Cities | Shanghai | Shanghai |
Jiangsu | Nanjing, Suzhou, Wuxi, Changzhou, Zhenjiang, Yangzhou, Taizhou, Nantong | |
Zhejiang | Hangzhou, Ningbo, Huzhou, Jiaxing, Shaoxing, Zhoushan | |
Pearl River Delta Cities | Guangdong | Shenzhen, Guangzhou, Foshan, Zhongshan Zhuhai, Dongguan, Huizhou, Zhaoqing, Jiangmen |
Impact (Level 1) Dimension | Influencing Factors | Variable Description | Data Source |
---|---|---|---|
Natural geography and location | Altitude | Average altitude within the grid | NESSDC |
Hydrophilism | Logarithm of the distance to the nearest water body | OSM | |
Central area | Distance to Urban Built-up Area | Esri_Land_Cover | |
Transportation accessibility | Short-distance transport accessibility | Number of bus stops within the grid | AMAP |
Instant transportation accessibility | Number of subway stations in the grid | AMAP | |
Medium- and long-distance transportation accessibility | Distance from the center of the grid to the nearest toll station | AMAP | |
Road network density | Logarithm of the total length of the road network within the grid | OSM | |
Land use and cost | Degree of land use | Proportion of urban construction land area in the grid | RESDC |
New home housing costs | Average price of new houses in the grid | Juhui Data Network | |
Second-hand housing costs | Average price of second-hand houses in the grid | Juhui Data Network | |
Average listing price of the community | Average price of new houses in the grid | Anjuke | |
Living convenience | Residential convenience | Number of residential communities within the grid | AMAP |
Vehicle carrying capacity | Number of parking lots within the grid | AMAP | |
Scientific research and innovation conditions | Collaborative innovation basis | Number of higher education institutions within the grid | AMAP |
Number of research institutions within the grid | AMAP | ||
Human capital level | Number of undergraduate and college students/Total population of the region | Local Statistical Yearbook | |
Industrial development basis | Industrial platforms | Number of industrial parks within the grid | AMAP |
Industrial structure | Proportion of the added value of the secondary and tertiary industries to the regional GDP | Local Statistical Yearbook | |
Labor market | Average population density within the grid | Landscan Global Population Database | |
External supporting conditions | Logistics level | Road freight volume/Area of the administrative district | Local Statistical Yearbook |
Accessibility of credit resources | Number of banks in the grid | AMAP | |
Government fiscal expenditure ratio | Proportion of general public budget expenditure to regional GDP | Local Statistical Yearbook | |
Foreign trade dependency | Exports volume/GDP | Local Statistical Yearbook | |
Development zone policies | Number of development zones within the grid | Official websites of the provincial and municipal departments of industry and technology |
Region Types | Z-Value | p-Value |
---|---|---|
YRD | 73.43 | 0.000 |
PRD | 44.55 | 0.000 |
Region Types | Data Types | R2 | SE | p-Value |
---|---|---|---|---|
YRD | Training data | 0.983 | 0.002 | 0.000 |
Validation data | 0.910 | 0.012 | 0.000 | |
PRD | Training data | 0.981 | 0.003 | 0.000 |
Validation data | 0.885 | 0.018 | 0.000 |
Impact Dimension | Variable | Bandwidth (% of Extent) | Significance (% of Features) | Coefficient | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mean | Std.Dev. | Min | Max | ||||
Natural geography and location | Altitude | 53.15 (7.21) | 896 (18.01) | −0.6163 | 1.5723 | −7.1835 | 2.9775 |
Land use and cost | Degree of land use | 53.15 (7.21) | 1736 (34.89) | 0.0048 | 0.0432 | −0.1312 | 0.102 |
Average listing price of the community | 53.15 (7.21) | 2026 (40.72) | 0.062 | 0.0822 | −0.1572 | 0.3113 | |
Scientific research and innovation conditions | Human capital level | 53.15 (7.21) | 3520 (70.75) | 0.0656 | 0.2519 | −0.7997 | 1.6185 |
Industrial development basis | Industrial platforms | 53.15 (7.21) | 1975 (39.70) | 0.1024 | 0.1505 | −0.0472 | 0.59 |
Industrial structure | 53.15 (7.21) | 2482 (49.89) | −0.0176 | 0.0482 | −0.1717 | 0.1552 | |
Labor market | 737.05 (100) | 4975 (100.00) | 0.0113 | 0.0001 | 0.0111 | 0.0114 | |
External supporting condition | logistics level | 53.15 (7.21) | 4416 (88.76) | 0.1877 | 0.1543 | −0.1989 | 0.5953 |
Government fiscal expenditure ratio | 53.15 (7.21) | 3004 (60.38) | −0.0404 | 0.1037 | −0.44 | 0.1827 | |
Foreign trade dependency | 53.15 (7.21) | 3982 (80.04) | 0.0992 | 0.0861 | −0.4189 | 0.2924 |
Impact Dimension | Variable | Bandwidth (% of Extent) | Significance (% of Features) | Coefficient | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mean | Std.Dev. | Min | Max | ||||
Natural geography and location | Altitude | 50.25 (9.70) | 357 (14.23) | 0.0195 | 0.0575 | −0.3114 | 0.222 |
Transportation accessibility | Instant transportation accessibility | 202.847 (39.16) | 31 (1.24) | −0.0043 | 0.0045 | −0.0224 | 0.0024 |
Medium and long-distance transportation accessibility | 50.25 (9.70) | 927 (36.96) | −0.1288 | 0.1986 | −1.1846 | 0.0141 | |
Land use and cost | Degree of land use | 518 (100. 00) | 0 (0.00) | −0.0051 | 0.0001 | −0.0052 | −0.0049 |
Scientific research and innovation conditions | Human capital level | 50.25 (9.70) | 1151 (45.89) | 0.0129 | 0.1295 | −0.2892 | 0.301 |
Industrial development basis | Industrial platforms | 104.73 (20.22) | 2194 (87.48) | 0.0821 | 0.0309 | 0.0273 | 0.1448 |
Industrial structure | 50.25 (9.70) | 771 (30.74) | 0.0496 | 0.1396 | −0.1058 | 0.7354 | |
External supporting condition | Logistics level | 50.25 (9.70) | 2508 (100.00) | 0.2405 | 0.1372 | 0.0602 | 0.713 |
Government fiscal expenditure ratio | 50.25 (9.70) | 1133 (45.18) | −0.0255 | 0.1524 | −0.7095 | 0.3453 | |
Foreign trade dependency | 50.25 (9.70) | 1621 (64.63) | 0.0956 | 0.0862 | 0.1064 | 0.2303 |
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Duan, J.; Zhao, Z.; Xu, Y.; You, X.; Yang, F.; Chen, G. Spatial Distribution Characteristics and Driving Factors of Little Giant Enterprises in China’s Megacity Clusters Based on Random Forest and MGWR. Land 2024, 13, 1105. https://doi.org/10.3390/land13071105
Duan J, Zhao Z, Xu Y, You X, Yang F, Chen G. Spatial Distribution Characteristics and Driving Factors of Little Giant Enterprises in China’s Megacity Clusters Based on Random Forest and MGWR. Land. 2024; 13(7):1105. https://doi.org/10.3390/land13071105
Chicago/Turabian StyleDuan, Jianshu, Zhengxu Zhao, Youheng Xu, Xiangting You, Feifan Yang, and Gang Chen. 2024. "Spatial Distribution Characteristics and Driving Factors of Little Giant Enterprises in China’s Megacity Clusters Based on Random Forest and MGWR" Land 13, no. 7: 1105. https://doi.org/10.3390/land13071105
APA StyleDuan, J., Zhao, Z., Xu, Y., You, X., Yang, F., & Chen, G. (2024). Spatial Distribution Characteristics and Driving Factors of Little Giant Enterprises in China’s Megacity Clusters Based on Random Forest and MGWR. Land, 13(7), 1105. https://doi.org/10.3390/land13071105