Comparing Bayesian and Maximum Likelihood Predictors in Structural Equation Modeling of Children’s Lifestyle Index
Abstract
:1. Introduction
- First moment properties of raw individual observations are mainly used in statistical techniques, thus making the techniques much simpler than second moment properties of the sample covariance matrix. Hence, B-SEM is easier to apply in more complex states.
- Direct latent variable estimation is possible, which simplifies the process of obtaining factor score estimates compared to classical regression methods.
- As manifest variables are directly modeled with their latent variables using familiar regression functions, B-SEM provides a more direct interpretation. It can also use common methods of regression modeling, such as residual and outlier analyses in conducting statistical analysis.
2. Theoretical Background of Maximum Likelihood-Structural Equation Modeling (ML-SEM) and Bayesian-SEM (B-SEM)
2.1. ML-SEM
- (a)
- is a matrix that represents factor loadings from modeling the regressions of on .
- (b)
- is a vector with normal distribution and is representative of the constructs (latent variables). are identically independent, have no correlation with , and have normal distribution . To modify the exogenous and endogenous latent variables’ association, is partitioned into , where and are and vector variables, respectively, with latent structures.
- (c)
- is a random vector with distribution that represents the error measurement.
- (a)
- is an matrix of structural parameters representing the relationships among endogenous latent variables. This matrix is assumed to have zeroes in the diagonal elements.
- (b)
- is an matrix of regression parameters relating both exogenous and endogenous latent variables, and is a vector of disturbances.
- (c)
- is an error term presumed to have distribution, where is a diagonal covariance matrix and this vector is uncorrelated with .
2.2. B-SEM
- is the number of categories for ;
- and represent the threshold levels associated with .
- is the inverse standardized normal distribution;
- is the total number of cases;
- is the number of cases in the th category.
2.3. Modeling Description
3. Materials and Methods
3.1. Data Structure
3.2. Ethics Statement
3.3. Sampling
4. Results
- Prior I: Unknown loadings in are all made equal to 0.35, and the measures corresponding to are .
- Prior II: The hyperparameter values are considered half of the values in prior I.
- Prior III: The hyperparameter values are considered a quarter of the values in prior I.
- Prior IV: The hyperparameter values are considered double the values in prior I.
- is the coefficient of parental socioeconomic status indicator;
- is the coefficient of household food security indicator;
- is the coefficient of parental lifestyle indicator.
5. Discussion
Acknowledgments
Author Contributions
Conflicts of Interest
References
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Observation Number | Mahalanobis D-Squared | p1 | p2 |
---|---|---|---|
36 | 22.56 | 0.0016 | 0.0084 |
88 | 20.31 | 0.0067 | 0.0091 |
92 | 18.92 | 0.0092 | 0.0104 |
134 | 36.58 | 0.0116 | 0.0124 |
228 | 32.71 | 0.0231 | 0.0178 |
256 | 30.08 | 0.0854 | 0.0364 |
372 | 28.19 | 0.0932 | 0.0392 |
411 | 25.44 | 0.1589 | 0.0421 |
444 | 19.76 | 0.2876 | 0.0482 |
Characteristics | Percentage | Characteristics | Percentage |
---|---|---|---|
Gender: | Average hours per day of using technology: | ||
Boy | 45.60% | Less than one hour per day | 13.20% |
Girl | 54.40% | 1 to 2 h per day | 15.70% |
School grades: | 3 to 4 h per day | 40.70% | |
Grade 1 | 14.20% | More than 4 h per day | 30.70% |
Grade 2 | 16.80% | Physical activities in a week: | |
Grade 3 | 16.60% | None | 44.20% |
Grade 4 | 16.30% | 1 or 2 times per week | 28.40% |
Grade 5 | 17.30% | 3 or 4 times per week | 19.70% |
Grade 6 | 18.80% | More than 4 times per week | 7.70% |
Study at home: | Average sleeping hours in a day: | ||
Less than one hour per day | 21.10% | Less than 7 h per day | 5.80% |
1 to 2 h per day | 29.40% | Between 7 and 8 h per day | 22.20% |
3 to 4 h per day | 33.10% | Between 8 and 9 h per day | 56.30% |
More than 4 h per day | 16.40% | More than 9 h per day | 15.70% |
Characteristics | Father (%) | Mother (%) | Characteristics | Father (%) | Mother (%) |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Age: | Smoking Habit: | ||||
Less than or equal 30 years old | 18.5% | 21.6% | Smoker | 66.6% | 23.8% |
Between 31and 40 years old | 36.2% | 25.1% | Quitted | 15.7% | 13.7% |
Between 41 and 50 years old | 22.1% | 28.4% | Non-smoker | 17.7% | 62.5% |
More than 50 years old | 23.2% | 24.9% | Physical exercise: | ||
Education: | None | 54.4% | 33.6% | ||
Less than High School | 11.3% | 9.5% | 1 or 2 times in a week | 27.7% | 38.7% |
High school | 19.8% | 6.7% | 3 or 4 times per week | 14.8% | 11.2% |
Diploma | 37.7% | 41.9% | More than 4 times in a week | 3.1% | 16.5% |
Bachelor | 29.1% | 33.1% | Working hours in a day: | ||
Master or PhD | 2.1% | 8.8% | More than 14 hours per day | 26.7% | 8.2% |
Income: | 9–14 hours per day | 62.8% | 73.5% | ||
Less than RMB2000 per month | 11.7% | 20.6% | Less than 9 hours per day | 10.5% | 18.3% |
RMB2001-RMB3000 per month | 22.6% | 24.5% | Average sleeping hours in a day: | ||
RMB3001-RMB4000 per month | 33.9% | 22.1% | Less than 7 hours per day | 55.4% | 61.9% |
RMB4001-RMB5000 per month | 19.9% | 17.3% | Between 7 to 8 hours per day | 27.9% | 30.0% |
More than RMB5000 per month | 11.9% | 15.5% | More than 8 hours per day | 16.7% | 8.1% |
Work experience: | Drinking Alcohol Habit: | ||||
No work experience | 0.00% | 0.00% | Less than one time per month | 3.2% | 10.6% |
Less than 5 years | 7.4% | 19.2% | 1 time per month | 4.5% | 22.7% |
5-10 years | 12.9% | 21.7% | 2 to 3 times per month | 16.1% | 32.1% |
11-15 years | 36.6% | 26.6% | 1 time per week | 16.7% | 28.2% |
16-20 years | 32.8% | 23.6% | 2 to 3 times per week | 39.5% | 6.4% |
More than 20 years | 10.3% | 8.9% | 4 to 6 times per week | 18.7% | 0.00% |
Every day | 1.3% | 0.00% |
Parameter Description | Factor Loading |
---|---|
Parental Socioeconomic | |
Mother’s age | 0.43 |
Father’s age | 0.38 |
Mother’s education | 0.74 |
Father’s education | 0.39 |
Mother’s income | 0.43 |
Father’s income | 0.68 |
Mother’s work experience | 0.06 |
Father’s work experience | 0.05 |
Parents’ marriage length | 0.82 |
Parental Lifestyle | |
Mother’s drinking alcohol | 0.36 |
Father’s drinking alcohol | 0.73 |
Mother’s smoking habit | 0.48 |
Father’s smoking habit | 0.41 |
Mother’s physical exercises | 0.21 |
Father’s physical exercises | 0.09 |
Mother’s working hours | 0.76 |
Father’s working hours | 0.88 |
Mother’s average sleeping hours | 0.83 |
Father’s average sleeping hours | 0.71 |
Household Food Security | |
Worry about running out of food | 0.73 |
Do not have money: household | 0.82 |
Cannot afford to eat balanced meals: household | 0.93 |
Cut down food portions: household | 0.12 |
Do not eat the whole day: adults | 0.98 |
Do not have money: children | 0.04 |
Cannot afford to eat balanced meals: children | 0.25 |
Cannot afford enough food: children | 0.82 |
Skip a meal: children | 0.24 |
Children’s Lifestyle | |
Technology use | 0.92 |
Hours of study at home | 0.73 |
Child’s physical exercise | 0.49 |
Child’s sleep amount | 0.68 |
School grade | 0.46 |
Prior I | Prior II | Prior III | Prior IV | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Parameter | Estimate | STD | Estimate | STD | Estimate | STD | Estimate | STD |
θ1 | 0.561 | 0.021 | 0.555 | 0.033 | 0.549 | 0.069 | 0.584 | 0.121 |
θ2 | 0.493 | 0.088 | 0.461 | 0.097 | 0.452 | 0.102 | 0.503 | 0.201 |
θ3 | 0.203 | 0.096 | 0.192 | 0.051 | 0.180 | 0.091 | 0.221 | 0.138 |
θ13 | 0.739 | 0.108 | 0.721 | 0.101 | 0.598 | 0.027 | 0.751 | 0.102 |
θ16 | 0.683 | 0.112 | 0.677 | 0.109 | 0.655 | 0.111 | 0.686 | 0.138 |
θ19 | 0.822 | 0.087 | 0.816 | 0.078 | 0.801 | 0.098 | 0.852 | 0.203 |
θ22 | 0.733 | 0.039 | 0.730 | 0.035 | 0.722 | 0.069 | 0.763 | 0.093 |
θ27 | 0.763 | 0.109 | 0.755 | 0.099 | 0.743 | 0.106 | 0.771 | 0.126 |
θ28 | 0.883 | 0.119 | 0.844 | 0.081 | 0.822 | 0.077 | 0.896 | 0.119 |
θ29 | 0.827 | 0.044 | 0.814 | 0.041 | 0.759 | 0.036 | 0.834 | 0.66 |
θ210 | 0.711 | 0.066 | 0.697 | 0.057 | 0.666 | 0.051 | 0.723 | 0.107 |
θ31 | 0.734 | 0.029 | 0.726 | 0.026 | 0.669 | 0.039 | 0.742 | 0.127 |
θ32 | 0.822 | 0.071 | 0.816 | 0.064 | 0.798 | 0.061 | 0.831 | 0.104 |
θ33 | 0.928 | 0.191 | 0.909 | 0.161 | 0.852 | 0.170 | 0.832 | 0.206 |
θ35 | 0.981 | 0.058 | 0.921 | 0.052 | 0.832 | 0.048 | 0.883 | 0.067 |
θ38 | 0.816 | 0.161 | 0.799 | 0.152 | 0.764 | 0.143 | 0.802 | 0.188 |
Relation | Estimated Coefficients | |
---|---|---|
ML-SEM | B-SEM | |
Parental socioeconomic → Children’s life style | 0.549 * | 0.561 * |
Household food security → Children’s life style | 0.198 | 0.203 |
Parental lifestyle → Children’s life style | 0.488 * | 0.493 * |
Parental socioeconomic ↔ Parental lifestyle | 0.508 * | 0.513 * |
Parental socioeconomic ↔ Household food security | 0.519 * | 0.521 * |
Household food security ↔ Parental lifestyle | 0.611 * | 0.637 * |
Name of Index | Formula | ML-SEM Value | B-SEM Value |
---|---|---|---|
MAPE | 0.094 | 0.088 | |
RMSE | 0.091 | 0.051 | |
MSE | 0.128 | 0.105 | |
R2 | 0.601 | 0.761 |
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Radzi, C.W.J.b.W.M.; Hui, H.; Salarzadeh Jenatabadi, H. Comparing Bayesian and Maximum Likelihood Predictors in Structural Equation Modeling of Children’s Lifestyle Index. Symmetry 2016, 8, 141. https://doi.org/10.3390/sym8120141
Radzi CWJbWM, Hui H, Salarzadeh Jenatabadi H. Comparing Bayesian and Maximum Likelihood Predictors in Structural Equation Modeling of Children’s Lifestyle Index. Symmetry. 2016; 8(12):141. https://doi.org/10.3390/sym8120141
Chicago/Turabian StyleRadzi, Che Wan Jasimah bt Wan Mohamed, Huang Hui, and Hashem Salarzadeh Jenatabadi. 2016. "Comparing Bayesian and Maximum Likelihood Predictors in Structural Equation Modeling of Children’s Lifestyle Index" Symmetry 8, no. 12: 141. https://doi.org/10.3390/sym8120141
APA StyleRadzi, C. W. J. b. W. M., Hui, H., & Salarzadeh Jenatabadi, H. (2016). Comparing Bayesian and Maximum Likelihood Predictors in Structural Equation Modeling of Children’s Lifestyle Index. Symmetry, 8(12), 141. https://doi.org/10.3390/sym8120141