Perspectives on Snow Avalanche Dynamics Research
Abstract
:1. Why a Special Issue on Snow Avalanche Dynamics?
- “avalanche geography”, comprising the connection between geographic and climatic variables and the probability and severity of avalanching, the geomorphologic effects of avalanches, and the socio-economic aspects of avalanche hazard,
- avalanche formation, including the sequence of processes leading to fracture, its probability under given conditions, and the extent and depth of the released snow slab, and
- avalanche dynamics, including the study of flow regimes, density, velocity, snow entrainment and deposition as well as the interaction of avalanches with obstacles.
- How can one estimate the release probability in a given slope with given statistical properties of the climate (distributions of temperature, precipitation and wind)? How do the release area and fracture depth vary with the return period and climatic conditions?
- What are the physical mechanisms that allow some snow avalanches to attain very long run-out? How likely are the conditions under which such flows can occur?
- What are the mechanisms responsible for snow entrainment and deposition, and how can they be modeled adequately?
- How can one compute the pressure distribution on a building hit by a snow avalanche?
- How can avalanche activity be monitored, reliably and affordably, in near-real-time and over large areas?
2. The Underrated Potential of Field Observations
3. Avalanche Experiments—In Large Sites, Small Sites or the Laboratory?
4. The Open Theoretical Questions
5. How to Bring All Advances Together for Avalanche Hazard Mitigation?
- Seismic methods are promising for surveying avalanche activity (item 5) and are in many respects complementary to satellite- or aircraft-based imaging. The road towards an operative seismic real-time monitoring network is full of challenges, but the paper [16] represents one piece in the puzzle. For recent related but complementary work, also see [48].
- In this Special Issue, only [41] explores the problem of flow regimes (item 2), but much more work is needed to arrive at a practical tool. The observational papers [2,3,4] highlight the challenges and provide opportunities for model validation. The latter task is non-trivial, however; it is addressed in [6].
- With regard to erosion and entrainment (item 3), several of the entrainment models summarized in the review [20] are worth a fresh look in view of recent experimental data on avalanche mass balance. In [23], avenues for improving the erosion model of [22] and two conceptually related, parameter-free entrainment models are outlined. The paper [42] convincingly shows that realistic back-calculations of several avalanche events with the same parameter set require modeling of both entrainment and deposition.
- There is an evident capability gap when it comes to modeling the impact pressure distribution on obstacles with complex shapes. The pioneering work of [49] and the more recent attempt of [50] need to be developed further into a tool for practical work. None of the papers in this Special Issue address this need, but the experimental results reported in [13] and the observations in [2,3,4,5] may provide opportunities for validating a future model.
Author Contributions
Funding
Acknowledgments
Conflicts of Interest
References
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Nishimura, K.; Barpi, F.; Issler, D. Perspectives on Snow Avalanche Dynamics Research. Geosciences 2021, 11, 57. https://doi.org/10.3390/geosciences11020057
Nishimura K, Barpi F, Issler D. Perspectives on Snow Avalanche Dynamics Research. Geosciences. 2021; 11(2):57. https://doi.org/10.3390/geosciences11020057
Chicago/Turabian StyleNishimura, Kouichi, Fabrizio Barpi, and Dieter Issler. 2021. "Perspectives on Snow Avalanche Dynamics Research" Geosciences 11, no. 2: 57. https://doi.org/10.3390/geosciences11020057
APA StyleNishimura, K., Barpi, F., & Issler, D. (2021). Perspectives on Snow Avalanche Dynamics Research. Geosciences, 11(2), 57. https://doi.org/10.3390/geosciences11020057