Cost–Benefit Analysis and Risk Assessment for Mining Activities in Terms of Circular Economy and Their Environmental Impact
Abstract
:1. Introduction
2. Environmental Pollution Mechanism—Situation Analysis
3. Methodology of Metal Recovery by Mining Tailings
- ➢
- Chemical and microbial/bacterial reagents mass–flow ratio;
- ➢
- Energy consumption and required equipment.
4. Case Study Scenario on Metal Recovery by Mining Tailings
5. Overview of CBA
5.1. Main Steps of CBA
- Description of the Context: This step describes the social, economic, and political background of the local country where the project will occur. So, it is necessary to mention the socioeconomic situation (e.g., GDP growth/degrowth, demographic conditions, etc.), the existing economic policy, the operation activities development, and the flexibility of the legislation policy.
- Objectives Definition: By the “Description of the Context”, the effects of the project on the local society, economy, and environment are identified for analysis. Furthermore, evidence of the project’s benefits to local society is mandatory. These benefits have to meet the requirements of current legislation.
- Project Identification: The project identification consists of (a) physical equipment (human resources, machinery, etc.) that is going to be used and (b) the organization that will be responsible for quality control in the project. These factors ensure the operation’s efficiency in an environmentally friendly mode.
- Technical and Environmental Sustainability: This step includes the following components: (a) a strategic analysis in which the reasons for approving each business decision are mentioned; (b) required job positions for implementing the project’s phases; (c) human resources and responsibilities; (d) environmental protection plan during work activities; (e) total project management chronodiagram (considering milestones, significant tasks, critical pathways, etc.); (f) a whole cost estimation based on the previous schedule.
- Financial Analysis: Financial analysis includes the following components: (a) the project’s profitability to its owner and administration; (b) financial sustainability projections, according to positive economic balance maintenance, considering productivity and procurement costs (e.g., cost of used equipment, job salaries, cost of possible mistakes, etc.).
- Economic Analysis: The results from the financial analysis are evaluated, and more sustainable mechanisms are implemented to reduce projected financial losses. Based on the previous financial assessment, this step reduces indirect taxes and general financial burdens by alternative operational procedures.
- Risk Assessment: Risk assessment considers a combination of the project’s probabilistic analysis, quality control analysis, and hazard analysis. Thus, it contributes positively to identifying the critical tasks that may negatively impact a project’s development and a risk prevention plan (RPP) is formulated accordingly.
5.2. Major CBA’s Subjects of Study
- 1.
- Cost of Opportunities: Opportunity cost (CO) invests the loss of potential gain from other alternative solutions when one is characterized as the ideal solution. Often, approved business decisions—which have been chosen according to the financial growth rationale—may negatively impact the whole business plan because of other parameters that have not been considered. The ideal project solution has to adopt the Q-C-T (quality–cost–time) pattern.
- 2.
- Long-Term Perspective: Long-term perspective (LTP) comprises 10–30 years of project work activities. In this task of the CBA, the value of future costs and benefits is estimated, taking into consideration all of the possible effects of hazards on the project’s life. So, the identification of hazards is mandatory. Thus, the CBA evaluates the hazards and marks them as approved or unapproved; by this evaluation, the project’s critical pathway is extracted.
- 3.
- Economic Performance Calculation: Project objectives have monetary value (positive for benefits and negative for costs). The CBA is based on these values, assessing the effectiveness of each objective, respectively. This assessment characterizes the total project’s performance as beneficial or not, in accordance with economic net present value (ENPV) and economic rate of return (ERR) indicators.
- 4.
- Microeconomic Estimation: Each project, in addition to its environmental or financial impact, has a social impact. As a pre-operation microeconomic study, the CBA has to determine and calculate economic performance factors on this path. Direct environmental and financial effects are taken into consideration by the ENPV; otherwise, indirect effects, such as social effects (e.g., operation approval or disapproval for the whole area population, problems in human resources, etc.), have to be reduced to the lowest amount. Through the elimination of indirect effects for the future, a better-modeled analysis is achieved.
- 5.
- Incremental Assessment: Incremental assessment (IA) compares two possible scenarios according to the project’s activities. The first scenario includes implementing mechanisms, procedures, or environmental safety measures (e.g., equipment to be used, job positions, etc.) according to the legislation and their costs/benefits. The second scenario is described through risk approval and its possible penalty cost. Thus, each scenario is assessed by ENPV, ERR, and total CBA. In this comparison, mathematical models are applied to obtain each scenario’s efficiency determination. According to the IA, a cash-flow analysis can be yielded for each applicable scenario, especially when perpetual mechanisms (recovery/recycling mechanisms in circular economy) show low ERR indicators.
6. Methodology and Process of CBA
- Objective definition;
- Scope definition;
- Project impacts/monetary evaluation;
- Identification and responsibilities/work sharing among involved stakeholders;
- Financial assessment based on project impacts evaluation;
- Approval or non-approval of operational activities;
- Total sensitivity analysis.
7. Implementation of the CBA in Industrial-Scale Mining Waste Management
7.1. Data Criterions
7.2. Parts of the CBA’s Database
- A volume of recovered metals is produced from mining and is left at waste disposal sites. This will be compared with the corresponding volume of ore produced from primary extraction.
- The recovered product’s chemical composition (strategy metals, precious metals, rare earth elements concentration, etc.) will be compared with its primary metal extractive product.
- The recovered product’s metal degrees will be compared with those of primary metal extracted raw material.
7.3. Variables of CBA
- ➢
- Total investment cost (TIC): TIC includes (1) the consumption and costs of chemical reagents; (2) the cost and consumption of energy; (3) the costs of equipment installation; (4) the maintenance costs of equipment. All these parameters have been calculated, including taxes.
- ➢
- Total mining tailings capacity and beneficial materials: Information is given by data criterion 1.
- ➢
- Selling price of recovered materials (SP) and ENPV indicator: SP and ENPV have been combined into the ERR indicator.
- ➢
- Long-term perspective risk: The LTP indicator evaluates the benefits (through the minimization of (a) environmental pollution hazards, (b) environmental legislation non-conformity penalty costs, and (c) environmental rehabilitation cost) to the total investment cost of recovery.
CBA = f(LTP, ERR)
CBAn = 0.5 ∗ (LTPn + ERRn), n: Year (1 − n)
- Long-Term Perspective Risk
- Economic Rate of Return (ERR)
- Chemical reagents’ consumption and their cost (CRC): The CRC can be obtained through multiplying the number of working days per year (N) by the total daily cost. The total daily cost (TDC) is equal to the sum of the daily costs per stage for each reagent. The daily cost of reagents per stage is calculated by the total reagents’ mass (TRM), multiplied by its cost. Reagents mass is proportional to the daily capacity of wastes per stage and the required concentration of acid/catalyst in the dissolution.
- 2.
- Energy consumption and its cost: According to European Union reports, the required energy consumption (EC) per mining tailing ton is estimated to be 0.06 MWh/t [48]. Due to the higher price of electricity than natural gas, energy consumption should be covered 40% by primary electrical energy and 60% by secondary electrical energy provided by multipliers, which transitions natural gas energy to electrical energy.
- 3.
- Cost of equipment primary installation: According to [55,56], the total cost of installation per chemical reactor with a ratio of diameter/height = 0.5. Its electrical–mechanical equipment is estimated to have a standard price of EUR 170.000. This price is multiplied by the number of reactors to obtain the total installation cost (TCI).
- 4.
- Maintenance Cost of Equipment: According to [54,56], the maintenance cost of the used equipment (MCE) is proportional to the annual treated tailings mass. In addition, this cost price is also relevant to the total installation cost. There is a variety of equipment maintenance cost–primary installation cost ratios. This ratio has a range between 17 and 23%. Therefore, it is taken into account that the estimated maintenance cost would be approximately equal to 20% of the installation cost.
- Beneficial value: The total beneficial value is the sum of the selling price of each metal multiplied by the corresponding mass of the metal. The following mathematical type describes the beneficial value.
- 2.
- Economic net present value: The ENPV is the sum of the selling price of each metal multiplied by the corresponding mass of the metal. The following mathematical type describes ENPV.
8. Discussion
9. Conclusions
- (1)
- The nature of chemicals that could be used;
- (2)
- The layout of the energy provision system;
- (3)
- The cost of maintenance;
- (4)
- The cost for the primary installation of the industrial equipment.
- (1)
- Technical parameters (tailings mass, the operational cost of recovery, the chemical process of the tailings, efficiency of the chemical reagents that will be used, operating cost, etc.);
- (2)
- The costs of these parameters;
- (3)
- The negative costs for non-compliance with environmental legislative requirements through the LTP index;
- (4)
- The potential benefit for Case Scenario A(1) through the ERR index.
Author Contributions
Funding
Data Availability Statement
Conflicts of Interest
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Symbolisms | Description | Units |
---|---|---|
TRMCost/kg | Total reagent’s mass cost | EUR/kg |
CA-C | Concentration of acid or catalyst | M |
Mr | Reagent’s Mr | - |
DVW | Daily volume of wastes per stage | m3 |
%R | % Ration of clear reagent in aqua dissolution | % |
ECP | Electrical cost price | kg |
EC | Energy consumption per ton of tailings | EUR/MWh |
NGCP | Natural gas cost price | EUR/MWh |
AMT | Annual mass of tailings | kg |
CPR | Total cost of installation per reactor | EUR |
NR | Number of reactors | - |
AACNC | Annual average cost of non-compliance | EUR |
TCI | Total cost of installation | EUR |
SP | Selling price for each type of metal | EUR/kg |
ENPV | Economic net present value for the total mass of metals (present year) | EUR |
CBAn | 0.5 ∗ 120% ∗ N ∗ Σ(i=1–9){TRMCOST/kg ∗ [(CA-C) ∗ (MrReagent) ∗ DVW] ∗ [%RAcid-Catalyst]}+{[(ECP) ∗ 0.4 ∗ (EC)]+[(NGCP) ∗ 0.6 ∗ (EC)]} ∗ AMT+(CPR) ∗ (NR)} ∗ (AACNC)−1] + 0.5 ∗ ENPV | Index (1st Year) |
CBAm | 0.5 ∗ 120% ∗ N ∗ Σ(i=1–9){TRMCOST/kg ∗ [(CA-C) ∗ (MrReagent) ∗ DVW] ∗ [%RAcid-Catalyst]}+{[(ECP) ∗ 0.4 ∗ (EC)]+[(NGCP) ∗ 0.6 ∗ (EC)]} ∗ AMT+0.2 ∗ TCI} ∗ (AACNC)−1] + 0.5 ∗ [[S.P. ∗ MetalMass] ∗ ENPV−1] | Index (per Year) |
Costs | CBA in Mining Waste Management—Variables of Risk Assessment | Impact of CBA’s Variables on the Relevant CBA’s Indexes | Aims of Each CBA’s Index | Fluctuating Weighting Factors for CBA’s Indexes (%) | Total CBA Index (Benefit/Cost) |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Direct Costs (EUR) | Cost of chemical reagents | LTP (Long-term Perspective) Section 5.2, Section 6, Section 7.1 and Section 7.2 | Protection from uncontrolled and systematic disposal of hazardous wastes on ground soil [5,6] | a, b, c, … (LTP coefficient) Section 8 | a × LTP + (1 − a) × ERR b × LTP + (1 − b) × ERR c × LTP + (1 − c) × ERR Section 7.2 |
Cost of energy consumption | High rate of compliance with environmental protection requirements in terms of CE [5,6] | ||||
Cost for primary installation of industrial units | Minimization of hazard by environmental pollution [5,6,55] | ||||
Maintenance cost of equipment | Non-hazardous wastes in the final disposal site [1,5,6,55] | ||||
Indirect Costs (EUR) | Potential penalty cost for non-compliance with environmental protection requirements | ||||
Economic net present value of recovered materials | ERR (economic rate of return) Section 5.2, Section 6, Section 7.1 and Section 7.2 | Financial gain through the reuse of recovered material in terms of CE [1,7,8] | (1 − a), (1 − b), (1 − c),… (ERR coefficient) Section 8 | ||
Beneficial price value of recovered materials |
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Machairas, E.; Varouchakis, E.A. Cost–Benefit Analysis and Risk Assessment for Mining Activities in Terms of Circular Economy and Their Environmental Impact. Geosciences 2023, 13, 318. https://doi.org/10.3390/geosciences13100318
Machairas E, Varouchakis EA. Cost–Benefit Analysis and Risk Assessment for Mining Activities in Terms of Circular Economy and Their Environmental Impact. Geosciences. 2023; 13(10):318. https://doi.org/10.3390/geosciences13100318
Chicago/Turabian StyleMachairas, Evangelos, and Emmanouil A. Varouchakis. 2023. "Cost–Benefit Analysis and Risk Assessment for Mining Activities in Terms of Circular Economy and Their Environmental Impact" Geosciences 13, no. 10: 318. https://doi.org/10.3390/geosciences13100318
APA StyleMachairas, E., & Varouchakis, E. A. (2023). Cost–Benefit Analysis and Risk Assessment for Mining Activities in Terms of Circular Economy and Their Environmental Impact. Geosciences, 13(10), 318. https://doi.org/10.3390/geosciences13100318