The analysis of the nutrient concentration in the surface water of the studied rivers includes the concentration of nitrates (mg N/L), total nitrogen (mg N/L), orthophosphates (mg P/L) and total phosphorus (mg P/L), since these parameters are determined by the Decree (Official Gazette 73/13) as main physical-chemical parameters of water quality.
Nitrates are important nutrients necessary for the growth and development of algae and other aquatic plants, however, high concentrations of nitrates (>90 mg/L) have a toxic effect on aquatic organisms [
26]. Rain, snow, fog and decomposition of organic matter are all pathways that naturally increase the content of nitrates. Application of fertilisers in agriculture is a major cause of increase of the nitrogen concentration in soil and water (by erosion of soil), whereas the other cause is wastewater. Increased concentrations of nutrients (not only nitrogen but phosphorus as well) lead to increased development of algae and aquatic plants, which eventually leads to increasing overload of aquatic ecosystems and development of eutrophication [
26]. Thus, the Annex 10 of the Decree (Official Gazette 73/13) defines the limit values of the 50th percentile of concentration of nitrates and total phosphorus as indicators of eutrophication of aquatic ecosystems. According to Annex 10, a river has a very good water quality if its 50th percentile for nitrogen content is in the range from 0.4 to 1 mg/L, and for total phosphorus in the range from 0.02 to 0.15 mg/L. A river has a good water quality if its 50th percentile for the nitrogen content is in the range from 0.7 to 2.5 mg/L and for total phosphorus in the range 0.06–0.35 mg/L.
Annex 2C, Table 6 of the Decree (Official Gazette 73/13) sets the limiting value of the 50th percentile for very good quality of the Karašica River surface water at 0.7 mg N/L for nitrates, for total nitrogen at 1.1 mg N/L, for orthophosphates at 0.03 mg P/L, and for total phosphorus at 0.05 mg P/L. For good water quality of the Karašica River, the limiting value is set at 1.3 mg N/L for nitrates, at 2 mg N/L for total nitrogen, at 0.1 mg P/L for orthophosphates, and at 0.2 mg P/L for total phosphorus. For very good water quality of the Vučica River surface water, the limiting value of the 50th percentile is set at 1 mg N/L for nitrates, at 1.4 mg N/L for total nitrogen, at 0.09 mg P/L for orthophosphates, and at 0.13 mg P/L for total phosphorus. The limiting value for good water quality of the Vučica River is set at 2 mg N/L for nitrates, at 2.6 mg N/L for total nitrogen, at 0.2 mg P/L for orthophosphates, and at 0.3 mg P/L for total phosphorus.
4.3.1. Nitrogen Compounds
The lowest value of the 50th percentile of nitrate concentration in the Karašica River surface water was determined in the year 2012 at sampling sites 21019 and 21021, and it amounted to 0.124 mg N/L (
Appendix,
Table A5). The lowest value of the 50th percentile of nitrate concentration in the Vučica River surface water was determined in the same year, at sampling site 21020, and it amounted to 0.1862 mg N/L (
Appendix,
Table A6). The highest value of nitrate concentration in the Karašica River was determined in 2004 at sampling site 21012—3.164 mg N/L, and in the Vučica River in 2005 at sampling site 21007—1.808 mg N/L. As can be seen on
Figure 5, during the analysed period, the value of the 50th percentile of nitrate concentration in the Karašica River surface water varies greatly, and a similar situation was observed in the case of the 50th percentile of the nitrate concentration in the Vučica River surface water.
Considering the concentration of nitrates, the quality of the Karašica River surface water at sampling site 21012 can be characterized as good to very good (depending on the year), with significant deterioration of quality in 2004 and 2005. Based on the available data, water quality at sampling sites 21021 and 21019 can be described as very good, except in 2001 and 2002, when at sampling site 21019 the water quality can be characterised as good. Considering the value of the 50th percentile of nitrates in the Vučica River surface water, water quality at sampling site 21020 can be characterized as very good. The same situation was observed for sampling site 21007, except in 2005, 2008, 2010 and 2013, when the water quality can be described as good. It is important to point out that the observed and analysed values were lower than the ones published by Vidaček et al. in 1999 [
19].
Linear regression analysis applied on the nitrate concentration values observed on the Karašica River (21012) with prediction period of five years and 95% confidence interval shows slight increasing trend. The same analysis of the nitrates for the Vučica River (21007), after the confluence of the Karašica River, shows an even less increasing trend, due to its higher discharge and smaller portion of agricultural land (
Figure 5).
Regarding limiting values of the 50th percentile defined in Annex 10 of the Decree (Official Gazette 73/13), which considers the nitrates content as an indicator of degree of eutrophication, the quality of the surface water of the Karašica River at sampling sites 21021 and 21019 can be described as very good (except in 2001 and 2002, at the site 21,19), and at sampling site 21012 as good to very good (except in 2004). A similar situation was observed in the case of the Vučica River surface water, regarding level of eutrophication at sampling site 21020 when the water quality was determined to be very good quality (except in 2012, when quality of water was defined as good), and at the site 21007 where the water was in good of very good quality (depending on the year).
Increased values of total nitrogen indicate pollution of the water body by inadequately purified wastewaters (industry, sewage) and by excessive use of mineral (primarily nitrogen) fertilizers in agricultural production [
35]. The value of the 50th percentile of total nitrogen content in the Karašica River surface water was in the range from 0.5078 (in 2012, at sampling site 21019) to 3.581 mg N/L (in 2004, at the site 21012) (
Appendix,
Table A5), while the range in the Vučica River surface water was from 0.729 (in 2009, at sampling site 21007) to 2.275 mg N/L (in 2013, at the site 21007) (
Appendix,
Table A6). Linear regression analysis applied on total nitrogen values observed on both rivers (21012, 21007) with prediction period of five years and 95% confidence interval shows slight increasing trend (
Figure 6).
Considering the 50th percentile of total nitrogen content, the quality of the Karašica River surface water at sampling site 21012 can be described as good, except in 2003, 2007–2009, 2011 and 2012 when it is very good, and in 2004 when the water quality deteriorates and cannot be described as good. Water quality at sampling site 21019 in the period 2000–2002 cannot be described as good, in 2003 is good, and during the period 2012–2015 very good. In the years 2012 and 2013, the water quality at sampling site 21021 is very good, but in the year 2015 it is good. The quality of the Vučica River surface water at sampling site 21020 in 2012 and 2013 is very good, but in 2014 and 2015 it is good. Quality of the surface water at location 21007 varies greatly, in 2000–2005, 2008, 2010, 2013 and 2015 water quality is good, and in the remaining years very good.
Gvozdić et al. (2012) reported that the median concentration of nitrates in the River Drava surface water is relatively low compared to other rivers in western Europe (4.4–3.8 mg N/L) [
27]. These values are similar to those obtained in the rivers in eastern Europe, for instance in the Danube and the Sava River (2.1–2.0, 1.6–0.95 and 1.3–1.2 mg N/L, respectively) [
36,
37].
Similar research of Slovenian rivers (Globevnik et al. (2006)) showed that hydro-morphological and chemical pressures from water treatment plants and agglomerations, industrial plants and diffused pollution from agriculture (nitrogen) are the main reasons for the non-attainment of environmental objectives. Though consumption of mineral fertilisers and plant nutrients in Slovenia has reached more or less steady state in recent years, the quantities are still too high to reduce the risk to the water environment [
38].
Neal et al. (2006) conducted a monitoring study on the upper River Thames and its tributaries (the United Kingdom). Only for two tributaries of the River Thames (the Pang and the Kennet), which were monitored for over five years, nitrate concentrations have increased over time. For the main stream of the River Thames, which was also monitored for over five years, there is no clear increase over time [
39].
Eisakhani and Malakahmad (2009) in the study conducted within the Bertam River and its tributaries in Malaysia, reported total nitrogen concentration of 17 mg/L at the Bertam River and 9.6 mg/L at the Burong River, respectively during high water flow. The authors linked high level of nitrates at the Burong River to the extend use of pesticides and fertilizers at surrounding farming area. As the Bertam River passes through Tanah Rata town, domestic wastewater was determined to be the main cause of high nitrates [
29].
A research conducted by Dutch researchers Van Grinsvena et al. (2016) on the nitrate concentrations in fresh surface waters proved relatively low nitrate concentrations compared to the other European rivers, and decreasing trend mostly due to implementation of the Water Framework Directive measures [
40].
4.3.2. Phosphorus Compounds
The amount of the 50th percentile of concentration of orthophosphates in the Karašica River surface water was in the range from 0.0282 mg P/L (in 2013, at sampling site 21019) to 0.3655 mg P/L (in 2000, at sampling site 21019) (
Appendix,
Table A7), and in the Vučica River surface water in the range from 0.0348 (in 2013, at sampling site 21020) to 0.184 mg P/L (in 2002, at sampling site 21007) (
Figure 7) (
Appendix,
Table A8). Considering this value, the quality of the Karašica River surface water at sampling site 21012 greatly varies and generally can be described as good, except in the years 2001, 2002, 2004, 2006, 2007, 2010 and 2014 when the condition deteriorates and cannot be described as good. Water quality at sampling sites 21019 and 21021 can be described as good (in the period 2012–2015). Based on the amount of the 50th percentile of the orthophosphates content, the quality of the Vučica River surface water can be described as very good, except in 2001, 2002 and 2010 at sampling site 21007, when it can be characterized as good.
The amount of total phosphorus indicates the degree of water pollution, i.e., the presence of faecal wastewater, chemical fertilisers and detergents (surfactants) [
41]. The determined value of the 50th percentile of the total phosphorus content in the Karašica River surface water was in the range from 0.08 (in 2015, at sampling site 21019) to 0.9385 mg P/L (in 2000, at the site 21019), and in the Vučica River surface water in the range from 0.07 (in 2012, at sampling site 21020) to 0.459 mg P/L (in 2002, at the site 21007) (
Appendix,
Table A7 and
Table A8).
The quality of the Karašica River surface water at sampling site 21012 can be described as good, except during the period from 2000 to 2003 and in 2006, when water quality deteriorates and cannot be described as good. Water quality at sampling stations 21019 and 21021 in the period from 2012 to 2015 can be characterised as good. Linear regression analysis applied on orthophosphate values observed on the Karašica River (21012) with prediction period of five years and 95% confidence interval shows slight decreasing trend. The same analysis of the COD-Mn for the Vučica River (21007), after the confluence of the Karašica River, shows the same trend. These results lead to the conclusion that concentration of orthophosphates in both sub-catchments is decreasing due to reduction of mineral fertilizers application according to the Nitrate Directive [
42] (
Figure 7).
Considering the observed content of total phosphorus, the quality of the Vučica River surface water at sampling site 21020 can be described as good, and in 2015 as very good. Water quality at sampling site 21020 in 2012 and 2013 is very good, but in 2014 and 2015 it can be characterized as good.
When the 50th percentile of total phosphorus content is used as an indicator of the degree of eutrophication (Annex 10 of the Decree (Official Gazette 73/13)), the quality of this water body can be described as good, with some exceptions—sampling site 21019 (in 2000) and site 21007 (in 2002), when water quality is less than good. Linear regression analysis applied on total phosphorus values observed on the Karašica River (21012) with prediction period of five years and 95% confidence interval shows only slightly increasing trend. The same analysis of the COD-Mn for the Vučica River (21007), after the confluence of the Karašica River, shows no trend (
Figure 8).
Eisakhani and Malakahmad (2009) in the study conducted within the Bertam River and its tributaries in Malaysia, reported total phosphorus concentration of 14 mg P/L at the Bertam River and 8.6 mg P/L at the Burong River, respectively during high water flow. The obtained results indicate that agricultural runoff contains fertilizers and is probably the major cause for high concentration of phosphorous [
29].
Judova and Jansky (2005) in a three-year study conducted in rural areas of the Czech Republic (Slapanka River catchment) reported mean phosphates concentration ranging from 0.08 to 0.41 mg/L, respectively. The study also reported mean nitrates concentration (5.31–10.55 mg/L), mean BOD
5 (3.82–12.37 mg/L), and mean COD (8.23–12.37 mg/L), respectively. The authors linked the lowest values of analysed parameters to the extreme self-purification capacity of the stream. The runoff from cultivated farmlands and wastewater from residences without adequate sanitation were identified as the main pollution sources. Contamination originating from agriculture is also a problem in this area [
43].
Ntislidou et al. (2012) in a case study from river basin Kosynthos, in Greece conducted in June 2011, reported levels of phosphates ranging from 0.022 to 0.146 mg/L, respectively. The same study reported nitrate levels to be in the range of 0.139 to 1.539 mg/L, and BOD
5 ranging from 0.64 to 2.32 mg/L, respectively. The authors linked obtained results with livestock breeding (BOD
5, nitrates and phosphates), agriculture (nitrates and phosphates) and urban waste waters (nitrates and phosphates) [
44].
Iqbal et al. (2013) found phosphates values ranging from 62.37 µg/L to 155 µg/L, within the Dudhganga catchment area in India. The nitrates content in the study area was also low and ranged from 0.15 mg/L to 0.99 mg/L, respectively. The authors linked obtained results to the mostly forest land cover and to reduced anthropogenic activity in the surrounding region [
45].
Xu and Zhang (2016) in the study conducted within the upper catchment of Miyun Reservoir in China reported total phosphorus values ranging from 0.02 to 0.46 mg/L, respectively. The authors found that the total phosphorus concentrations were positively correlated with the proportion of arable land, grassland, and residential land, and negatively correlated with the forest proportion [
46].
Study of Crossman et al. (2014) of the River Thames, evaluates complexity of the water quality problem on an example of a major river system in the United Kingdom (the River Thames) and its response to alterations in climate, land use and water resource allocations. This study showed that the soluble reactive phosphorus from diffuse and point sources varies seasonally in the River Thames. The authors proved that diffuse sources of phosphorus from agriculture dominate during periods of high runoff, and point sources during low flow periods [
47].
The loss of phosphorus examined within the large river delta areas in Northern Belgium, The Netherlands and North-West Germany, proved different vulnerability to phosphorus loss depending on the soil texture (sandy, peaty and clayey soils) [
48].