1. Introduction
The research, the results of which are presented in the paper, is focused on the issue of the socioeconomic evaluation of projects in the field of transport, especially railway infrastructure. The issue of the economic evaluation of public projects is very broad; however, the basic principles have been known for many years. Unlike commercial projects, where profit or profit-derived cash-flow plays a key role in the economic evaluation, the evaluation of public projects is usually based on the use of cost–output methods. The most important and widely used method is the cost–benefit analysis (CBA). CBA is thoroughly described in a number of guidelines and publications (e.g., [
1]). In the case of transport infrastructure projects, there is a detailed methodological guide for its elaboration [
2]. However, none of these documents are detailed enough to include methodologies for evaluating all relevant costs and benefits that arise in connection with transport (and especially railway) infrastructure. The paper presents the results of applied research aimed at incorporating the benefits associated with increasing the safety and reliability of railway infrastructure as a result of the implementation of projects for the installation of new and improved security equipment. The importance of research lies mainly in the fact that, currently, the benefits associated with increasing the safety and reliability of railways are not incorporated into the socioeconomic evaluation carried out in accordance with the methodology (in the case of the Czech Republic, it is departmental methodology [
2]) using CBA, although it is clear that these benefits arise from railway infrastructure project implementation. As a result, railway infrastructure projects show worse results in economic efficiency evaluation and seem to be less economically efficient. The presented paper focuses on the evaluation of the socioeconomic impacts of occurrences that emerge from railway infrastructure. The aim of the paper is to methodically describe and verify the procedure for determining the socioeconomic impacts of occurrences that emerge from railway infrastructure in a case study. The Database of Occurrences [
3], which contains detailed information on occurrences emerging from the railway in the Czech Republic, managed by employees of the Railway Administration, was used for the purposes of analysis and subsequent synthesis of the obtained data into methodological steps. Occurrences from the 2011–2018 period were used for the purposes of the research. The output of the research presented in the article is to determine the values of the expected annual socioeconomic impacts of occurrences according to the categories related to railway stations or one kilometer of the track segment. The outputs of the presented research will be used in follow-up research for the purpose of determining potential savings on railway infrastructure arising from the reduction of the number of occurrences, characterized by their potential socioeconomic impact. The reduction in the number of occurrences will be achieved by implementing appropriate security measures. Their economic efficiency shall be assessed by these steps.
2. Materials and Methods
The subject of the paper is the analysis and subsequent synthesis of relevant data in order to identify the methodology for evaluating the socioeconomic impacts of occurrences emerging from railway infrastructure. The purpose of the evaluation of these socioeconomic impacts is their subsequent use in the analysis of project costs and benefits in the field of transport infrastructure. This article, from a general point of view, can be included in the issue of socioeconomic evaluation of public investment projects in the field of transport infrastructure. The principles and procedures applied in the process of cost–benefit analysis are methodically described in the Guide to CBA of Investment Projects [
1], where the general rules are defined and the specifics for the process of CBA for individual types of public projects are described. The issue of public projects in the field of transport infrastructure is dealt with in detail by the Departmental Guideline of the Ministry of Transport of the Czech Republic [
2], which addresses the economic evaluation of transport infrastructure projects, both in general and with a focus on individual modes of transport, i.e., projects of roads and highways, projects of railway line construction and projects in the field of transport-important waterways. The abovementioned methodology provides some procedures for evaluating the socioeconomic impacts of transport projects (e.g., user savings, transport time savings, traffic accident savings, or impact on externalities). However, some key impacts, such as the impact on transport network safety and reliability, dealt with in the research presented here, are not addressed in more detail in the methodology. One of the aims of the paper is to explore the possibilities for supplementing the methodology for the socioeconomic evaluation of investment projects in the field of railway infrastructure by assessing its impact on the safety and reliability of railway infrastructure.
Based on research into the available scientific literature, it has not been found that any of the scientific teams were directly involved in assessing the impacts associated with increasing the safety of railway infrastructure. However, the research included texts dealing with the issue of occurrences emerging from railway infrastructure and their causes, as well as technical impacts (material damage, train delays). The basic input task was the identification of occurrences emerging from railway infrastructure, their impact, prevention, and classification. Santos-Reyes [
4] dealt with a general analysis of the occurrence of traffic accidents on the railway [
4] and presented basic study points to be addressed in order to subsequently prevent occurrences from railway infrastructure. The methodology developed within the Dnipro National University of Railways [
5] presented the definition of the categories of occurrences from railway infrastructure in relation to the amount of material damage caused. Occurrences were classified according to the severity of the consequences, which were expressed in physical quantities. The paper provides an overview of financial losses associated with subcategories of occurrences, which represent a suitable data set for its comparison with the partial outputs of the presented results.
Klockner and Toft dealt with the modeling of occurrences on the railway in their study [
6]. A second significant part of the publication deals with the factors influencing the occurrence emergence from railway infrastructure. In their study, Iridiastadi and Ikatrinasari [
7] presented a classification system, including subfactors, with the potential to influence the occurrence emergence. Zhou and Lei also addressed the causes of occurrences on the railway in their article [
8]. In their paper, Baysari et al. [
9] presented a detailed analysis of errors leading to railway occurrences. Their work was based on a set of forty reports on the investigation of occurrences in railway infrastructure in Australia. The study concluded that up to half of the occurrences were caused by equipment failure due to insufficient maintenance. The conclusions of the paper [
9] are important in relation to the presented research results. The subject of a detailed examination within the presented research is mainly occurrences emerging as a result of human factor failure, not due to a technical defect. Consequently, the next scientific papers also directly focus on the influence of the human factor on occurrence emergence from railway infrastructure. The paper by Hani Tabai et al. [
10], which focused on the evaluation of the relationship between engine driver demography, cognitive performance, and the risk of an occurrence emergence, where the need to pay continuous attention had been identified as one of the most important reasons for an occurrence emergence due to an engine driver’s error, can serve as one of the examples. The study of Zhan [
11] elicits a qualitative and quantitative analysis method to detect the human- and organization-related causes of railway accidents. The HFACS-RAs framework, based on the incident and accident data of the railway industry, is proposed in this study. Evans [
12], in his paper, dealt with the influence of the speed of trains on railway infrastructure and the number and severity of occurrences and extended his own previous statistics by the influence of train speed on the severity of the occurrences. This represents an important aspect of occurrences emerging from railway infrastructure; however, this dimension was not considered within the presented research.
An important (albeit rather marginal) issue within the presented research is the causes of occurrences emerging at railway crossings [
13] and as a result of suicides [
14,
15]. These are very important occurrences emerging from all railway infrastructure, which represent a significant part of occurrences recorded in the database used. However, they are not considered in more detail in the analysis presented in this paper. Occurrences emerging at railway crossings are the subject of a separate methodology, according to which they are further assessed, so the development of this methodology is not the subject of the presented research either. Occurrences emerging as a result of suicides represent types of occurrences that cannot be effectively prevented by the implementation of appropriate measures and, therefore, also do not fall within the scope of the research.
The last important area relevant to the scope of the presented paper is the issue of occurrence prevention in railway infrastructure. Kim et al., in their article [
16], presented results of a factual analysis of the railway occurrence rate and subsequently proposed preventive care systems focused mainly on the development of a training program for railway safety and railway safety training centers. Edkins and Pollock addressed the issue of the analysis of occurrences in railway infrastructure and the subsequent proposal of preventive measures aimed at reducing the number of occurrences [
17]. It comprised a retrospective analysis of 112 railway occurrences in Australia, which revealed a tendency to human error and subsequently led to the development of a railway safety checklist. Evans presented an overview of the development of statistics on rail occurrences in Europe and a proposal for preventive measures to reduce the number of occurrences [
18]. Authors Cheng and Tsai dealt, in their article [
19], with the issue of competencies in the case of occurrence management and the restoration of normal operations after the occurrence emergence and its resolution. The abovementioned research reveals findings explaining the emergence of occurrences and the possibilities for reducing their number, which corresponds to the findings of the research team on the Czech conditions. The conclusions of the research confirm the topicality of the issue. The presented research builds on these basic building blocks and proceeds to the further step, i.e., the quantification of impacts from the socioeconomic point of view. These are very important and inspiring findings that explain the emergence of occurrences and the possibilities for reducing their number. The conclusions of the articles confirm the need to address the issue of occurrences and to identify and quantify their impacts.
The authors of the article, following the above-listed research of foreign resources, use other surveys and analyses based on the issues in the national environment and focus on the usability of technical data for socioeconomic analysis (evaluation of economic efficiency), which can be used as a basis for the decision-making process in investment projects for the security devices. The main goal of the research is to develop and present methodological steps for the evaluation of socioeconomic impacts of occurrences emerging from railway infrastructure and to verify the methodology on the occurrences emerging from railway infrastructure in the Czech Republic. The main result of the applied research presented in this paper is the determination of the value of the annual socioeconomic impact of occurrences emerging from railway infrastructure in the Czech Republic per one kilometer of the track segment and one railway station, divided into both national and regional lines.
2.1. Data
The basic background for the research of the issue dealt with is the creation of a database of occurrences in the researched region/national economy/territorial unit. The Database of Occurrences, managed by the employees of the Railway Administration of the Czech Republic, is the key source of data for the creation of the methodology and the elaboration of the case study, where all occurrences arising in railway infrastructure of the Czech Republic in the 2009–2018 period were registered [
3]. The Database of Occurrences is not a publicly accessible source of information; the database was provided to the research team by the Railway Administration of the Czech Republic, upon request, exclusively for the purpose of conducting the presented research. This represents a very large document that contains more than 500,000 items of information.
2.2. Methods
The proposed methodology is based on the collection, analysis, and use of relevant data to evaluate the societal benefits arising from the establishment of security measures. The outputs are bound for the later use of the “opportunity cost” valuation approach.
The subject of the paper is to develop and present a methodology for the quantification and evaluation of the socioeconomic impacts of occurrences emerging from railway infrastructure, divided into relevant subcategories, following the scientific literature research and basic principles of economic analysis of public investment projects.
Development of the methodology for the evaluation of the socioeconomic impacts of occurrences emerging from railway infrastructure consists of the following steps:
Analyzing the Database of Occurrences, defining the categories, and selecting the data for further use.
Defining the key characteristics of occurrences, including health and delay impacts on passenger and freight trains and their economic evaluation.
Determining the expected impact of occurrences by category.
The calculation of the amount of the expected socioeconomic impacts of occurrences by the categories of per kilometer of railway line and station is performed in
Section 3. The partial steps are described in detail in the following sections.
2.2.1. Analysing the Database of Occurrences, Defining the Categories, and Selecting the Data for Further Use
Occurrences emerging within the railway infrastructure can be classified into three basic groups:
Subcategories of occurrences were defined within the mentioned groups of occurrences, which differ mainly in the causes of the occurrences and their impacts. For the purposes of the presented research, the following variables, which are relevant to the methodological procedure, were selected from the Database of Occurrences:
Impact on health,
- ○
Death,
- ○
Serious injury,
- ○
Minor injury,
Material damage,
Costs,
Number of delayed passenger trains,
Total delay of passenger trains,
Number of delayed freight trains,
Total delay of freight trains, and
The cause of the occurrence,
- ○
Technical,
- ○
Human factor,
- ○
Others.
These variables are listed in the Database of Occurrences for each specific occurrence.
The Database of Occurrences [
3] could not be used for further research purposes in its original version without modifications as the recorded variables were developed year-on-year and the data structure was not consistent. The researchers, therefore, made the necessary adjustments for the purposes of its further use. The analysis of the Database of Occurrences was elaborated in order to address the research question of the average, minimum, and maximum annual impact values (number of occurrences, deaths, number of serious/minor injuries, material damage, and costs) of occurrences, with their possible deviation, which was monitored based on the standard deviation. It was subsequently decided, following the results of the analysis, that the follow-up research would not include occurrences due to suicides and those emerging at railway crossings. Detailed results of the above-defined analysis of the Database of Occurrences and conclusions and recommendations resulting from the analysis were published in [
20].
2.2.2. Defining the Key Characteristics of Occurrences and Their Economic Evaluation
The research team defined the information and characteristics of partial occurrences within the Database of Occurrences that provided data on the partial socioeconomic impacts of the occurrences on society. An overview of this information and characteristics is presented in the previous section. Impacts in the form of costs of the removal of material damage or other direct costs incurred are quantified for each individual occurrence and are listed directly in the occurrence database. The research, therefore, focused on the evaluation of the remaining variables. Subsequent research was thus focused on the evaluation of the following characteristics of the occurrences:
The unit impact of an occurrence in a particular category was determined using Relation (1).
where
UIO | Unit Impact (the unit impact of the occurrence of the relevant category; CZK/Occurrence) |
AIHi | Average Impact on Health (the average health impact of the occurrence of the relevant category on health: 1—fatalities, 2—serious injuries, 3—minor injuries; CZK/Occurrence) |
AITDj | Average Impact on Travel Delay (the average impact of an occurrence of the relevant category on traffic delay: 1—passenger transport, 2—freight transport; CZK/Occurrence) |
AML | Average Material Loss (average material damage of an occurrence of the relevant category; CZK/Occurrence) |
The evaluation of the listed impacts was performed in connection with the procedures specified in the Departmental Methodology of the Ministry of Transport of the Czech Republic [
2]. In the case of a health impact assessment, the following Relation (2) was used for the evaluation.
where
AIHi | Average Impact on Health (the average health impact of the occurrence of the relevant category on health: 1—fatalities, 2—serious injuries, 3—minor injuries; CZK/Occurrence) |
AHi | Average Number (the average number of affected people by the occurrence of the relevant category: 1—fatalities, 2—serious injuries, 3—minor injuries; CZK/Occurrence) |
UIHi | Unit Impact on Health (the unit impact of the occurrence of the relevant category on the health of one person, 1—fatalities, 2—serious injuries, 3—minor injuries; CZK/Occurrence) |
The input data for the purposes of the case study elaborated for the Czech Republic was taken directly from the Departmental Methodology [
2], indicating the unit cost of the occurrence according to its severity. The data is shown in
Table 1 below.
In the case of impacts related to passenger train delay, a calculation was carried out using Relation (3).
where
PTU | Personal Train Utilization (average passenger train occupancy; Persons/Train) |
ADP | Average Delay of Personal Trains (the average total delay of passenger trains due to the occurrence of the relevant category; Train*Hour/Occurrence) |
UIDP | Unit Impact of Personal Train Delay (unit cost of passenger time; CZK/Hour*Person) |
The data presented in the Departmental Methodology [
2] and statistical data from the Statistical Yearbook of the Czech Railways Group [
21] were used for the purposes of the case study performed for the Czech Republic. Based on these sources, the expected occupancy of one passenger train was determined at 66.55 people/train and the average value of passenger time at 10.63 €/person-hour.
In the case of the evaluation of the impacts associated with the delay of freight trains, the following Relation (4) was used for the calculation:
where
CTU | Cargo Train Utilization (average freight weight of a freight train; Tons/Train) |
ADC | Average Delay of Cargo Trains (the average total delay of freight trains due to an occurrence of a relevant category; Trains*Hour/Occurrence) |
UIDC | Unit Impact of Cargo Train Delay (unit time cost of transported cargo; CZK/Hour) |
The average freight weight of a freight train was determined at 455 t/train using statistical data [
21] as part of a case study elaborated for the territory of the Czech Republic. The average value of freight transport time was subsequently determined at 0.23 €/ton using the values of freight transport time according to commodities taken from the Departmental Methodology [
2] and the percentage rate of individual commodities in freight transport.
The values of the input quantities used for the calculation of Relations (1)–(4) within the case study were taken from the national sources of the Czech Republic. These sources were used in the form of official methodological documents for the socioeconomic evaluation of public projects and are based on long-term statistical data. The key methodological basis was the Departmental Methodology of the Ministry of Transport, which defines some input variables (e.g., unit impacts on health or unit cost of passenger time or cargo). The already mentioned occurrence database or statistical yearbooks of carriers or the administrator of railway infrastructure fall within the documents containing statistical data.
The quantities UIHi (Unit Impact on Health), UIDP (Unit Impact of Personal Train Delay), and UIDC (Unit Impact of Cargo Train Delay) were taken from the Departmental Guideline [
2] for the purposes of the presented research. The quantities AML (Average Material Loss), AHi (Average Number), ADP (Average Delay of Personal Trains), and ADC (Average Delay of Cargo Trains) were determined using data recorded in the Database of Occurrences [
18], and PTU (Personal Train Utilization) and CTU (Cargo Train Utilization) values were derived from statistical data presented in the Statistical Yearbook of Czech Railways [
21].
A detailed calculation of these unit impacts of railway occurrences in railway infrastructure, including a case study to verify the functionality of the evaluation algorithm, is provided in [
22].
2.2.3. Determining the Expected Impact of Occurrences by Category
Only those occurrences that emerged due to human error were considered for the calculation of the average impacts of occurrences following the conclusions of [
22]. The categories of occurrences listed in
Table 2 are, therefore, considered for the current research.
Using the data contained in the Database of Occurrences [
3] and the unit impacts of occurrences presented in the previous part of the text, the expected overall socioeconomic impacts of individual categories of occurrences were determined using Relation (1). The overall socioeconomic impacts include the following items:
Impacts on health,
Delay of passenger trains,
Delay of freight trains, and
Total costs.
The presented research made use of selected occurrences on two levels. The first level included occurrences taken from the Database of Occurrences [
3] (adjusted for occurrences at railway crossings and suicides), whatever the cause; the second level included occurrences caused by human error. A detailed evaluation of individual categories of occurrences was described in [
23]; the expected impacts of individual categories of occurrences are summarized in
Table 3.
The presented methodological part resulted from the current research that is focused on the evaluation of the socioeconomic impacts associated with occurrence emergence in railway infrastructure in order to consider the increase in the safety and reliability of the railway in the socioeconomic evaluation of railway infrastructure projects. These methodological steps serve as an input basis for determining the expected impact of occurrences emerging from railway infrastructure related to the network of railway lines and railway stations. The results of this research are presented in the following section.
3. Results
The key output of the research presented in this article is the determination of the expected socioeconomic impacts of individual categories of occurrences in relation to the system in which they emerge. In general, it can be stated that occurrences emerge from railway tracks or at railway stations. Railway tracks and railway stations are further divided into national and regional categories. The expected annual impact of an occurrence of the relevant category on the station or a kilometer of track is determined using the following Relation (5):
where
TI | Total Impact of Occurrence per year in € |
Oi | Number of Occurrences per evaluated period t |
i | Category of Occurrence according to Table 2 |
UIi | Unit Impact of Occurrence according to Table 3 |
Qj,k | Quantity of stations/tracks |
j | Category of railway line (1—national, 2—regional) |
k | Category of parts of railway line (1—Railway Track, 1—Railway Station) |
t | Evaluated (reference) Period in years |
The Number of Occurrences per evaluated period t is determined separately and further divided into occurrences emerging from the national or regional line and occurrences emerging from the tracks or at the stations. While the information on whether an occurrence emerges from a national or regional line is taken from the Database of Occurrences for the purpose of a case study of a railway line in the Czech Republic, information on whether an occurrence emerges on the tracks or at the stations had to be determined using statistical data. The calculation was performed using Relation (6).
where
Oi,j,k | Number of Occurrences of the relevant category (i) on the national (j = 1) or regional (j = 2) line emerging from the tracks (k = 1) or at the station (k = 2) |
Oi,j | Number of Occurrences of the relevant category (i) on the national (j = 1) or regional (j = 2) line |
ROj,j,k | Rate of Occurrences: ratio of occurrences emerging from the tracks (k = 1) or at the stations (k = 2) on the total number of occurrences Oi,j. |
The ratio of occurrences emerging from railway tracks and at the railway stations was determined using a selected set of data from the Database of Occurrences. This ratio is presented in
Table 4.
In further calculations, it is therefore assumed that the share of occurrences emerging at railway stations (ROi,j,1) is 94.85%, and the share of occurrences emerging from the railway tracks (ROi,j,2) is 5.15%.
As a next step, it is necessary to distinguish between occurrences emerging from the national railway lines and occurrences emerging from the regional lines. The analysis of the Database of Occurrences generally shows a larger number of occurrences on national lines and a smaller number on regional lines.
For the sake of clarity, it is appropriate to summarize which occurrences from the overall Database of Occurrences were used in the final phase of the research. Of the total number of occurrences recorded in the Database of Occurrences, occurrences emerging at railway crossings and as a result of suicides were omitted. The reasons are described in more detail in [
20]. Subsequently, those categories of occurrences that, as a law, cannot be caused by the human factor were omitted. The resulting set of occurrences was subsequently reduced by occurrences objectively caused in a different way than by the failure of the human factor. Last but not least, those occurrences that emerge during handling rides, carriage shifts, or on sidings were omitted. The resulting set of occurrences was subsequently used for the final analysis.
An important input for the final calculation was also the extent of the railway network. Using the documents of the Railway Administration [
24,
25,
26], the total number of railway stations on national and regional lines and the total length in kilometers of national and regional railway lines were determined. An overview of the resulting input data is given in
Table 5.
Using the input data listed in
Table 2,
Table 3 and
Table 4, the values of expected annual socioeconomic impacts were calculated for individual relevant categories of occurrences related to one kilometer of railway track and one railway station, separately for national and regional lines. The calculation was performed according to Equation (5), and its results are presented in
Table 6.
Table 5 shows the calculation and the resulting values of the expected annual socioeconomic impact on one railway station and on one kilometer of track section for individual categories of occurrences. The total expected annual socioeconomic impact of occurrences was determined by the sum of the impacts of the individual categories. The total values are given in
Table 7.
The resulting values, given in
Table 5 and
Table 6, represent the expected values obtained from historical data taken from the Database of Occurrences for the 2011–2018 period and from the documents of the Railway Administration defining the railway transport network. These outputs clearly point out the importance of occurrences emerging from the railway and their socioeconomic impact on society as a whole. However, the obtained results have further use. As part of follow-up research activities, these values will be used to calculate the socioeconomic benefits associated with increasing the safety and reliability of the railway line as a result of the implementation of projects that increase the level of security of the railway network.
4. Discussion
The subject of the presented research is the definition of methodological steps for determining the overall economic impacts of occurrences emerging from railway infrastructure related to a kilometer of wide line or a railway station and year. The methodological steps consist of determining the expected socioeconomic impacts for subcategories of occurrences in the form of direct financial impacts, impacts on human health, and the impact on delays of both passenger and freight trains. The partial impacts of individual categories of occurrences were subsequently related to a purpose unit, i.e., a kilometer of wide line or one railway station. The case study used to verify the functionality of the proposed procedure was based on the data obtained by the long-term monitoring of traffic on the railway infrastructure in the Czech Republic. When interpreting the calculations, it is, therefore, necessary to consider the possible specifics of railway transport in the Czech Republic in comparison with abroad. At the same time, the authors of the paper highlight the use of some input variables in values corresponding to the conditions of the Czech Republic. It mainly concerns the data taken from the Departmental Methodology of the Ministry of Transport of the Czech Republic, such as the unit impacts of traffic accidents on health, the value of passenger time, or the cost of transported cargo.
The calculations also make use of national rail transport statistics, which may also show results that are different from those of other countries. While respecting the abovementioned limitations, it is possible to proceed to the discussion on the obtained results. A very interesting partial result is the ratio between occurrences emerging on a wide line and at railway stations. As shown in
Table 4, on average, in the Czech Republic, approximately 95% of occurrences emerge at railway stations and only 5% on a wide line. The conclusions resulting from these findings are commented on below. The key outputs of the research carried out are the values of the expected annual impact of the subcategories of occurrences per kilometer of wide line or per railway station, given in
Table 6.
Table 6 shows the values for the occurrences emerging on a national or regional line and on a wide line or at train stations. For all categories of occurrences, the dominance of national lines is evident, both in the case of emergencies occurring at railway stations as well as emergencies occurring on a wide line. These findings are clearly visible from the total values of impacts of all categories of occurrences per kilometer of wide line or one railway station, as listed in
Table 7. The results shown in
Table 7 clearly demonstrate the importance of occurrences emerging on national lines (almost a 6.8-times higher unit impact in the case of railway stations and a 5.6 times higher impact in the case of a wide line) compared to regional lines. Considering the above-listed results, it can be stated that while respecting the restrictions arising from the data used, as well as inputs related solely to the Czech Republic area, it is generally recommended to pay attention and use resources to eliminate occurrence emergence risk at railway stations on the national line, as, in this sector, there is a high damage occurrence risk caused by occurrence emergence from railway infrastructure. This conclusion can be useful in both planning new projects in the field of construction and the modernization of the railway infrastructure, as well as in the decision-making process on the allocation of investment funds.
Authors of the results presented in [
5] arrived at methodologically similar partial results. This text provides information on the average losses associated with the occurrences in Ukraine. The categorization of occurrences used in this article is slightly different from the categories used in the presented research; a certain comparison of both is possible. However, this is not a comparison of the final results of the presented research, but a comparison of the processing of partial results listed in
Table 3, i.e., the expected impacts of subcategories of occurrences. In the case of the results published in [
5], the following results can be given as an example:
Financial loss related to the occurrence (accident with serious consequences)—€38,041,
Accident—€16,988,
Collision of passenger or freight trains with other trains or rolling stock or the approximation of rolling stock in trains at companies and stations, which, due to their consequences, do not belong among occurrences—€11,446.
It is evident that the results presented in this paper present other values when compared with the corresponding results given in
Table 3 of this article. Absolute values of quantities due to different levels of purchasing power cannot be directly compared without further adjustments. However, in part, the reason can also be seen in the fact that the overall impact, including socioeconomic damage, was determined for the purposes of the presented research results, while in the case of [
5], financial loss was exclusively considered. Another reason may result from the fact that only occurrences associated with human factor failure were considered in the case of the presented research results. A slightly different classification of occurrences may also play a role. The authors also stated that while financial loss is the result of the research in [
5], in the case of the presented research, this is a value obtained from long-term relevant statistics administered by a state authority.
The findings resulting from the presented research have a significant impact on the process of socioeconomic evaluation of projects of transport infrastructure, which forms an integral part of the life cycle of a public investment project. The long-term experience of the research team shows that despite the quality methodological data used to perform a socioeconomic evaluation of railway infrastructure projects, it is not possible to perform a comprehensive socioeconomic evaluation of the railway infrastructure project as the current methodological documents lack a procedure for taking into account the increase in the safety and reliability of the railway line, although, in connection with most of the evaluated projects, the increase in the safety and reliability of the railway line is very closely related to them. The presented results provide important information on the values of the socioeconomic impacts of subcategories of occurrences, and, when considering the frequency of their emergence, as derived from a detailed database of occurrences, the socioeconomic impacts related to special-purpose units are determined, in this case, for one railway station or one kilometer of railway track. In addition, all this is carried out separately for the national and regional lines, as during the research, there were significant differences in the number and severity of occurrences with regard to whether it was a regional or national line.
Follow-up research will focus on the use of the obtained data for the development of a methodology for the evaluation of benefits associated with increasing the safety and reliability of the railway. The authors assume that the results of the research will be incorporated into the existing Departmental Methodology, which addresses the course of the socioeconomic evaluation of projects in the field of transport infrastructure in the Czech Republic.
5. Conclusions
The paper presents the results of applied research aimed at refining the evaluation of socioeconomic benefits associated with increasing the safety and reliability of the railway line as a result of the implementation of investment projects in the field of railway infrastructure within a CBA analysis. The aim of the paper was to methodically describe and verify a case study on the procedure for determining the socioeconomic impacts of occurrences that emerge from railway infrastructure. The article presents partial methodological steps that have been developed for these purposes. The research is based on a detailed Database of Occurrences emerging from the railway line in the Czech Republic, using data for the 2011–2018 period, which originally included a total of 8455 occurrences divided into subcategories. After the elimination of the occurrences connected with suicides and accidents at railway crossings, a total of 5378 occurrences was used for a more detailed analysis. The first step was to define the methodological steps for determining the socioeconomic impact of an occurrence emerging on a railway line. The overall socioeconomic impact includes material damage and costs, evaluated costs associated with health impacts, and evaluated impacts associated with delays of both passenger and freight trains. Using these documents and the entire Database of Occurrences, the expected value of the impact of an occurrence of a relevant category was subsequently determined. Combining it with additional information on the railway transport network and the ratio of occurrences emerging on the national or regional line, the expected annual impacts of occurrences of individual categories on a railway station or one kilometer of track were derived in the final phase of the research. The main goal of the paper was to present methodological steps for evaluating the socioeconomic impacts of occurrences emerging from railway infrastructure and to verify the methodology in the case of occurrences emerging from railway infrastructure in the Czech Republic area. The research presented in the paper assessed new aspects of the socioeconomic evaluation of railway projects and subsequently proposed new procedures aimed at quantifying the socioeconomic impacts of occurrences emerging from railway infrastructure. In the follow-up research, the existing process of evaluating the economic efficiency of railway infrastructure projects will be supplemented by a new dimension, i.e., considering the increase in the reliability and safety of railway infrastructure.
When interpreting the results obtained, it is necessary to accept certain limitations associated with the research carried out, as well as the data used. While the proposed methodological steps are generally applicable for the purposes defined in the research goal, the results of the case study are influenced by the fact that they were determined using data specific to the Czech Republic area. For the purposes of the case study, data from the occurrence database emerging exclusively from the Czech Republic area were used, and other input information was also taken from national methodological documents and statistics. In this regard, follow-up research on the topic is also proposed for other countries for the possibility of assessing the international applicability of the methodological steps and for comparing the situation in the field of occurrence impacts on railway infrastructure.
Follow-up research will focus on projecting the results achieved in the presented research into the final methodology to consider the benefits associated with increasing the safety and reliability of the railway network in the socioeconomic evaluation of investment projects of railway infrastructure. The aim of the authors is to incorporate the resulting methodology into the process of economic efficiency assessment of investment projects in the field of railway infrastructure in the form of an annex to the Departmental Methodology of the Ministry of Transport and the State Fund for Transport Infrastructure.