The present section describes the application of the interferometric satellite data to identify subsidence effects due to the excavation of the T3 section of Line C subway in Rome’s urban center. Firstly, the assessment is performed on a territorial scale of observation. Secondly, the entropy-energy representation is adopted to focus on the effects on a single structural system and to detect points with anomalous signals. In the third part, a comparison is discussed and, finally, the approach is applied to the Colosseum case study.
3.1. Territorial Scale Analysis
The subsidence effects induced by the excavation of the two subway tunnels can be observed in the years since 2017. In this period, the construction of the first section began with excavation performed using two TMB excavators. However, the entire route of the T3 section cannot be studied because it had not been finished by March 2019, which is the last time for which data are available. In detail, within this period, the excavations concerned the route from the station of San Giovanni to shaft 3.2, located in an intermediate position between the Amba Aradam/Ipponio station and the Colosseum, as shown in
Figure 2. As a result, the area in which the displacements can be analyzed is further reduced.
The dataset contains the displacements along the LOS, which are used to evaluate the average annual velocity along the LOS.
Figure 3 reports the velocity (cm/yr) on the map in the period from 2017 to 2019, while
Figure 4 refers to the period from 2014 to 2016 and is used for comparison. It is worth observing that, in the period of the excavation (
Figure 3), the velocity distribution presents a higher number of points with negative measures when compared to the previous years (
Figure 4). These points are shown in yellow or red, and the negative value indicates that they are moving away from the satellite orbit, so they are qualitatively correlated to the subsidence phenomenon. As shown by the presence of negative values in
Figure 4, it is not possible to exclude the possibility that subsidence also occurred before the construction of the metro line, for reasons uncorrelated with the excavations. However, it can be noticed how the points with negative velocity values strongly cluster along the subway route in
Figure 3. Moreover, the underground work proceeded from the east of the reported area, moving westward; this may explain the larger concentration of these points on the rightmost portion of the figure.
To quantitatively study the subsidence phenomenon in the period from 2017 to 2019, the probability distribution of velocity values is estimated. Assuming a Gaussian distribution, the values have a mean equal to and a standard deviation equal to . This distribution allows identifying the negative outliers, points that deviate most from the general behavior of the distribution on the negative branch, in which the velocity is lower than , that is to say, all the points with less than 0.14% probability of belonging to the same statistical distribution. From a physical point of view, these outliers can be interpreted as locations where subsidence is particularly prominent.
As seen in
Figure 5, although the points outside this lower threshold are not exclusively distributed along the track, approximately 52% of them are concentrated in the route proximity (route ± 150 m). These points fall mainly on the route between San Giovanni station and the intermediate station of Amba Aradam/Ipponio, where the depth of the tunnels is about 30 m. On the other hand, in the latter part, the depth increases up to 57 m at shaft 3.2. Moreover, this portion of the track has been subjected to excavations near the end of the period for which data are available, so it was expected to find fewer points outside the threshold. The presence of excavation-induced subsidence was also confirmed in other studies [
28,
29].
3.2. Entropy-Energy Representation
The representations of mean velocity and entropy-energy data are basically complementary, that is, they provide different information, which are correlated. The entropy of a signal coming from a structural system defines its propensity to follow a deterministic behavior. That is to say, a lower entropy corresponds to a higher deterministic behavior. An output signal can change its characteristics due to: (i) system properties changes, and (ii) variation of input source. The interest here is only to input independent features; thus, what matters is how the entropy changes in relation to its energy value. This allows for discarding input-related variations, which are not of interest for SHM. When the entropy changes its value (in relation to its energy level) this means that the system changes its internal correlation (since entropy is used to estimate system complexity). Importantly, this can also happen if the mean velocities of the points remain constant; however, the opposite is not true, since an increase in the mean velocity would lead to higher energy and thus lower entropy. Thus, the mean velocity cannot change if the entropy-energy level remains constant.
Therefore, the energy-entropy representation implicitly carries more information than the mean velocity. The mean velocity is only representative of the displacement trend over time. Instead, any variation in the trend, frequency content, amplitude and phase is reflected in the entropy-energy representation.
An example is when a signal with zero mean increases its amplitude (e.g., due to a loss of stiffness). In this case, the mean velocity, being unchanged, would not allow for any novelty (thus, damage) detection. On the contrary, an increase in amplitude with constant mean velocity would lead to a change in entropy-energy values, and thus to a potential change of the complexity of the system. The mean velocity, however, is still an important datum to monitor because its straightforward physical meaning is connected to the rate of displacement in time (e.g., subsidence or swelling of the soil).
While it is true that entropy-energy representations cannot be adopted for the description of a whole urban area if the systems falling in the area are too different from a structural point of view, in the paper, the entropy-energy representation is used to study individual buildings. From the point scatter regression and probability distribution, it was possible to derive the limit curves (threshold 0.3% and 99.7%, according to the 3-sigma rule) and use them for the identification of outliers, i.e., points at which the signal deviates from the global analytical model and therefore requires further investigation. In order to quantify this deviation, the use of the Mahalanobis distance has been adopted. The points at which the entropy displays a low distance from the mean model can be interpreted as less stochastic (more deterministic). Conversely, if the entropy has a higher distance from the model, it indicates a less deterministic point.
The following results refer to the building complex at the intersection of Via Emanuele Filiberto and Via Castrense (
Figure 6), adjacent to San Giovanni’s station, in the period from 2017 to 2019. It has been analyzed as, according to the velocity, this area presents a concentration of points that are outside the subsidence threshold shown in
Figure 5.
Figure 7 shows the dispersion of points and the mean model, which has a quadratic trend on a logarithmic scale. It also shows the analytical model’s probability distribution function (PDF) and allows the evaluation of the outliers.
3.3. Comparison of the Two Representations
The two approaches for representing the data shown above allow the localization of points of significant interest for monitoring structures and the subsidence phenomenon. These outcomes cannot be directly interpreted to perform novelty detection due to the limitations of the input data. However, it is possible to compare the results obtained through the two approaches to verify them. In detail, it is investigated how the points with a high-intensity negative velocity are distributed with respect to the values of entropy and energy of the signal.
Figure 8a shows that points with higher absolute velocity have lower entropy values, concentrated in the range 0.8–0.82.
In contrast, points with velocities close to zero exhibit greater entropy. As the velocity increases beyond 0.5 cm/y, a further decrease in entropy is shown.
Figure 8b shows how the energy remains low for velocity values close to zero and increases significantly for lower velocity values. These points correspond to locations subject to accentuated subsidence (beyond the
limit). Hence, in the entropy-energy dispersion, they constitute the decreasing branch on the right (
Figure 9).
It can be observed that the experimental data subject to subsidence (low entropy and high energy) show lower variance with respect to the mean model, hence, lower uncertainty, and could be interpreted as signals related to perturbations that are actually moving those points. These points are represented in blue in
Figure 10. The figure also shows in red the points that are defined as outliers of the entropy-energy dispersion, which are above the analytical threshold. Their signals show higher entropy than predicted by the mean model; thus, they are subjected to higher complexity and require further investigation, especially those that coincide with subsidence points.
For greater accuracy of the results, it would be necessary to identify and exclude any spurious points not related to the area of the buildings. In addition, structural type and features, such as the number of stories, should be investigated to reveal any variations due to dissimilarities between the adjacent structures. However, this can be left out as a consequence of the simplifying assumptions adopted in
Section 2.
The entropy-energy dispersion can be further discussed by comparing two different periods to study the results before and after tunnel excavation. Given the complete dataset from 2011 to 2019, the following section distinguishes two periods of the same duration: 2011–2015 and 2015–2019.
Figure 11 shows the correlation between the entropy-energy dispersion and the LOS velocity in the period from 2011 to 2015. Meanwhile,
Figure 12 refers to the period from 2015 to 2019.
Figure 11a displays a higher level of scattering than
Figure 12a. In addition, velocity values in the period 2011–2015 are more evenly dispersed when compared to the following period, and their intensity in the negative portion is lower, therefore significant subsidence is not observed. Consequently, the entropy-energy dispersion in the first period (
Figure 13a) has fewer points on the low entropy–high energy branch with respect to
Figure 13b, none of which reaches the limit of subsidence previously evaluated.
The comparison between the two periods is subsequently carried out by observing the variation in the parameters governing the fitting curves. A rational function of the second degree (Equation (2)) is used to fit the entropy-velocity dispersion
shown in
Figure 11a and
Figure 12a, and a nonlinear regression model is used, starting from null initial parameters. Thus, the mean model of the dispersion of the points is obtained. Subsequently, the regression model of the deviations from the mean model is studied, using the same type of equation:
It can be observed that Equation (2) is symmetrical with respect to the axis . This condition derives from the intention to study the structural response in the range of small displacements, for which the structure is deemed to exhibit linear elastic behavior. In addition, it is assumed that the effect of settlements is also linear.
The first parameter of the mean model, which represents the value of the curve for null velocity, is subjected to a slight reduction, which is related to a global decrease in the system entropy in the second period. Instead, the ratio between
p2 and
p3 represents the limit value assumed by the function for high speed (in absolute value), normalized with respect to the
p1 value. In addition, an increase in the values of
p2 and
p3, while maintaining the same ratio, corresponds to a reduction in the amplitude of the curve with respect to the vertical axis, as the inflection points tend to be closer to the axis (
). It occurs for the entropy in the second period, as shown by
Figure 14a, where the two parameters increase, making the curve narrower with respect to the origin, so it tends toward the horizontal asymptotes more rapidly.
For the system’s variance (
Figure 14b), the three parameters decrease from the first period to the second, reducing variance, especially for high velocity modules. It is worth noting that the parameters fitting guarantees positive variance.
Figure 15 shows the parameters derived from a nonlinear regression model to construct the mean and standard deviation fittings of the energy-velocity
dispersion. A second-order polynomial model is used for the evaluation of the mean curve and the standard deviation, as a parabolic shape can easily be identified in the dispersion, especially in
Figure 12b. As previously stated, the curves follow the hypothesis of linear elastic behavior; therefore, the vertices of the parabolic curves are fixed on the axis
.
The two average curves are similar, but higher energy values are reached in the second period at the same velocities. This effect is represented by the increase in the second parameter of the mean curve in
Figure 15a.
As shown by the second parameter in
Figure 15b, there is a significant reduction in the standard deviation between the first and second periods for higher velocity values in modulus.
Figure 16 represents the parameters used to construct the mean and standard deviation model of the entropy-energy
dispersion. These parameters are evaluated using a nonlinear constrained minimization, where
must be positive. A second-order polynomial model is used for the mean curve on a logarithmic scale, as given by
The value of represents the limit of the entropy, on the logarithmic scale, for an energy value that tends toward zero, so tends toward . The sign of expresses the concavity of the quadratic curve, while the ratio expresses its minimum. As mentioned above, a positive value of is enforced, in accordance with the physical meaning of the interpolated data. The decrease in the third parameter leads to a downward curve shift toward lower entropy values from the first period to the second. The module of the second parameter also decreases, leading to an increase in the curve slope on the logarithmic scale. Instead, the increase in the first parameter reduces the model’s curvature; therefore, the entropy decreases faster with the energy increase.
The curve tends to lower and shift toward higher energy values. The effect given by the first and third parameters is to obtain an approximately constant stretch at low entropy. A first-order polynomial curve models the standard deviation adopting the least-squares method. The parameters are shown in
Figure 16b. The first parameter increases in modulus, representing a more rapid reduction in variance with increasing energy. In addition, the effect of the second parameter is added, causing an upward shift. Thus, for low energy values, a similar standard deviation is obtained in the two periods, whereas for lower entropy values, a lower deviation is obtained. The points result closer to the mean model.
Hence, in the second period (the one affected by excavations) there is an evident variation of the dispersions, underlined through the analysis of the fitting parameters. Moreover, the three dispersions analyzed display a reduction of the signal deviation from the mean model, which can be interpreted as lower uncertainty in the measures.
3.4. The Colosseum Case Study
The velocity-entropy-energy approach is also adopted to analyze another case study, i.e., the Colosseum, chosen for its importance in the area, considering its artistic, historical and cultural significance.
The period for which the data are available (2011–2019) does not include the excavation operations on the tunnel in the proximity of this structure, which are more recent. Nevertheless, it is possible to evaluate the application of the entropy-energy approach to a monumental structure with distinctive features to identify the outliers. In addition, since the area has not yet been subjected to excavation, it is possible to compare the dispersions in the two periods identified above to verify that no significant variations have occurred. It allows validating the correlation between the parameters’ variation and the effects of excavation on the building studied in previous sections.
The first analysis concerns the entropy-energy distribution for the available period, shown in
Figure 17. Defining the average model and the thresholds related to the standard deviation makes it possible to identify the outliers. It is observed that these points fall mainly on the high values of entropy and low energy. The localization of these points on the Colosseum, reported in
Figure 18, highlights that they are distributed mainly on the base and in a cluster on the west end of the structure. Therefore, although further investigation is required, the presence of these outliers could be due to a differential behavior of the west end with respect to the whole system.
Analogously to the previous case study, the velocity, entropy and energy dispersions in the first and second half of the reference period are studied to highlight possible changes (
Figure 19,
Figure 20 and
Figure 21). In addition, the parameters for the mean trends and standard deviation curves, respectively, are reported (
Figure 22,
Figure 23 and
Figure 24).
The entropy-velocity
scatter in
Figure 19a and
Figure 20a shows a slight decrease in entropy for velocities with high modulus, represented by the change in the first parameter of the mean curve (
Figure 22a). The energy-velocity
dispersion in
Figure 19b and
Figure 20b shows minimal changes in the average behavior, as shown by the parameters in
Figure 23, though, in the second period, there are points showing higher velocity modules in the negative, as well as the positive section.
Finally, the entropy-energy
dispersions in
Figure 21 exhibit similar characteristics, highlighted by the parameters in
Figure 24. It can be observed that there is no significant change in the standard deviation of the points from the mean models. Moreover, as expected, the overall variation in the mean models is lower than in the previous case study. It should be noted that the Colosseum is only analyzed on an anthropogenic basis. Therefore, it would be appropriate to extend the analysis to also consider other aspects because of its complex hydrogeological configuration, which could lead to further data perturbations.