1. Introduction
Agriculture is a vital economic sector that provides food to human beings, which is required for their survival on earth. Besides food, it provides raw material to different industries, and thus plays a crucial role in the economic growth and development of a country. Pakistan is an agricultural country, and therefore agriculture contributes about 19.3% to its GDP (gross domestic product) and most of its exported commodities are agricultural products [
1].
Pakistan has two cropping seasons, Rabi and Kharif. In Kharif season, generally, sowing starts in the last few days of April and early May, and ends in late October and early November. In Rabi season, sowing usually starts in late November and early December, and ends in the months of March and April. Cotton, maize, sugarcane and rice are the main Kharif crops, while wheat, tobacco, mustard and barley are Rabi season crops [
2].
Rice with the botanical name
Oryza sativa L. is one of the major Kharif crops in Pakistan. It belongs to the grass family “Graminae”, and after corn is the second most important staple food for the world population. One hundred grams of rice contains 130 calories, 69% water, 2.4 g of proteins, and 28.7 g of carbohydrates. It also provides necessary vitamins including thiamin, riboflavin, and niacin [
3,
4].
World rice production was estimated at 496.40 million tons in 2020. China is the world’s largest rice producer, accounting for up to 30% of global rice production. Its production is the highest in Asia, with an average of 6.5 tonnes per hectare [
1]. The five largest rice producers, as well as rice consuming countries, are Vietnam, Bangladesh, India, China, and Indonesia. In 2020–2021, milled rice production amounted to 34.6 million metric tonnes (MT) in Bangladesh, 122.27 million MT in India, 148.3 million MT in China, 35.3 million MT in Indonesia, and 27.38 million MT in Vietnam (See
Figure 1).
Pakistan comes 10th in the ranking of rice production. In Pakistan, rice was grown on a total of 3.034 million hectares of land with an overall production of 7.410 tons (millions) and an average yield of 2442 kg per hectare [
3]. Punjab is the top rice-producing province of Pakistan. In the period 2017–2018, its production was 3475.0 thousand tons on an area of 1840.9 thousand hectares with an average yield of 1888 kg per hectare. In terms of yield per hectare, Sindh (3441 kg/Ha) and Baluchistan (3262 kg/Ha) were ranked first and second, respectively. In Khyber Pakhtunkhwa, the overall production (147.5 thousand tons) and yield (2394 kg per hectare) for rice are low, despite having fertile soil and plenty of freshwater for irrigation [
2]. Lower production in the province may be somewhat due to the decrease in the agricultural lands because of growing population or due to use of traditional farming practices instead of modern technology. The majority of farming societies in the province are unable to implement modern and up-to-date agricultural resources due to their higher prices and lack of sufficient funds to finance agriculture. Hence, to increase rice productivity in such areas, it is essential that farmers are able to utilize their existing farm resources efficiently by improving their technicality and efficiency (technical efficiency) in farming.
The concept of technical efficiency was first time proposed by [
5]. This method was introduced for the first time to measure and enlighten the technical efficiency of individuals in a production process. According to [
5,
6,
7], technical efficiency simply measures the deviation of a farm on isoquant from the best producer of a group and generally reflects a farm’s ability and expertise to accomplish the maximum output using the available resources and technology, without discussing the relative market prices of the input or output. Technical efficiency does not consider market prices, but only the amount of used resources and gained output. Its performance is related to the socioeconomic features of the farm, such as age, experience, education, etc. Therefore, these factors make an individual aware of all the necessary elements that are required in a production process [
8,
9,
10]. Improving these characteristics improves technical efficiency and ultimately leads to higher productivity [
11].
In the Swat district of the Khyber Pakhtunkhwa province, the potential for increasing the yield of rice is optimistic; however, the current low rice yield and ultimate production in this district needs to be investigated. This specific study was, therefore, conducted in the Swat district of Khyber Pakhtunkhwa. This district is endowed with plenty of freshwater resources and fertile lands that are quite suitable for the cultivation of rice. The hardworking farming community of the district have the potential to enhance yield of rice, but low yield might be due to traditional farming practices, poor-technology, lack of farming information, and the over or under utilization of available resources.
Little research work has been conducted on the technical efficiency (TE) of rice in the Swat district, KPK, with the exception of one study [
12], which were conducted on cost benefit analysis of different rice varieties and the economic analysis of rice crop cultivation in the Swat district. Thus, to fill this gap, there is a dire need to investigate the factors responsible for the low yield and production of rice in the Swat district. Therefore, this study was designed to unveil the factors responsible for low rice yield and to analyze the rice farmers’ technical efficiency (TE) in the Swat district, KPK. This study aimed to analyze the following objectives: (i) to analyze the inefficiency of rice farmers and identify the key determinants triggering this inefficiency; (ii) to investigate the key determinants of rice yield in the Swat district and to estimate the cost-benefit analysis of rice production in the Swat district.
The study was carried out to estimate the technical efficiency of rice farmers in the Swat district of Khyber Pakhtunkhwa. Area wise, Swat is the 15th largest district of KPK and is one of the most beautiful and tourist-intensive areas of Pakistan. It is located in the foothills of the Hindu Kush mountain range. Its capital is Saidu Sharif, and its largest city is Mingora; its population is recorded as 2.309 million with a total area of about 5337 square kilometers. Tourism and agriculture are the main sectors of the district’s economy [
13,
14]. The district is famous for the production of great quality rice, and its local variety “Beghami” is in high demand in the district as well as in all other parts of the country, due to its taste (See
Figure 2.)
3. Results and Discussion
This section explains the socioeconomic characteristics of rice growers, including age, education, experience, tenancy status, and area of rice, along with the major factors that affect the rice production and inefficiency of rice farmers in the Swat district.
3.1. Socio-Economic Characteristics of the Farmers
Socio-economic characteristics such as age, experience regarding a specific crop, literacy, and tenancy status of the farmers always have a great impact on the production of crops. The greater the age of the farmers, the less technically efficient they are at producing crops; younger farmers are typically more hardworking. Similarly, educated and experienced farmers are more efficient as compared to illiterate and less experienced individuals.
Table 2 shows that the mean age of the farmers was recorded as 44.15 years with a max of 64, min of 25, and std. deviation of 7.10 years. The mean education level of the growers was recorded as 8.31 schooling years with a standard deviation of 2.90 ranging between 0 and 16 schooling years. Experience improves sowing and harvesting practices and increases farmers’ familiarity with innovations in farming. The average length of farming experience, measured in years, was 26.21 with a maximum, minimum, and standard deviation of 46, 7, and 7.17 years, respectively. The total number of owners in the study area was 99, with a percentage of 48.52, while the total number of tenants in the study area was 105 with a percentage of 51.47. The results are given in
Table 2 below.
3.2. Cost of Production of Rice per Acre
Table 3 portrays the costs of production of rice, including fixed costs and flexible costs (variable). Land rent was taken as fixed, while variable costs include tractor cost, FYM cost, urea cost, DAP cost, seed cost, labor cost, chemical cost, threshing cost, machine cost, and miscellaneous costs. Fixed costs are the charges which are made by the producer on fixed factors of production, and which the producer is unable to change during the process of production. In the production of rice, land rent was taken as the only fixed cost. The average land cost in the study area was calculated as PKR 19,324.73. Variable costs were the expenditures made by the producer on variable factors during the process of production. The brief to each cost is explained below.
Costs of tractors include the cost of deep-ploughing, farm levelling, ploughing, and planking. The per hour tractor’s cost varied in all three tehsils. In the study area, the mean cost of tractor hours was estimated as PKR 4752.99 per acre. Seed is essential input in a production process, as their proper usage increases production. The mean cost incurred on seeds was calculated as PKR 1707.85, while the average cost on FYM was recorded as PKR 2476.28. Fertilizer cost includes the cost of urea and DAP; DAP enhances the production of rice and provides essential nourishment to plants, whereas urea is a stable organic fertilizer that can improve the quality of soil. The average cost of urea was found to be PKR 4634.60, while DAP contributed, on average, PKR 3584.31 to the total cost. Pesticide and weedicide are important as they help farmers to grow more food on less land by protecting crops from pests, disease, and weeds. The mean cost of chemicals in the study area was calculated as PKR 2500. Thresher is a farm machine that threshes grain, and was first invented in the year 1786 by Andrew Meikle in Scotland. The mean threshing cost was calculated as PKR 6875.07, while the average cost incurred using a rice huller (usually used to separate husk from grains) was recorded as PKR 14,040.31. Miscellaneous costs included transportation charges and price of bags in the study area. The mean cost for miscellaneous items was recorded as PKR 3390.10.
3.3. Gross and Net Revenue from Rice (PKR/Acre)
Table 4 shows that, on average, rice farmers gained a yield of 2096.49 kg/acre. Gross revenue, the sum of the market value of the main product and the byproduct, was recoded as PKR 167,712. The total amount of cost incurred by the sampled farmers was recorded as PKR 73,407.87, and the net revenue was recorded as PKR 94,304.13.
Table 5 displays the variables’ summary statistics used in the model. The average yield recorded was 2100.32 kg/acre with a standard deviation of 153.54. Average seed sown in a one-acre rice field was recorded as 21.2 kg, with a standard deviation of 3.29 kg.
On average, a tractor was used for 3.95 h per acre, while the average urea and DAP applied in a one-acre rice field were calculated as 120.71 kg and 44.24 kg, respectively. The average application of chemicals was recorded as 1.52 L/acre, while the average age, education, and experience were found to be 44.15, 8.18, and 26.21, respectively, in years.
3.4. MLE Estimates of SFA Model
Table 6 shows that coefficients of urea, DAP, chemicals, labor, and FYM were estimated as 0.25, 0.02, 0.22, 0.03, and 0.01, respectively. The results of the Stochastic Frontier model disclosed that urea, DAP, weedicides and pesticides (chemicals), labor, and farmyard manure (FYM) were positive and statistically significant at five and one percent levels. This implies that the rise in the usage of the aforementioned variables enhanced the rice yield significantly in the study area [
20,
42,
43]. The coefficient of seed and tractor were found to be positive, but not significant statistically; this might be due to the unsuitable use of both of these variables. Some positive but insignificant results were found by [
41].
Furthermore, the results of the study indicated that the estimated coefficient for chemicals was significantly positive, divulging that one percent increase in the use of chemicals such as pesticides and weedicides, etc., raised the rice yield by 0.22 percent. The results correspond to that of [
29,
44].
The estimated coefficients of variables such as urea, DAP, and FYM had positive and quite significant effects on rice yield, and their estimated values showed that rice yield increased by 0.25%, 0.23%, and 0.01% with one percent in these inputs, respectively. The same results for these variables were estimated by [
10,
33,
45,
46,
47]. The estimated value of labor with a positive effect and statistical significance disclosed that a 1% rise in working hours could enhance the rice yield by 0.03 percent, and the results are in accordance with [
20,
43,
48]. Furthermore, the coefficient for tractor hours in the study was found positive and statistically insignificant, with the estimated value of 0.01, implying that a unit increase in the use of a tractor had no significant effect on rice yield, and farmers should focus more on puddling instead of plowing. The same insignificant results for tractors were estimated by [
42,
49]. The coefficient of seed was found positive and statistically insignificant in the study area; this may be due to the late sowing or inappropriate amount of seeds sown, and the results are consistent with that of [
50]. The variance parameter Gamma (γ), through the estimated value of (γ) = σ
u2/σ
2v, which is 0.729, revealed that 72.9% of the difference between the observed and frontier level rice output was because of technical inefficiency, while the remaining 28 percent of the variation was caused by some arbitrary reasons that were not in the farmers’ control.
3.5. Technical Inefficiency Factors and Estimated Values
To analyze the inefficiency (technical) of the sampled farmers, the Stochastic Frontier model 2 was employed. The coefficients for age, education, farming experience, and tenancy status were estimated as 0.022, −0.007, −0.023 and −0.002, respectively. The results of
Table 7 reveal that age had a positive and statistically significant influence on the rice growers’ inefficiency at a 5% significance level, showing that one percent increase in individuals’ age could increase their inefficiency by 0.022 percent. This may be because younger farmers possess a lower ability and are comparatively weak, and therefore unable to perform all the farm practices in the way that elder farmers can; the results are in accordance to [
31,
48]. The statistically significant and negative value for education level revealed that inefficiency of the farmers decreased by 0.007, with an increase in education years by one percent. The reason is that education plays a vigorous role in farmers’ efficiency, and educated farmers always utilize inputs in an appropriate manner, as compared to illiterate farmers, because they have proper knowledge regarding agronomic practices and new technology; these results are in line with that of [
10,
51]. The coefficient of farming experience was estimated as −0.023 negative and statistically significant at a 1% of confidence interval, showing that one percent increase in experience would decrease the farmer’s inefficiency by 0.023 percent. These findings implied that farming experience has an adverse impact on farmer’s inefficiency because experienced farmers have more knowledge about a specific crop. These results are similar to [
43,
52,
53]. The dummy coefficient for tenancy status was found to be negative but highly insignificant, indicating that tenancy status does have a negative relationship with inefficiency, but the result was insignificant, corresponding to [
10].
3.6. Frequency Distribution of Technical Efficiency
Table 8 shows the frequency distribution, mean, maximum, and minimum efficiency level of the sampled rice cultivators in the Swat district. The results showed that the mean technical efficiency in rice production was 0.87, with a minimum of 0.66 and a maximum of 0.99, which means that the sampled growers had the ability to enhance their efficiency by 13 percent with the available resources. The estimated mean technical efficiency of this study was almost the same as that of [
43,
54,
55]. Similarly, the mean efficiency as compared to [
15,
56,
57] was greater, and lower compared to [
58].
Among all the sampled individuals, 17 farmers (8.33%) had an efficiency level between 60 and 80, 158 farmers (77.4%) had an efficiency score ranging from 81 to 90, and 29 (29%) farmers had an efficiency score above 90.
3.7. Diagnostic Tests
3.7.1. Normality
The normality plot of residuals given in
Figure 3. The normality problem was checked in the study through a histogram which showed that the data had no such problem, and was normally distributed with zero mean and constant variance.
3.7.2. Heteroscedasticity
The Breusch–Pagan test was used to check the problem of heteroscedasticity and the result of the test revealed that the data was homoscedastic.
3.7.3. Multicollinearity
To check the multicollinearity in the estimated model, the given correlation matrix was constructed for the explanatory variables used in the regression analysis, which showed that the there was no strong association among the explanatory variables, suggesting that the dataset had no multicollinearity problem.
Next,
Table 9. shows the correlation matrix of the explanatory variables of study. All of the variables are directly related to each other except tractor is inversely correlated to DAP.
3.8. Discussion
The investigation of input and technology usage in rice production at national as well as provincial and regional levels is very important for policy makers and planners. They need to analyze the current status of farmer’s efficiency in terms of input utilization for maximum possible yield, and to identify determinants of inefficiency in order to meet the growing demand for rice consumption in the country. The current study was conducted in Khyber Pakhtunkhwa (Pakistan) with the main objective of measuring the technical efficiency of rice production and identifying factors responsible for inefficiency, if any. The results from the estimation of Stochastic Frontier Model (SFA) on a primary dataset from rice farmers revealed that urea, diammonium phosphate (DAP), chemicals (pesticides and weedicides), labor, and farmyard manure had positive significant effects on rice yield. The inefficiency analysis identified education and farming experience as negatively associated significant factors. This implies that growers’ yield can be increased with education and experience. These results are in line with findings of [
59,
60]. Quality education enhances farmers’ ability to seek, interpret, and make good use of available information and inputs. The coefficient of age was positive and significant, which indicates that with an increase in rice grower’s age, technical efficiency decreases. The results of the study for age are supported by [
12,
61]. They reported that older farmers are less willing to adopt new technology and inputs. Moreover, they have less contact with extension workers.
The studies conducted by [
54,
62] on technical efficiency rice crop in Bangladesh, primary data were collected from 115 rice growers. Labor days, fertilizer, pesticides, seed, irrigation and farm size were considered independent variables. Except farm size, all the pre-mentioned variables were found to significantly contribute to rice production. Mean technical efficiency score was found to be 89.5%. They reported that, in the study area, yield could be increased by giving awareness to rice growers on the recommended levels of these inputs.
In another study conducted by [
43] on the technical efficiency of rice crop in Punjab province (Pakistan), the primary data of 300 rice growers on area of rice crop, seed, labor per season, numbers of irrigation, fertilizer (both chemical and farmyard) and tractor hours were considered as explanatory variables in production function. It was revealed that area, seed, fertilizer and irrigation significantly contributed to rice production. In inefficiency model education, relevant experience, access to market, and credit were considered. These variables were found to be negatively correlated with the technical inefficiency of rice growers in study area. Mean technical efficiency was reported as 86%.
A study was conducted by [
49] on the technical efficiency of rice crop in major rice growing districts of Punjab, Pakistan. In their study, explanatory variables were area of rice crop, plowing hours, irrigation hours, labor days, plan protection (pesticides, weedicides) and plant nutrients (chemical fertilizer). The coefficient of seed was positive and non-significant. A possible reason reported was that seed sown without treatment with chemicals would increase the chances of disease, and effect technical efficiency. Moreover, [
49] found that seed dressing with chemicals had a yield significance and positive relationship with the technical efficiency of rice crop. Seed dressing with chemicals reduced the probability of disease and appeared in terms of higher output. Our results for seed dressing are supported by [
49].
A study was conducted by [
61] on the technical efficiency of rice crop in Uttar Pradesh State of India. Cross sectional data from 800 rice growers was analyzed. It was reported that labor, irrigation and hybrid seed yield had a constructive impact on the technical efficiency of rice production. Timely access to credit and information via extension services showed a positive impact on technical efficiency, while tenurial status and experience yield had a negative impact on the technical efficiency of rice growers in the study area. Mean technical efficiency score was noted as 72%.
4. Conclusions and Policy Recommendations
This study analyzed the technical efficiency of rice growing farmers in the Swat district of the KPK province. The study showed that cost incurred by the rice farmers in the study area was about PKR 73,407.87, and the net revenue was recorded as PKR 94,304.13 with an average yield of almost 2096 kg/acre. The estimated coefficients of urea, DAP, chemicals, labor, and FYM were highly significant and positive with the estimated values of 0.25, 0.02, 0.22, 0.03, and 0.01, respectively. The gamma (γ) was estimated as 0.729, revealing that 72.9% of the difference between the observed and frontier level rice output was because of technical inefficiency. The estimates of Stochastic Frontier model 2 showed that age, education, and farming experience had a significant effect on farmers’ efficiency with the values of 0.022, −0.007, −0.023, respectively, whereas tenancy status had no significant effect on their efficiency. The mean technical efficiency in rice production was 0.87, with a minimum of 0.66 and a maximum of 0.99. Whereas 17 farmers (8.3%) had an efficiency level between 60 and 80, 158 farmers (77.4%) had an efficiency score ranging from 81 to 90, and 29 (29%) farmers had an efficiency score above 90.
This was the first attempted study in the area and was limited to a single crop; therefore, generalization of our results should be handled carefully. Technical efficiency guides the scientist to reconsider inputs level and technology.
Based on these findings, this study recommends the local extension department arrange training programs for rice growers to develop their agronomic skills and facilitate them with the technical knowledge for efficient resource allocation. Urea and DAP, being essential inputs in rice production, should be provided at subsidized prices to encourage local farmers and improve production in the study area. Furthermore, with rice being the second most important staple food in Pakistan, researchers need to focus on this specific crop in other major ecological zones of KPK to spread awareness regarding the problems faced by rice growers, and improve its production.