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Agriculture
Volume 15
Issue 3
10.3390/agriculture15030320
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This is an early access version, the complete PDF, HTML, and XML versions will be available soon.
Article

Analysis of the Distribution Pattern of Asparagus in China Under Climate Change Based on a Parameter-Optimized MaxEnt Model

by
Qiliang Yang
1,2,3,4,
Chunwei Ji
1,2,3,4,
Na Li
1,2,3,4,*,
Haixia Lin
5,
Mengchun Li
1,2,3,4,
Haojie Li
1,2,3,4,
Saiji Heng
1,2,3,4 and
Jiaping Liang
1,2,3,4,*
1
Faculty of Modern Agricultural Engineering, Kunming University of Science and Technology, Kunming 650500, China
2
International Joint Laboratory of Intelligent Agricultural Engineering Technology and Equipment in Yunnan Province, Kunming 650500, China
3
Yunnan Provincial Field Scientific Observation and Research Station on Water-Soil-Crop System in Seasonal Arid Region, Kunming University of Science and Technology, Kunming 650500, China
4
Key Laboratory of Efficient Utilisation of Agricultural Water Resources and Intelligent Control in Yunnan Province, Kunming 650500, China
5
College of Water Conservancy and Architectural Engineering, Shihezi University, Shihezi 832003, China
*
Authors to whom correspondence should be addressed.
Agriculture 2025, 15(3), 320; https://doi.org/10.3390/agriculture15030320 (registering DOI)
Submission received: 19 November 2024 / Revised: 23 December 2024 / Accepted: 17 January 2025 / Published: 31 January 2025
(This article belongs to the Section Ecosystem, Environment and Climate Change in Agriculture)
Versions Notes

Abstract

Asparagus (Asparagus officinalis L.) has high health and nutritional values, but the lack of scientific and rational cultivation planning has resulted in a decline in asparagus quality and yield. Important soil, climatic, anthropogenic, and topographic environmental factors influencing the distribution of asparagus cultivation were chosen for this study. The Kuenm package in the R language (v4.2.1) was employed to optimize the maximum entropy model (MaxEnt). Pearson’s correlation analysis, optimized MaxEnt, and geographic information spatial technology were then utilized to identify the main environmental factors that influence suitable habitats for asparagus in China. Potential distribution patterns, migration, and changes in trends concerning the suitability of asparagus in China under various historical and future climate scenarios were modeled and projected. Human activities and climate factors were found to be the primary environmental factors that influence the suitability distribution of asparagus cultivation in China, followed by soil and topographic factors. Historical suitable habitats covered 345.6 × 105 km2, accounting for 36% of China. These habitats are projected to expand considerably under future climatic conditions. This research offers a basis for the rational planning and sustainable development of asparagus cultivation.
Keywords: asparagus; climate change; human activities; model parameter optimization; habitat suitability asparagus; climate change; human activities; model parameter optimization; habitat suitability

Share and Cite

MDPI and ACS Style

Yang, Q.; Ji, C.; Li, N.; Lin, H.; Li, M.; Li, H.; Heng, S.; Liang, J. Analysis of the Distribution Pattern of Asparagus in China Under Climate Change Based on a Parameter-Optimized MaxEnt Model. Agriculture 2025, 15, 320. https://doi.org/10.3390/agriculture15030320

AMA Style

Yang Q, Ji C, Li N, Lin H, Li M, Li H, Heng S, Liang J. Analysis of the Distribution Pattern of Asparagus in China Under Climate Change Based on a Parameter-Optimized MaxEnt Model. Agriculture. 2025; 15(3):320. https://doi.org/10.3390/agriculture15030320

Chicago/Turabian Style

Yang, Qiliang, Chunwei Ji, Na Li, Haixia Lin, Mengchun Li, Haojie Li, Saiji Heng, and Jiaping Liang. 2025. "Analysis of the Distribution Pattern of Asparagus in China Under Climate Change Based on a Parameter-Optimized MaxEnt Model" Agriculture 15, no. 3: 320. https://doi.org/10.3390/agriculture15030320

APA Style

Yang, Q., Ji, C., Li, N., Lin, H., Li, M., Li, H., Heng, S., & Liang, J. (2025). Analysis of the Distribution Pattern of Asparagus in China Under Climate Change Based on a Parameter-Optimized MaxEnt Model. Agriculture, 15(3), 320. https://doi.org/10.3390/agriculture15030320

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