Linkage Effects Mining in Stock Market Based on Multi-Resolution Time Series Network
Abstract
:1. Introduction
2. A Complex Network Model Based on MODWT (Maximal Overlap Discrete Wavelet Transform)
- Feature extraction of multi-resolution time series: the time-series data are divided by year, and then wavelet decomposition is performed on annual data, thus we can obtain the characteristic sequences of different resolutions during different stages.
- Construction of correlation between plate stock: Pearson correlation coefficients are calculated between the wavelet sequences of different years and different resolutions as the weight of the edges in a complex network.
- Reconstruction of multi-resolution threshold network: the network is built based on the Pearson coefficient of different plate stock, and then optimal threshold is used to select to filter the network side in order to construct a threshold network.
- The evolutionary analysis of complex networks: the evolution and trend of networks are analyzed based on multi-resolution threshold network.
2.1. Feature Extraction of Multi-Resolution Time Series
2.2. Construction of Correlation Between Plate Stock
2.3. Reconstruction of Multi-Resolution Threshold Network
- Calculating the Pearson correlation matrix between plate stock and plate stock.
- According to the correlation matrix, as the edge weight of the network, a fully connected network is constructed.
- By screening the modularity degree of all threshold networks, the optimal modularity degree network is selected.
2.4. The Evolutionary Analysis of Complex Networks
3. Results and Analysis Based on Complex Network Analysis Method
3.1. Data and Preliminary
3.2. Plate Evolution Analysis
3.2.1. Analysis of Industry Plate Linkage Evolution
3.2.2. Analysis of Network Characteristics Evolution
3.2.3. Analysis of Key Node Evolution in the Stock Market
4. Conclusions and Discussion
Author Contributions
Funding
Acknowledgments
Conflicts of Interest
References
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Sub-Series | Time-Frequency Scales |
---|---|
2–4 days | |
4–8 days | |
… | … |
– days | |
> days |
Accuracy | All | D1 | D2 | D3 | D4 | D5 | T5 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2013 | 1 | 0.76 | 0.88 | 0.82 | 0.94 | 0.76 | 0.71 |
2014 | 0.82 | 0.82 | 0.82 | 0.82 | 0.71 | 0.76 | 0.71 |
2015 | 0.88 | 0.76 | 0.76 | 0.82 | 0.82 | 0.76 | 0.76 |
2016 | 0.76 | 0.82 | 0.71 | 0.47 | 0.76 | 0.76 | 0.64 |
2017 | 0.88 | 0.82 | 0.64 | 0.94 | 0.82 | 0.71 | 0.76 |
2018 | 0.82 | 0.88 | 0.76 | 0.82 | 0.76 | 0.64 | 0.71 |
Average | 0.86 | 0.81 | 0.76 | 0.78 | 0.8 | 0.75 | 0.71 |
Accuracy | All | D1 | D2 | D3 | D4 | D5 | T5 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2013 | 1 | 0.73 | 0.93 | 0.86 | 0.86 | 1 | 0.8 |
2014 | 0.93 | 0.86 | 0.86 | 0.93 | 0.93 | 0.73 | 0.8 |
2015 | 0.93 | 0.8 | 0.73 | 0.93 | 0.93 | 0.8 | 0.8 |
2016 | 0.86 | 0.93 | 0.73 | 0.53 | 0.86 | 0.86 | 0.73 |
2017 | 0.86 | 0.8 | 0.73 | 0.93 | 1 | 0.73 | 0.8 |
2018 | 0.93 | 0.86 | 0.86 | 0.93 | 0.8 | 0.67 | 0.73 |
Average | 0.92 | 0.83 | 0.81 | 0.85 | 0.90 | 0.80 | 0.78 |
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Xu, L.; Xu, H.; Yu, J.; Wang, L. Linkage Effects Mining in Stock Market Based on Multi-Resolution Time Series Network. Information 2018, 9, 276. https://doi.org/10.3390/info9110276
Xu L, Xu H, Yu J, Wang L. Linkage Effects Mining in Stock Market Based on Multi-Resolution Time Series Network. Information. 2018; 9(11):276. https://doi.org/10.3390/info9110276
Chicago/Turabian StyleXu, Lingyu, Huan Xu, Jie Yu, and Lei Wang. 2018. "Linkage Effects Mining in Stock Market Based on Multi-Resolution Time Series Network" Information 9, no. 11: 276. https://doi.org/10.3390/info9110276
APA StyleXu, L., Xu, H., Yu, J., & Wang, L. (2018). Linkage Effects Mining in Stock Market Based on Multi-Resolution Time Series Network. Information, 9(11), 276. https://doi.org/10.3390/info9110276