Adaptation of Agriculture to Climate Change: A Scoping Review
Abstract
:1. Introduction
1.1. Adaptation Strategies—Definitions for Agriculture
1.2. Adaptation Strategies: Scaling from National to Farmer Levels
1.3. Adaptation Strategies for Agricultural Development and Production at Different Levels
2. Materials and Methods
3. Results
3.1. Climate Change
3.2. Changes in Agriculture Due to the Effect of Climate Change
3.3. Adaptation Strategies and Actions
3.3.1. Agricultural Adaptation Strategies and Actions: Local Scale
3.3.2. Agricultural Adaptation Strategies and Actions: Regional Level
3.3.3. Agricultural Adaptation Strategies and Actions: National Level
4. Discussion
4.1. Climate Change and Agriculture: Shortcomings and Advantages
4.2. “Bottom-Up” and “Top-Down” Approaches: Pros and Cons
4.3. Intercropping as a Cultivation Technique
4.4. Traditional and Indigenous Knowledge
4.5. Biodiversity-Based Agriculture
4.6. Climate Smart Agriculture
4.7. Catching Maladaptation before It Happens
5. Conclusions and Recommendations
Author Contributions
Funding
Data Availability Statement
Conflicts of Interest
References
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## | Study | Study Area | Climate | Climate Change | Effect on Agriculture | ASAs Scale | Agricultural Adaptation Strategies and Actions |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | [80] | Europe | Temperate | 20th century: increase in surface air temperature (0.8 °C), precipitation (10–40%), drought in southern Europe (20%); reduced summer precipitation | Area of cereal cultivation expands northward; reduced reproduction and milk production in dairy cows; for cooler regions: reduced feed requirements, increased survival, lower energy costs; lower yields due to limited moisture supply | Nation | Later sowings in northern Europe; shorter rotations and regular thinning in the forests; soil management and planting techniques for the continental and Mediterranean forests |
2 | [81] | Europe | Temperate-to-Subtropical | Current and projected (by 2050) changes: increased incidents of heat waves and droughts | Negative effects on the continental climate in the Pannonian zone (Hungary, Serbia, Bulgaria, and Romania) | Local | Changing the timing of cultivation; selecting other crop species and cultivars |
3 | [82] | Europe | Temperate-to-Subtropical Mediterranean | 1990 to 2003: increase in temperatures, water shortage, the incidence of heatwaves and related droughts | Reduction of crop yields and the area for cropping; generally lower yields in warmer climates | Local-to-Region | Changing crop rotations and inputs; irrigation management; fertilizer-intensive farmers; and higher exposure to extreme conditions stimulate adaptation |
4 | [47] | Europe | Boreal, Atlantic-to-Temperate-to-Alpine, Mediterranean | Four climate change scenarios for 2080s: increased temperature and precipitation (rainfall); increased risk of floods, drought and water scarcity; loss of glaciers and alteration of permafrost | Disruption of zoning areas and decreased crop productivity; increased area with the need for supplemental irrigation; deterioration of water quality; deterioration of soil quality and desertification; sea level rise intrusion in coastal agricultural areas; increased risk of agricultural pests, diseases, and weeds; deterioration of livestock conditions; improvement in livestock productivity | Local | Changing crop sowing days; growing heat-resistant cultivars; improving soil structure; contour plugging to improve soil drainage and reduce waterlogging; increasing the water-holding capacity of soils; increasing the collection of winter rainwater to increase the supply for subsequent irrigation; pests and diseases: the introduction of resistant or less-susceptible varieties; vaccination as a measure of adaptation to livestock diseases |
5 | [83] | Europe | Temperate | Scenario period 2040–2065 relative to baseline 1980–2005: warmer temperatures and more frequent extreme weather events | 2040–2065: Yield losses for current crop varieties; decrease in spring-sown crops due to shortened growth duration and intensified drought; soil organic carbon decrease | Region | Crop rotations; crop residue management; re-initialization |
6 | [33] | Europe, Nordic countries | Temperate | Differences between 2071–2100 compared to 1961–1990: temperature increase 1–3 °C during spring, summer and autumn; stable or increased precipitation, with 30% increase in northern Sweden during spring; warmer and wetter conditions; more frequent extreme weather events | The vegetation period starts 10–50 days earlier and ends 5–50 days later, increasing agricultural production potential | Local | Northward expansion of crops; introduction of “new” crops and varieties; crop-, soil-, and water management; chemical plant protection; plant breeding |
7 | [84] | Finland | Temperate | The end of the 21st century: warming and lengthening of growing season; reduced time with snow cover; higher precipitation; potential increase in weather variability and extremes (windiness, heavy rains, warm spells) | Potential impact on crop yields; increasing pest risks; yield gains potentiated by longer growing seasons | Local | Intercropping: mixing of forage crops (grasses and legumes) and under-sowing cereals with perennial grasses; multi-species or cultivar-rich forage mixtures; maintaining and improving soil quality and fertility via intercropping |
8 | [85] | Great Britain (Scotland) | Temperate | Projections up to 2030, 2050, and 2100: wetter and warmer winters, drier and warmer summers, a higher frequency of extreme events | Hotter, drier summers impact the current crop growth; opportunities for new types of crops in the future; the negative impact of flooding and severe storms; wetter and warmer weather increases grass growth, supporting the livestock industry in the west and northern regions; extreme heat provides challenges for crops and livestock | Region-to-Nation | Adjusting planting and harvesting dates, selecting resilient crop types to withstand extreme weather, altering pasture and soil management practices, facilitating knowledge transfer, implementing management changes such as providing advice, establishing early weather warning systems, and promoting farmer cooperatives. Additionally, adaptations involve changes in fertilizer application frequency to enhance both inorganic and organic fertilizer efficiency, improved soil management techniques to respond better to wetter and drier conditions, which can support carbon sequestration and retention, as well as the utilization of agroforestry to sequester carbon, stabilize at-risk soils, provide shade and shelter to livestock, create diverse income sources, and support biodiversity by establishing habitats and green corridors; and the provision of transport, irrigation, and other infrastructure |
9 | [86,87] | Netherlands Flevoland Province | Temperate maritime | By 2050: 2 °C increase in global temperature, including changes in air circulation resulting in drier summers; 1 °C increase in global temperature, without changes in air circulation | Average climate change improves farm performance in terms of farm economic results; extreme events reverse the positive impacts of average climate change and pose large risks | Local | Combination of crop and farm level adaptation: shift to (more) winter wheat in systems dominated by root crops |
10 | [88] | Belgium, Loam Region | Temperate maritime | The end of the 21st century: a shift in climate conditions to drier summers and wetter winters | The positive impact of warmer temperatures on some crops, such as winter wheat, and the expected increase in extreme events such as heatwaves and longer drought periods will negatively affect summer crop yields, particularly sugar beet and potatoes | Local | Land-use changes: expanding the area dedicated to less susceptible crops like winter wheat; reducing the portion of land allocated to barley, sugar beet, potatoes, and grain maize; farming practices to mitigate crop stress: irrigation and techniques for conserving soil and water, such as drip irrigation for potatoes; the cost-effectiveness of irrigation practices may not be justified due to the significant financial burdens they would impose on farmers |
11 | [89] | France, Paris | Temperate | Current climate change in seasonal patterns (e.g., temperature, frost, wind) and in extreme events (e.g., droughts, heat waves) | Negative impacts on (i) vegetables (e.g., increased pressure from arthropods, metabolic disorders, decrease in crop yield and quality), (ii) farm management (e.g., increased and more difficult labor, more complex crop planning), and (iii) profitability (e.g., production losses, increased labor, and equipment costs); positive impacts (e.g., potential to extend the growing season or grow tunnel crops outside) | Local | Use of cover crops, mulching, agroforestry, and diversification; alterations in crop planning; implementation of equipment to regulate or ameliorate climatic conditions in enclosed environments like tunnels and efficient irrigation systems |
12 | [90] | Switzerland, Swiss Central Plateau | Temperate | 2050: model ETHZ-CLM: strong climate change signal in summer with +3.5 °C and −24% in seasonal precipitation; model SMHIRCA-HadCM3Q3: moderate changes for the summer season with +1.3 °C and −11% in seasonal precipitation, but an important increase of +21% in seasonal precipitation during the fall | 2050: a decrease in productivity by 0–10 %, an increase in soil loss by 25–35 %, and an increase in N-leaching by 30–45 % | Region | Adjustments in crop distribution, including an increase in the proportion of early-harvested winter cereals at the expense of irrigated spring crops; reduced tillage practices; irrigated areas should be directed toward soils with lower water retention capacity at lower elevations; some pre-alpine grasslands may also be converted into croplands |
13 | [91] | Austria | Temperate | Past 40 years: increase in annual temperature (0.8–1.8 °C); changes in precipitation (−2.2% … +6.2%) | Increasing forage yields; likely benefits for grassland from higher temperatures and CO2 fertilization | Local-to-Nation | Development of the National Adaptation Strategy for Agriculture: Robust adaptation measures should be (i) founded on integrative systems perspectives considering interplay between soil, plants, and water; (ii) sustainability considerations involving farming inputs and natural production factors are essential; (iii) incorporation of global change dynamics, including international market developments. Farmers: adopting irrigation systems, reducing tillage, implementing winter cover crop planting |
14 | [92] | Russia, European part | Temperate | By 2030 (compared to 1990–2020): sharp fluctuations in temperature; heavy rains in the central part; the onset of drought and dehydration of rivers in the south; southern part: increase of water resources shortage | In the central strip, yields will improve due to longer insolation, making it possible to grow agricultural plants that were previously cultivated only in the south | Region | Reducing the agricultural dependence on chemicals and synthetic fertilizers; creating incentives to promote the use of renewable energy sources in all modern agricultural systems |
15 | [93] | Russia | Temperate | +1 °C warming: precipitation increase in the north and decrease in the south; changes in physical and geographical zoning | The growth of aridity in the south of the country. In the northern part, the thermal regime is expected to improve. In the whole country, climate change will not significantly affect the agricultural sector. | Nation | Inventory and reassessment of agricultural resources and the assortment of cultivated plants; revision of the principles of environmental protection measures; formation of the ecological framework of natural zones due to new agricultural technologies; developing farming systems and agro-technologies on a landscape basis |
16 | [94] | Russia | Temperate | Current: changes in the annual and seasonal amplitudes of temperature and humidity, contributing to the displacement of the boundaries of bioclimatic zones to the north | Soil degradation, strengthening of erosion processes, and decrease in farmland fertility | Region-to-Nation | Expanding the cultivation of drought-resistant crop varieties and hybrids; undertaking land reclamation; transitioning to minimal or zero tillage technologies to prevent soil erosion; enhancing moisture retention; increasing use of fertilizers and plant protection products |
17 | [95] | Russia, Ulyanovsk Region | Temperate | 1961–2010: higher temperatures and droughts; increase in climate change amplitudes | Decrease in the yield of grain crops; reduction of the area of grain and fodder crops | Region-to-Nation | Expanding crops of later-ripening and higher-yielding varieties of cereals and legumes, soybeans, and late-ripening varieties of forage crops; investing in R&D to develop crops that are more resistant to changing climatic conditions, especially high temperatures and droughts |
18 | [96] | Russia, Vologda Region | Temperate | Current: strengthening of regional differentiation in Growing Degree Days, distribution of frost-free periods, precipitation | Reducing the efficiency of the present system of agricultural production | Region | Using modern weather services by integrating them into various digital platforms for farming and performing mechanized work to increase the efficiency of agricultural production |
19 | [97] | Russia, Leningrad Region | Temperate | By 2030, compared to current: increasing air and water temperature; duration of the frost-free period; Growing Degree Days, precipitation, frequency, and intensity of natural anomalies | Intensive phosphorus and nitrogen leaching from agricultural lands causes a widespread loss of nutrients | Region-to-Nation | Improving state support for agricultural insurance, land reclamation, seed production, and the development of biotechnologies that ensure the effectiveness of budgetary support and accelerate the pace of adaptation of agricultural production to climate change |
20 | [98] | Europe, Mediterranean | Subtropical | Changes by the 2050s compared to 1961–1990: 1.5 °C temperature increase; up to 40% decrease in precipitation; increased evaporation; reduced soil moisture; changes in the annual precipitation patterns | Crop productivity decrease caused by shortening of the growing period; subsequent negative effects on grain filling; in some regions, reduced water quality due to higher water temperatures and lower levels of runoff | Local | Conservation tillage; irrigation management |
21 | [99] | Italy | Subtropical | Current: drought; wind; hail; flood events; late frost; damage by extreme maximum and minimum temperatures; intense precipitation; loss of suitability of the territory; saltwater intrusion; erosion; phytosanitary damage | Every year, potential damage to Italian crops from all climate events = 10–40% of production (yield and income, in quantity and value); 2009–2018 extreme events cost the agricultural sector EUR 14 billion: damage to structures, infrastructure, and production | Local | Eight thematic groups: soil management; soil conditioners and fertilizers; agronomic techniques; crop protection; water resources management; engineering, digitization, and training; innovative breeding techniques and animal welfare; winemaking techniques |
22 | [100] | Greece | Subtropical | Current: below-normal precipitation; warmer temperatures | Drought stress caused by water scarcity and increased evapotranspiration; plant damage; increased risk of wildfires | Local | Reduced irrigation; pruning; grafting; de-leafing; fertilization |
23 | [71] | Greece | Subtropical | By 2050: temperature increase; increase in duration and intensity of droughts, accompanied by significant reductions in summer soil moisture | Crops for which the effect of climate change is mostly negative (tomato, pepper, potato, olive trees); mostly benefited (cabbage, tobacco); with mixed regional effects (barley, grapevine, cucumber); northern and central Greece and Sterea Ellada and Attiki are climate winners, west and southern Greece are climate losers | Region | Adjustment of sowing dates to help plants avoid extreme temperatures; additional irrigation water through increased irrigation rates or high-efficiency irrigation systems; increased N-fertilization necessary to address nutrient deficiencies resulting from reduced precipitation; vineyards: changes in cultivation and management practices or relocation |
24 | [101] | Greece | Subtropical | 2010–2099: increase in annual mean and maximum summer temperatures; increase in evapotranspiration; decrease in annual precipitation; more intensive summer droughts, floods, and soil erosion | Water cycle intensification, crop yield reduction, soil losses, declining water resources, increase in irrigation needs, a decrease in yield for some crops (maize, sunflower, and beans); a mostly negative effect for tomato, potato, and olive trees; increase in yield of rice, wheat, cotton, peach, and orange trees | Region-to-Nation | Modernizing irrigation systems; maintaining irrigation networks; recycling treated water for irrigation; selecting heritage crop varieties that exhibit drought and salt tolerance; suitable summer pruning; incorporation of shredded tree branches to enrich the soil surface |
25 | [102] | Cyprus | Subtropical | 2031–2060: continual, gradual, and relatively strong warming; prolonged droughts; reduction of annual precipitation | Yield loss up to 9%; increase of the early winter sowing season (14–18%); tomato yield decrease (20–30%); almost stable olive yield; higher yield losses (24–38%) for late-matured grape varieties | Local-to-Nation | Green manure for vegetables; deficit irrigation strategies (regulated reduced irrigation) in olive groves; zero tillage and early sowing in wheat/barley crops; organic mulching for olive groves; artificial shading of vineyards; integrated pest management; intercropping with legumes; breeding drought/heat-resistant/tolerant crop varieties |
26 | [103] | Japan (Kazuno, Nagano), South Africa (Elgin) | Temperate humid (Kazuno) Subtropical humid (Nagano, Elgin) | By 2060: temperature increase | Apple (Malus pumila var. domestica) farming in:
| Local-to-Region | Farm: Kazuno: drastic change by introducing peaches (Prunus persica var. vulgaris), a species better suited to a warm climate than apples; Region: Nagano: adopting technical remedies against the poor coloring and changing cultivars to those with lower chill unit requirements and higher tolerance against sunburn; Elgin: maintaining apple production by changing cultivars |
27 | [104] | Kazakhstan | Temperate | Different warming scenarios: (1) GFDL, (2) and (3) incremental; increase in:
| Dramatically change in spring wheat yields:
| Local-to-Nation | Snow reserving; choice of planting date; forecasts on agricultural pest and disease outbreaks; informing farmers about coping with climate change; regular local workshops on different techniques for growing wheat; sustainable seed banks with wide varieties available; change land management to reduce soil erosion; incorporating results into Kazakhstan’s National Action Plan |
28 | [105] | China | Tropical in the far south, Subarctic in the far north, Alpine in Tibetan Plateau | B2 scenario, RCM projections by 2020s, 2050s, and 2080s: mean temperature increase by 1.2, 2.2, and 3.2; precipitation increase by 4%, 7%, and 10%, respectively | Increased instability in agricultural production since the 1980s; more severe droughts and heat waves in some places; increased crop damage from spring frost; northward and westward movement of winter wheat plantations in Northeast China; decrease (95%–10%) of crop productivity by 2030 | Nation | Strengthening agricultural infrastructure; breeding stress-resistant crop varieties; developing new agricultural technologies (including biotechnology); promoting the large-scale planting of superior crop varieties in suitable areas for bolstering the agricultural sector’s resilience to disasters |
29 | [106] | China | Tropical in the far south Subarctic in the far north Alpine in Tibetan Plateau | Current: temperature increase, precipitation decrease | Next 20–80 years: drop in rainfed yields of rice, wheat, and maize (20–36%); increase in cotton yields | Local-to-Nation | Nation: focus on smaller-scale irrigation and drainage projects; construction of water storage facilities; optimization of water utilization; encouraging research into seed varieties resistant to drought, waterlogging, high temperatures, diseases, and pests. Local (farm): choosing more adaptive, multi-functional, and high-yield crops; embracing water-saving technologies like plastic sheeting, drought-resistant varieties, stubble retention, low-till methods, and surface-level plastic irrigation pipes |
30 | [107] | China, Yongqiao District | Subtropical humid, dry winter | Current: temperature increase, precipitation decrease | Future crop loss, heat waves during the crop’s flowering phase in July/August, and rainfall shortages affect stable crop harvests; more risky situations in the future | Local-to Region | Planting new crop varieties and adopting new technologies; increasing investments in irrigation systems; education and insurance adaptation practices |
31 | [108] | China, Huai River Basin | Temperate semi-humid and monsoon | 2035s, RCP4.5, and RCP8.5 scenarios: mean temperatures increase by 1.34 and 1.65 °C; ensemble mean precipitation increases by 3.79% and 5.65%, respectively | Higher evapotranspiration from soil and plants leads to a higher magnitude of blue water footprint; lower precipitation increases the effect of temperature on blue water consumption | Local-to-Region | Switching to a more efficient irrigation technique (e.g., drip irrigation); switching to plant crops that require the least amount of water but produce the highest yields |
32 | [109] | Vietnam, Can Tho City | Tropical | 1999–2008: air temperature increase (0.2 °C); solar radiation increase (by 200 h); air humidity decrease (5%); precipitation decrease (200 mm year−1) | Saline water invasion in inland areas is polluting freshwater resources and limiting agricultural production, particularly monocrop rice cultivation | Local-to-Region | Wastewater reuse |
33 | [110] | Vietnam, Ca Mau Peninsula | Tropical | By 2030: rise of sea levels: risk of further penetration of salt water with more severe intensity in coastal areas | Effect on tree growth: trees are stunted, and the yield is low depending on the salt concentration | Local-to-Region | Land use planning; transforming the agricultural model by selecting rice varieties tolerant to salt; augmenting salt tolerance by introducing rich Ca2+ fertilizers; adopting the alternate wetting and drying technique to optimize irrigation water usage and enhance the irrigation system; conversion of paddy land into aquaculture areas or the implementation of a rice-shrimp rotation model |
34 | [111] | Indonesia, West Java | Equatorial | Current: changes in rainfall patterns, especially the onset of the dry season and its duration | Decrease in productivity and quality of crop yields; indirect effects: increasing pests and diseases | Region | Expanding the arable land area through social forestry practices’ intensifying pesticide use and employing more inorganic fertilizers. Alternatively, focus on increasing organic farming or transitioning to the cultivation of perennial crops |
35 | [112] | Nepal | Tropical savanna | Current: increased temperature; change in the timing of rainfall, including the late start of monsoons; decreased availability of surface and ground water; long-spell drought; less frequent but heavy rainfall causing floods and landslides | Reduction in the rice area planted, grain quality and yield; increased evapotranspiration thus require more irrigation; more infestation of insects and diseases; introduction of new insects and diseases; poor germination; water stress causing less tiller number, delay panicle initiation, reduce grain and panicle number; delay in transplantation; shortage of irrigation water; loss of crop due to heavy rainfall/hailstorm; destruction of water resources and irrigation canal; soil erosion; degradation of soil quality | Local-to-Region | Cultivating short-duration varieties; opting for insect and pest-resistant varieties; altering the planting locations of these varieties; improving irrigation methods; increasing weed control efforts; employing additional pesticides; implementing soil conservation techniques; reducing tillage; practicing seed priming; adjusting sowing/planting/harvesting dates; adopting direct-seeded rice cultivation; raising seed rates; growing drought-tolerant varieties; enhancing the use of chemical fertilizers; increasing the application of farmyard manure; establishing waterways to manage heavy rainfall; cultivating flood-tolerant varieties; transitioning to non-rice crops |
36 | [17] | Nepal, Terai | Tropical savanna | Current: abnormal changes in temperature and precipitation; the occurrence of extreme events: a decrease in the number of rainy days and an increase in the intensity of monsoon precipitation, floods, and landslide occurrences | Decline in production of cereal crops, attributed to increasing water stress that resulted from rising temperatures and reduced rainy days; decline in agricultural production; and direct loss of agricultural land and livestock due to the increased incidence and severity of climate-induced hazards | Local-to-Region | Climate-smart practices for grain yield improvement: no tillage; fertilizer (based on crop sensor readings); residue; green manuring |
37 | [113] | Western Nepal | Temperate-to-Tropical | Current: rapid glacier melt and snowpack loss, extreme precipitation and temperature events, and alteration of water availability | Negative impacts on water resource availability and agricultural productivity | Local-to-Nation | Promotion of crop varieties resilient to flood, landslides, and drought: transition to flood-resistant hybrid types of rice and sugar cane plantations in the flood-prone fields; use of bio-dams to mitigate the effect of floods and deforestation; methods of row spacing (intercropping) and agroforestry; provision of sustainable irrigation facilities; reliable services for dissemination of agricultural information; introduction of rainwater harvesting; spread of flood- and drought-resistant types of crops; support for alternative livelihood opportunities; development of reliable early warning systems to inform about risks |
38 | [114] | Sri Lanka | Tropical monsoon | Ratnapura: 1901–2000: mean annual temperature increase by 0.5 °C By 2050s: rainfall decrease (9%–17%) | Temperature rise leads to increased evapotranspiration, soil moisture loss, and crop physiology; disturbance to the normal cropping calendar; frequent crop failure and yield loss | Local | Five groups of adaptation measures: crop management, land management, irrigation management, income diversification, and rituals; transition of planting time to suit rainfall variability; implementation of micro irrigation; reduction of irrigation depth; and crop diversification |
39 | [115] | Iran, Fars Province | Temperate-to-Tropical | Current: severe droughts | Reduced quality and quantity of agricultural water resources (saltiness and bitterness) | Local-to-Nation | Cost management; development and diversification of income sources; social capital management (including use of facilities and loans); environmental stress management; use of educational and consulting services; additional: general and governmental adaptation interventions such as infrastructure development, removal of organizational barriers, creation of information and dissemination infrastructures |
40 | [116] | Pakistan, Khyber Pakhtunkhwa Province | Subtropical-to-Temperate, monsoon, semiarid | Current: temperature increase; prolonged summer seasons and short winters; fluctuating rainfall patterns, frequent floods, severe droughts, intense heat waves, melting of glaciers, and rise in sea level; unpredicted rainfall, disastrous floods, severe droughts, and storms | Great agricultural losses result in remarkable differences in expected crop yields | Local | Change crop type, variety, and planting dates; plant Eucalyptus on lands around the river to reduce soil erosion as a result of floods; change fertilizers, seed quality, and shaded trees; change the variety of crops |
41 | [117] | Pakistan | Subtropical-to-Temperate, semiarid | 1980–2013: Significant increase in the summer and winter temperatures; rainfall: (1) slight increase in both summer and winter rainfall; (2) significant decrease in both winter and summer rainfall; (3) slight decrease in winter rainfall and an insignificant increase in summer rainfall, with large fluctuations over the years | B2 and A2 scenarios, decrease in productivity of main staple crops, wheat and rice, by 6–8% and 16–19%, respectively | Local | Development of heat-resistant and drought-resistant varieties; irrigation and soil conservation measures; and crop insurance schemes informing and training farmers on adequate strategies for adaptation to climate change; changing crop varieties, resource use, adaptation of planting dates, and planting shady trees |
42 | [118] | Pakistan, southern and central Punjab | Subtropical desert | Past 10 years: decreased winter and summer rainfall; increased temperature; the growing season length of crops; the sea level rise | Reductions in wheat yields; negative impact on productivity of cotton; severe adverse impact of GSL reduction on wheat and rice | Local-to-Region | Changing crop variety and type; planting dates; planting trees; increasing and/or replacing fertilizer; rational use of soil and water; income from non-agricultural activities; and diversification |
43 | [119] | India | Tropical-to-Sub-equatorial | Projected climate change: increased variability in summer monsoon precipitation | Land degradation due to soil erosion and nutrient depletion | Local-to-Nation | Conservation agriculture: reasonable disturbance of soil cover; contiguous crop rotation; conservation tillage, or without tillage; preservation of plant residues; organic farming; green manure application; mixed crop-livestock systems; biodiversity conservation approach |
44 | [13] | India, Uttar Pradesh | Subtropical humid with a dry winter | Current warming; increasing the incidence of strong winds; longer summers and shorter winters | Effect on agricultural productivity through physiological changes in crops and reduce grain quality; effect on other factors of production agriculture, such as water availability, soil fertility, and pests | Local-to-Region | Changes in agricultural and farming practices as a passive response: transition of sowing and harvesting dates, cultivation of short-duration varieties, inter-cropping, changes in the structure of crops, investment in irrigation and agroforestry |
45 | [120] | India | Tropical-to-Sub-equatorial | Projected increase in temperatures | Damage to crops, with greater challenge to wheat; lower heat-induced yield losses | Local | Adaptation between crops: types of crops, e.g., for growing more heat-resistant varieties of rice; cultivation of sorghum and maize, more resistant to heat than rice; transition to wheat as a crop that grows in cooler seasons; intra-crop adaptations: investments in irrigation to protect against heat and drought stress; transition of sowing dates to avoid heat stress; application of fertilizer or other agricultural resources for heat control; shading trees and planting to protect crops from high temperatures |
46 | [121] | Bangladesh | Subtropical monsoon | Projected temperature increase | Upset about rainfed rice crop choices | Local-to-Nation | Change the choice of crop in favor of irrigation-based Boro, Aus, and other crops; cultivate climate change-tolerant crop varieties, e.g., from the traditional rain-fed Aman variety to the irrigation-dependent Boro rice; use alternative farming practices (integrated farming, floating gardens) |
47 | [11] | Africa | Equatorial-to-Temperate semi-arid | Last 50–100 years: increased warming trend of 0.5 °C or more; increased heat; extreme weather events; droughts; more rapid minimum temperature warming than maximum temperature; annual precipitation has decreased in the eastern and western Sahelian regions; there has been an increase and intensification of droughts due to reduced precipitation; there has been increased evapotranspiration in Eastern and Southern Africa; and heavy precipitation events have increased in East Africa | Food crises due to droughts, crop pests (i.e., desert locusts), poor soil fertility, high salinity, and increased crop diseases and pests | Local-to-Nation | Variations and management of crops; water and soil management; financial schemes; migration, insurance, and culture; agricultural and weather services. Dominant strategies: crop diversification (51.5%), planting drought-tolerant varieties (45%), changing planting dates (42%), planting early-maturing crops (22%). Building more infrastructure for irrigation, water, and soil management; promotion of crop insurance; use of improved varieties; expansion of opportunities for diversification of livelihood, in addition to the established adaptation practices |
48 | [122] | Southwestern Morocco, Agadir | Subtropical-to Temperate arid, semi-arid, dry sub-humid | Current: enhanced drought periods; increased temperatures | Direct or indirect influence on vegetable crop production: water availability, temperature extremes during production cycles, soil fertility, pest populations | Local | Use of local crop varieties to mitigate the effects of drought due to fluctuations in water supplies |
49 | [69] | Asia, Africa, and Latin America | Tropical arid and semi-arid | +2 °C warming scenario: increasing surface temperature; increase in frequency and intensity of extreme rainfall events; higher drought frequencies | Reduced grain yields; effect on forest distribution, productivity, and health; a northward shift of tropical wet forests into areas currently occupied by tropical dry forests; soil erosion and sedimentation in mountain regions; negative impacts on sheep breeding and lamb wool productivity | Local-to-Nation | Utilization and processing of agricultural and secondary products and waste; cultivation of crops resistant to saltwater; adoption of practices that integrate crops and livestock; adjustment of crop varieties in response to shifting climate conditions; implementation of agro-forestry techniques; adoption of minimum or zero-tillage methods; utilization of traditional agro-silvi-pastoral systems; selection of appropriate crop varieties; practice of intercropping or relay cropping of grains with legumes; establishment of mixed systems combining trees, grasses, and crops; crop rotation; use of organic fertilizers with limited synthetic fertilizer application; effective utilization of crop residues |
50 | [68] | Sub-Saharan Africa | Equatorial-to-Tropical | Current: increasing temperatures; variable rainfall trends; increased droughts and flood frequencies; prevalence of storms and forest fires | 2050: effect on crop production 10–20%, up to 50% | Nation | Changing crop dates; dam, well, and irrigation scheme construction; conservation agriculture; application of optimum fertilizer; harvesting of rainwater; crop diversification; management of disease and pests; water, irrigation, and flood management; insurance based on weather index; information and early-warning systems |
51 | [123] | Kenya | Tropical-to Temperate Humid-to-Semi-arid | End of the 21st century: median temperature increase to 34 °C | 2050: significant yield losses (8–22%) of key staple crops | Local-to-Region | Alterations in agricultural practices: modifications in field selection, adjustments to planting dates, alterations in planting density, diversification of crop varieties; enhancements in livestock handling techniques, such as livestock selection, feeding methods, and animal health protection; changes in timing and location of cattle herding; improvements in land utilization strategies, including fallow land treatment, tree planting or safeguarding, irrigation, and water harvesting; conservation measures for soil and water resources; soil tillage practices; soil fertility management; livelihood strategies, encompassing the combination of cultivated crops and livestock production; blend of agricultural and non-farm activities; temporary or permanent migration |
52 | [124] | Kenya | Tropical-to Temperate Humid-to-Semi-arid | Current: frequent droughts, periodic floods, and unpredictable rainfall patterns | Threats to food and livelihood security | Local | Climate-smart agriculture: irrigation, changes in cultivation calendar; using certified seed; crop rotation; soil testing |
53 | [125] | Nigeria | Tropical-to-Temperate | 1971–2000: air temperatures increase with a faster increase in minimum temperatures (0.8℃) Future: no specific trend in rainfall deviations | Agricultural productivity declination | Local-to-Region | Mixed cropping or intercropping practices; minimum or zero tillage methods; mixed farming and agroforestry; mixed crop-livestock-agroforestry system; integrated soil nutrient management; conservation tillage and slow-forming terraces; mulching; using vaccines, antibiotics, and anti-stress agents; planting trees for shade and to serve as windbreakers; proper water treatment; use of feed with a high nutrient content, crossing animals, and improving grazing areas; reduce the size of the herd to ensure adequate ventilation and improve the livestock-keeping system |
54 | [126] | Nigeria | Tropical | Past 30 years: increase in average minimum and maximum temperatures by about 0.25 °C and 0.15 °C, respectively; very high variability of rainfalls. Future: temperatures will continue to increase | Influence on crop and livestock production, hydrologic balances, input supplies, and other components of agricultural systems | Local | Tree planting; mixed farming; mixed cropping; soil conservation; using different crop varieties; transition of planting dates and irrigation; mulching; zero tillage; making ridges; early or late planting operations |
55 | [127] | Nigeria, Enugu State | Tropical wet and dry (savannah) | Projections for humid regions of southern Nigeria: increases in rainfall, cloudiness, and rainfall intensity. Projections for the savannah areas of northern Nigeria: temperature increase; reductions in rainfall; and soil moisture availability | Increased temperatures and a decrease in water availability reduce the length of growing seasons and yield potential; proliferation of pests and diseases; agricultural land loss due to a rise in the sea level | Local | Using resistant crop and animal varieties/species; using organic manure; mixed farming; diversifying crop production enterprises |
56 | [128] | Ghana, Sekyedumase District | Tropical Sub-humid | By 2050: temperature increase by 1.3–1.6; increase in inter-annual rainfall variability; increase in the intensity of rainfall events; decrease in the number of rainy days | Long drought periods during the reproductive (particularly grain filling) stage of crops affect grain size, weight, and hence yield | Local | Diversification of crops; transition of crop planting dates |
57 | [129] | South Africa, Limpopo Province | Subtropical-to-Temperate | Past four decades: increase in average minimum and maximum monthly temperatures; increase in the number of warmer days; decrease in the number of cooler days; increase in average rainfall; increased frequency and intensity of floods and droughts | Floods destroy crops, infrastructure, and the harvesting period | Local-to-Region | Efficient management of irrigation systems; water-efficient crop cultivation; optimization of irrigation scheduling; implementation of management approaches to minimize water wastage; insurance and subsidies; resizing of land holdings; transitioning from crop cultivation to livestock rearing; shortening of crop growing period |
58 | [130] | South Africa and Ethiopia | Subtropical | Projections: warming is expected to be greater than the global average; temperature increases mostly in the summer; precipitation decreases | Great threats to food and water security | Local | Using different crops or crop varieties; shade tree planting; soil conservation; transition of planting dates; irrigation; changing the area of cultivated land; animal feed supplementing |
59 | [131] | South-central Mexico | Subtropical-to-Temperate | Current: temperature increase; increase of warm nights and extreme minimum temperatures; decrease in cold periods, cold nights, and cool days; changes in the quantity and distribution of precipitation. The rainfall pattern is more irregular, with more stormy events | Coffee yield decreased by up to 34% due to changes in coffee growth, flowering, and fruiting. Increases in the incidence rates of pests and diseases (rust and coffee berry borer). Damage to coffee plants from natural disasters | Local | Use of coffee agroforestry systems with diversified species of multipurpose trees and shrubs; use of shade cover to avoid water stress during heatwave periods; slowing down the speed of downstream runoff water to reduce soil loss due to water erosion by using living barriers |
60 | [132] | Mexico, State Tlaxcala | Subtropical-to-Temperate | Climate change scenarios for the years 2020 and 2050 compared to 1961–1990: increase in minimum temperature; reduction of frost threats; severe droughts | Decrease in maize yields (Ceres-Maize model) | Local | Greenhouse construction; compost use; dripping irrigation |
61 | [133] | Brazil | Subtropical Temperate humid | Current: increase in extreme temperatures; decrease in average precipitation; more frequent intense precipitation; intensification of extreme weather events | More frequent heat stress; scarcity of drinking water; damage to agricultural production and rural properties by increased flooding | Local | Use of landraces tolerant to drought and other climate extremes |
62 | [134] | Colombia | Tropical | By 2050s: increase in annual mean temperature by 2.5 °C, with a maximum of 2.7 °C in the Arauca department and a minimum of 2 °C in Chocó and Nariño; precipitation increase by 2.5%, with a minimum change of −1.4% in Cesar and a maximum of 5.6% in Huila. The driest periods throughout the year are likely less dry, while the wettest periods are projected to become wetter | Loss of plant genetic resources, desertification and salinization of agricultural lands, reductions in rice yield, loss of coffee growing environments; increases in incidence of coffee berry borer; increase in the risk of Fusarium head blight in wheat; change in soil water availability, enhancing drought in some regions and flooding risks in others; change in precipitation affects biotic factors (pests, diseases, weeds); increased pest and disease prevalence | Region-to-Nation | Postponement of harvesting and sowing dates; construction of walls and barriers to prevent salinization and protect coastal ecosystems; adaptation subsidies and an agricultural insurance system for producers on mountain slopes and in dry areas; placement of heat-resistant varieties in appropriate genebanks |
63 | [135] | USA | Temperate-to-Tropical | Three periods: 2010–2039, 2040–2069, and 2070–2099: temperature and summer temperature-humidity index increase; annual precipitation increases; summer precipitation decreases | Reducing crop land and increasing pasture land | Region-to-Nation | Shift of land use from cropping to grazing; decrease of crop land and increase of pasture land |
64 | [136] | USA, IL, Carbondale | Subtropical humid | Current: hotter and drier growing season | Drought is one of the most limiting factors in extensive green roof systems; water deficiency leads to a decrease in herb productivity but improves essential oils and antioxidant potential | Local | Improvement of roof materials, water-retaining gels, mulching, and subsurface irrigation systems to enhance the management of extensive green roofs for food production; supplemental irrigation to maximize quality and yield |
65 | [137] | Australia | Tropical-to-Temperate Semi-arid | Current: Southwest and southeast farming regions: average rainfall is falling and more variable. North: rainfall increase, increase in the severity of cyclones. South: higher temperatures, less rainfall, more frequent and longer drought periods, higher risks of bush fires | Changes in growth rates of different plant and animal species; output responses to different plant and animal production methods; changes to the best times for planting and harvesting; effects on comfort and productivity of farm animals; decreased suitability of farm labor working conditions in many northern regions | Local-to-Nation | Contributions from the government; changes in personal subsidiary farms |
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Grigorieva, E.; Livenets, A.; Stelmakh, E. Adaptation of Agriculture to Climate Change: A Scoping Review. Climate 2023, 11, 202. https://doi.org/10.3390/cli11100202
Grigorieva E, Livenets A, Stelmakh E. Adaptation of Agriculture to Climate Change: A Scoping Review. Climate. 2023; 11(10):202. https://doi.org/10.3390/cli11100202
Chicago/Turabian StyleGrigorieva, Elena, Alexandra Livenets, and Elena Stelmakh. 2023. "Adaptation of Agriculture to Climate Change: A Scoping Review" Climate 11, no. 10: 202. https://doi.org/10.3390/cli11100202
APA StyleGrigorieva, E., Livenets, A., & Stelmakh, E. (2023). Adaptation of Agriculture to Climate Change: A Scoping Review. Climate, 11(10), 202. https://doi.org/10.3390/cli11100202