Assessment of Recidivism Risk in Sex Offenders: A Pilot Study in Central Italy
Abstract
:1. Introduction
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- In most of the cases they are first-time offenders who have not had any previous prison experience and who are condemned to long periods of imprisonment;
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- It is difficult to guarantee adequate mental treatment interventions or suitable placement for these subjects within the prison facility;
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- It is difficult to avoid the punishment dynamics that other prisoners impose upon them.
2. Materials and Methods
2.1. Recruitment of Sample
2.2. Instruments
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- The personal data are collected on a survey form to detect social type variables capable of influencing the recidivism of sexual crimes, such as age, socio-economic status, educational qualifications, and other individual data.
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- The HCR-20 V3 is a scale created in Canada by researchers at Simon Fraser University, aimed at assessing the risk of violence and recidivism. The literature data show that the HCR-20 is a valid and reliable test, capable of predicting the risk of future violence with a percentage of between 70% and 90%, as well as the outcome of treatment and any recidivism. It belongs to the third generation of the Violence Risk Assessment and follows the methods of Structured Professional Judgment (SPJ), in other words, a risk assessment based on a careful analysis of historical and actuarial data, but also on the clinical judgment of the expert, in order to make a credible forecast of the risk of violence. It is an instrument widely used in many countries for the assessment of the risk of violence in various fields [56].
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- The PCL-R enables the measurement of the psychopathy traits through 20 items, assessed on the basis of the data collected during the semi-structured interview and information collected from collateral sources [33]. It is aimed at the investigation of all of the areas of the life of the subject including infancy, affections, relationships, addiction, etc. Each item is evaluated on a Likert Scale at three levels: 0 when the trait is absent, 1 if it is partially present, or 2 when fully present. By applying the standard or pro-rating procedure, the PCL-R provides a dimensional assessment of the subjects in relation to their psychopathic characteristics. The higher the score, the greater the psychopathic characteristics. The normal population scores an average of approximately 8–10 points on the PCL-R, while the average criminals score an average of around 18–20 points [57]. The research takes into consideration subjects with a score ranging between 0 and 20 showing low psychopathy, those with a score of between 21 and 29 with average psychopathy (potentially psychopathic and worthy of a more in-depth evaluation), and finally subjects with a score of 30 or higher who have serious psychopathic traits and can therefore be diagnosed as psychopathic [34]. In a clinical environment such as that of the High Security Rampton Hospital in the United Kingdom, a score of 24 is defined as a cut-off for the placement of patients, perpetrators of crimes and positive to the PCL-R, in a specific section dedicated to psychopaths. There are two main sub-scales (Factor 1 “Interpersonal/Affective” and Factor 2 “Social Deviance”) consisting of “components” (“Interpersonal” and “Affective” for Factor 1, and “Lifestyle” and “Anti-sociality” for Factor 2). PCL-R demonstrated good internal consistency, good test-retested reliability, and a high degree of agreement among evaluators, even in different populations. There have already been significant correlations with Factor 2 “Social Deviance” and with Components 3 “Lifestyle” and 4 “Anti-sociality” [58].
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- The PID- is a test that sheds light on the model of personality traits of the DSM-5 which has been developed directly by the American Psychiatric Association for the dimensional assessment of personalities [59]. It is a self-reporting evaluation of the personality consisting of 220 items. This instrument initially produces scores on 25 facets, or specific traits, which can be grouped together to specific domains of the pathological personality, including negative affectivity, detachment, antagonism, disinhibition, and psychoticism [60]. As such, this instrument may offer the chance to define more accurately the ways in which the person functions, highlighting in more detail any aspects of greater fragility and pathological functioning which it is necessary to intervene [32].
2.3. Data Analyses and Limits
3. Results
3.1. Description of the Sample
3.2. Results of the HCR-20V3
3.3. Results of the PCL-R
3.4. Results of the PID-5
4. Discussion
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- The use of alcohol and/or drugs;
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- The early onset of episodes of violence at a young age, prior to the offence committed;
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- A family history characterized by violence suffered or witnessed by the subject and frequent negligence;
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- Difficulty in intimate relationships and often also in friendship relationships;
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- The presence of a personality disorder of the B cluster.
5. Conclusions
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- The limited number of subjects in the sample examined does not allow for drawing definitive and valid conclusions;
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- The sex offenders in Italian penitentiary facilities commit different categories of crime;
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- An increase in the number of evaluations would make it possible to conduct an analysis on several sub-categories with respect to the crimes and personality characteristics;
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- The PID-5, although widely used, should always be tested with the validity scales currently in the experimentation phase in order to identify the subjects that give random responses [32];
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- The success of individualized programs should be evaluated in an attempt to prevent the risk of recidivism.
Author Contributions
Funding
Institutional Review Board Statement
Informed Consent Statement
Data Availability Statement
Acknowledgments
Conflicts of Interest
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H | n | Explanation |
H1 “Past Violence”: | 44 | history of problems related to violence committed from age 13 onwards. The episodes are serious, repeated over time and constant. |
H3 “Relational instability” | 36 | considerable problems in initiating and maintaining intimate relationships. |
8 | problems also arise in non-intimate relationships followed by socially isolation, violence or experience of inappropriate sexuality. | |
H5 “Problems of Drugs use” | 39 | previous history of use/abuse of alcohol and drugs. |
H7 “Presence of Personality Diseases” | 40 | antisocial, psychopathic or dissocial personality disorder. This emerges as a symptom of a history of serious problems resulting from rigid or maladjusted personality traits related to the interpersonal style, behavioral control, emotionalism. |
H8 “Early traumatic experiences”: | 30 | very adverse experiences in childcare that may have interrupted a regulatory development, attachment processes, or the learning of pro-social attitudes and problem-solving skills More specifically, n = 23 report a very traumatic childhood history with episodes of parental violence and abuse. |
H9 “Violent attitudes” | 41 | previous problems involving violent behavior and support of violence. |
C | n | Explanation |
C1 “Insight” | 44 | significant problems of insight, especially concerning the risk of violence which the subject has no awareness of, understanding or knowledge of its functioning in relation to violence or factors and processes that put them at risk of violence. |
C4 “Impulsiveness” | 41 | serious problems regarding the maintaining of adaptive behaviors on the emotional and behavioral level |
R | n | Explanation |
Risk management | 36 | future problems are evident in relation to the implementation of general action plans that resort to an appropriate use of services or professional programs. |
41 | problems in the individual assistance since there is no actual social network, moreover the emotional support is inadequate, there are no clear or well-organized plans for intervention, the social network consists of subjects who could have a negative influence, and help and assistance are inadequate to fit their daily needs and activities. |
Components | M | SD | T Score |
1: Interpersonal | 3.6 | ±3.01 | 46 |
2: Affective | 5.30 | ±2.99 | 51 |
3: Life Style | 6.30 | ±0.96 | 51 |
4: Antisociality | 4.21 | ±1.22 | 50 |
Factors | M | SD | TScore |
1: Interpersonal-Affective | 8.55 | ±2.69 | 47 |
2: Social Deviance | 10.9 | ±2.25 | 52 |
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Gualco, B.; Scarpa, F.; Rensi, R. Assessment of Recidivism Risk in Sex Offenders: A Pilot Study in Central Italy. Healthcare 2021, 9, 1590. https://doi.org/10.3390/healthcare9111590
Gualco B, Scarpa F, Rensi R. Assessment of Recidivism Risk in Sex Offenders: A Pilot Study in Central Italy. Healthcare. 2021; 9(11):1590. https://doi.org/10.3390/healthcare9111590
Chicago/Turabian StyleGualco, Barbara, Franco Scarpa, and Regina Rensi. 2021. "Assessment of Recidivism Risk in Sex Offenders: A Pilot Study in Central Italy" Healthcare 9, no. 11: 1590. https://doi.org/10.3390/healthcare9111590
APA StyleGualco, B., Scarpa, F., & Rensi, R. (2021). Assessment of Recidivism Risk in Sex Offenders: A Pilot Study in Central Italy. Healthcare, 9(11), 1590. https://doi.org/10.3390/healthcare9111590