Establishing a Multidisciplinary Framework for an Emergency Food Supply System Using a Modified Delphi Approach
Abstract
:1. Introduction
2. Materials and Methods
2.1. Study Design
2.2. Delphi Expert Panel Selection
2.3. Modified Delphi Procedure
2.4. Statistical Methods
3. Results
3.1. Expert Group Statistical Analysis
3.2. Revision of the Questionnaire
3.2.1. Round 1
3.2.2. Round 2
3.3. Weight Allocation of the Framework for Emergency Food Supply System
3.4. Degree of Coordination of Experts’ Opinions
3.5. Reliability of Experts’ Opinions
3.6. Coordination Comparison of the Domains in the Framework
4. Discussion
5. Conclusions
Author Contributions
Funding
Informed Consent Statement
Data Availability Statement
Acknowledgments
Conflicts of Interest
Appendix A
Database | Search Strategies |
---|---|
PubMed | (“earthquake”[Title/Abstract] OR “natural disaster”[Title/Abstract]) AND (“food”[Title/Abstract] OR “ emergency food”[Title/Abstract] OR “supply”[Title/Abstract] OR “supply chain”[Title/Abstract] OR “logistic *”[Title/Abstract] OR “emergency logistic *”[Title/Abstract]) |
Scopus | TITLE-ABS-KEY ((“natural disaster” OR “earthquake”) AND (“food” OR “emergency food”) AND (“supply chain” OR “supply” OR “emergency logistics *” OR “logistics *”)) |
Web of Science | TS = ((earthquake OR natural disaster) AND (food OR emergency food) AND (supply OR supply chain OR logistic * OR emergency logistic *)) |
CNKI | SU = (emergency food + food) AND SU = (emergency logistic + logistic + supply chain + supply chain) AND SU = (earthquake + natural disaster) (in Chinese) |
Wanfang | (Terms:(“emergency food”) OR Terms:(“food”)) AND (Terms:(“supply”) or Terms:(“emergency logistic”) OR Terms:(“logistic”) OR Terms:(“supply chain”)) AND (Terms:(“natural disaster”) OR Terms:(“earthquake”)) (in Chinese) |
Domains | Explanation |
---|---|
A1 Emergency food demand | Emergency food demand forecasting is a prerequisite to build an emergency food supply system. A scientific emergency food demand forecasting can avoid the waste of a large amount of emergency food and maximize the value of emergency food supply. Research has shown that the types and quantities of emergency food in disaster should to be the focus of this domain. |
A2 Emergency food reserve | Emergency food reserves have been part of disaster preparedness narratives, and these are maintained to protect access to food for affected populations in the event of a food shortage during emergencies. In the process of emergency food supply, the geographical distribution and resource configuration of emergency reserves complement each other to ensure the optimal effect of the availability of emergency food. |
A3 Emergency food collection | Emergency food collection is the basic and primary link in the process of emergency food supply. The quality of emergency food collection is directly related to the smooth development of emergency supply and the realization of emergency supply goals. The basic requirement for emergency food collection is to select appropriate methods to collect the required amount of emergency food in the shortest time. |
A4 Emergency food transportation | Emergency food transportation refers to the process of carrying “emergency food” from one location to another location, which are changes of time and space state for “emergency food”. Moreover, the ultimate goal of the emergency food transportation process is to provide as much emergency food as possible to the affected areas at the lowest “cost” (time, risk, etc.) and in the most effective way. |
A5 Emergency food distribution | The last step of emergency food supply. Emergency food distribution is critical to the success of emergency response and post-disaster recovery transition by taking into account relevant factors such as responsible departments and distribution methods to ensure that emergency food is distributed to those in need. |
A6 Emergency food supervision | Supervision in the process of emergency food supply is helpful to prevent food poisoning and some infectious diseases. Furthermore, considering the urgency of post-disaster emergency food supply and avoiding waste of manpower and emergency food resources, it is necessary to further clarify the scope, responsible departments, and the time of applying emergency food supervision. |
A7 Information system of emergency food supply | An information system can be applied during different stages. By collecting, processing, tracking, and visualizing relevant information in the emergency food supply process, the system contributes to assessing the current situation, coordinating the emergency supply response in a timely manner and finding satisfactory plans for decision-makers. |
A8 Policy responses to emergency food supply | Policy responses to emergency food supply is material basis and technical support for the effective implementation of emergency management and supply work. In China, the policy responses to emergency food supply should include an emergency plan for emergency food supply, an emergency management system, mechanism, and the legal system of emergency food supply. |
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Categories | Characteristics | Number | Percentage (%) |
---|---|---|---|
Age | 31–40 years | 3 | 17.6 |
41–50 years | 8 | 47.1 | |
50~years | 6 | 35.3 | |
Gender | Male | 14 | 82.4 |
Female | 3 | 17.6 | |
Academic degree | Bachelor | 3 | 17.6 |
Master’s | 3 | 17.6 | |
Doctor | 11 | 64.7 | |
Professional title | Secondary Senior | 7 | 41.2 |
Senior | 10 | 58.8 | |
Working years | 5–9 years | 9 | 52.9 |
10–19 years | 7 | 41.2 | |
20–29 years | 1 | 5.9 | |
Research fields | Emergency management | 8 | 47.1 |
Logistics management | 1 | 5.9 | |
Rescue medicine | 4 | 23.5 | |
Health service | 4 | 23.5 | |
Positions | Management position | 2 | 11.8 |
Technical position | 15 | 88.2 |
Domains | First-Grade Indicators | Second-Grade Indicators |
---|---|---|
A1 Emergency food demand (0.130) | B1.1 Demand quantities (0.070) | C1.1.1 Total number of supply target groups (0.036) |
C1.1.2 Disaster relief standards (0.034) | ||
B1.2 Demand types (0.060) | C1.2.1 Custom and religious belief (0.011) | |
C1.2.2 Season of disasters (0.012) | ||
C1.2.3 Location of disaster area (0.012) | ||
C1.2.4 Age composition of target group (0.012) | ||
C1.2.5 Phase of disaster relief (0.012) | ||
A2 Emergency food reserve (0.130) | B2.1 Geographical distribution (0.060) | C2.1.1 Geographical location (0.022) |
C2.1.2 Level of reserve points (0.020) | ||
C2.1.3 Total number of reserve points (0.021) | ||
B2.2 Reserve type and volume (0.070) | C2.2.1 Type of reserve (0.032) | |
C2.2.2 Reserve quantity (0.034) | ||
A3 Emergency food collection (0.120) | B3.1 Collection methods (0.040) | C3.1.1 Using reserves (0.014) |
C3.1.2 Urgent purchase (0.014) | ||
C3.1.3 Direct expropriation (0.013) | ||
B3.2 Responsible departments (0.040) | C3.2.1 National level (0.014) | |
C3.2.2 Provincial level (0.014) | ||
C3.2.3 Municipalities (0.013) | ||
B3.3 Other factors affecting emergency food collection (0.040) | C3.3.1 Personnel factor (0.022) | |
C3.3.2 Funds factor (0.021) | ||
A4 Emergency food transportation (0.130) | B4.1 Responsible departments (0.030) | C4.1.1 Ministry of transport (0.012) |
C4.1.2 NGO * (0.011) | ||
C4.1.3 Business institutions (0.011) | ||
B4.2 Transportation modes (0.030) | C4.2.1 Land transportation (0.011) | |
C4.2.2 Sea transportation (0.010) | ||
C4.2.3 Air transportation (0.011) | ||
B4.3 Principles of selecting transportation plan (0.030) | C4.3.1 Shortest distance (0.010) | |
C4.3.2 Least time (0.011) | ||
C4.3.3 Maximum security (0.011) | ||
B4.4 Other factors affecting emergency food transportation (0.030) | C4.4.1 Personnel factors (0.015) | |
C4.4.2 Transportation tool factors (0.016) | ||
A5 Emergency food distribution (0.120) | B5.1 Target groups (0.040) | C5.1.1 Affected populations (0.021) |
C5.1.2 Rescuer (0.020) | ||
B5.2 Responsible departments (0.040) | C5.2.1 Relief workers of government (0.019) | |
C5.2.2 Volunteers (0.018) | ||
B5.3 Distribution modes (0.040) | C5.3.1 Direct distribution (0.021) | |
C5.3.2 Step-by-step distribution (0.021) | ||
A6 Emergency food supervision (0.120) | B6.1 Supervision scope (0.040) | C6.1.1 Quantity and type (0.021) |
C6.1.2 Quality (safety) (0.021) | ||
B6.2 Responsible departments (0.040) | C6.2.1 The Food and Drug Administration (0.020) | |
C6.2.2 Third party inspection bodies (0.017) | ||
B6.3 Time of inspection (0.040) | C6.3.1 Before transportation (0.020) | |
C6.3.2 Before distribution (0.017) | ||
A7 Information system of emergency food supply (0.120) | B7.1 Supply process information (0.030) | C7.1.1 Basic information of disaster (0.017) |
C7.1.2 Resource point distribution information (0.016) | ||
B7.2 Tracking and updating information of emergency food supply (0.030) | C7.2.1 Demand information of target groups (0.006) | |
C7.2.2 Update information of reserve (0.006) | ||
C7.2.3 Collection information (0.005) | ||
C7.2.4 Supervision information (0.005) | ||
C7.2.5 Transportation information (0.006) | ||
C7.2.6 Distribution information (0.005) | ||
B7.3 Information visual display (0.030) | C7.3.1 Visualization of spatial information (0.010) | |
C7.3.2 Visualization of model calculation (0.009) | ||
C7.3.3 Supply dynamic visualization (0.010) | ||
B7.4 Command and decision-making information (0.030) | C7.4.1 Supply strategy (0.014) | |
C7.4.2 Supply options (0.015) | ||
A8 Policy responses to emergency food supply (0.120) | B8.1 Emergency plan (0.030) | |
B8.2 Emergency management system (0.030) | ||
B8.3 Emergency mechanism (0.030) | ||
B8.4 Emergency legal system (0.030) |
System Frame | Round 1 | Round 2 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
W-Value | χ2 | p-Value | W-Value | χ2 | p-Value | |
Domains | 0.131 | 15.557 | 0.029 | 0.156 | 18.551 | 0.010 |
First-grade indicators | 0.211 | 96.812 | 0.000 | 0.282 | 115.122 | 0.000 |
Second-grade indicators | 0.260 | 234.602 | 0.000 | 0.223 | 227.256 | 0.000 |
Domain | First Grade | Second Grade | |
---|---|---|---|
Round 1 | 0.756 | 0.907 | 0.957 |
Round 2 | 0.705 | 0.838 | 0.971 |
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Liu, S.; Li, Y.; Fu, S.; Liu, X.; Liu, T.; Fan, H.; Cao, C. Establishing a Multidisciplinary Framework for an Emergency Food Supply System Using a Modified Delphi Approach. Foods 2022, 11, 1054. https://doi.org/10.3390/foods11071054
Liu S, Li Y, Fu S, Liu X, Liu T, Fan H, Cao C. Establishing a Multidisciplinary Framework for an Emergency Food Supply System Using a Modified Delphi Approach. Foods. 2022; 11(7):1054. https://doi.org/10.3390/foods11071054
Chicago/Turabian StyleLiu, Shuyu, Yue Li, Shaobo Fu, Xin Liu, Tao Liu, Haojun Fan, and Chunxia Cao. 2022. "Establishing a Multidisciplinary Framework for an Emergency Food Supply System Using a Modified Delphi Approach" Foods 11, no. 7: 1054. https://doi.org/10.3390/foods11071054
APA StyleLiu, S., Li, Y., Fu, S., Liu, X., Liu, T., Fan, H., & Cao, C. (2022). Establishing a Multidisciplinary Framework for an Emergency Food Supply System Using a Modified Delphi Approach. Foods, 11(7), 1054. https://doi.org/10.3390/foods11071054