1. Introduction
China is a major aquaculture country in the world, with aquaculture production accounting for two-thirds of the world’s total aquaculture output. Since 2002, it has maintained a position as a major exporter of aquatic products [
1]. In 2020, China’s aquaculture output was about 52.24 million tons, accounting for approximately 46.4% of the world’s aquaculture production; the per capita share of aquatic products was 46.39 kg [
2]. Based on the 2022 China Fisheries Statistical Yearbook, the national freshwater aquaculture production in 2021 was 31.83 million tons, accounting for 59% of the total output [
3]. In 2020, the production of marine aquaculture accounted for approximately 41% of the total production of aquatic products in China [
4]. As one of the important supply channels, aquaculture can provide an important guarantee for China’s food security [
5].
Mechanization is an important component, support, and symbol of aquaculture modernization [
6]. Since 1960, a variety of agricultural machinery has been extensively utilized in overseas nations. For instance, pneumatic feeders have been employed in the United States and Denmark. Countries such as Sweden and Denmark used narrow gauge transport feeding vehicles for feeding. In Japan, water wheel aerators were used to aerate fish ponds, rail electric vehicles were used to transport fish ponds, and fish were classified and transferred through fish lifters and fish separators [
7]. However, the mechanization of China’s aquaculture industry was still in its early stages. With ongoing advancements in science and technology, automated and information-based equipment, such as that for water quality monitoring, feed distribution, harvesting, etc., has gained widespread recognition internationally [
8]. Compared with other countries, despite the fact that China has a relatively high aquaculture production, its low production efficiency has led to a low level of aquaculture machinery and equipment [
9]. The mechanization level of Chinese aquaculture started relatively late compared with other food production industries, which was a weak link in the application and development of mechanized agriculture [
10]. Since 1970, fishery machinery and equipment has been used in China. In the early 1990s, the aerators and feeders were developed and popularized and were gradually applied in practical production. But it did not fully cover all the areas of aquaculture in China [
11]. The major portion of freshwater aquaculture production in India was occupied by carp species such as
Labeo rohita,
Catla catla and
Cirrihinus mrigala, accounting for approximately 87% of the overall freshwater yield [
12]. Given their significant commercial value, it is essential to transition from small-scale farms to larger aquaculture enterprises. Therefore, it is necessary to invest in a mechanized system for the entire production process to ensure sustainable industrial development [
13]. The marine fishery sector was highly mechanized; “Industrialization and mechanization were prominent features of the marine fishery department in the context of “big agriculture” [
14]. Conventional aquaculture encompasses integrated agriculture–aquaculture systems (IAAS), utilizing on-farm or local agriculture by-products, manures, and vegetation; integrated peri-urban aquaculture systems (IPAS) using domestic sewage and by-products from the local agri-industry; and integrated fisheries–aquaculture systems (IFAS) with carnivorous fish fed with trash and low-value fish [
15]. By the beginning of the 21st century, aerators and feeding machines had been widely applied. China’s aquaculture industry had basically achieved the mechanization of its main operations. However, the degree of mechanization in the dredging, harvesting, grading, waste collection, and treatment of aquaculture was generally minimal. Some aquaculture equipment, such as the aquaculture tail water treatment equipment, fish pond dredging machines, harvesting devices, etc., was not widely applied [
16]. Traditional extensive agriculture was still the main mode of production for most farmers. The mechanization and standardization levels of aquaculture were comparatively lower [
17]. Therefore, promoting the transformation and upgrading the industry towards green and highly efficient production, accelerating the pace of modernization construction, and meeting the green and high-efficiency development of the aquaculture industry can be achieved by promoting the development of aquaculture mechanization in China [
18]. The “Opinions on Accelerating the Development of Aquaculture Mechanization” issued by the Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs in 2020 has set a clear target of reaching a mechanization level of over 50% in the aquaculture industry by 2025 [
19]. However, the mechanization level of aquaculture in China was only about 32% in 2020, which was far from the goal of 50% in 2025 [
20]. There were some issues in the development of aquaculture mechanization in China, such as relatively weak basic research and backward facilities and equipment. It was driven by the financial subsidies for the purchase of aquaculture machinery, the energy consumption of the machinery and equipment, and the promotion and utilization of aquaculture technology. At present, the lack of research on the implementation path and the decision-making recommendations for aquaculture mechanization was not conducive to the rapid development of aquaculture mechanization in China.
The Delphi method was a method of simulating a market that utilizes its knowledge, experience, and ability in analysis and judgment to verify problems [
21]. Lucia et al. [
22] employed the Delphi method to establish priorities for potential welfare issues associated with Europe’s aquaculture industry, focusing specifically on Atlantic salmon and rainbow trout. The severity, duration, and prevalence of each issue were rated by experts, who also put forward interventions to address the most significant concerns. Anna et al. [
23] employed the Delphi method to leverage the pan-European expertise to identify the key factors in site selection for European native oyster (
Ostrea edulis) habitat restoration projects. This study established a strong foundation for future site selection efforts to build upon. The questionnaire survey was a widely used method in domestic and international social research. This controlled measurement was used by researchers to measure the problems being studied and to collect reliable data [
24].
The analytic hierarchy process (AHP) was used to decompose a complex problem into various components and to group those factors according to the dominant relationship and thereby create a systematic hierarchical framework. This methodology was first introduced by American operations researcher Professor T. L. Saaty in the 1970s. By means of a pairwise comparison analysis, the relative importance of each factor in the hierarchy was determined; then, the overall ranking of the relative importance of the decision-making factors’ relative importance was established by synthesizing the individuals’ evaluations [
25]. Francisco et al. [
26] employed AHP technology to construct a multi-criteria decision-making problem, in which they assigned weights and rankings to factors such as mechanical properties, material quality characteristics, and manufacturing considerations. Du et al. [
27] proposed a method that utilized the AHP to determine the importance of each evaluation indicator. Combined with a remanufacturing example of a heavy horizontal lathe, the proposed decision-making method was verified and analyzed. According to Du et al. [
28], the weight of each indicator in the remanufacturing process of the waste planner was determined using the AHP method, which validated the feasibility and effectiveness of this approach. The combination of the AHP and fuzzy comprehensive evaluation (FCE) methods in this study resulted in more scientific and credible evaluation results. Therefore, they more objectively determine the factors and indicator systems that affect the current development status of aquaculture mechanization in China.
FCE was a scientific and reasonable evaluation method to quantify qualitative indicators; it was first put forward by Zadeh [
29]. Its basic theory was to determine the value of the components of the evaluation indicator through the membership matrix and factor weight. It enabled a comprehensive assessment of factors that were challenging to analyze quantitatively and produced clear results and strong system suitability, and it could better solve various uncertainty problems [
30]. Shi et al. [
31] adopted membership degree conversion in the FCE method. The redundant data in the target classification indicator memberships were eliminated. The target membership degree of effective value was extracted. The new algorithm was applied to the FCE of the sustainable development of the equipment manufacturing industry. Zhao et al. [
32] employed the FCE method to estimate the quality level of the dispensing process. The dispensing indicator and quality level mapping model based on a support vector machine was established. This allowed the online intelligent evaluation of drug dispensing quality. The experimental findings indicated the effectiveness of the method.
Therefore, in this paper, the influencing factors of aquaculture mechanization development were systematically analyzed based on the triple bottom theory. Through the literature review, the Delphi method and AHP were used to analyze and determine the environmental, economic, and social influencing factor indicator system, which including 18 indicators, such as financial subsidies for the purchase of aquaculture machinery, the energy consumption of machinery and equipment application, and the promotion and application of aquaculture technology. Subsequently, the FCE method was employed to develop the assessment framework, with Liaoning Province serving as a case study for the evaluation analysis. The qualitative and quantitative indicators were scientifically and rationally evaluated quantitatively to obtain various indicators, and the results were analyzed to propose effective implementation paths and countermeasures. In this way, the effective implementation path and countermeasures were proposed, and they will provide an important decision-making basis for the promotion of the high-efficiency mechanization of aquaculture in China, improving production efficiency, reducing labor intensity, reducing disaster losses, and improving the aquaculture mechanization level.
This paper’s study considers the following aspects, which are also given in
Figure 1.
- (1)
Determination of the influencing factors evaluation indicator system. Through the method of the literature review, an analysis of the factors impacting the trajectory of aquaculture mechanization in China was conducted. This study adopts the model of expert scoring and the survey questionnaire, using experts to determine and screen indicators that can effectively reflect the current status of China’s aquaculture mechanization. Based on the triple bottom theory, a research framework for an evaluation indicator system was ultimately derived using the Delphi method and AHP; the framework consists of 3 tiers and 18 influential factors.
- (2)
Evaluation method and case study. In this research, the FCE method was applied to construct the evaluation model. A scientific and rational quantitative evaluation of the qualitative and quantitative indicators was carried out. The analysis results of each indicator were obtained. Liaoning Province, China, was selected as the case study to carry out the evaluation and analysis. Discussion and policy recommendations. According to the final evaluation results, effective implementation paths and decision-making suggestions for the development of aquaculture mechanization were put forward, and beneficial reference and insights for China’s aquaculture industry were provided.