1. Introduction
Renewable energy (RE) is defined as energy derived from sources that replenish naturally but are limited in flow [
1], such as geothermal, solar, hydroelectric, wind and biomass fuels (i.e., biomass waste, biofuels and wood). RE has received increasing attention globally due to its important role in reducing greenhouse gas emissions, energy imports and fossil fuel use, which are crucial to delay climate change. As the key driver of development, the sustainable use of energy is important to ensure that the investments, innovations and growth of economies allow the current and future generations to continue flourishing without affecting growth momentums in accordance with Sustainable Development Goal (SDG) 7: “Ensure Access to Affordable, Reliable, Sustainable and Modern Energy for All”.
In the literature, substantial studies have been performed to identify the factors influencing the sustainable development of renewable energy consumption (REC), which can be broadly categorized into macroeconomic, socioeconomic and environmental. Since there are diverse variables in each category and different methods to estimate each variable, this produces a significant research gap, which should be addressed by narrowing the geographical scope of the research, expanding the variables used and include forecasting methods to forecast the REC rate of our target countries. This research examines the effects of real GDP per capita, urban population, the number of individual using the internet, carbon dioxide emissions, total trade and net foreign direct investment (FDI) inflows on the renewable energy consumption (REC) of G7 and ASEAN-5 countries using the panel data model.
The G7 is an informal block of the seven of the world’s industrialized countries that convenes annually to discuss global issues, such as economic governance, international security and energy (Council on Foreign Relations, 2022). These countries are the United States, Canada, France, Germany, Italy, Japan and the United Kingdom, whose collective gross domestic product (GDP) contributes to about 45% of the global economy as of 2019. In contrast, ASEAN-5 is a formally instituted economic block of the top five strongest-performing ASEAN countries, which are Indonesia, Malaysia, the Philippines, Singapore and Thailand, and was established on 8 August 1967 as the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN) [
2].
In comparison with the ASEAN-5 countries, the development of RE in the G7 countries is significantly more sophisticated and began earlier, starting from hydroelectricity and biomass fuels. As technology progressed, G7′s RE expanded into solar, wind and geothermal energies, although nuclear energy remained a mainstay in Japan. As for ASEAN-5, RE technology is significantly less-developed, and only Thailand, Indonesia and the Philippines can actively expand their hydro, solar, tidal and geothermal powers due to their geographical advantages [
3,
4,
5]. In contrast, RE development and usage in Malaysia and Singapore is significantly lesser due to limitations in land mass and terrain construction. For example, Malaysia was heavily reliant on petroleum products until the 1980s, then natural gas usage picked up to replace petroleum products until the 2000s, which was then overtaken by coal and coke from 2000 onwards. Meanwhile, for Singapore, REC is nearly negligible—even at present, the island nation is 95% powered by natural gas despite efforts to transition to solar energy [
6].
Figure 1 compares the REC of G7 and ASEAN-5 countries as a percentage share of total final energy consumption from 2016 to 2021. The REC of all G7 countries remained fairly constant in the previous 5 years due to disruptions caused by the COVID-19 virus where countries were unable to expend surplus capital to improve their technology or expand their capacity. Most notably, REC became stagnant from 2018 onwards due to COVID-19, which led to energy supply and demand disruption. Overall, among G7 countries, Canada remained consistently at the top at an average of 22.31%, while Japan remained consistently at the bottom at an average of 7.15%. In contrast, among ASEAN-5 countries, Indonesia started at 27.8348 units but was overtaken by Thailand and the Philippines in 2018 and maintained at an average of 20.86 units afterwards. During the period from 2018 to 2021, Thailand achieved an average of 23.72 units, while the Philippines had 23.22 units. Malaysia and Singapore remained at the bottom consistently at an average of 5.15 units and 0.71 units, respectively.
Figure 2 compares the real GDP per capita (RGDP) (in constant USD2015 terms) of G7 and ASEAN-5 countries from 2016 to 2021. In this instance, the United States charted the highest RGDP at USD 58,811.97 in the G7 bloc on average. Meanwhile, Singapore marked an even higher RGDP across both blocs at USD 59,062.18 on average. This is due to its relatively matured economy that thrives on exports of electrical and electronics (E&E), financial services, tourism and seaport business, and its extremely small population. The rest of the G7 countries marked an average performance RGDP at an average of USD 45,641.83 by the United Kingdom, USD 43,734.42 by Canada, USD 42,209.09 by Germany, USD 37,237.84 by France, USD 35,559.48 by Japan, and USD 30,722.37 by Italy. This is followed by the rest of the ASEAN-5 economies, which marked the lowest RGDP across both blocs. Malaysia had an average RGDP of USD 10,786.49, Thailand USD 6294.97, and Indonesia USD 3695.12, while the Philippines had an average of USD 3368.50. Of all countries, the Philippines had the lowest RGDP.
The urban population based on the percentage of the total population of G7 and ASEAN-5 countries data were from 2016 to 2021. In this case, Singapore had the highest urbanization compared to both economic blocs at 100.00% on average. The second highest urbanization was marked by Japan at 91.65% on average, which is another high-population-density country characterized by its highly developed public transport system. Italy is the least urbanized country among G7 countries at an average of 70.54% due to its peninsula-shaped terrestrial form, which is more accommodated to fit rural towns. This caused its urbanization to fall slightly lower than Malaysia from the ASEAN-5 block, which had 76.21% on average. Meanwhile, Indonesia, Thailand, and the Philippines were the least urbanized across both economic regions at 55.54%, 50.19%, and 47.00% on average, respectively.
Figure 3 compares the individuals using the internet based on the percentage of the total population of G7 and ASEAN-5 countries from 2016 to 2021. Both economic blocks exhibited a rising pattern across the five years at different rates. In the G7 economic block, Canada achieved an average of 94.82% from 2016 to 2021, where it increased 5.81% over the years; the United Kingdom had an average of 93.01% and it increased only 0.04% across the 5 years; Japan marked an average of 91.56% but the percentage fell 2.96% within the 5 years; the United States marked an average of 88.76% with an increase of 5.36% over the 5 years; Germany marked an average of 87.23% with an increment of 5.65%; France achieved an average of 82.46% with an increment of 5.53%; and Italy marked an average of 69.31% but experienced an increase of 9.16%, the highest in the G7 economic block.
Meanwhile, in the rest of the ASEAN-5 block, Singapore had the highest internet usage at 88.34% of the total population on average from 2016 to 2021, where the rate rose 7.55% across the five years. This is followed by Malaysia at an average of 83.90% but experienced an increase of 10.77% across the five years; it is then followed by Thailand at an average of 63.26% but increased 30.34%, which was the highest in ASEAN-5. This is then followed by the Philippines at 44.59% on average, which experienced a modest 10.60% rise across the five years; lastly, Indonesia marked 42.14% due to its extremely large population with a rise of 28.28% over the five years.
We also mentioned the carbon dioxide emissions in million tons of G7 and ASEAN-5 countries from 2016 to 2021. Although the carbon dioxide emissions of both economic blocks are much different (G7 countries produce much more carbon dioxide than ASEAN-5 countries), there is a common trend, and the United States and Indonesia are the top carbon producers of their respective blocks due to their manufacturing-intensive economic activities at an average of 4862.31 million tons and 564.82 million tons, respectively. In addition to these two countries, the rest of the countries charted fairly low carbon emissions, which are indicative of their reliance on manufacturing activities and competence in mitigating carbon emissions. In the rest of the G7 block, Japan emitted 1116.91 million tons on average; Germany 692.87 million tons; Canada 551.45 million tons; the United Kingdom 372.85 million tons; Italy 317.85 million tons; and France 289.75 million tons. Meanwhile, for the remaining ASEAN-5 economies, Malaysia emitted 255.97 million tons of carbon dioxide on average over the 5 years; followed by Thailand at 290.29 million tons; Singapore at 218.45 million tons; and lastly the Philippines at 129.28 million tons.
Figure 4 compares the total trade as a percentage of the GDP of G7 and ASEAN-5 countries from 2016 to 2021. Germany marked the highest performance in the G7 countries block at 85.04% on average but is outcompeted by Singapore at a whopping 300% and above. Meanwhile, the United States and Indonesia marked the lowest performance for the G7 and ASEAN-5 economies at 25.70% and 37.28%, respectively, meaning that their economy is very diverse, even though manufacturing is an integral component of their economic activities, such as the services and agriculture sector. For the other countries, performance averaged 63.98% for Canada, 61.36% for France, 59.48% for the United Kingdom, 57.40% for Italy, and 33.21% for Japan on average for the rest of the G7 countries; it was 124.38% for Malaysia, 111.33% for Thailand, and 64.55% for the Philippines on average for the rest of the ASEAN-5 countries.
Lastly, compared to the net inflow of FDI as a percentage of the GDP of G7 and ASEAN-5 countries are from 2016 to 2021. In this case, Singapore marked the highest new FDI inflows to GDP at 26.06% on average, meaning it is the most attractive foreign investment destination to its economic size. On the other hand, the FDI net inflow performance of the United Kingdom was bad and fell 10.80% across the five-year period and eventually averaged 3.01%. In general, the ASEAN-5 economies’ performance was very low, similar to that of the G7 economies. For the rest of the G7 economies, Germany marked 2.74%, Canada marked 2.04%, the United States marked 1.49%, France marked 1.43%, Japan marked 0.83%, and Italy marked 0.54% on average; for the rest of the ASEAN-5 economies, Malaysia marked 2.46%, Philippines marked 2.42%, Indonesia marked 1.69%, and Thailand marked 0.70% on average. This can also be interpreted differently as ASEAN-5 economies had very regular FDI attraction performance similar to that of G7 economies, while Singapore had an excessively stellar performance in attracting FDI.
3. Results
3.1. FEM of G7 Renewable Energy Consumption
Based on
Table 4, the fixed-effect panel model equation for the REC of G7 countries after obtaining the output from EViews is shown in Model (1) below:
Note: * = at α 0.10 statistically significant level; ** = α 0.05 statistically significant level; *** = at α 0.01 statistically significant level.
Based on Model (1), the explanatory variables accounted for 92.24% of the variation in the REC of G7 countries. The results show that all the explanatory variables (namely, macroeconomic variables, economic growth (real GDP per capita), urbanization (urban population), trade openness (total trade), and foreign direct investment (FDI) levels (FDI, net inflows); the socioeconomic variable, which is the access to the internet (individuals using the internet); and the environmental variable, which is environmental degradation (carbon dioxide emissions)) are significant for the REC of G7 countries. Moreover, for the heteroskedasticity test, White test F = 1.211262, prob-value = 0.3334 and the outcome of the White test of the auxiliary regression’s R2 value is 0.225228. Therefore, VIF value is 1.2907, which is less than 5. Therefore, Model (1) residuals present no multicollinearity problem. Additionally, the residuals for the normality distribution test’s prob-value = 0.0741, which is more than the α 0.05 level. Thus, the residuals are also normally distributed.
A 1 unit increase in RGDP has a positive effect on the change in REC by 0.1501 units with statistical significance at the 0.10 level holding other variables constant. Next, a 1 unit increase in URBAN has a positive effect on the change in REC by 0.3773 units with statistical significance at the 0.01 level holding other variables constant. Meanwhile, a 1 unit increase in INT has a positive effect on the change in REC by 0.0725 units with statistical significance at the 0.01 level holding other variables constant. Then, a 1 unit increase in CO2 has a positive effect on the change in REC by 0.0066 units with statistical significance at the 0.01 level holding other variables constant. Moreover, a 1 unit increase in TRADE has a positive effect on the change in REC by 0.1728 units with statistical significance at the 0.01 level holding other variables constant. Finally, a 1 unit increase in FDI has a positive effect on the change in REC by 0.2580 units with statistical significance at the 0.01 level holding other variables constant.
3.2. FEM of G7 Renewable Energy Consumption
Based on
Table 5, the fixed-effects panel model equation for REC of ASEAN-5 countries after obtaining the output from EViews is shown in Model (2) below:
Note: *** = at α 0.01 statistically significant level.
Based on Model (2), the explanatory variables accounted for 81.17% of the variation in the REC of ASEAN-5 countries. The results show that the macroeconomic variables (economic growth (real GDP per capita), urbanization (urban population), trade openness (total trade), and foreign direct investment (FDI) levels (FDI, net inflows)) and the socioeconomic variable (which is access to the internet (individual using the Internet)) are significant factors. However, the environmental variable, which is environmental degradation (carbon dioxide emission), is not significant for the REC of ASEAN-5 countries. Furthermore, for the heteroskedasticity test, White test F = 2.150000, prob-value = 0.0828 and the outcome of the White test of the auxiliary regression’s R2 value is 0.340369, Therefore, VIF value is 1.5159, which is less than 5. Therefore, Model (2) residuals present no multicollinearity problem. Additionally, the residuals for the normality distribution test’s prob-value = 0.8490, which is more than α 0.05 level. Thus, the residuals are also normally distributed.
A 1 unit increase in RGDP has a positive effect on the change in renewable energy consumption (REC) by 0.1121 units with statistical significance at the 0.01 level holding other variables constant. Next, a 1 unit increase in URBAN has a positive effect on the change in REC by 0.2192 units with statistical significance at the 0.01 level holding other variables constant. Then, a 1 unit increase in INT has a positive effect on the change in REC by 0.2530 units with statistical significance at the 0.01 level holding other variables constant. Moreover, a 1 unit increase in TRADE has a negative effect on the change in REC by 0.1523 units with statistical significance at the 0.01 level holding other variables constant. Lastly, a 1 unit increase in FDI has a positive effect on the change in REC by 0.6714 units with statistical significance at the 0.01 level holding other variables constant.
Energy is the key driver of economic growth. Thus, for the case of G7 countries, for the economic leaders of G7 countries to achieve the sustainable development goals, the urban population (URBAN) and the net FDI inflows (FDI) should be considered, as they have a more positive effect on the change in REC [
12,
13]. However, for the case of ASEAN-5 countries, for the economic leaders of ASEAN-5 countries to achieve the sustainable development goals, they should focus on the effects of the individuals using the internet (INT) and the net FDI inflows (FDI) on the REC [
14,
15].
5. Conclusions
In conclusion, this research study showed that REC is significantly affected by macroeconomic, socioeconomic, and environmental variables in G7 countries, while for the case of ASEANN-5, it is macroeconomic and socioeconomic variables that affect REC. This implies that policymakers should cater for the relevant indicators in policy formulation for the development of REC. Since ASEAN-5 countries are still in transition towards becoming developed countries, economic activities can become intensify in the mission to achieve sustained economic growth, which would subsequently lead to environmental degradation if REC is not improved. Thus, it is imperative for policymakers to incentivize business owners to transition towards greener alternatives to ensure that the future generations of the country are not left with a heavily polluted country.
Moreover, the significance of the socioeconomic variable is reflected in the importance of policymakers in G7 and ASEAN-5 countries utilizing internet platforms, such as social media, to raise environmental awareness effectively and efficiently. Since the youth is the most active user of social media and the future leaders of the nation, cultivating environmental awareness from a young age is important in ensuring the sustainable development of the country without compromising economic prosperity. Taking Singapore as an example, the Ministry of Sustainability and the Environment of Singapore runs social media accounts (i.e., Instagram and Facebook) and posts trendy pictures and videos that younger generations can relate to and “reshare” to their friends and families. Such initiatives are modern and up-to-date with the latest trends, which ensure that the youths are actively engaged with the work of policymakers.
The governments in G7 and ASEAN-5 countries need to set up special taskforces to track REC, which is crucial to identify the progress of the nation towards achieving the sustainable development goals. The governments can also invest in research and development projects (R&D) to improve public access to the required data, allowing researchers and even the general public to understand better the country’s sustainable development progress.