Risk Assessment and Management in Complex Marine Systems

A special issue of Journal of Marine Science and Engineering (ISSN 2077-1312). This special issue belongs to the section "Ocean Engineering".

Deadline for manuscript submissions: closed (20 April 2023) | Viewed by 13361

Special Issue Editor


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Guest Editor
The B. John Garrick Institute for the Risk Sciences, University of California, Los Angeles, CA, USA
Interests: dynamic probabilistic risk assessment; probabilistic modeling and simulation; complex systems; optimization algorithms

Special Issue Information

Dear Colleagues,

There is significant interest in industry, authorities, and academia on the risk assessment and management of marine systems. The safe operation of automated and autonomous marine systems requires close coordination between human operators, (onshore) organization, and technical systems.

This Special Issue aims to gather the latest development on risk assessment and management of operators, organization, and system components of complex marine systems and their interactions. The risk level of marine systems provides valuable information on optimal designs and decision scenarios in emergency situations. Novel techniques in risk-based design and risk-informed decision making of complex marine systems are encouraged for publication.

Dr. Tarannom Parhizkar
Guest Editor

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Keywords

  • probabilistic risk assessment
  • complex systems
  • risk management
  • marine systems
  • automated and autonomous complex systems
  • dynamic probabilistic risk assessment
  • risk analysis
  • emergency situations
  • dynamic positioning system
  • risked-informed decision-making

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Published Papers (4 papers)

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Research

30 pages, 6723 KiB  
Article
Optimization of the Concentrated Inspection Campaign Model to Strengthen Port State Control
by Chiu-Yu Lai, Chung-Ping Liu and Kuo-Ming Huang
J. Mar. Sci. Eng. 2023, 11(6), 1166; https://doi.org/10.3390/jmse11061166 - 1 Jun 2023
Cited by 3 | Viewed by 2108
Abstract
The concentrated inspection campaign (CIC) is a derivative of the port state control (PSC) supplement, which is a fixed single series of deficiency inspections performed for three consecutive months at the end of each year. This study used grey relational analysis (GRA) and [...] Read more.
The concentrated inspection campaign (CIC) is a derivative of the port state control (PSC) supplement, which is a fixed single series of deficiency inspections performed for three consecutive months at the end of each year. This study used grey relational analysis (GRA) and the technique for order preference by similarity to ideal solution (TOPSIS) to analyze the data of 71,376 deficiency records with 496 deficiency codes and 21 ship types in the Paris MoU for the last three years so as to improve the existing focus inspection pattern, which uses only the most accumulated number of deficiency series of the previous year’s PSC inspection. It also combines the three-sigma rule to find the inspection items most likely to be found as deficient by the port state control officer (PFSO) of the member country and creates a new rolling CIC scheme with deficiency inspection data for the last three years, which can filter out the significant deficiency codes with high numbers of deficiency inspections and use them as a modified CIC. It can not only solve the existing CIC’s lack of thoroughness, but also avoid the problems of missing important inspection codes, missing substandard ships, and failing to meet the inspection consensus. The new CIC inspection mechanism created in this paper can indeed identify potential substandard ships more effectively and fill the inspection gap of the existing port state control. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Risk Assessment and Management in Complex Marine Systems)
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19 pages, 1095 KiB  
Article
Seaworthiness Management of Bulk Carriers during the Transportation Process from the Perspective of Bauxite Performance
by Jianjun Wu, Xiangqian Meng, Pengfei Zhang and Zhiqiang Hou
J. Mar. Sci. Eng. 2023, 11(2), 303; https://doi.org/10.3390/jmse11020303 - 1 Feb 2023
Cited by 2 | Viewed by 3692
Abstract
The seaworthiness of a ship plays a critical role in ensuring the safety of life and property and the prevention of marine pollution. One meaning of seaworthiness is the fundamental ability to sail safely to a destination, as well as being fit and [...] Read more.
The seaworthiness of a ship plays a critical role in ensuring the safety of life and property and the prevention of marine pollution. One meaning of seaworthiness is the fundamental ability to sail safely to a destination, as well as being fit and ready for cargo. The parameters of seaworthiness have been expanded with the introduction of new maritime regulations. The entry of the 2019 amendments to the IMSBC Code into force has brought significant changes to bulk carriers with cargo that may liquefy at sea. Using examples from history, as well as an understanding of the environmental conditions of the oceans that ships are subject to, the seaworthiness of bauxite carriers was examined critically. First, the concept and doctrine of seaworthiness were clarified considering the existing transportation technology. Then, the spirit of the 2019 amendments to the IMSBC Code was applied to the seaworthiness of a bauxite carrier, showing that it demonstrated dynamic instability. Beyond that, from a transportability performance perspective, an extensive discussion was provided concerning the major correlation related to seaworthiness. Finally, practical recommendations were given on keeping a ship seaworthy before and during the process of bauxite transportation. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Risk Assessment and Management in Complex Marine Systems)
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29 pages, 8177 KiB  
Article
The Development and Demonstration of an Enhanced Risk Model for the Evacuation Process of Large Passenger Vessels
by Nikolaos P. Ventikos, Panagiotis Sotiralis, Manolis Annetis, Vasileios C. Podimatas, Evangelos Boulougouris, Fotios Stefanidis, Stefanos Chatzinikolaou and Alessandro Maccari
J. Mar. Sci. Eng. 2023, 11(1), 84; https://doi.org/10.3390/jmse11010084 - 3 Jan 2023
Cited by 11 | Viewed by 2946
Abstract
Evacuating a large and complex environment, such as a large passenger vessel, either cruise or RoPax, is a safety-critical task that involves thousands of people in motion and a complex decision-making process. Despite the significant enhancement of maritime safety over the years, various [...] Read more.
Evacuating a large and complex environment, such as a large passenger vessel, either cruise or RoPax, is a safety-critical task that involves thousands of people in motion and a complex decision-making process. Despite the significant enhancement of maritime safety over the years, various hazards still pose threats to passengers and crew. To deal with this reality, the SafePASS project radically redefines the evacuation process by introducing novel technological solutions. In this context, this paper presents, in detail, an enhanced risk model for the ship evacuation process in order to facilitate the understanding of the actual risks of the process in fire and flooding accidents, and to assess various risk control measures and options toward risk mitigation. The risk model covers the entire event sequence in emergency cases on board, until the survival at sea phase, and it is constructed in two levels, following a combination of event tree analysis and Bayesian networks. Results show the risk corresponds to baseline scenarios for each accident case, which are also verified by relevant IMO and EMSA studies, and an example case of risk control option (RCO) is introduced to the model to demonstrate its ability to assess RCO’s efficiency in terms of risk reduction. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Risk Assessment and Management in Complex Marine Systems)
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17 pages, 4550 KiB  
Article
Arctic Development in Connection with the Northern Sea Route: A Review of Ecological Risks and Ways to Avoid Them
by Irina Makarova, Dmitry Makarov, Polina Buyvol, Aleksandr Barinov, Larysa Gubacheva, Eduard Mukhametdinov and Vadim Mavrin
J. Mar. Sci. Eng. 2022, 10(10), 1415; https://doi.org/10.3390/jmse10101415 - 3 Oct 2022
Cited by 11 | Viewed by 3563
Abstract
The unprecedented melting of Arctic ice provides new opportunities for shipping by decreasing the distance for commercial traffic between Asia and Europe by up to 40%. However, its development is associated with inevitable problems caused by the vulnerability of polar ecosystems. As research [...] Read more.
The unprecedented melting of Arctic ice provides new opportunities for shipping by decreasing the distance for commercial traffic between Asia and Europe by up to 40%. However, its development is associated with inevitable problems caused by the vulnerability of polar ecosystems. As research methods, we have chosen system and comparative analyses of open sources; national development strategies of the Russian Federation (primarily), China, Northern Europe, and the USA (partially); and scientific articles from the Scopus and Elibrary databases. As a result, we have identified the reasons for possible risk situations for the Arctic region’s sustainable development: mining on the shelf, oil and oil product spills during the transportation of goods and fishing activities, etc. Black carbon (soot) emitted from using marine diesel fuel is the main atmospheric air pollutant. In addition, actively developing infrastructure (ports and new industrial zones) also has a negative anthropogenic impact on the environment. Within the framework of an ecosystem approach, we studied ways to prevent risky situations when planning logistics routes using the Northern Sea Route. We concluded about the need to expand the icebreaker fleet. We proposed a conceptual model of the risk management system based on the monitoring of the key indicators’ system. We identified possible types of risks according to the place of their occurrence and according to the stages of the life cycle of such systems. Furthermore, we provided the steps of the risk management system and an example of the application of a “bow-tie” diagram—a qualitative method for assessing the risk of “collision”. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Risk Assessment and Management in Complex Marine Systems)
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