1. Introduction
In recent years, with the aggravation of environmental problems and the energy crisis, more and more countries have realized the importance of clean energy in future energy development, and have started to research and develop infrastructures and energy storage devices around hydrogen energy [
1,
2,
3]. The Proton Exchange Membrane Fuel Cell (PEMFC), a mainstream hydrogen energy power device, is a typical hydrogen fuel cell with high power density, fast startup, long sustainable operation time, and zero pollution and emission [
4,
5]. Therefore, it has the prospect of wide application in the power field of automobiles, power locomotives, and ships [
6].
However, the cost and life of PEMFCs are two important factors limiting their large-scale commercial application [
7], and an accurate assessment of durability is key to improving reliability and extending lifespan. Therefore, many scholars have devoted themselves to exploring the life prediction methods for PEMFCs. Nowadays, there are three main methods: model-based method, data-driven method, and hybrid prediction method [
8].
The model-based prediction method mainly focuses on modeling from the fuel cell degradation mechanism, which requires less data and has high accuracy. Ou et al. [
9] proposed a PEMFC prediction method based on a semi-empirical model to realize the prediction of PEMFC degradation and the estimation of its remaining service life under automotive environmental conditions by introducing electrochemical surface area and equivalent resistance degradation models, respectively. Lechartier et al. [
10] presented a combined static and dynamic prediction model and verified the accuracy of the model with experimental data. Ao et al. [
11] used a life prediction method based on a frequency-domain Kalman filter (FDKF) and a voltage degradation model. By processing the data in groups, the computation time can be greatly reduced with high accuracy. However, the model-based method requires an in-depth understanding of the aging mechanism of the stack and strong modeling ability. Meanwhile, the internal structure and materials of different stacks are not the same, and the aging mechanism is somewhat different, so some key parameters in the modeling cannot be defined directly, which makes it difficult to establish a complete and accurate mechanism model.
The data-based prediction methods are mainly used to build a system behavior model on PEMFC historical operation data directly for fault diagnosis and life prediction. These methods do not require in-depth analysis of the internal reaction mechanism of the fuel cell, but rather comprehensive analysis of a large amount of historical operation data using a variety of methods, such as statistical modeling, machine learning, deep learning, and hybrid learning [
12]. Wu et al. [
13] improved on the Relevance Vector Machine (RVM) and introduced the Support Vector Machine (SVM) algorithm for comparison, and the results proved that the improved RVM statistical model can form an adaptation to the prediction process due to the absence of limitations in the kernel function, and the prediction performance is better. Liu et al. [
14] compared several life prediction methods based on different structural neural networks, and the results showed that the Adaptive Neuro-Fuzzy Inference System-Fuzzy C-Means (ANFIS-FCM) has the best short-term prediction performance, while the introduction of the Particle Swarm Optimization (PSO) algorithm realizes the automatic adjustment of parameters of ANFIS-FCM. Mezzi et al. [
15] designed an echo state network-based variable load prediction method for fuel cells that can be predicted without prior knowledge of the variable load profile. Zuo et al. [
16] combined the attention mechanism and GRU for PEMFC prediction, and the results showed that the model has high prediction accuracy on both dynamic and pseudo-stable datasets. However, the data-based prediction method still has the problem of “black box” for the degradation mechanism and state changes of the PEMFC, and there are some limitations in relying on the prediction results to decide the follow-up maintenance measures.
The hybrid prediction methods combine different life prediction methods to improve prediction accuracy by improving individual prediction method weaknesses. There are mainly model–data hybrid-driven methods and data–data hybrid-driven methods [
17]. The model–data hybrid-driven method retains the interpretability of the parameters in the model-based method, but also makes full use of the advantages of the two models by blurring them with the help of the data-based method when the mechanism process is not clear. Pan et al. [
18] combined model-based AEKF and data-driven NARX with external inputs for predicting PEMFC performance degradation and validated the predictive power of the method using two different datasets. Liu et al. [
19] proposed a 2-Stage hybrid prediction method: Stage 1 used an automated machine learning algorithm based on an evolutionary algorithm and an adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system to achieve voltage degradation prediction in a long time series state. Stage 2 utilized a semi-empirical degradation model based on the predicted data to estimate the remaining lifetime of the battery. The data–data hybrid-driven method can fully utilize the different dimensional information of the algorithm for prediction, thereby improving the prediction accuracy and robustness. Zhu et al. [
20] combined Bayesian theory and the self-attention mechanism to propose a B-GRU hybrid model, which can quantify the uncertainty parameters in the prediction process, and experimentally proved that the hybrid algorithm’s computational accuracy is higher than that of the commonly used neural networks when the training data are less than 380 h.
The degradation of the PEMFC’s internal structure is often not accurately characterized by a single feature with poor robustness; the single feature may change due to the performance degradation of the stack, which in turn affects the output characteristics of the stack. And due to the strong coupling of the internal parameters of the PEMFC, it is often difficult to determine the strong correlation parameters using multiple features to predict the degradation trend, which leads to a long prediction time and low prediction accuracy. The Temporal Convolutional Network-Gated Recurrent Unit (TCN-GRU) is an algorithm that combines the ability of the TCN to extract features of time series data with the advantage of GRU for higher computational efficiency in long time series data prediction, which is able to better handle multi-feature data inputs [
21], and has been demonstrated in electrical load [
22] and lithium-ion battery life prediction [
23]. Therefore, this paper proposes a multi-feature fusion method for the life prediction of automotive PEMFCs based on the TCN-GRU. This method is also the first application of the TCN-GRU algorithm to the life prediction of the PEMFC. The correlation of feature parameters in PEMFC experiments is analyzed, and the strength of the correlation between other feature parameters and voltage is projected, so that multiple strongly correlated features are filtered to participate in the fusion life prediction. The TCN-GRU dual-feature and three-feature fusion life prediction models are constructed, and the voltage trend prediction is carried out by utilizing the FCLAB test open dataset and the dynamic cycling operating condition test dataset of the automotive PEMFC system, comparing it with the evaluation indicators to judge the applicability of the models.
The rest of paper is structured as follows. In
Section 2, for the characteristics of steady-state operating conditions and dynamic cycling conditions, correlation analysis is performed on the original data, and several strongly correlated feature parameters are filtered and smoothed for noise reduction and reconstruction.
Section 3 presents the single-feature parameter and multi-feature parameters fusion prediction models. The life prediction under different operating conditions is carried out in
Section 4, and the model evaluation results are analyzed and summarized in
Section 5. The conclusions and prospects for future work are summarized in
Section 6.
6. Conclusions
In this paper, a multi-feature fusion method for life prediction of the PEMFC based on the TCN-GRU is proposed. This model is based on the TCN algorithm that possesses a three-layer residual block, and two GRU modules are added to better capture multiple sequential features and strengthen the model expression capability. To evaluate the model, two commonly used datasets are used for model training under steady-state operating conditions and dynamic cycling conditions, respectively. Strongly correlated feature parameters are imported into the model for prediction after correlation filtering, and RMSE and R2 are chosen as the evaluation indicators of the prediction effect. The main conclusions are summarized as follows:
In the steady-state operating condition, the TCN-GRU (three-feature) has the highest prediction accuracy, with RMSE values of 5.04 × 10−3, 4.42 × 10−3, and 3.27 × 10−3, and R2 values of 0.932, 0.943, and 0.965 at 40%, 60%, and 80% of the training set ratio, respectively. Both multi-feature models have better accuracy than the single-feature models. In dynamic cycling conditions, both the TCN-GRU (three-feature) and the TCN-GRU (dual-feature) have better accuracy than the CNN-LSTM. TCN-GRU (three-feature) has the highest prediction accuracy, especially at 60% of training set ratio, with an RMSE value and R2 value of 4.04 × 10−3 and 0.890, respectively. Compared with the single-feature prediction model, the multi-feature model has many advantages such as strong anti-interference, stability, and high prediction accuracy.
The results of TCN-GRU multi-feature fusion prediction are compared horizontally. In the steady-state operating condition, the RMSE values of the TCN-GRU (three-feature) decrease by 12.3% and 26.02%, and the R2 values improve by 1.18% and 2.33%, in turn, with the increase in the training set. While in dynamic cycling conditions, the RMSE values of the TCN-GRU (three features) reduce by 22.6% and 29.79%, and the R2 values improve by 0.6% and 3.8%, respectively. It is fully proved that the proposed multi-feature life prediction method has a better prediction effect as the training set increases, and the prediction model can meet the requirements of PEMFC life prediction.
Therefore, our proposed multi-feature fusion prediction method is suitable for PEMFC lifetime prediction in both steady-state operating conditions and dynamic cycling conditions, with better accuracy than single-feature prediction methods. This method is of significance for improving the accuracy of PEMFC life prediction, extending its service period, and enhancing its reliability and stability. While our study shows that the TCN-GRU outperforms the other three algorithms, since the accuracy of the algorithm depends on the input feature parameters, we have neglected the existence of measurement errors and the influence of other factors on the feature parameters in the actual measurements. Therefore, it is our future research direction to improve the accuracy of the TCN-GRU by reducing the influence of other factors on the accuracy of feature parameters. At the same time, we will continue to try to apply this algorithm to different devices and different complex scenarios, to improve the calculation speed and accuracy, and to realize accurate life prediction and faster and earlier fault diagnosis.