Evaluation of Selected Factors Affecting the Speed of Drivers at Signal-Controlled Intersections in Poland
Abstract
:1. Introduction
2. Literature Review
- there is an increased risk of severe accidents at signalized intersections during off-peak periods due to the dispersion of vehicle columns passing through the signalized intersection, while most driver behavior studies were conducted via simulation;
- drivers in dispersed (free-flow) traffic conditions are less likely to follow speed limits, particularly when they are in the so-called dilemma zone (after the onset of the yellow signal);
- the impact of the intersection travel relationship on speed value was shown to depend significantly on the horizontal curve radius.
- A comprehensive model incorporating multiple road infrastructure variables can accurately predict vehicle speeds at signalized intersections.
- Utilizing this model for calculating intergreen times will yield results that significantly differ from current methods used in Poland, potentially enhancing intersection safety.
3. Materials and Methods
- Simple (I-1): defined as intersections of roads with an accessible surface where collision traffic streams intersect, without traffic channelization elements (with the possible exception of pavement guiding lines).
- Channelized (I-2): at least one of the intersecting roads has a dividing lane, and the main collision plane may or may not have channelization with curbed islands or marked exclusion zones.
- Rotary (I-3): a channelized intersection where the collision area has a central island around which left-turning traffic moves and the road around the island can also serve as a vehicle accumulation area.
- turning relations (left-turn, right-turn, and U-turn);
- straight-through relations.
- B-1 “yield”—subordinated approach;
- B-1 and sign D-3—approach to an intersection with widened entries and exits with a central island and circular traffic;
- B-2 “stop”—subordinated approach, compulsory stop before entering the intersection if the traffic signals is not functioning;
- B-3—approach with priority and the main road goes straight;
- B-3 and H-8—approach with priority, but the main road changes direction at the intersection.
4. Results
4.1. Straight-Through Movements Only
4.2. Turning Movements Only
4.3. Results for All Relations Model
- Type of movement at the intersection (straight-through, left turn, right turn);
- Type of intersection and traffic organization at the analyzed approach;
- Type of signal indication provided by the traffic signal (general/permissive or directional/protected) for the given movement;
- Number of traffic lanes at the analyzed approach;
- Type of cross-section of the intersecting road at the analyzed approach;
- Longitudinal slope at analyzed approach;
- Presence and type of a channelizing island for the analyzed movement;
- Presence of bicycle crossings;
- Presence of tram crossings;
- Presence of buildings within less than 10 m from the edge of the roadway at the analyzed approach;
- Presence of other obstacles on the left or right side of the analyzed traffic lane (such as fences, road barriers, trees, or shrubs at the road edge).
5. Discussion
5.1. Speed Modeling Results
5.2. Comparison of Intergreen Time Calculations
6. Conclusions
Author Contributions
Funding
Institutional Review Board Statement
Informed Consent Statement
Data Availability Statement
Conflicts of Interest
References
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City | Straight-Through Relations | Turning Relations | ||
---|---|---|---|---|
FALSE | TRUE | FALSE | TRUE | |
Bydgoszcz | 5 | 1 | 4 | 15 |
Toruń | 5 | 1 | 3 | 16 |
Warsaw | 20 | 95 | 8 | 54 |
Variables | Bydgoszcz, N = 3452 1 | Toruń, N = 3522 1 | Warsaw, N = 5779 1 |
---|---|---|---|
Speed [km/h] | 29, [27], /10/, (20; 39) | 28, [27], /9/, (19; 37) | 43, [43], /14/, (28; 57) |
Relation type | |||
straight-through | 1269, 37% | 1174, 33% | 5180, 90% |
left-turn | 934, 27% | 1175, 33% | 147, 2.5% |
right-turn | 1249, 36% | 1173, 33% | 450, 7.8% |
U-turn | 0, 0% | 0, 0% | 2, <0.1% |
Intersection type | |||
simple (I-1) | 1002, 29% | 816, 23% | 900, 16% |
channelized (I-2) | 1053, 31% | 1400, 40% | 4879, 84% |
rotary (I-3) | 1397, 40% | 1306, 37% | 0, 0% |
Signal type | |||
direction-only | 1167, 34% | 1639, 47% | 32, 0.6% |
general | 2285, 66% | 1883, 53% | 5747, 99% |
Radius of the horizontal curve | 18, [16], /5/, (12; 25) | 25, [25], /12/, (12; 36) | 17, [14], /9/, (11; 26) |
Lane width [m] | |||
2.75 | 0, 0% | 0, 0% | 14, 0.2% |
3.00 | 1580, 46% | 1409, 40% | 4616, 80% |
3.25 | 233, 6.7% | 0, 0% | 108, 1.9% |
3.30 | 0, 0% | 0, 0% | 206, 3.6% |
3.50 | 1639, 47% | 2113, 60% | 322, 5.6% |
3.75 | 0, 0% | 0, 0% | 469, 8.1% |
4.00 | 0, 0% | 0, 0% | 26, 0.4% |
5.25 | 0, 0% | 0, 0% | 18, 0.3% |
Channelized type | |||
none | 3452, 100% | 3047, 87% | 5644, 98% |
horizontal marking (traffic closed area) | 0, 0% | 0, 0% | 37, 0.6% |
island with curb | 0, 0% | 475, 13% | 98, 1.7% |
Number of lanes | |||
2 | 716, 21% | 944, 27% | 1031, 18% |
3 | 985, 29% | 1397, 40% | 3670, 64% |
4 | 1526, 44% | 1181, 34% | 925, 16% |
5 | 225, 6.5% | 0, 0% | 153, 2.6% |
Cross-section entry type (number of roadways / number of lanes) | |||
(1/2) | 1002, 29% | 816, 23% | 799, 14% |
(1/4) | 0, 0% | 0, 0% | 195, 3.4% |
(2/2) | 2450, 71% | 2706, 77% | 1126, 19% |
(2/3) | 0, 0% | 0, 0% | 3659, 63% |
Approach width [m] | 11.03, [13.00], /3.23/, (6.00; 14.00) | 10.25, [10.00], /2.80/, (6.00; 13.50) | 10.02, [9.00], /1.64/, (9.00; 12.00) |
Longitudinal slope at approach [%] | 0.05, [0.40], /0.89/, (−1.00; 0.60) | 0.29, [0.50], /1.19/, (−1.00; 1.40) | −0.20, [−0.20], /0.89/, (−0.80; 0.50) |
Trams crossing presence | |||
no | 2409, 70% | 2694, 76% | 4245, 73% |
yes | 1043, 30% | 828, 24% | 1534, 27% |
Building presence | |||
no | 2979, 86% | 2934, 83% | 4795, 83% |
yes | 473, 14% | 588, 17% | 984, 17% |
Other obstacles presence | |||
no | 2763, 80% | 2468, 70% | 4320, 75% |
yes | 689, 20% | 1054, 30% | 1459, 25% |
Traffic organization signs at approach | |||
B-1 | 716, 21% | 934, 27% | 1388, 24% |
B-1/D-3 | 1397, 40% | 475, 13% | 0, 0% |
B-2 | 0, 0% | 120, 3.4% | 0, 0% |
B-3 | 1339, 39% | 1532, 43% | 4391, 76% |
B-3/H-8 | 0, 0% | 461, 13% | 0, 0% |
Pedestrian crossing presence | |||
none | 0, 0% | 239, 6.8% | 0, 0% |
both | 3452, 100% | 2926, 83% | 4804, 83% |
approach only | 0, 0% | 238, 6.8% | 513, 8.9% |
exit only | 0, 0% | 119, 3.4% | 462, 8.0% |
Bicycle crossing presence | |||
none | 1002, 29% | 710, 20% | 3565, 62% |
both | 2450, 71% | 2110, 60% | 871, 15% |
approach only | 0, 0% | 471, 13% | 708, 12% |
exit only | 0, 0% | 231, 6.6% | 635, 11% |
Variables | p-Value | Statistical Significance |
---|---|---|
signal type | <0.01 | TRUE |
channelized | <0.01 | TRUE |
tram crossing | <0.01 | TRUE |
buildings | <0.01 | TRUE |
other obstacles | 0.03 | TRUE |
Comparison | Z | P.unadj | P.adj | Statistical Significance |
---|---|---|---|---|
Intersection type | ||||
I-2–I-3 | 11.78 | <0.01 | <0.01 | TRUE |
I-2–I-1 | 23.48 | <0.01 | <0.01 | TRUE |
I-3–I-1 | 6.66 | <0.01 | <0.01 | TRUE |
Lane width | ||||
(2.5, 3]–(3, 3.5] | 2.10 | 0.04 | 0.11 | FALSE |
(2.5, 3]–(3.5, 4] | −20.32 | <0.01 | <0.01 | TRUE |
(3, 3.5]–(3.5, 4] | −20.42 | <0.01 | <0.01 | TRUE |
(2.5, 3]–(4.5, 5.25] | 0.59 | 0.56 | 1 | FALSE |
(3, 3.5]–(4.5, 5.25] | 0.39 | 0.7 | 0.7 | FALSE |
(3.5, 4]–(4.5, 5.25] | 4.16 | <0.01 | <0.01 | TRUE |
Number of lanes | ||||
2–3 | −22.05 | <0.01 | <0.01 | TRUE |
2–4 | −2.79 | 0.01 | 0.01 | TRUE |
3–4 | 20.10 | <0.01 | <0.01 | TRUE |
2–5 | 8.20 | <0.01 | <0.01 | TRUE |
3–5 | 16.48 | <0.01 | <0.01 | TRUE |
4–5 | 9.42 | <0.01 | <0.01 | TRUE |
Cross-section entry type (number of roads/number of lanes) | ||||
(1/2)–(1/4) | −9.47 | <0.01 | <0.01 | TRUE |
(1/2)–(2/2) | −13.86 | <0.01 | <0.01 | TRUE |
(1/4)–(2/2) | 4.29 | <0.01 | <0.01 | TRUE |
(1/2)–(2/3) | −23.96 | <0.01 | <0.01 | TRUE |
(1/4)–(2/3) | 0.61 | 0.55 | 0.55 | FALSE |
(2/2)–(2/3) | −12.16 | <0.01 | <0.01 | TRUE |
Approach width | ||||
(0, 6]–(12, 15] | −14.07 | <0.01 | <0.01 | TRUE |
(0, 6]–(6, 9] | −26.69 | <0.01 | <0.01 | TRUE |
(12, 15]–(6, 9] | −16.01 | <0.01 | <0.01 | TRUE |
(0, 6]–(9, 12] | −21.56 | <0.01 | <0.01 | TRUE |
(12, 15]–(9, 12] | −9.11 | <0.01 | <0.01 | TRUE |
(6, 9]–(9, 12] | 7.47 | <0.01 | <0.01 | TRUE |
Longitudinal slope at approach | ||||
(−0.5, 0.5]–(−1.5, −0.5] | 17.86 | <0.01 | <0.01 | TRUE |
(−0.5, 0.5]–(−2.5, −1.5] | −15.19 | <0.01 | <0.01 | TRUE |
(−1.5, −0.5]–(−2.5, −1.5] | −23.73 | <0.01 | <0.01 | TRUE |
(−0.5, 0.5]–(−3.5, −2.5] | −0.39 | 0.69 | 0.69 | FALSE |
(−1.5, −0.5]–(−3.5, −2.5] | −2.41 | 0.02 | 0.1 | FALSE |
(−2.5, −1.5]–(−3.5, −2.5] | 2.68 | 0.01 | 0.05 | FALSE |
(−0.5, 0.5]–(0.5, 1.5] | 8.66 | <0.01 | <0.01 | TRUE |
(−1.5, −0.5]–(0.5, 1.5] | −3.07 | <0.01 | 0.02 | TRUE |
(−2.5, −1.5]–(0.5, 1.5] | 18.30 | <0.01 | <0.01 | TRUE |
(−3.5, −2.5]–(0.5, 1.5] | 1.84 | 0.07 | 0.2 | FALSE |
(−0.5, 0.5]–(1.5, 2.5] | −1.91 | 0.06 | 0.22 | FALSE |
(−1.5, −0.5]–(1.5, 2.5] | −6.48 | <0.01 | <0.01 | TRUE |
(−2.5, −1.5]–(1.5, 2.5] | 4.82 | <0.01 | <0.01 | TRUE |
(−3.5, −2.5]–(1.5, 2.5] | −0.41 | 0.68 | 1 | FALSE |
(0.5, 1.5]–(1.5, 2.5] | −5.01 | <0.01 | <0.01 | TRUE |
(−0.5, 0.5]–(2.5, 3.5] | 9.47 | <0.01 | <0.01 | TRUE |
(−1.5, −0.5]–(2.5, 3.5] | 2.03 | 0.04 | 0.21 | FALSE |
(−2.5, −1.5]–(2.5, 3.5] | 17.28 | <0.01 | <0.01 | TRUE |
(−3.5, −2.5]–(2.5, 3.5] | 2.90 | <0.01 | 0.03 | TRUE |
(0.5, 1.5]–(2.5, 3.5] | 3.67 | <0.01 | <0.01 | TRUE |
(1.5, 2.5]–(2.5, 3.5] | 6.77 | <0.01 | <0.01 | TRUE |
Traffic organization signs at approach | ||||
B-1–B-1/D-3 | −12.92 | <0.01 | <0.01 | TRUE |
B-1–B-2 | 3.40 | <0.01 | <0.01 | TRUE |
B-1/D-3–B-2 | 9.15 | <0.01 | <0.01 | TRUE |
B-1–B-3 | −41.85 | <0.01 | <0.01 | TRUE |
B-1/D-3–B-3 | −14.87 | <0.01 | <0.01 | TRUE |
B-2–B-3 | −16.30 | <0.01 | <0.01 | TRUE |
B-1–B-3/H-8 | 7.62 | <0.01 | <0.01 | TRUE |
B-1/D-3–B-3/H-8 | 13.11 | <0.01 | <0.01 | TRUE |
B-2–B-3/H-8 | 3.16 | <0.01 | <0.01 | TRUE |
B-3–B-3/H-8 | 20.41 | <0.01 | <0.01 | TRUE |
Pedestrian crossing presence | ||||
both–approach only | −13.63 | <0.01 | <0.01 | TRUE |
both–exit only | −12.23 | <0.01 | <0.01 | TRUE |
approach only–exit only | 1.27 | 0.2 | 0.2 | FALSE |
Bicycle crossing presence | ||||
none–both | −7.29 | <0.01 | <0.01 | TRUE |
none–approach only | −20.36 | <0.01 | <0.01 | TRUE |
both–approach only | −15.28 | <0.01 | <0.01 | TRUE |
none–exit only | −12.53 | <0.01 | <0.01 | TRUE |
both–exit only | −7.78 | <0.01 | <0.01 | TRUE |
approach only–exit only | 5.95 | <0.01 | <0.01 | TRUE |
0.15 Quantile | Mean | 0.85 Quantile | |||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Variable | Coeff | 95% CI 1 | p-Value | Coeff | 95% CI 1 | p-Value | Coeff | 95% CI 1 | p-Value |
(Intercept) | −3.2 | −3.5, −2.8 | <0.001 | 0.38 | −0.29, 1.0 | 0.3 | 3.9 | 3.5, 4.2 | <0.001 |
log(radius) | 8.1 | 7.9, 8.2 | <0.001 | 8.0 | 7.8, 8.3 | <0.001 | 8.0 | 7.9, 8.2 | <0.001 |
Variable | Coeff | 95% CI 1 | p-Value |
---|---|---|---|
(Intercept) | 34 | 33, 35 | <0.001 |
Type of movement at the intersection | |||
straight-through | 0.00 | — | |
left turn | −12 | −12, −11 | <0.001 |
right turn | −18 | −18, −18 | <0.001 |
Type of intersection and traffic organization | |||
I-1_B-1 | 0.00 | — | |
I-1_B-2 | −0.91 | −2.6, 0.74 | 0.3 |
I-1_B-3 | 4.4 | 3.5, 5.3 | <0.001 |
I-1_B-3/H-8 | −1.7 | −2.9, −0.56 | 0.004 |
I-2_B-1 | 5.8 | 4.8, 6.7 | <0.001 |
I-2_B-3 | 12 | 11, 13 | <0.001 |
I-3_B-1 | 3.5 | 2.0, 5.0 | <0.001 |
I-3_B-1/D-3 | 13 | 12, 14 | <0.001 |
I-3_B-3 | 8.4 | 6.8, 9.9 | <0.001 |
Signal type | |||
direction-only | 0.00 | — | |
general | 0.61 | 0.04, 1.2 | 0.035 |
Number of lanes | |||
2 | 0.00 | — | |
3 | 0.54 | 0.05, 1.0 | 0.030 |
4 | −4.0 | −4.6, −3.5 | <0.001 |
5 | −6.4 | −7.4, −5.4 | <0.001 |
Cross-section entry type | |||
(1/2) | 0.00 | — | |
(1/4) | 8.4 | 7.1, 9.7 | <0.001 |
(2/2) | −0.69 | −1.4, −0.01 | 0.047 |
(2/3) | 3.4 | 2.8, 4.1 | <0.001 |
Longitudinal slope at approach | |||
(−3.5, −1.5] | 0.00 | — | |
(−1.5, 1.5] | −2.4 | −3.3, −1.5 | <0.001 |
(1.5, 3.5] | −3.1 | −4.3, −2.0 | <0.001 |
Channelized type | |||
none | 0.00 | — | |
horizontal marking | 2.5 | −0.29, 5.3 | 0.079 |
island with curb | 3.4 | 2.2, 4.7 | <0.001 |
Bicycle crossing presence | |||
none | 0.00 | — | |
both | 1.9 | 1.3, 2.4 | <0.001 |
approach only | 6.7 | 6.0, 7.3 | <0.001 |
exit only | 4.4 | 3.8, 5.1 | <0.001 |
Tram crossing presence | |||
no | 0.00 | — | |
yes | −1.7 | −2.1, −1.3 | <0.001 |
Buildings presence | |||
no | 0.00 | — | |
yes | −1.6 | −2.1, −1.2 | <0.001 |
Other obstacles presence | |||
no | 0.00 | — | |
yes | −2.2 | −2.6, −1.8 | <0.001 |
National Model | Proposed Model | ||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Basic Statistic; N = 980 | |||||||||||
Min. | 1st Qu. | Med. | Mean | 3rd Qu | Max. | Min. | 1st Qu. | Med. | Mean | 3rd Qu | Max. |
−4.664 | 2.176 | 3.470 | 3.737 | 5.143 | 12.469 | −6.454 | 1.797 | 4.164 | 4.267 | 6.641 | 16.887 |
Shapiro-Wilk normality test | |||||||||||
W statistic | p-value | W statistic | p-value | ||||||||
0.97023 | <0.001 | 0.99524 | 0.004 | ||||||||
Wilcoxon signed rank test with continuity correction | |||||||||||
Tested probe | V statistic | p-value | |||||||||
all intersection types | 184,569 | <0.001 | |||||||||
I-1 | 667 | <0.001 | |||||||||
I-2 | 14,092 | 0.018 | |||||||||
I-3 | 81,026 | 0.001 | |||||||||
Intraclass Correlation Coefficient | |||||||||||
Tested probe | ICC statistic [95% CI1]; F statistic | p-value | |||||||||
all intersection types | 0.685 [0.640; 0.724]; 5.55 | <0.001 | |||||||||
I-1 | 0.612 [0.367; 0.762]; 4.96 | <0.001 | |||||||||
I-2 | 0.719 [0.654; 0.773]; 6.26 | <0.001 | |||||||||
I-3 | 0.679 [0.629; 0.722]; 5.38 | <0.001 | |||||||||
Pearson’s product-moment correlation | |||||||||||
Tested probe | R statistic [95% CI1]; t value | p-value | |||||||||
all intersection types | 0.722 [0.691; 0.751]; 32.644 | <0.001 | |||||||||
I-1 | 0.666 [0.513; 0.778]; 7.467 | <0.001 | |||||||||
I-2 | 0.768 [0.714; 0.813]; 19.676 | <0.001 | |||||||||
I-3 | 0.714 [0.674; 0.750]; 25.669 | <0.001 | |||||||||
Spearman’s rank correlation rho | |||||||||||
Tested probe | Ρ statistic; S statistic | p-value | |||||||||
all intersection types | 0.700; 47,102,835 | <0.001 | |||||||||
I-1 | 0.697; 18,874 | <0.001 | |||||||||
I-2 | 0.729; 898,333 | <0.001 | |||||||||
I-3 | 0.694; 13,062,598 | <0.001 | |||||||||
Root Mean Squared Error RMSE [s] | |||||||||||
all intersection types | I-1 | I-2 | I-3 | ||||||||
2.53 | 2.67 | 2.49 | 2.52 |
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Iwanowicz, D.; Krukowicz, T.; Chadała, J.; Grabowski, M.; Woźniak, M. Evaluation of Selected Factors Affecting the Speed of Drivers at Signal-Controlled Intersections in Poland. Sustainability 2024, 16, 8862. https://doi.org/10.3390/su16208862
Iwanowicz D, Krukowicz T, Chadała J, Grabowski M, Woźniak M. Evaluation of Selected Factors Affecting the Speed of Drivers at Signal-Controlled Intersections in Poland. Sustainability. 2024; 16(20):8862. https://doi.org/10.3390/su16208862
Chicago/Turabian StyleIwanowicz, Damian, Tomasz Krukowicz, Justyna Chadała, Michał Grabowski, and Maciej Woźniak. 2024. "Evaluation of Selected Factors Affecting the Speed of Drivers at Signal-Controlled Intersections in Poland" Sustainability 16, no. 20: 8862. https://doi.org/10.3390/su16208862
APA StyleIwanowicz, D., Krukowicz, T., Chadała, J., Grabowski, M., & Woźniak, M. (2024). Evaluation of Selected Factors Affecting the Speed of Drivers at Signal-Controlled Intersections in Poland. Sustainability, 16(20), 8862. https://doi.org/10.3390/su16208862