1. Introduction
Lake water is an essential renewable resource for mankind and the environment; it plays a key role in the European and the global economy since it is exploited for civil (e.g., drinking water supply, irrigation), industrial (e.g., processing and cooling, energy production, fishery) and recreational purposes. Lakes constitute an environment for ecosystems, tourism, bathing, intake of drinking water, and aquaculture. These activities critically depend on a sufficient amount of freshwater. Whereas scarcity of freshwater resources already constrains development and societal well-being in many countries [
1], the expected growth of global population over the coming decades, together with growing economic prosperity, is expected to increase water demand, aggravating those problems [
2,
3,
4,
5]. Moreover, due to the increasing demand for fresh water and the effect of climate change (global warming) and the anthropogenic pressure on natural resources, the water quality of lakes worldwide is in danger [
6].
The term “lake management” refers to management designed to maintain an ongoing viability of lake ecosystems that provide the basis for aquatic and non-aquatic life. In order to achieve such goals, it is important to know the present ecological conditions of lakes and their biological, chemical and physical characteristics. With the use of remote sensing technology, which is often combined with Geographical Information systems (GIS), water systems data can be analyzed and alternative management scenarios can be presented. Such an outcome offers important assistance to decision makers and governmental institutions in effectively monitoring lake conditions, implementing recovery strategies, and addressing any other water issues [
7]. Evidently, the most common approach for lake water quality monitoring is the in-situ data collection and laboratory analysis. Yet, this can be very expensive [
6] and time consuming when large areas have to be monitored frequently during the same season. Nowadays in-situ monitoring of lake water quality in synergy with satellite remote sensing represents the latest scientific trend in many water quality monitoring programs worldwide. Indeed, the use of remote sensing, often in combination with in-situ and numerical modeling, has been demonstrated as being a strategic tool for assessing and monitoring lake waters quality. This is because it allows frequent surveys over large areas providing data in a cost-effective way for a variety of studies which need multi-scale temporal analysis [
1] in [
6]. this combination has been of high importance since the promotion of the European Commission Water Framework Directive (EC, 2000), with Member States establishing lake water quality assessment schemes, and setting Chl-
a reference conditions for European lakes [
8] in [
9].
Some major factors affecting lake water quality are phytoplankton and organic and inorganic nutrients. The phytoplankton, indicative of chlorophyll-
a, can be directly quantified using EO techniques (optically active water constituent) indicating the trophic level, the existence of toxic algal blooms and the phytoplankton biomass [
10,
11].
In the literature, there are several examples demonstrating the use of Landsat imagery for estimating and/or monitoring lake water, such as water transparency [
12,
13,
14], phytoplankton concentration [
15,
16,
17,
18,
19,
20,
21], SPM (Total Suspended Matter) [
22], CDOM (Colored Dissolved Organic Matter) [
16], blooms of cyanobacteria [
20] and macrophyte [
23] in [
6]. Yet, admittedly, monitoring and modeling of nutrient data remains a challenging task [
24]. This is mainly because very few studies so far have attempted to manage it and in certain cases regression analysis resulted in weak correlations or weaker than those yielded from in-water components with optical properties [
25,
26,
27] in [
24].
Findings from numerous published studies have indicated that biological and chemical water quality parameters such as chlorophyll-
a have distinctive spectral characteristics and can be measured using spectral indices. But these indices appear to be less reliable in diverse water bodies including lakes, ponds, rivers and streams in coastal regions [
28]. A variety of spectral indices derived from remote sensing data based on empirical or semi-empirical relationships have been developed for transforming spectral data into water quality parameters. These indices may involve three [
21,
29,
30,
31,
32,
33] and four spectral bands [
34]. However, the majority of spectral indices are based on the reflectance ratios of two spectral bands (near infrared and red) for operational purposes. A band ratio between the near infrared (NIR, ~0.7 µm) and red (~0.6 µm) has frequently been used to estimate chlorophyll-
a in waters due to a positive reflectivity of chlorophyll-
a in the NIR and an inverse behavior in the red [
35,
36] while near infrared (NIR) and red bands are involved in most indices [
28,
37] . Monitoring of water quality components in coastal and inland waters (case-2 waters) is a complicated and challenging task since inflows from streams introduce different organic/inorganic sediments, which modify the physical and biological processes in coastal waters and lakes [
38].
This study focuses on estimating lake water quality indicators such as Chlorophyll-a and the concentrations of nutrients through regression analysis among Landsat 8 surface reflectance and respective simultaneous in-situ data of the Trichonis lake for 2 dates. Acquisition dates of satellite and in-situ data were almost simultaneous, circumstances that favor the quality and accuracy of the processing results. To our knowledge, this is one of the few published studies concerned with the water quality monitoring of an oligotrophic freshwater body and on the monitoring of nutrients ‘concentrations, which are deprived of optical properties, a fact that makes elaboration through optical remote sensing a very challenging task. The main goal after the establishment of relations among the nutrients, chlorophyll-a concentrations and Landsat 8 observations using multiple linear regression, is the investigation of sensor’s effectiveness to accurately assess the water quality of Trichonida lake, the deepest and largest oligotrophic Lake of Greece.
4. Discussion
The possibility of providing large scale and high frequency data makes the use of remote sensing technology a suitable approach for tracking phenomena at a temporal scale suitable to the development of the event. This is true, for example, for algal blooms, since the traditional limnological surveys are inadequate and expensive. Moreover, satellite data are key pieces of information for monitoring the effect of climate change. Climate related-factors, such as the amount and intensity of rainfall affecting the basin runoff, can have major effects on the availability of nutrients for algae in lakes. Limnology can benefit from techniques that allow the collection, in near real time, of large scale data, thus accomplishing a better understanding of the response of lacustrine ecosystem to peculiar meteorological events related to climate change [
6]. Unfortunately, in this study, the limited potential of Landsat 8 OLI imagery to accurately determine water quality parameters’ concentrations (chl-
a and nutrients) in an oligotrophic waterbody was demonstrated.
Several multiple linear regressions were established yielding insignificant statistical correlations among satellite and in-situ data. The final chl-
a algorithm based on single Landsat bands, includes the bands B1 (ultra blue), B2 (blue) and B3 (green) [
68] mapped OLI’s spectroradiometric sensitivity to changes in optically active components (OACs), for a nominal solar zenith angle θs = 40°, while the solar zenith angle in our study equals to θs = 35°. According to [
68], for chl-
a changes greater than 0.5 μg/L, the blue band demonstrates the highest sensitivity. This indicates some disadvantages in detecting changes smaller than 0.5 μg/L (usually in oligotrophic waters). Furthermore, B1 was proven to yield better results in waters with relatively low chl-
a concentrations while B3 usually demonstrates similar sensitivity with B1.
Nutrient concentrations are in-water quality components that lack optical properties. This is the most significant reason that so few studies have not only attempted to map them but also actually managed to monitor them accompanied by reliable statistical results. Moreover, very few are the projects that were able to establish total nitrogen algorithms with statistically significant results or reasonable adjusted R
2 values [
24]. Based on our study, the final ammonium algorithm involved the B1, B3 and B4 bands associated with a regression coefficient equal to 0.7, as far as the validation process is concerned. Studies by [
26] and [
24] utilized Landsat TM bands and demonstrated similar outcomes, by using bands 1 (blue) and 2 (green). On the other hand, although Reference [
25] predicted total nitrogen concentrations by using Landsat TM bands 1 (blue), 2 (green), 3 (red), and 4 (NIR), those were not very successful (R
2 = 0.24) [
24].
According to our study findings, the logchl-
a predictive model based on spectral indices incorporated OLI bands 2 (blue), 3 (green), 4 (red), 5 (NIR) and 7 (swir2) with R equal to 0.58 [
13,
16,
62,
69] used similar bands for the estimation of chlorophyll-
a in lakes and reservoirs and more particular vegetation indices and bands TM and ETM 1 (blue), 2 (green) and 4 (NIR). Reference [
62] used the NDVI in Laguna Chascomús in relation to Chl-
a estimation for its optical characteristics and because it is sensitive to the pigment absorption. NDVI has been found to be very sensitive to changes in the environment [
62,
63]. Moreover, its use is more successful in zones with moderate wind speeds without developing waves, which is not the case in Trichonis Lake [
62]. Furthermore, water indices include SWIR band and according to Reference [
70] all significant band combinations for chlorophyll included at least one of the short wave infrared bands (SWIR), although most water quality studies to this point have not included SWIR bands. Ratios between either chlorophyll absorption bands (red and blue) or chlorophyll reflectance bands (green and NIR) with either of the two SWIR bands expected to emphasize the portion of the spectrum affected by chlorophyll, thereby making estimated values more readily correlated with actual sample values [
70]. Reference [
71] also tried to generate a different Chl-
a model for different Landsat sensors (5 TM, 7 ETM+ and 8 OLI). Although OLI sensor has better radiometric sensitivity and signal to noise ratio, they could not prove that OLI is better than TM and ETM+ sensors. Overall, they observed that each Landsat sensor can be used to estimate Chl-
a in the reservoir while the best model for TM sensor included a combination of green, red and NIR band, and the ratio green/red (R
2 = 0.92). A three-variable model using green and SWIR-1 bands and the ratio red/green was the best model to predict Chl-
a using EMT+ sensor (R
2 = 0.91).
Effective and precise water quality determination is dependent on the satellite sensor used, the methodology followed and also on the nature of the waters studied (Case-1, Case-2). Based in these premises the aforementioned authors (who used Landsat images) in addition to [
72,
73], concluded that the application of MERIS FLH algorithms in oligotrophic waters may be excluded because of too low signal to noise ratio. Furthermore, according to Reference [
74], eutrophic and mesotrophic lakes provide more accurate estimations than oligotrophic, due to the lack of suspended particles that are detectable by satellite sensors.
All in all, in this study results showed that water quality monitoring of oligotrophic freshwater bodies through remote sensing tools can be a really challenging task. Landsat 8 has been widely used in eutrophic lakes and even fewer studies have managed to estimate nutrients, particularly ammonium concentrations. Season of water samplings, lake trophic status and the spatial homogeneity may be the greatest limitations that prevented a better and more accurate prediction. In case of a better performance of predictive models, the continuous water quality monitoring of Trichonis lake would be feasible in combination with simultaneous satellite imageries. Those models might be extended and applied efficiently in other lakes of the planet with similar morphological characteristics, contributing to cost savings, knowledge dissemination regarding lake management and protection and implementation of recovery strategies.
5. Conclusions
Our study explored the use of remote sensing technology and specifically of Landsat 8 OLI sensor, to accurately quantify certain water quality parameters. Two water sampling campaigns were conducted in the largest and deepest lake of Greece, Trichonis Lake, in 2013 and 2014 studying concentrations of chlorophyll-a and nutrients while simultaneous L8 imageries were at our disposal. Although chlorophyll-a is broadly used as a lake water quality indicator in combination with satellite data, very few studies have investigated the prediction of nutrient concentrations.
According to the in-situ data analysis and their spatial distribution, it has been strongly ascertained that Trichonis Lake is characterized by particularly low concentrations and the lack of any spatial or temporal value differentiation across the twenty-two sampling stations, case that inhibited a greater predictive potential. Weak correlations were detected among in-situ and satellite data while those correlations, particularly in autumn and summer, may also be due to the lake turnover effect. When the equalization of the thermal gradient in the lake induces mixing of surface and bottom waters, remote monitoring is made difficult due to instability [
70].
Moreover, the incorporation of the SWIR band into chl-
a estimation (in contrast to other studies) suggests that there may be a relationship between SWIR reflection and algae/plant production, which deserves further investigation. Additional water samplings should be made during different time periods concerning specific mixing boundaries (surface-bottom waters) in order to investigate whether the feasibility of remote monitoring increases. In case strong relationships are found, this may help improve prediction capabilities by providing researchers with bounded time periods (according to region) [
70]. Further research is required towards the investigation of more water parameters or using sensors of different spatial and geometrical analysis in order to be able to compare the outcomes among all different cases. Even though early results demonstrated the vulnerability of the Landsat 8 imagery to precisely determine certain water quality components in an inland oligotrophic body, it is generally accepted that those models may initially increase the knowledge of Trichonis lake’s water quality and then be utilized as warning indicators of water quality deterioration.