Accelerated Glacier Area Loss in the Zhetysu (Dzhungar) Alatau Range (Tien Shan) for the Period of 1956–2016
Abstract
:1. Introduction
2. Study Area
3. Materials and Methods
3.1. Utilized Images
3.2. Climatic Data
3.3. Methods
3.4. Uncertainty of Mapping
4. Results
4.1. Glacier Inventory of 2001
4.2. Glacier Inventory of 2016
4.3. Glacier Changes in 2001–2016
4.4. Temperature and Precipitation Trends
5. Discussion
6. Conclusions
Author Contributions
Funding
Data Availability Statement
Acknowledgments
Conflicts of Interest
References
- Barnett, T.P.; Adam, J.C.; Lettenmaier, D.P. Potential impacts of a warming climate on water availability in snow-dominated regions. Nature 2005, 438, 303–309. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Sorg, A.; Bolch, T.; Stoffel, M.; Solomina, O.; Beniston, M. Climate change impacts on glaciers and runoff in Tien Shan (Central Asia). Nat. Clim. Chang. 2012, 2, 725–731. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Viviroli, D.; Dürr, H.H.; Messerli, B.; Meybeck, M.; Weingartner, R. Mountains of the world, water towers for humanity: Typology, mapping, and global significance. Water Resour. Res. 2007, 43, 1–13. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Farinotti, D.; Longuevergne, L.; Moholdt, G.; Duethmann, D.; Mölg, T.; Bolch, T.; Vorogushyn, S.; Güntner, A. Substantial glacier mass loss in the Tien Shan over the past 50 years. Nat. Geosci. 2015, 8, 716–722. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Aizen, V.B.; Aizen, E.M.; Kuzmichonok, V.A. Glaciers and hydrological changes in the Tien Shan: Simulation and prediction. Environ. Res. Lett. 2007, 2, 045019. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Aizen, V.B.; Kuzmichenok, V.A.; Surazakov, A.B.; Aizen, E.M. Glacier changes in the Tien Shan as determined from topographic and remotely sensed data. Glob. Planet. Chang. 2007, 56, 328–340. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Hagg, W.; Braun, L.N.; Weber, M.; Becht, M. Runoff modelling in glacierized Central Asian catchments for present-day and future climate. Nord. Hydrol. 2006, 37, 93–105. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Karthe, D.; Chalov, S.; Borchardt, D. Water resources and their management in central Asia in the early twenty first century: Status, challenges and future prospects. Environ. Earth Sci. 2015, 73, 487–499. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Kaser, G.; Großhauser, M.; Marzeion, B. Contribution potential of glaciers to water availability in different climate regimes. Natl. Acad. Sci. USA 2010, 107, 20223–20227. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Narama, C.; Kääb, A.; Duishonakunov, M.; Abdrakhmatov, K. Spatial variability of recent glacier area changes in the Tien Shan Mountains, Central Asia, using Corona (~1970), Landsat (~2000), and ALOS (~2007) satellite data. Glob. Planet. Chang. 2010, 71, 42–54. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Vilesov, E.; Severskiy, I. Degradation of the Dzhungar (Zhetysu) Alatau Glaciation in the Second Half of the XX Century. Ice Snow 2013, 53, 12–20. [Google Scholar]
- Severskiy, I.; Vilesov, E.; Kokarev, A.; Shesterova, I.; Morozova, V.; Kogutenko, L.; Usmanova, Z. Glacial systems of the Balkash-Alakol basin: State, modern changes. Quest. Geogr. Geoecology 2012, 2, 31–40. [Google Scholar]
- Kaldybayev, A.; Chen, Y.; Vilesov, E. Glacier change in the Karatal river basin, Zhetysu (Dzhungar) Alatau, Kazakhstan. Ann. Glaciol. 2016, 57, 11–19. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Kaldybayev, A.; Chen, Y.; Issanova, G.; Wang, H.; Mahmudova, L. Runoff response to the glacier shrinkage in the Karatal river basin, Kazakhstan. Arab. J. Geosci. 2016, 9, 208. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Severskiy, I.; Vilesov, E.; Armstrong, R.; Kokarev, A.; Kogutenko, L.; Usmanova, Z.; Morozova, V.; Raup, B. Changes in glaciation of the Balkhash-Alakol basin, central Asia, over recent decades. Ann. Glaciol. 2016, 57, 382–394. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Cherkasov, P. Glacier Inventory of the USSR. Lake Balkhash Basin, Part 4; Hydrometeorological Publishing House: Leningrad, Russia, 1975; Volume 13. [Google Scholar]
- Cherkasov, P. Glacier Inventory of the USSR. Lake Balkhash Basin, Part 5; Hydrometeorological Publishing House: Leningrad, Russia, 1980; Volume 13. [Google Scholar]
- Cherkasov, P. Glacier Inventory of the USSR. Lake Balkhash Basin, Part 6; Hydrometeorological Publishing House: Leningrad, Russia, 1970; Volume 13. [Google Scholar]
- Cherkasov, P.; Erasov, V. Glacier Inventory of the USSR. Lake Balkhash Basin, Part 7; Hydrometeorological Publishing House: Leningrad, Russia, 1969; Volume 13. [Google Scholar]
- Chen, Y.; Li, W.; Deng, H.; Fang, G.; Li, Z. Changes in Central Asia’s Water Tower: Past, Present and Future. Sci. Rep. 2016, 6, 35458. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef] [PubMed]
- Pritchard, H.D. Asia’s shrinking glaciers protect large populations from drought stress. Nature 2019, 569, 649–654. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Sorg, A.; Huss, M.; Rohrer, M.; Stoffel, M. The days of plenty might soon be over in glacierized Central Asian catchments. Environ. Res. Lett. 2014, 9, 104018. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Vilesov, E.; Morozova, V.; Seversky, I. Glaciation of the Dzungarian (Zhetysu) Alatau: Past, Present, Future; KazNU: Almaty, Kazakhstan, 2013. [Google Scholar]
- Yudichev, M. Dzungarian Alatau. Materials on Geology and Minerals of Kazakhstan; KazFAN USSR: Leningrad, Russia, 1940; Volume 14.
- Ministry of Energy of the Republic of Kazakhstan United Nations Development Programme in Kazakhstan Global Environment Facility. Seventh National Communication and Third Biennial Report of the Republic of Kazakhstan to the UN Framework Convention on Climate Change; Ministry of Energy of the Republic of Kazakhstan United Nations Development Programme in Kazakhstan Global Environment Facility: Astana, Kazakhstan, 2017; p. 290.
- Ministry of Ecology, Geology and Natural Resources of the Republic of Kazakhstan; Republican State Enterprise «Kazhydromet»; Scientific Research Center. Annual Bulletin of Monitoring of the Climate State and Climate Change in Kazakhstan: 2021; Research Center of RSE “Kazhydromet”: Astana, Kazakhstan, 2022; p. 76.
- Cherednichenko, A.; Cherednichenko, A.; Vilesov, E.N.; Cherednichenko, V.S. Climate change in the City of àlmaty during the past 120 years. Quat. Int. 2015, 358, 101–105. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Hollander, M.; Wolfe, D.A. Nonparametric Statistical Methods; John Wiley & Sons.: Hoboken, NJ, USA, 1999. [Google Scholar]
- Paul, F.; Barrand, N.E.; Baumann, S.; Berthier, E.; Bolch, T.; Casey, K.; Frey, H.; Joshi, S.P.; Konovalov, V.; Le Bris, R.; et al. On the accuracy of glacier outlines derived from remote-sensing data. Ann. Glaciol. 2013, 54, 171–182. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Racoviteanu, A.E.; Paul, F.; Raup, B.; Khalsa, S.J.S.; Armstrong, R. Challenges and recommendations in mapping of glacier parameters from space: Results of the 2008 global land ice measurements from space (GLIMS) workshop, Boulder, Colorado, USA. Ann. Glaciol. 2009, 50, 53–69. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Paul, F.; Kääb, A. Perspectives on the production of a glacier inventory from multispectral satellite data in Arctic Canada: Cumberland Peninsula, Baffin Island. Ann. Glaciol. 2005, 42, 59–66. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Bolch, T. Climate change and glacier retreat in northern Tien Shan (Kazakhstan/Kyrgyzstan) using remote sensing data. Glob. Planet. Chang. 2007, 56, 1–12. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Bolch, T.; Yao, T.; Kang, S.; Buchroithner, M.F.; Scherer, D.; Maussion, F.; Huintjes, E.; Schneider, C. A glacier inventory for the western Nyainqentanglha range and the Nam Co Basin, Tibet, and glacier changes 1976–2009. Cryosphere 2010, 4, 419–433. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Paul, F.; Bolch, T.; Briggs, K.; Kääb, A.; McMillan, M.; McNabb, R.; Nagler, T.; Nuth, C.; Rastner, P.; Strozzi, T.; et al. Error sources and guidelines for quality assessment of glacier area, elevation change, and velocity products derived from satellite data in the Glaciers_cci project. Remote Sens. Environ. 2017, 203, 256–275. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Farooq, I.; Shah, A.R.; Salik, K.M.; Ismail, M. Annual, Seasonal and Monthly Trend Analysis of Temperature in Kazakhstan During 1970–2017 Using Non-parametric Statistical Methods and GIS Technologies. Earth Syst. Environ. 2021, 5, 575–595. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Talipova, E.; Shrestha, S.; Alimkulov, S.; Nyssanbayeva, A.; Tursunova, A.; Isakan, G. Influence of climate change and anthropogenic factors on the Ile River basin streamflow, Kazakhstan. Arab. J. Geosci. 2021, 14, 1756. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Shahgedanova, M.; Afzal, M.; Severskiy, I.; Usmanova, Z.; Saidaliyeva, Z.; Kapitsa, V.; Kasatkin, N.; Dolgikh, S. Changes in the mountain river discharge in the northern Tien Shan since the mid-20th Century: Results from the analysis of a homogeneous daily streamflow data set from seven catchments. J. Hydrol. 2018, 564, 1133–1152. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Kriegel, D.; Mayer, C.; Hagg, W.; Vorogushyn, S.; Duethmann, D.; Gafurov, A.; Farinotti, D. Changes in glacierisation, climate and runoff in the second half of the 20th century in the Naryn basin, Central Asia. Glob. Planet. Chang. 2013, 110, 51–61. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Zhang, Q.; Chen, Y.; Li, Z.; Li, Y.; Xiang, Y.; Bian, W. Glacier changes from 1975 to 2016 in the Aksu River Basin, Central Tianshan Mountains. J. Geogr. Sci. 2019, 29, 984–1000. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Zhang, Q.; Chen, Y.; Li, Z.; Fang, G.; Xiang, Y.; Li, Y.; Ji, H. Recent changes in water discharge in snow and glacier melt-dominated rivers in the tienshan mountains, Central Asia. Remote Sens. 2020, 12, 2704. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Kutuzov, S.; Shahgedanova, M. Glacier retreat and climatic variability in the eastern Terskey-Alatoo, inner Tien Shan between the middle of the 19th century and beginning of the 21st century. Glob. Planet. Chang. 2009, 69, 59–70. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- He, Y.; Yang, T.-b.; Ji, Q.; Chen, J.; Zhao, G.; Shao, W.-W. Glacier variation in response to climate change in Chinese Tianshan Mountains from 1989 to 2012. J. Mt. Sci. 2015, 12, 1189–1202. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Aizen, V.B.; Kuzmichenok, V.A.; Surazakov, A.B.; Aizen, E.M. Glacier changes in the central and northern Tien Shan during the last 140 years based on surface and remote-sensing data. Ann. Glaciol. 2006, 43, 202–213. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Narama, C.; Shimamura, Y.; Nakayama, D.; Abdrakhmatov, K. Recent changes of glacier coverage in the western Terskey-Alatoo range, Kyrgyz Republic, using Corona and Landsat. Ann. Glaciol. 2006, 43, 223–229. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Unger-Shayesteh, K.; Vorogushyn, S.; Farinotti, D.; Gafurov, A.; Duethmann, D.; Mandychev, A.; Merz, B. What do we know about past changes in the water cycle of Central Asian headwaters? A review. Glob. Planet. Chang. 2013, 110, 4–25. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Tielidze, L.G.; Wheate, R.D. The Greater Caucasus Glacier Inventory (Russia, Georgia and Azerbaijan). Cryosphere 2018, 12, 81–94. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Tennant, C.; Menounos, B.; Wheate, R.; Clague, J.J. Area change of glaciers in the Canadian rocky mountains, 1919 to 2006. Cryosphere 2012, 6, 1541–1552. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Paul, F.; Rastner, P.; Azzoni, R.S.; Diolaiuti, G.; Fugazza, D.; Bris, R.L.; Nemec, J.; Rabatel, A.; Ramusovic, M.; Schwaizer, G.; et al. Glacier shrinkage in the Alps continues unabated as revealed by a new glacier inventory from Sentinel-2. Earth Syst. Sci. Data 2020, 12, 1805–1821. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Kokarev, A.; Shesterova, I. Present-day changes of mountain glaciers on the southern slope of the Dzhungarian Alatau range. Ice Snow 2015, 128, 54. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Dolgushin, L.; Osipova, G. The Nature of the World: Glaciers. Mysl. Moscow, USSR. 1989; Volume 447. Available online: https://www.studmed.ru/dolgushin-l-d-osipova-g-b-ledniki_e961d16f14e.html (accessed on 1 March 2023).
- Liu Chaohai; Han Tianding Relation between recent glacier variations and climate in the Tien Shan Mountains, Central Asia. Ann. Glaciol. 1992, 16, 11–16. [CrossRef]
- Pieczonka, T.; Bolch, T. Region-wide glacier mass budgets and area changes for the Central Tien Shan between ~1975 and 1999 using Hexagon KH-9 imagery. Glob. Planet. Chang. 2015, 128, 1–13. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Li, B.; Zhu, A.X.; Zhang, Y.; Pei, T.; Qin, C.; Zhou, C. Glacier change over the past four decades in the middle Chinese Tien Shan. J. Glaciol. 2006, 52, 425–432. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Aizen, V.B.; Aizen, E.M.; Melack, J.M.; Dozier, J. Climatic and hydrologic changes in the Tien Shan, central Asia. J. Clim. 1997, 10, 1393–1404. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Qin, D.; Liu, S.; Li, P. Snow cover distribution, variability, and response to climate change in western China. J. Clim. 2006, 19, 1820–1833. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Bahr, D.B.; Pfeffer, W.T.; Sassolas, C.; Meier, M.F. Response time of glaciers as a function of size and mass balance: 1. Theory. J. Geophys. Res. Solid Earth 1998, 103, 9777–9782. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Ye, B.; Ding, Y.; Liu, C. Response of valley glaciers in various sizes and their runoff to climate change. J. Glaciol. 2003, 49, 1–7. [Google Scholar]
- Granshaw, F.D.; Fountain, A.G. Glacier change (1958–1998) in the North Cascades National Park Complex, Washington, USA. J. Glaciol. 2006, 52, 251–256. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Ciais, P.; Sabine, C.; Bala, G.; Bopp, L.; Brovkin, V.; Canadell, J.; Chhabra, A.; DeFries, R.; Galloway, J.; Heimann, M.; et al. The physical science basis. Contribution of working group I to the fifth assessment report of the intergovernmental panel on climate change. Change IPCC Clim. 2013, 375, 20160321. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Vandenberghe, J.; Renssen, H.; van Huissteden, K.; Nugteren, G.; Konert, M.; Lu, H.; Dodonov, A.; Buylaert, J.P. Penetration of Atlantic westerly winds into Central and East Asia. Quat. Sci. Rev. 2006, 25, 2380–2389. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Hagg, W.; Mayer, C.; Lambrecht, A.; Kriegel, D.; Azizov, E. Glacier changes in the Big Naryn basin, Central Tian Shan. Glob. Planet. Chang. 2013, 110, 40–50. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Gulnura, I.; Abuduwaili, J.; Oleg, S. Deflation processes and their role in desertification of the southern Pre-Balkhash deserts. Arab. J. Geosci. 2014, 7, 4513–4521. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Wang, L.; Li, Z.; Wang, F.; Edwards, R. Glacier shrinkage in the Ebinur lake basin, Tien Shan, China, during the past 40 years. J. Glaciol. 2014, 60, 245–254. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Ageta, Y.; Kadota, T. Predictions of changes of glacier mass balance in the Nepal Himalaya and Tibetan Plateau: A case study of air temperature increase for three glaciers. Ann. Glaciol. 1992, 16, 89–94. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Fujita, K.; Ageta, Y. Effect of summer accumulation on glacier mass balance on the Tibetan Plateau revealed by mass-balance model. J. Glaciol. 2000, 46, 244–252. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
WRS2 Path-Row | Date | Satellite and Sensor | Spatial Resolution (m) | Suitability of Scenes | Suitability of Scenes |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
148-029 | 22 August 2001 | Landsat ETM+ | 15/30/60 | Main | |
147-029 | 18 August 2002 | Landsat ETM+ | 15/30/60 | Additional information | Seasonal snow |
147-029 | 12 September 2011 | Landsat ETM+ | 15/30/60 | Additional information | Filling the gaps |
148-029 | 3 September 2011 | Landsat ETM+ | 15/30/60 | Additional information | Filling the gaps |
147-029 | 13 August 2012 | Landsat ETM+ | 15/30/60 | Main | |
148-029 | 20 August 2012 | Landsat ETM+ | 15/30/60 | Main | |
147-029 | 1 September 2016 | Landsat OLI | 15/30/60 | Main | Seasonal snow, shadow areas |
148-029 | 24 September 2016 | Landsat OLI | 15/30/60 | Main | Seasonal snow, shadow areas |
148-029 | 21 August 2015 | Landsat OLI | 15/30/60 | Additional information | Shadow areas |
Meteorological Stations (MSs) | Elevation (m) | Coordinates | Description | |
---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Usharal | 385.8 | 46°10′N, 80°56′E | It is located in the desert plain region of the Alakol depression, Tentek river basin, eastern part of the Zhetysu Alatau. |
2 | Taldykorgan | 601.3 | 45°01′N, 78°22′E | It is located in the foothill region of the western Zhetysu Alatau (Karatal river basin). |
3 | Sarkand | 764 | 45°25′N, 79°55′E | It is located on the northern part of the Zhetysu Alatau (Lepsy river basin). |
4 | Kogaly | 1410 | 44°29′N, 78°39′E | It is located on the southern part of the Zhetusy Alatau (Usek river basin). |
Glaciers | Manually Delineated | Automated with TM. km2 | Std% | Diff% | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 Day | 2 Day | 3 Day | 4 Day | 5 Day | Mean. km2 | Mean-koef. km2 | ||||
a | 1.4356 | 1.4085 | 1.4271 | 1.4193 | 1.4302 | 1.4241 | 1.4105 | 1.3958 | 2.0 | 1.4 |
b | 2.7081 | 2.7114 | 2.7147 | 2.7275 | 2.7253 | 2.7174 | 2.6913 | 2.6621 | 2.0 | 1.0 |
c | 4.1658 | 4.1790 | 4.1970 | 4.2279 | 4.2338 | 4.2007 | 4.1604 | 4.0848 | 2.8 | 3.4 |
d | 0.3853 | 0.3860 | 0.3877 | 0.3941 | 0.3923 | 0.3891 | 0.3853 | 0.3716 | 4.5 | 4..0 |
Basins | 1956 | 2001 | 2012 | 2016 | 1956–2001 | 2001–2012 | 2012–2016 | 2001–2016 | 1956–2016 | Mean Size in 2001/2016 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Area km2 (Count) | Area Decrease % (% yr−1) | |||||||||
1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
Karatal | 202.5 (285) | 126.5 ± 3.5 (231) | 110.3 ±3.1 (221) | 102.6 ± 2.9 (220) | −37.5 (0.8) | −12.8 (−1.2) | −7 (−1.7) | −18.9 (−1.3) | −49.3 (−0.8) | 0.55/0.47 |
Aksu Bien | 140.4 (135) | 93.4 ± 2.6 (133) | 83.1 ± 2.3 (127) | 77.1 ± 2.2 (127) | −33.5 (−0.7) | −11 (−1) | −7.2 (−1.8) | −17.5 (−1.2) | −45.1 (−0.8) | 0.70/0.60 |
Lepsy-Baskan | 154 (116) | 103.8 ± 2.9 (112) | 93.7 ± 2.6 (111) | 88.4 ±2.5 (105) | −32.6 (−0.7) | −9.7 (−0.9) | −5.7 (−1.4) | −14.9 (−1) | −42.6 (−0.7) | 0.91/0.83 |
Tentek | 75.2 (94) | 49.7 ± 1.4 (85) | 41.8 ± 1.2 (73) | 36.9 ± 1.0 (58) | −33.9 (−0.8) | −15.8 (−1.4) | −12.6 (−3.1) | −26.4 (−1.8) | −51.4 (−0.9) | 0.57/0.63 |
Rgaits | 13.1 (22) | 10 ± 0.3 (21) | 8.2 ± 0.2 (18) | 6.9 ± 0.2 (17) | −23.5 (−0.5) | −18.4 (−1.7) | −16.2 (−4.1) | −31.6 (−2.1) | −47.7 (−0.8) | 0.47/0.40 |
Usek | 144.8 (233) | 84.9 ± 2.4 (219) | 73.4 ± 2.1 (202) | 64.6 ± 1.8 (197) | −41.4 (−0.9) | −13.6 (−1.2) | −12 (−3) | −23.9 (−1.6) | −55.4 (−0.9) | 0.38/0.32 |
Khorgos | 83.5 (100) | 49 ± 1.4 (96) | 43.2 ± 1.2 (90) | 38.5 ± 1.1 (89) | −41.3 (−0.9) | −11.9 (−1.1) | −11 (−2.7) | −21.6 (−1.4) | −53.9 (−0.9) | 0.51/0.43 |
Total | 813.6 (985) | 517.4 ± 14.5 (897) | 453.7 ± 12.7 (842) | 414.6 ± 11.6 (813) | −36.4 (−0.8) | −12.3 (−1.1) | −8.6 (−2.2) | −19.9 (−1.3) | −49 (−0.8) | 0.57/0.51 |
Glaciers <0.005 km2 | 18.9 (385) | 5.1 ± 0.14 (143) | 3.7 ± 0.10 (96) | 3 ± 0.08 (83) | −72.9 (−1.6) | −27.4 (−2.5) | −19.3 (−4.8) | −41.4 (−2.8) | −84.1 (−1.4) | 0.04/0.03 |
No. | Meteorological Stations | Average Annual Rate of Air Temperature Change °C/10 Years | Average Summer Air Temperature Change Rate °C/10 Years | Average Annual Rate of Change in Precipitation, mm/10 Years |
---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Taldykogan | 0.28 | 0.25 | 8.5 |
2 | Kogaly | 0.18 | 0.19 | 9.3 |
3 | Usharal | 0.20 | 0.20 | −2.2 |
4 | Usharal | 0.29 | 0.12 | 11.4 |
Station | Mann–Kendall Stats | June | July | August | Mean Summer Period (June–August) | Annual Mean |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Air Temperature | ||||||
Taldykorgan | Z-statistic | 2.9339 | 3.0857 | 3.7235 | 3.8145 | 3.7295 |
p-value | 0.003347 | 0.002031 | 0.0001965 | 0.0001364 | 0.0001919 | |
Significance | (**) | (**) | (***) | (***) | (***) | |
Kogaly | Z-statistic | 2.8003 | 2.7152 | 2.6483 | 3.5837 | 4.2033 |
p-value | 0.005106 | 0.006623 | 0.00809 | 0.0003388 | 0.00002631 | |
Significance | (**) | (**) | (**) | (***) | (***) | |
Sarkand | Z-statistic | 2.8913 | 2.1745 | 2.2596 | 3.4379 | 3.2132 |
p-value | 0.003836 | 0.02967 | 0.02385 | 0.0005862 | 0.001312 | |
Significance | (**) | (*) | (*) | (***) | (**) | |
Usharal | Z-statistic | 2.1138 | 1.0508 | 1.6219 | 2.4418 | 4.2276 |
p-value | 0.03453 | 0.2933 | 0.1048 | 0.01462 | 0.00002362 | |
Significance | (*) | N.S. | N.S. | (*) | (***) |
Station | Mann–Kendall Stats | June | July | August | Mean Summer Period (June–August) | Annual Mean |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Precipitation | ||||||
Taldykorgan | Z-statistic | 0.11541 | 0.40699 | 0.94162 | 0.69853 | 1.1116 |
p-value | 0.9081 | 0.684 | 0.3464 | 0.4848 | 0.2663 | |
(N.S.) | (N.S.) | (N.S.) | (N.S.) | (N.S.) | ||
Kogaly | Z-statistic | 0.48594 | −0.31586 | 0.99015 | 0.84431 | 0.62564 |
p-value | 0.627 | 0.7521 | 0.3221 | 0.3985 | 0.5315 | |
(N.S.) | (N.S.) | (N.S.) | (N.S.) | (N.S.) | ||
Sarkand | Z-statistic | −0.6378 | 0.14578 | 0.82617 | −0.12149 | −0.14578 |
p-value | 0.5236 | 0.8841 | 0.4087 | 0.9033 | 0.8841 | |
(N.S.) | (N.S.) | (N.S.) | (N.S.) | (N.S.) | ||
Usharal | Z-statistic | 0.90517 | 0.21867 | 0.49812 | 1.0995 | 1.7979 |
p-value | 0.3654 | 0.8269 | 0.6184 | 0.2715 | 0.07219 | |
(N.S.) | (N.S.) | (N.S.) | (N.S.) | (N.S.) |
Disclaimer/Publisher’s Note: The statements, opinions and data contained in all publications are solely those of the individual author(s) and contributor(s) and not of MDPI and/or the editor(s). MDPI and/or the editor(s) disclaim responsibility for any injury to people or property resulting from any ideas, methods, instructions or products referred to in the content. |
© 2023 by the authors. Licensee MDPI, Basel, Switzerland. This article is an open access article distributed under the terms and conditions of the Creative Commons Attribution (CC BY) license (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/).
Share and Cite
Nurakynov, S.; Kaldybayev, A.; Zulpykharov, K.; Sydyk, N.; Merekeyev, A.; Chepashev, D.; Nyssanbayeva, A.; Issanova, G.; Fang, G. Accelerated Glacier Area Loss in the Zhetysu (Dzhungar) Alatau Range (Tien Shan) for the Period of 1956–2016. Remote Sens. 2023, 15, 2133. https://doi.org/10.3390/rs15082133
Nurakynov S, Kaldybayev A, Zulpykharov K, Sydyk N, Merekeyev A, Chepashev D, Nyssanbayeva A, Issanova G, Fang G. Accelerated Glacier Area Loss in the Zhetysu (Dzhungar) Alatau Range (Tien Shan) for the Period of 1956–2016. Remote Sensing. 2023; 15(8):2133. https://doi.org/10.3390/rs15082133
Chicago/Turabian StyleNurakynov, Serik, Azamat Kaldybayev, Kanat Zulpykharov, Nurmakhambet Sydyk, Aibek Merekeyev, Daniker Chepashev, Aiman Nyssanbayeva, Gulnura Issanova, and Gonghuan Fang. 2023. "Accelerated Glacier Area Loss in the Zhetysu (Dzhungar) Alatau Range (Tien Shan) for the Period of 1956–2016" Remote Sensing 15, no. 8: 2133. https://doi.org/10.3390/rs15082133
APA StyleNurakynov, S., Kaldybayev, A., Zulpykharov, K., Sydyk, N., Merekeyev, A., Chepashev, D., Nyssanbayeva, A., Issanova, G., & Fang, G. (2023). Accelerated Glacier Area Loss in the Zhetysu (Dzhungar) Alatau Range (Tien Shan) for the Period of 1956–2016. Remote Sensing, 15(8), 2133. https://doi.org/10.3390/rs15082133