In this section we first present a discussion about the LiDAR and the photogrammetric flights’ uncertainties. After that, we discuss the results obtained from the height differences and volumes in the whole area and in the detailed area. The relationships of erosion rates by periods to the rainfalls are also analyzed. Finally, for the detailed area, the comparison between the results from DSMs and DTMs with different interpolation conditions is discussed.
4.1. Accuracies and Uncertainties
First, a quality control of the LiDAR points cloud was carried out with some field GNSS surveyed points. This control showed that horizontal (XY) mean and RMS errors were around 0.7 m, while the vertical (Z) mean error was of 0.24 m in absolute value, and the RMS and SD errors were about 0.40–0.45 m. From these errors, the uncertainties, estimated as the values of RMS or SD as in previous studies [
57,
58,
70], were of 0.7 m for the horizontal component and 0.5 m for the vertical one. Then the horizontal uncertainty for X and Y would be about 0.5 m for each one, which coincides approximately with half of the LiDAR data resolution and is equal to the orthophotographs resolution. Meanwhile, the mean vertical (Z) error of 0.24 m informs us about a good general fit of the aerial LiDAR point cloud to the ground surface, as the SD or RMS values under 0.5 m do about the good fit of particular points or sectors. Moreover, it is in accordance with some previous studies that have used LiDAR data to study Earth surface processes [
15,
22,
26,
28,
30,
31,
33,
58,
76]. In these papers the accuracy, expressed as an instrumental specification or estimated from comparison of LiDAR data with more precise methods (GNSS, TS, TLS), ranges mostly from 0.1 m to 0.5 m. Lower values can only be obtained by means of TLS surveys, in which the accuracy ranges between 0.02 m and 0.1 m [
15,
22,
25,
26].
Regarding the uncertainty of the photogrammetric products (DSMs and orthophotographs), in some previous studies [
57,
58,
77], it has been observed that the vertical uncertainties in DEMs obtained by means of matching from photogrammetric flights are about two or three times the orientation residual errors in Z, calculated in the control points (GCPs). However, in this paper, we have considered a propagation error from LiDAR data to the photogrammetric orientation process using external check points. In general, since an external check has been used, errors have been higher than the estimations of the previously mentioned papers. As can be observed in
Table 3 and
Table 4, the Z error in check points is higher than two or even three times the Z error in control points. Thus, the RMS errors propagated of the vertical component (Z) show values between 0.5 and 0.9 m, which are assumed as the uncertainties of the DSMs. From these, the uncertainties of DoDs are calculated, resulting in values around 1 m, in the same order of magnitude to those estimated in reference studies with similar methodologies and resolutions [
20,
28,
47,
48,
58]. Higher accuracies are only obtained when images of higher resolution are processed: 10
−3 m order and even lower in close-range photogrammetry [
20,
34,
36]; 10
−2 to 10
−1 m order in terrestrial photogrammetry [
23,
25,
35,
38,
39,
40] or UAV photogrammetry [
21,
23,
24,
39,
40,
41,
42]. These last accuracies are comparable with those obtained by means of GNSS or TS surveys [
13,
19,
20].
Following the methodology developed in the studies of [
13,
19,
28,
45], a minimum level of detection (minLoD) threshold could be defined from the uncertainties in order to perform the height differences or volumes calculations from DEMs in a reliable way. Therefore, a simple approach could be discarding the values lower to the minLOD defined as the SD or RMS errors. In a normal distribution, these values represent 68% of the confidence interval, so the calculations are free of uncertainty in this percentage. Usually, it is considered twice these errors, which represents 95% of the confidence interval, and so is the accuracy of the calculations. However, height differences and volume calculations are very sensitive to this minLOD [
45], and a large amount of information can also be lost with this procedure [
13]. Thus, there are other approaches based on the idea that each height difference presents a confidence interval and so a probability of being free of uncertainty can be estimated. From the DoD of each period analyzed, a T-score can be computed and then the probability of being free of a given uncertainty [
13]. Finally, the calculations of height differences and volume can be done by weighting each height difference by its probability.
4.2. Areas, Vertical Heights and Volumes in the Whole Area
From the results section, firstly a study area can be observed affected by a gully erosion of variable intensity along the different periods. Qualitatively,
Figure 6 shows that depletion or erosion processes (negative height differences) predominate over deposition in the gully area. This is particularly observed in the map of the complete period (
Figure 6h) where the gully system extends and branches throughout the whole area.
The area affected by gully erosion is 0.17 km
2 of a total study area of 7.45 km
2. Thus, it represents 2.25% of the study area, the gully density being 3.90 km/km
2. Both are partial data calculated from a gully stretch and an area that does not correspond to a catchment. Meanwhile, the percentage and density data estimated for the entire catchment area of about 20 km
2 (Arroyo del Cortijo de la Piedra,
Figure 1) are 1.35% and 3.15 km/km
2, respectively. These values are in the same order of magnitude as those found in previous studies for catchment areas of similar extension [
49] or even larger [
21,
24,
33,
43,
53,
55]. Nevertheless, some extreme cases have been documented where values between 16% and 60% are reached [
15,
25,
47,
56], although the areas considered are so different that the results are hardly comparable.
Within the gully area, in turn, the percentage of depleted area for the whole period of analysis (1980–2016) becomes much larger (31%) than the percentage of depositional area (7%), although the uncertainty area, considered here as the interval between ±1 m (±RMS Z), reaches more than 60% (
Table 5). This uncertainty area is not an area where erosion and deposition processes do not occur, as it has been discussed before, and a correction based on the error probability has been applied to the calculation of height differences and volumes. However, discarding the uncertainty area, depletion or erosion predominate over the deposition or accumulation of soil material (63% and 37%, respectively). These results coincide with those observed in some studies [
47], unlike other ones relative to fluvial systems where both processes are balanced [
13,
32] or even the accumulation processes predominate [
28].
In the same sense, the balance between the average of depletion (0.61 m) and deposition height differences (0.10 m) in the gully area became 0.51 m of depletion (
Table 6). The rates are of 0.017 m/year for depletion, 0.003 m/year for deposition and 0.014 m/year of negative balance, which confirms the predominance of depletion or erosion processes with respect to the deposition or accumulation processes. These heights of decimeter-meter order are comparable to some reference values found in approaches based on aerial photogrammetry and LiDAR [
15,
28,
30,
32,
45,
47,
48,
78].
In volume, it can be observed that the depletion volumes are generally larger than the deposition volumes, in absolute values, so the negative balance volume for the complete period (1980–1996) is about 85,000 m
3 (
Table 7) which must be evacuated by the drainage network to which the gullies lead. The rates are 2800 m
3/year for depletion and 500 m
3/year for deposition, which produces a negative balance (waste) near 2400 m
3/year. Considering the whole study area (745 ha) and a bulk density of soils of 1.5 t/m
3, the rates are of 5.72 t/ha*year, 0.94 t/ha*year and 4.78 t/ha*year, respectively. These rates are in accordance with the values estimated for the province of Jaén [
65], taking into account that these rates are for all erosion processes including laminar, rill and gully erosion. Moreover, they are within the range found in the references [
10,
11,
49], although in their lower values. Nevertheless, this range is very wide depending on the area extension and environment, if the catchment or gully area is considered, or how the measurement is performed (for instance, depletion volume or sediment production). Usually, when very large areas of 10
6 ha order are considered [
10,
43], rates around and even lower than 1 t/ha*year are found. When the areas are between 10
2 and 10
6 ha, the rates are between 1–10 t/ha*year. Finally, areas smaller than 10
2 ha present rates higher than 10 t/ha*year [
10,
11,
78]. However, most study areas with similar approaches and extension as those considered in this study present rates much higher, even when the whole catchment is considered: 39.7 t/ha*year [
49], 331 t/ha*year [
47], between 160 and 430 t/ha*year [
48], around 700 t/ha*year [
28], 871 t/ha*year [
40] and extreme values of 1500–2500 t/ha*year [
78]. If only the gully area (16.75 ha) is considered, the rates estimated in our analysis reach values of 255 t/ha*year for depletion, 42 t/ha*year for deposition and 213 t/ha*year for the (negative) balance, more similar to those found in the references.
By periods, the analysis is much richer, as the different periods present great variations regarding the average values for the whole area. Thus, in the maps of
Figure 6 intense depletion or erosion processes can be observed in the periods 1996–2001, 2009–2011 and 2011–2013, especially in the last two. Quantitatively, the higher proportion of uncertainty areas corresponds to periods in which the processes are less intense. Discarding the uncertainty areas, the proportion of depletion areas to deposition areas is balanced in the periods 1980–1996, 2001–2005, 2005–2009 and 2013–2016, while it is about twice in the periods 1996–2001, 2009–2011 and 2011–2013, especially in 2009–2011 (
Table 6).
This coincides with the higher values of average height differences of depletion (decimeter order), which occurs in the same periods. It is also in accordance with the higher (negative) values of average balance, given that the average deposition values present in general low values in every period (centimeter order). The rates even increase the differences between periods, and therefore the maximum average depletion and balance height differences in absolute terms occur in the period 2009–2011 (values higher than 0.10 m/year), followed by the period 2011–2013 (0.10–0.06 m/year) and the period 1996–2001 (values lower than 0.05 m/year).
Regarding the volumes, the analysis is similar with three periods, 1996–2001, 2009–2011 and 2011–2013, showing depletion and balance (negative) volumes higher than the other periods, while the deposition volumes are usually low (
Table 7). Some periods such as the first one (1980–1996) present large absolute volumes, both of depletion and deposition. This is due more to the uncertainties in the models obtained from photographs of a worse quality (digitized original film images) than to real differences between DSMs over a long period of time. The rates show more clearly the different erosion activity in the periods with values for balance rates near to 20,000 m
3/year in the period 2009–2011, around 10,000 m
3/year in the period 2011–2013 and 5000 m
3/year in the period 1996–2001, while in the remaining periods, the rates are insignificant.
The higher erosion activity, regarding the other ones, in the periods 1996–2001, 2009–2011 and 2011–2013 can be related to rainfall (
Figure 9). The weekly rainfalls show maximum values (higher than 100 mm) in the autumn-winter of the years 1996–1997, 1997–1998, 1999–2000, 2009–2010, 2010–2011 and 2012–2013. In fact, the absolute maximum value of 150 mm is reached in November 2012 (
Figure 9b). Meanwhile, the monthly rainfalls also present maximum values (around 250 mm) in the winter of 1995–1996, 1996–1997, 1997–1998, 2009–2010, 2010–2011 and 2012–2013, reaching the maximum absolute value of 310 mm in January 2010 (
Figure 9c). Thus, the maximum erosion activity that occurs in the period 2009–2011 is related to the rainfalls of the autumn–winter of 2009–2010 and 2010–2011, especially the former; the activity of the period 2011–2013 is related to the rainfalls of the autumn-winter of 2012; and the activity of the period 1996–2001 is related to the rainfalls of the autumn-winter of 1996–1997 and 1997–1998. The relationship between rainfall and erosion has been well established in different environments all over the world, rainfall being the most important triggering factor of these erosion processes [
49]. In fact, in the Andalusian region the analysis of the evolution of drainage networks from historical orthophotography (1956–2013) shows similar patterns to the results of this study [
49]. Thus, the maximum values of precipitation in 24 h and the mean annual rainfalls which occurred in 1997 and 2010 generated an increase of the drainage network. These patterns and relationships have been observed in other processes such as landslides in the region [
57,
70] under an irregular rainfall regime in which dry periods of several years alternate with wet periods concentrated throughout the autumn-winter seasons of two or three consecutive years.
Nevertheless, as can be observed in
Figure 9 and
Table 6 and
Table 7, the rainfalls related to the period 1996–2001 are approximately 80% of the rainfalls of the period 2009–2011, but their consequences in the erosion processes are about 50%. Thus, some questions about the influence of other factors, in addition to the rainfalls, should be analyzed. Among these the influence of rural trails, paths and roads (as shown in
Figure 2c) and changes in land use and practices but also the mechanism of gullies’ growth once the process has started. Although the influence of precipitations and changes in the land use have been analyzed in areas near to the study area of this paper [
49], additional data is necessary in order to extract conclusions about the regional influence of all these factors.
4.3. Areas, Vertical Heights and Volumes in the Detailed Area
In general, all the observations made in the previous section for the whole area are valid in the detailed area, but the heights, volumes and rates are different. Thus, the depletion processes are clearly observed in the gully area (
Figure 7). The catchment area covers a surface of 30.83 ha and the gully stretch 1.81 ha, which represents a gully intensity of 5.87%, approximately twice the percentage estimated for the whole area.
In the same way, in this sector, the average height difference for depletion in the complete period 1980–2016 is almost three times (1.70 m) the value computed in the whole area (0.61 m). Meanwhile, the average for deposition is practically insignificant and so the average for the balance is practically equal to the depletion (
Table 8a). Then the average rates for the depletion and balance height differences reach values of around 0.05 m/year. This means that in this active sector of the gully, the erosion processes predominate absolutely over the deposition processes. This is confirmed by the values shown by the volume analyses (
Table 9a). The average depletion and balance volumes are around 30,000 m
3, approximately a third of the volume of the gully stretch of the whole study area, while the deposition volumes are practically negligible. The volume rates of depletion and balance reach values near 900 m
3/year, which translated to mass rates surpasses 40 t/ha*year. These values are significantly higher than the values calculated for the study area and in the middle range of those found in the province and the references [
10,
11,
49]. If only the gully areas are considered, the rates become near to 700 t/ha*year, comparable with some extreme values of the references [
28,
40,
47,
78].
As for the whole area, there are periods in the detailed sector with significantly higher values, such as the periods 2009–2011 and 2011–2013. This can be observed in the maps of
Figure 7 (especially in
Figure 7e,f), where the negative values of the height differences (depletion) reached in the gully areas in these periods predominate over the null or positive values (deposition). Moreover, the resolution of these figures allows us to observe the distribution of the depletion areas that in the period 2009–2011 were concentrated in the center or axis of the gully, while in the period 2011–2013 they were displaced towards the lateral walls of the gully. This led to an evolution first by means of vertical incision (2009–2011) and later by means of gully wall retraction. Quantitatively, these periods present notable rates of depletion and balance height differences (0.50 m/year and 0.30 m/year) regarding the remaining periods in which the rates are insignificant (
Table 8a). Even in the period 1996–2001, when rates in the whole area reach a remarkable level, in this particular area, they are practically negligible. The volume analysis is even clearer (
Figure 9a), since the depletion and balance rates of these periods are higher in an order of magnitude (8000 m
3/year and 5000 m
3/year) than the other ones (always under 800 m
3/year). The translation of these volumes to mass rates allows extreme values to be reached, up to 275–425 t/ha*year for balance, as those found in the references [
28,
40,
47].
The relationship of the erosional activity in this area to rainfalls leads to similar conclusions as those for the whole area. Thus, the maximum values both in the weekly and monthly rainfalls in the periods 2009–2011 and 2011–2013 are related to the higher erosion and loss of soils in these periods (
Figure 9). However, the notable activity of the period 1996–2001 in the whole area, related to the rainy years 1996–1998, is not found here. This leads us to consider the influence of local triggering factors such as the roads and rural ways and land use and practices that accelerate or inhibit the erosion processes. Regional studies of determinant and triggering factors as well as hazard analysis, which exceed the objective of this study, could lead to a greater knowledge about the causes and evolution of erosion processes in the region.
Regarding the influence of DEMs resolution and data processing, some tests were performed. First, only manual edition to obtain DTMs from DSMs did not produce a significant improvement in the models and calculations, and the increase of resolution (until 1 m) did not either. Meanwhile, the combination of the edition procedure with the introduction of break lines at a resolution of 1 m (
Figure 8) allowed the significant improvement of the DTMs definition. Thus, when processing DTMs of the period 2009–2011 (edited and interpolated with break lines), the rates of depletion and balance height differences increase by 50% (from 0.50 m/year to 0.75 m/year,
Table 8b). However, these rates do not change in the period 2011–2013 (0.33 m/year). Meanwhile, the rates for depletion and balance volume also increase, in this case by 40% (from 10,000 m
3/year to 13,500 m
3/year) for the period 2009–2011, but they do not change either in the period 2011–2013 (
Table 9b).
From these data, first a subestimation of the intensity of the erosion processes is observed when only the DSMs are considered and linear interpolation is applied to obtain the models. Thus, the depletion heights and volumes can become 40%–50% higher if the DSMs are edited and break lines are considered in the interpolation, as in the period 2009–2011. This sub-estimation should be taken into account in the quantification of gully erosion in addition to the uncertainties derived from the orientation processes. However, this behavior is not observed in all cases, such as in the period 2011–2013 in which the heights differences, volumes and rates are similar in both edited and non-edited models. These differences in the behavior of the DTMs after edition could be related to the shape of the gully section and thus to the erosion processes involved. Thus, from the observation of profiles or sections of DSMs and DTMs, the DoDs and the orthophotographs (
Figure 10), it is observed that the gully growth in depth until the period 2009–2011 is mainly in the vertical component (gully incision). In this case, the resulting shape of the 2011 section is very steep and narrow. This is in accordance with the observation of the height difference map of this period (
Figure 7e and
Figure 8a), which is higher in the gully central axe. Therefore, in these steep section, shapes linear interpolation can smooth the model and sub-estimate the depth and thus the height differences and the volumes. However, the growth of the gully in the period 2011–2013 is mainly in the horizontal component by lateral walls retraction more than the incision. This leads to a wider and less steep section, where the interpolation does not smooth so much the models, and thus, the differences between the DSMs without break lines and the edited DTMs with break lines are practically insignificant. It also confirms the evolution observed in the height difference maps (
Figure 7f and
Figure 8b), where the height differences are displaced from the gully central axe to the lateral walls.
Despite the observed sub-estimation of height differences and volumes in some given gully morphologies, the technique applied with automatically generated DSMs is very useful for a first identification and even quantification of gully processes. If more accurate measurements are needed, a model edition is required in some cases. It means the application of time-consuming procedures, which are not always justified for large areas. In any case, the availability of more quality models such as LiDAR datasets and those coming from aerial or UAV surveys of very high resolution and quality would contribute to reducing the errors and uncertainties of models.
The analysis of the sections obtained in 2009, 2011 and 2013 allows the estimation of gully depths. Thus, considering the DTMs in this point of the gully system where the erosion processes are very intense, the depth is about 1.3 m in 2009, about 5.5 m in 2011 and almost 6.0 m in 2013.