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Atmosphere
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Precipitation and Climate Change: Accomplishments and Challenges
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Precipitation and Climate Change: Accomplishments and Challenges

A special issue of Atmosphere (ISSN 2073-4433). This special issue belongs to the section "Climatology".

Deadline for manuscript submissions: closed (31 December 2019) | Viewed by 10830

Special Issue Editor

Dr. Hossein Tabari

E-Mail Website
Guest Editor
Department of Civil Engineering, University of Leuven (KU Leuven), Heverlee, Belgium
Interests: statistical analysis of hydrological extremes; climate change/variability impact assessment on hydrology and water resources; monitoring and modeling of water availability and drought/water scarcity
Special Issues, Collections and Topics in MDPI journals

Special Issue Information

Dear Colleagues,

Precipitation is the major component of the hydrological cycle, and is a commonly used variable for climate change studies, as a small change in precipitation may have catastrophic consequences to society and the environment. The investigation of the impact of climate change on precipitation-related hazards has therefore seized a vast portion of international attention, in order to take action and address its impact in future policy making. Despite numerous studies and recent achievements in climate modeling and impact assessment, significant challenges and concerns remain. This Special Issue aims to advance our understanding of the past and future climate change impacts on precipitation climatology, as well as extremes on both regional and global scales. Of particular interests, are the following topics:

  • Past and future climate change impacts on precipitation climatology and extremes
  • Detection and/or attribution approaches
  • Extreme precipitation scaling with the Clausius–Clapeyron relation
  • Future intensity–duration–frequency (IDF) curves
  • Spatial and temporal scale dependence of climate change impacts
  • Dynamical downscaling and added value of convection-permitting models
  • Statistical downscaling and bias correction methods
  • Ensemble-based approaches to quantify the uncertainties in climate change results
  • Socioeconomic risk of precipitation-induced hazards
  • Hazard mitigation and adaptation strategies

Dr. Hossein Tabari
Guest Editor

Manuscript Submission Information

Manuscripts should be submitted online at www.mdpi.com by registering and logging in to this website. Once you are registered, click here to go to the submission form. Manuscripts can be submitted until the deadline. All submissions that pass pre-check are peer-reviewed. Accepted papers will be published continuously in the journal (as soon as accepted) and will be listed together on the special issue website. Research articles, review articles as well as short communications are invited. For planned papers, a title and short abstract (about 100 words) can be sent to the Editorial Office for announcement on this website.

Submitted manuscripts should not have been published previously, nor be under consideration for publication elsewhere (except conference proceedings papers). All manuscripts are thoroughly refereed through a single-blind peer-review process. A guide for authors and other relevant information for submission of manuscripts is available on the Instructions for Authors page. Atmosphere is an international peer-reviewed open access monthly journal published by MDPI.

Please visit the Instructions for Authors page before submitting a manuscript. The Article Processing Charge (APC) for publication in this open access journal is 2400 CHF (Swiss Francs). Submitted papers should be well formatted and use good English. Authors may use MDPI's English editing service prior to publication or during author revisions.

Keywords

  • Climate change
  • Extreme precipitation
  • Precipitation climatology
  • Hazard, vulnerability, and risk
  • Uncertainty analysis

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Published Papers (3 papers)

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Research

23 pages, 5780 KiB  
Article
Uncertainty Quantification of Future Design Rainfall Depths in Korea
by Kyungmin Kim, Jeonghyeon Choi, Okjeong Lee, Dong-Hyun Cha and Sangdan Kim
Atmosphere 2020, 11(1), 22; https://doi.org/10.3390/atmos11010022 - 25 Dec 2019
Cited by 8 | Viewed by 3479
Abstract
One of the most common ways to investigate changes in future rainfall extremes is to use future rainfall data simulated by climate models with climate change scenarios. However, the projected future design rainfall intensity varies greatly depending on which climate model is applied. [...] Read more.
One of the most common ways to investigate changes in future rainfall extremes is to use future rainfall data simulated by climate models with climate change scenarios. However, the projected future design rainfall intensity varies greatly depending on which climate model is applied. In this study, future rainfall Intensity–Duration–Frequency (IDF) curves are projected using various combinations of climate models. Future Ensemble Average (FEA) is calculated using a total of 16 design rainfall intensity ensembles, and uncertainty of FEA is quantified using the coefficient of variation of ensembles. The FEA and its uncertainty vary widely depending on how the climate model combination is constructed, and the uncertainty of the FEA depends heavily on the inclusion of specific climate model combinations at each site. In other words, we found that unconditionally using many ensemble members did not help to reduce the uncertainty of future IDF curves. Finally, a method for constructing ensemble members that reduces the uncertainty of future IDF curves is proposed, which will contribute to minimizing confusion among policy makers in developing climate change adaptation policies. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Precipitation and Climate Change: Accomplishments and Challenges)
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16 pages, 2808 KiB  
Article
Change-Point Analysis of Precipitation and Drought Extremes in China over the Past 50 Years
by Min Liu, Pengfei Liu, Ying Guo, Yanfang Wang, Xinxin Geng, Zhenlong Nie and Yang Yu
Atmosphere 2020, 11(1), 11; https://doi.org/10.3390/atmos11010011 - 20 Dec 2019
Cited by 10 | Viewed by 2967
Abstract
Increases in climate extremes and their impacts have attracted global attention recently. In this study, the change-point years of precipitation extremes (PEs) and drought extremes (DEs) were investigated by Moving t-Test at 500 stations across the six regions in China. The detailed [...] Read more.
Increases in climate extremes and their impacts have attracted global attention recently. In this study, the change-point years of precipitation extremes (PEs) and drought extremes (DEs) were investigated by Moving t-Test at 500 stations across the six regions in China. The detailed temporal change processes of them were demonstrated by the cumulative deviation method based on the data from nine typical stations. The results showed that: 1) DEs were more significantly and widely increased than PEs, the stations with increasing trends of PEs and DEs accounted for greater than 52.6% and 61.6% of the total, respectively; 2) increasing trends of DEs were mainly distributed in the east of Hu Huanyong Line. In this area, the increasing change-point years of DEs often occurred in the early 1980s in the south of the Yangzi River, while occurred in the 1990s in the north of the Yangzi River; 3) increasing trends of PEs were mainly distributed in Qing-Tibet Platen, Northwest China, and the southeastern area of Hu Huanyong Line. In these areas, the increasing change-point years of PEs often occurred around 1990 in the southeast of Hu Huanyong Line, while often occurred in the early 1980s in Qing-Tibet Platen. The results indicated that the area in the southeast of Hu Huanyong Line was under the threats of both PEs and DEs, this may produce severe impacts on agriculture, environment, water resources management, human society, etc. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Precipitation and Climate Change: Accomplishments and Challenges)
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15 pages, 2287 KiB  
Article
Precipitation Evolution over Belgium by 2100 and Sensitivity to Convective Schemes Using the Regional Climate Model MAR
by Sébastien Doutreloup, Christoph Kittel, Coraline Wyard, Alexandre Belleflamme, Charles Amory, Michel Erpicum and Xavier Fettweis
Atmosphere 2019, 10(6), 321; https://doi.org/10.3390/atmos10060321 - 12 Jun 2019
Cited by 4 | Viewed by 3829
Abstract
The first aim of this study is to determine if changes in precipitation and more specifically in convective precipitation are projected in a warmer climate over Belgium. The second aim is to evaluate if these changes are dependent on the convective scheme used. [...] Read more.
The first aim of this study is to determine if changes in precipitation and more specifically in convective precipitation are projected in a warmer climate over Belgium. The second aim is to evaluate if these changes are dependent on the convective scheme used. For this purpose, the regional climate model Modèle Atmosphérique Régional (MAR) was forced by two general circulation models (NorESM1-M and MIROC5) with five convective schemes (namely: two versions of the Bechtold schemes, the Betts–Miller–Janjić scheme, the Kain–Fritsch scheme, and the modified Tiedtke scheme) in order to assess changes in future precipitation quantities/distributions and associated uncertainties. In a warmer climate (using RCP8.5), our model simulates a small increase of convective precipitation, but lower than the anomalies and the interannual variability over the current climate, since all MAR experiments simulate a stronger warming in the upper troposphere than in the lower atmospheric layers, favoring more stable conditions. No change is also projected in extreme precipitation nor in the ratio of convective precipitation. While MAR is more sensitive to the convective scheme when forced by GCMs than when forced by ERA-Interim over the current climate, projected changes from all MAR experiments compare well. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Precipitation and Climate Change: Accomplishments and Challenges)
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